You bring the dough, I’ll crank me goooolden pasta machine.
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Have you just arrived at my blog after visiting the site of M. Le Docteur de Le Fly? Did you watch that video with the eerily calm-voiced man who is sketching our collective doom via Youtube videation?   Are you now in need of a mug of chamomile tea in order to calm your nerves?

Well, goodness knows, there’s other comfort foods available for your consumption, including Jake’s yummy pasta.  Remember this [[AIPC]] name from the other day’s post “Pennies for Pennes?”    Here was the original chart from 10 days ago:

And here was Friday’s close — a mere week later: 

Keep in mind, that’s a launch off support in one of the worst week and halves of trading we’ve had in 15 months.  Admit it, you didn’t touch this stock, because you thought maybe I was nuts, offering Italian carbohydrates whilst the Greeks burned the Parthenon down.   But you must keep in mind that trending stocks that display relative strength in bad markets are generally some of the safest names you can own in a storm.   

I think [[AIPC]] may take a rest/hit tomorrow, and it may be a good time to scoop some up.  Don’t wait too long, however.  There’s someone after this one, I think, and he’s/she’s/they’re no piker.

Speaking of strength in the storm, let’s not forget that [[GLD]] and [[SLV]] have been acting very cheery in the face of this Eurotardation, much to the chagrin of Mr. Samsonite Hamburg-ALL-er and his boss, a Mr. The Devil Dog.    What’s more, even the miners, which tend to wane in sympathy with the overall markets, are showing strength.  

If you watched M. le Docteur’s scary video, you may find the answer therein.  Me, I’m not going to invest in reverse-Oliver Stone type fright films, but I do know a trend when I see one.    As you can see, my plan remains the same, and so does my target for the Amex Gold Bugs Index [[HUI]] :

I like what I’ve been liking for months now, but I may not have mentioned them all, so here are some look sees:

Gold miners (Large): Goldcorp Inc. (USA) [[GG]] , Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] , Newmont Mining Corporation [[NEM]] , and [[GDX]] for the grouping

Gold miners (Medium): Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , Gammon Gold, Inc. [[GRS]]

Gold miners (Small); Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] , New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] , Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] , [[BAA]] , Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] , Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] , Taseko Mines Limited (USA) [[TGB]] and the catch all [[GDXJ]]

Silver miners: [[PAAS]] , [[CDE]] , Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] , Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] , [[EXK]] , [[MVG]] , [[SVM]] ,  and the catch all Apex Silver Mines Limited [[SIL]] .

Royalty plays:  Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] and Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corp. (US) [[TRE]] for gold, and my baby Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] for silver.

Best of the litter — Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] and [[PAAS]] for silver exposure, then Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] and [[GDX]] for gold glamour (sic).

Best to you all, have a nosh of rotini, get some sleep and do not let the Samsonite Hambug-ALL-ers bite!

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V.King Relative?

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Some people asked me about some stuff to buy on a pullback, and well, I still love Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] despite their pulling off the egregious “bought deal” $250mm + dilution yesterday night.

I think the buy is pretty obvious on the weekly:

If you can buy off that trend line in the high $17’s, low $18’s, you should be sitting in clover like a greedy leprechaun and his keg o’ gold.  Lookee here (sic) at the daily:

As you can see from the chart, I had an order in to buy in the lower $20’s region, which hit after I was out of the office today, and I’m perfectly fine with it.   That said, this thing could go to the 20-day EMA ($18.41) very easily an even a bit below that.   So I’m keeping powder dry.

I’m not going to post these charts, but I will also be looking to add silver on any weakeness.  I really like Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] as you know, but also [[PAAS]]   is showing great relative strength, as is [[EXK]] and [[CDE]] .   I might add to my Smaug’s horde on a pullback here.

Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] and [[MVG]] are the second string, but sometimes HL gets a real boost from the local alchy’s with a sentimental touch.  Watch them all, and think about Apex Silver Mines Limited [[SIL]] as a catch all in the realm of [[GDX]] , except for silvers.

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Best to you, Jake.

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In the later stages of these “C-level” cyclical bull runs (unfurling within a secular bull run), it often starts to get giddy-gigglyfun, especially with the junior miners, who all begin to pop audibly, like champagne corks, as the end of a run draws near.

Who doesn’t like 8, 9, 10, 11 heck, even 12% moves in one day?  Like [[BAA]] today — who’d have thunk it’d raise from the dead after so many weeks of dormancy?  I mean, besides me?

That’s not quite right… I didn’t know it would take off today, only that it would within the confines of this cyclical bull run.  That’s why I own 20k shares of this and have owned other small miners ( Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] come to mind) in the past.   They are, in essence, unexpiring options at these prices.  

Here’s [[BAA]] on the weekly chart, finally getting some air off the broken downtrend line:

As you can see there’s a lot of room to grow there.  

And here’s Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] which recently spun off a $3 stock [[EXGMA]] , which you’d have to add to it’s current $8 stock price (we bot the consolidated company in the low sixes, remember?).  Weekly:

Despite this junior giving birth to another junior, she seems no worse for wear, and in fact, stronger than ever.

   Keep an eye on these names and others from the small cap portolio (Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] , Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] , [[EXK]] ,  etc.)  as I have a strong suspicion they will continue to break out to our unending joy and to our enemies great chagrin, for a good piece going forward.

