iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

Get in the Chowder Bowl

Evil Clam
Trust Ye Not the Evile Clamme!

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Well, wasn’t that a refreshing sell off we had today?  Will we bounce from here?   Likely, at some point.  But I wouldn’t get overly excited about it.   In fact, I’d take any rebound in the next couple of days as a welcome loosening of the steer-making device from around your sensitive bits, and lighten, lighten, lighten.   

You want to be as light as a Capezio-wearing chorus line extra dangling from a dirigible.   Because ladies and gentlemen, the Clamme  is not your friend!   The Clamme is the friend of men standing in bomb shelters poring over ruined real estate portfolios, but he is no friend of the genial Speculator

As good as it feels to revel in the seemingly endless supply of bubblicious liquidity flowing from the Helicopter du Clamme, you must believe that the other side of that euphoria is the long weightless drop down the elevator shaft, to which there is only one end for your portfolio.

Ker-freakin’-splat!

I love the Russell 2000 as a market indicator.   Are you going to pay attention to the Dow 30, instead?

A 10-12% sell-off will bring us back to the $72-73.00 area, where I see pretty solid support.   The 200-day EMA should rise to the $70 level here in the next couple of days, and that will offer additional support.   I don’t expect a bloodbath, yet, but why watch your portfolio shrink, or worse, get thrown in the chowder bowl when we will have larders full of opportunity in the coming weeks and months?

Patience.   It’s a most difficult virtue, but one that will pay literal dividends in the weeks ahead.

I added to all my market hedges today — SDD, SDS, and QID, to salutory effect.   I also off-loaded a small amount of MVG that I had not hedged, and sold off another quarter of my FTK holdings.  Tomorrow, I shall likely purchase some TWM and perhaps even some TZA, which I have held off on purchasing due to it’s razor-sharp canabalistic capabilities.

Best to you all, Clamme Diggers.

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29 comments

  1. Woodshedder

    I will not partake of the clamme, Sam I am.

    Nice catch on the bearish volume divergence.

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  2. duc

    Chap’s,

    They wouldn’t dare haze flippe-floppe-flye after he returned 850%+ last year!

    jog on
    duc

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  3. Teapotdome

    Great post.

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  4. HuggieBear

    That clam pic at the top is one of the best things i’ve ever laid me eyes upon!

    I am thoroughly hegded with TZA, QID, ZSL, and a smattering of protective puts. And yet, I do not know if I’m quite hedged enough….need to run some calculations and see what kind of balance im in.

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    • JakeGint

      That is the Evile Clamme. He must be avoided.

      ______

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      • muktukchuck

        Great graffique. Salvador D would be proud. As I entered into an EDZ relationship early (9% ago and a week ago), I took profits this a.m. and am ready to leap (with a battemont degage) back in = upto to 1.5x position.

        I can’t believe I used a freaking ballet term, going to wash my mouth out.

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        • JakeGint

          No worries, we are big ballet fans at our house.

          However, I think you may be leveraging back up too soon. The PM market may be nearing its full retrace, but I’m not sure about the overall, or even emerging markets.

          ______

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  5. scum bucket bitchez!
    scum bucket bitchez!

    Do not besmirch beards. My Amish grandpappy (who was not a banker) had a nice beard that would catch organic breadcrumbs when he ate.

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    • JakeGint

      In all seriousness, this explains a lot.

      The Amish are very nice people, but they are also de facto Luddites.

      So you come by your bizarre anti-modernity by nature AND nurture.

      ________

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  6. go2mars

    I-am-clam
    Clam-I-am

    That Clam-I-Am
    That Clam-I-Am
    I do not like that clam-I-am.

    Do you like green money and plan?

    I do not like green money and plan.
    I do not like them clam-I-am.

    Would you, could you in a bond?
    Could you, would you, with a GIC?

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    • JakeGint

      Work this out for a whole piece and post it in the PeeGee and you could probably claim the new tab.

      ______

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      • scum bucket bitchez!
        scum bucket bitchez!

        I would like the new tab as a platform to peddle electric fireplaces. Made in usa bitchez!

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      • go2mars

        ehhh… Rattled off some more dribble there for ya Jake! 😉

        Check the PG.

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  7. Juiceyfruit

    Jake, what you think of closing candleschtick prints in XAU, HUI, GDX, GDXJ ? Look like bottomy prints ; Maybe not THE bottom but at least short term bounce?

    IAG strong like bull … GSS nice reversal

    AEM bounce off 200dma
    ABX nice candle
    NEM green w pos divergences

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  8. MDA

    Buy some gold.. before you embarrass yourself Jake.

    And blog more damn it. I like what you post.

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  9. Well done

    Jake,

    Compliments on your superb timing.

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