Dieu bénissent le Fly
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Let me just say that I’m grateful this day for my good friend, Monsieur Le Fly.
Before tonight’s market discussion, however, let me tell you a brief story, not altogether “out of school.” This summer, my wife and I dined with Monsieur et Madame Le Fly.
By dint of fast L.I.R.R train out of Atlantic Beach, we arrived at le restaurant (downtown NYC) first, and were able to have a quick cocktail while we awaited our dinner companions. Since the restaurant was bayed and glass fronted, and our maitre d’ was kind enough to seat us in front of said bay glass front, I was able to steal a first glance at madame and monsieur even before he first laid eyes upon me.
Therefore I was immediately able to take the measure of his character, and let me tell you why. No, it was not the solicitous manner in which he comported himself with madame (although that was certainly nice). Nor was it his clean appearance, or even his upright posture, however positive those fixtures might be.
No, it goes back to something my father taught me as a wee lad, no more than 13 and approaching the narrowing straits of manhood.
“Jake,” he said, putting his arm around my shoulder in an almost conspiratorial fashion,
“Always be wary of a man who is better looking than his wife, as it’s a sign of a weak character.”
Let it be said that it’s further credit to Madame Le Fly that Monsieur is by no means an ugly man. It is merely that she is le soleil to his la lune — the gender nominatives notwithstanding.
Second hint — La Lune insisted on picking up the tab. So it goes with my friend, Monsieur Le Fly.
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But let me not soften tonight’s “a la recherche de temps perdu,” etc., with too much overt sentimentality. Tonight I laud my bon ami for keeping the rubes, stupes and tin pot bangers continuing to chew the gristle of regret and bitter grapes with regard to the most obvious bull market of the millenium.
Heck, maybe even the only bull market of the millenium.
Please credit him with Svengali-like powers. Only mon bon ami could so easily have the five figure account guys gamboling and capering with glee today about the ridiculousness of owning gold with these data readily available:
Know that he is doing the Lord’s work for you and your family by casting doubt on the gold-sound money thesis. This spells “O-P-P-O-R-T-U-N-I-T-Y” for those of you who may have yet to participate. Thank m’Lord le Fly and thank those who readily take his word with nary a thought toward logical analysis, or even limpid thought.
For they shall be the bearers of your wealth, well into the next decade. God bless.
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There should be something of a bounce tomorrow, as we fast approach my mentioned $440 level on the $HUI. We are also quite oversold on gold in the near term. That said, I don’t think this pullback is over, and may only cover some shorted calls into tomorrow’s sell off. Be nimble, be quick, etc.
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Well, thanks for the kind words. You and your lovely wife were great company and I’d love to share another 2-10 bottles of vino with you.
However, with that being said, gold can still suck my dick.
Cheers.
I must admit, sometimes my outrage on inane things makes me laugh. My recent rage against gold is 10x funnier, only because you are seemingly bitch slapping me with posts like this.
Well played.
I am only half kidding about thanking you. I really was getting worried that everyone and their mother was out their buying gold.
It’s amazed me over the last ten or so years how many pros I run into who have almost a cognitive revulsion of gold — even now — and who use the same terms, same old reasonings, etc (ie, “it doesn’t provide a return”).
As if a commodity that was oversold for twenty years needs a reason to revert to the mean… And when it’s also a commodity that’s been an historical replacement for fiat currency… in an overtly degrading fiat currency environment?
And yet, still, the cognitive dissonance remains.
To my joy.
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Is it odd that I don’t want to know what “the Fly” looks like or who he is in real life? For example, when “V.King” claimed to have pictures of “le Fly,” I tried very hard not to look at his post. It was almost impossible not to, but I resisted, until I read from comments that the pictures were irrelevant.
I’ve been visiting this blog dozens of times daily since December ’07, and at first I very much wanted to know who the mystery man was. But as I thought about it and recognized his egregious winship, egregious diction, and egregious ways, I realized I really didn’t want to know. I love the anonymity of the blog and everything that comes with it.
