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Jacksonian Core Holdings

Correction Not Affecting My Ego

Narcissus
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Curse the Gods of the Precious all ye may, unbelievers and heretics of the Vixx Vapo-Rub-TLT Coalition!  Ye shall not daunt me, nor my precious ego.

Or should I say Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] ? For like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and many of the components of [[GDX]] , my massive EGO made a doji high hammah (or whatevah) on strong volume today, indicating their are dip buyers and accumulators galore interested in the safety of these miners and their precious byproducts.

Lookee, here, soldier, and note ye the last two days of EGO-centric action after the recent breakout:

egodaily

Not bad action on almost double average volume on a down day, no?  What’s more, in after hours, the stock was even green by a tad, much like Goldcorp Inc. (USA) [[GG]] ended the day today.

As for the dollar, it strikes me that it’s at least temporarily peaking out, with the 50% fib line fast approaching on the weekly chart, and on increasingly lower volume.  I think [[UUP]] may touch the 50% mark at $24.43, but I think the dollar retreats soon thereafter.  Note:

uupweekly

Which is why I believe we were seeing all these PM and PM miner dojis today.   Howabout that?  Get on, or dance the Hugh Hendry in chagrin.

Best to you all.

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Leaders Still Running

 borat run

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Yeah, the dollar is up, but so are the precious metals, so go figure.   It’s not often you see [[UUP]] riding an updraft right along with it’s mortal enemy, real money in the form of [[GLD]] and [[SLV]] .  

What’s going on?  Well, I’ll tell you what I think and it’s just a theory… but I believe the Euro is headed for a bad night with the Reaper, and all the printing presses in Frankfurt are better off producing saurkraut than Euro-denominated debt to back this Grecian salvage job we saw today.   

I’m getting major deja vu, ovah heah, and maybe you are all a tremble with it too.  Remember when the gov’t stepped in and demanded that Jamie Dimon save that piece of rat’s offal, the Bear Stearns Company?  And then soon after, it became impossible to save Lehman Brothers in turn, despite that latter bank’s greater importance to the capital markets’ zeitgeist?

Well, I’m thinking we are going to see the same here with Spain and maybe even Portugal and Italy lining up at the Eurotrough, if this most recent Moral Hazard Play works it’s way out in similar fashion to that of our own Wall Street bank collapse fiasco in 2008.  

 I mean, why stop at Greece?  That is, unless you have to?

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That said, there are havens of safety and they are in the leaders.   One such King Kong in the precious metal space is Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , which I’ve loved since it was a little $6 stock, barely in knee pants. 

 For the love of Uncle Mike, why don’t you pay attention to my picks like this one?  Do I not provide enough excitement with these double and triple baggers over a 12 month period?  Ah well, it’s not like I haven’t been eating my own pudding, right?  My gosh, take a look at this weekly chart:

anvwkly

Yes, that’s pretty much “free air” you are seeing in these current climes… marked by very little resistance.   I’d love to see this beauty taken out by one of the acquisition-minded bigs, but I’m content to sit on my gains and allow them to continue to accumulate, no mattah (sic).

Speaking of charts that look like Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] look at CREE, again, and don’t forget about the monster move Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] made today.  Make no mistake, these companies are going to be the new tech leaders, much like the Microsoft Corporation [[MSFT]] ‘s and Dell Inc. [[DELL]] ‘s and eBay Inc. [[EBAY]] ‘s were in the techy past.   You should be content to accumulate these plays, along with such other long term targets like Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] and Monsanto Company [[MON]] .

That’s what I’m here for… the long term stuff and the stability.   Not overly exciting, but a great deal of solid companies, doing the best in their fields.   Now go on, get.  There’s probably some teevee on, or something…

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It’s not just Gold, Mr. Anderson…

agent Smith WoW 

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The gold and silver and even platinum plays have been taking off with very strong relative strength these past weeks, even in the teeth of the Goldman Doom on Friday.   Now that it looks like Greece is going to get bailed out to the tune of $150 bn drachmas, or cowchips, or whatever they’re using for currency in Europe these days, I would bet dollars to doughnuts we’ll have a sell the news dollar reversal here soon, which will mean even more money flowing into the precious metal bull in the short term.

But we’ll save that for another day… you’ve plenty of names to consider from last week, and we’ve got other hard asset plays to speak of… particularly those in the Corn Belt, or who create notches therein…

Specifically I’m speaking about our old friend Mr. Anderson: The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] , who has skyrocketed recently to new 52 week highs, only to be brought back down to the top of the breakout area on Friday:

ande

You can see there are three bars of support in the above chart, one of which we rest on as of Friday’s close.   I feel more comfortable with a pullback to the next (middle) level at $35, and that’s where I’ll be adding to this Jacksonian beauty.  