Stay vigilant,  and watch [[UUP]] for clues to the immediate future.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zf6s7HTmtyM 450 300] __________________________________
If it’s a schtick, so what?  If it’s an act, who cares? He’s saying what ought to be said.

It’s absolutely a perfect metaphor for our political process that these asshats think they can go after the big banks and securities players while leaving the hot steaming mess of Fannie Mae [[FNM]] and Freddie Mac [[FRE]] for another day and another half trillion dollar bailout.

It has to end, and thank the Lord for big mouths like Rick Santelli who know the game and will call them on it.

As for other heroes….

Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]]   Boom!

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] Bam!

Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] Shhhhher-pop!

Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] — Shazzam!

[[EXK]]   Ker-Pow!

And this is less than half the list…   

Where to watch for a step off?  Easy, I think:

Enjoy, but remain vigilant.  Best to you all.

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Okay, one more… my baby — Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]]

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Bring your sack, the LED leaders are marching forward with their grapes of wrath unfurled, and you want to be in that number, lest you take the hard edge of me terrible swift sword.

Hmmmm…. I think I feel an anthem coming on… bum-bum-bummmmmm…. nah, it’s passed.

I don’t mean to boast idly, but I was up 4.2% today and not, as you might believe, due to my precious metal portfolio alone. Make no mistake, those names were up nicely today, with Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] ,Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] , [[BAA]] , Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] and my baby Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] leading my dogpack of precious metallicas like a dogsledder seeking Siberia from Alaska.

Others in my port, however, were up just as — or even more — handsomely, with the “3 T’s” racking in large horde — Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] , Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] and benighted Titanium Metals Corporation [[TIE]] rocking worldviews, and even Sud Ameriquan lithium developer Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] rebounded well today. Crazy Central European Distribution [[CEDC]] has finally woken back up, and Trannie King United Parcel Service, Inc. [[UPS]] looks to be leading the rebound with the Transports.

Nothing seems to lead these markets like the LED stocks, however, and I won’t rest until M. Le Docteur de le Fly is invested in the two leaders Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] and Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] , who have become the spokesmodels for Woody’s “relative strength” in this post-apocalyptic age.

First, note the Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] weekly, and slap yourself in the head for missing this opportunity:

I’d like to see that weekly volume bar increase as the week goes on, and I believe it will, especially when taking on the daily view:

The 20-day had held support for a while, so a launch back above it should be encouraging.  I  (luckily) added 2k more of both CREE and VECO last week as I had “low-ball” (heh, right) buy orders laid in that took advantage of the downdraft.   These two are a large part of my gain advantage today, and I think they will continue to lead.

For all the relative strength shown in Cree, Inc. [[CREE]] , check it out in Veeco Instruments Inc. [[VECO]] below… surely this is one of the strongest stocks in the universe right now, no?   Lay in wait, but do pounce as I have:

Stay on your toes, and be nimble, but I don’t think this liquidity wash is over  just yet.   Stay safer by grabbing tech leaders like the LED-ers, and hard money targets.  Everything else is suspect, and should be eschewed indeud.

Best to you all.

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What do I always say to you about dire times?  You want to buy gold, silver… and pasta of course.   What are you going to do, eat heavy metals that are far more useful worked into cheery adornments and dental hardware? 

No, of course not.  

In times of rising food prices, you want to eat staples that will fill your belly while providing you the carbo-rush you need to get you through those crucial trading hours between early morning sugar frosted bombs (and coffee) and late afternoon Butterfingers bar from the vending machine (and cawfee).

You need pasta to fill your demanding gut.   With some red gravy, or maybe some butter, or a light slathering of pesto.   You want the hot hot penne, the tri-color wagon wheels, the masticola.   So, it seems,  do many others, if judging by today’s nice action amidst Col. Kurtz’s “horror the horror” market show (brought to you be Procter & Gamble) will attest.

Check what this li’l beauty did today among the carnage that is all things not precious metals:

Now granted, this sucker had good numbers today… with expanding gross and net operating margins.   That’s all good, but you know that the real reason for [[AIPC]] ‘s increasingly good numbers is “the new frugality.” 

Embrace it, pop it in your mouth, swish it aroun your tongue.   It’s the latest thing.

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Not the latest thing is the relative strength of gold and to some extent, silver, in this downdraft.   Yes, even with [[UUP]] threatening $25 again, and the dollar index (DXY) being over $85 this afternoon, it seems the PM’s are holding their own.   This bodes very well for them on any reduction of the dollar’s recent climb.

That said, my perfomers today were [[GLD]] and [[SLV]] , Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] and Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , and [[EXK]] and [[GDX]] , IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] , my favourite here.

I like all the PM’s until further notice… they’ve decoupled from the dollar, and that can only be a good thing.

I also got hammered today in Monsanto Company [[MON]] and [[TBT]] , as was so kindly pointed out by my own personal troll.   Amazingly, I bot some more MON just below $60, though not far enough below.  I continue to like both names.

I am near exhaustion level, ladies and germs, business is that crazy.   I’m sorry I didn’t get to post a new one to you intraday today, but I will try to be there, at least through the comment section, in doozy dozy days like today.  Be safe, as Fly says, but look for the rebound here tomorrow.

My best to you all.

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