I think we should be keeping our eye on the other ags as well, and while I’m not going to post the ugly chart of Monsanto Company [[MON]] I will tell you that I added another 1k shares to my already large horde at $63-ish on Friday.   As I’ve mentioned before… like Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] ,  Monsanto is a “set it and forget it” type of long term hold, and if I can find it in the low 60’s like this, I’m going to be a buyers for sure.

In other news, I did attend the somewhat rainy Derby (but was under cover, thank the horsey gods) and had a much better day than the Oaks, nailing an exacta box bet on the Derby itself, and coming away with quite a bit of cash, considering how pikerish my bets remain.   Derby is defiinitely something you’ll want to consider if you are a “bucket list” kind of guy/gal.    For what it’s worth, I’ve never NOT had a great time, no matter the weather.

My very best to you all.

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Bring the Gold and I’ll Bring Me Sack

Bring the Goooooold, lads!
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Amidst all this market shakedown this week, thanks to the Goldman’astra there’s been one stalwart –the gold and silver metals and their miners.

Whilst today Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] and Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] were mildly to “extra spicy hot” OFF, my trove of golden doughnuts held form well, and in fact look to be setting an example to the rest of the stock world for when everyone else realizes inflation is coming. 

The [[HUI]] , which is an index for unhedged miners  makes for a great example of the relative and overall strength of its sector.  The weekly, which you’ve seen before, shows that the bounce off the 61.8% fib line continues unabated:

hui_weekly

Even the daily is showing “whut-whut” these days to the pikers in other sectors:

hui_daily2

These are the signs of sleeping giants, gentle people… and they are quite possibly being unleashed by their former masters in the Iberian and Aegian Peninsulas.  Whatever the case, you can be sure more printing is to come.

Here’s a beneficiary of some printing, as pointed out just two nights back.  Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] has now tested it’s breakout and is now ready to play in all reindeer games:

slw-daily1

You know I’m biased, but you have to admit that’s a pretty sweet formation, no?  She remains my favourite (sic).

Best to you all, my friends.

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Bonus!The title explained for those who missed the first posting.

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“Dollar Dope” Hercules

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yv0MEMyot3A 450 300]

Hercules with Lasers… Go with it!

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It’s time to dumb it down.   Way down.

I am preparing myself for this coming weeks’ action by watching the classic Golan and Globus production Lou Ferrigno’s Hercules.”   Watching this veritable feast of the cinema has –conservatively speaking — knocked out twice as many of my brain cells as would an all weekend black out date with Johnny Walker Red.  What’s more, there’s no hangover involved… just a rough couple of days of re-remembering my children’s names.

Which is all great preparation for what this market is likely to do should the dollar plummet down the nearest ravine, which I think it should do as soon as this bit of Grecian mess is resolved.  I believe that shall happen … shortly, as the Euro is already firming against the Swiss franc (which is actually made of cheese).  Soon it’s going to be hell for the Euro-bears, and Heaven Hill for we dollar bears. 

Here’s how I see the dollar resolving.  I think Friday’s failure to reach the recent highs and attendant turnover in most stochs is significant:

usddaily

Not surprising, as we’ve expected the dollar to resume it’s downward drift, and now it appears that with housing numbers up, we have another excuse to expect inflation. 

Besides some of the recent gems I’ve spoken about, like The St. Joe Company [[JOE]] the land whore and the platinum twins [[PAL]] and Stillwater Mining Company [[SWC]] , I think I shall add to my Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] , my Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] (on a pullback to $76) and my Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] at market. 

I also like what [[MVG]] has done to her hair, and will add to Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] the gold spinner too.  Last, two smaller juniors that I believe I will be adding here are Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] and [[BAA]] .  

If I could only purchase one thing this week, however, it would likely be my “baby” — Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] which is just now breaking out all over again:

slw-daily

My best to you all, and Merry Hercules to you, too.

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Fat Target on DECK

surprise

Watch for Gay Giraffes!
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As you know, I’ve been trimming the positions recently, despite taking an initial 2k share position in Central European Distribution [[CEDC]] today at $38.62 as announced on The PPT.  I also took the opportunity this afternoon to trim half of my Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] position in the high $79.20’s and 2k shares of Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] at $46.78.

On the PM side, I also dumped another 2k shares of [[CDE]] at $17.12 and 2k shares of Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at $16.95. Do not fret, these are just minor sales in anticipation of a pullback.

I think we’re in for at least a brief pullback and I’ve been looking for some easy fat, sloppy targets that offer some bang for the buck, all giraffe puns excepted. I think I’ve found one in our old furry booted friend Deckers Outdoor Corporation [[DECK]] . 

Lookee Here” as some apish Yankees would say:

deckdaily2 

We’ve all made some money on shorting Deckers Outdoor Corporation [[DECK]] in the past, let’s do it again, for auld (sic) times sake.

Best to you all.

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