I’ve seen pictures/videos of TK on his blog, and I’ve been like, “Wow, that guy looks exactly like I imagine him from how he sounds.” If I saw “the Fly” and he looked/sounded like something I didn’t imagine, would I be forever unable to enjoy iBC in the same way again (which would be a terrible result)?
I realize this might sound really fucking confusing/retarded, but has anyone else experienced this? I’ve also drunken a bunch of sierra nevadas tonight, so maybe that’s part of it. Any shrinks care to help explain why? Am I unusual and/or fucktarded in this regard?
Say you were blind and you grew up in a totally racist household like Clayton Bigsby. Pretend you got totally hooked on the A-Team. It became your life, your passion. You identified with the A-Team, and the crime they didn’t commit in Hanoi. You KNEW they were acting on orders, and they shouldn’t have to live underground as solderers of fortune (up to the fifth season). Now pretend that one day doctors were able to give you your sight back. Would Mr. T’s blackness take away from all the crime he fought? All the fools he pitied? I think not.
KISS n’aurait jamais enlevé le maquillage. Avec, ils ont été super-héros, sans, des vieillards. Ne jamais enlever le costume.
Not odd at all. No one can live up to such Internet legendary iconship, not even I.
Only those who possess cavernous memories and are clever enough can find pictures of The Fly. As a kid I would walk through the book store and simply look at the covers of Hardy Boys books to figure out and reveal the plot to the engrossed readers. “Welcome to the real world jackass!” After looking at the dvd box of The DaVinci Code I watched it in reverse to see if I could figure out why I rented it. The mystery of The Fly is no different. The truth will remain secret.
Almost as rare as Bigfoot sightings:
http://twitpic.com/q1xio
Wait, la lune? Is Dr. Fly going bald? Is there a cue ball hiding in this corner pocket of iBC?
While I disagree with your FDR thesis from the previous thread, the general fiat currency expansion-gold trade has been quite fortuitous over the past decade. There’s something interesting about the dollar gold relationship too. Check out this chart from 1975-2008: http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/images/2007/09/21/golddollar.png
Gold has always been a great hedge to the dollar over the years but I can’t seem to ignore the 1977-85 period. We suffered similar economic problems to the present and gold went parabolic, only to collapse and remain in a mean ~$360 area for 20 years.
Not sure what you disagree with on my “FDR thesis?” We were still on a gold standard then, so FDR had no choice in trying to further his aim to print more money than by banning the ownership of real stuff (as much as he could). The result was an increase in the nominal price of real money (ie, gold).
Today, the Fed doesn’t need to bother with banning gold, since we are not on a gold convertible currency system anymore (to the chagrin of our trading sucke– er, “partners”).
As for your second bit:
These things travel in cycles. The last real peak was in the early eighties, and then it went dormant to about 2000 while the stock market went nuts.
We are in the “contra-cycle” right now. Nine years in, actually.
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Back then Paul Volker had bid balls and power …unlike the new model.
Back then they needed someone to sop up the liquidity. Today, rates are low, so why not run the presses while they can?
That seems to be the consensus at least. And why I’m buying pm’s of course.
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Well said sir, well said! I enjoy your prose more and more.
For some reason, I envision The Fly (and the PPT) as “The Architect in the Matrix”.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k1y9vl2J9VE
In real life, he prolly a gay giraffe that drives an ice cream truck.
BTW, Gint makes the Architect’s words seem ebonic.
Think Tank – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lj3iNxZ8Dww
Very nice post. Must be the holidays…
Good tread…..Fly V. Gint pay per view.
Jake…thanks for the charts and market moves. You da blogson son.
You’re welcome.
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There is an old maxim which states “don’t fight the Fed”. In this case that equals central banks. It matters not that gold bugs as a group are a little on the crack-pot side, nor does it matter that gold has little use beyond looking pretty. What matters is that it is an asset class that is increasingly in demand by organizations that have a heck of a lot of money.
I have done very well on this move so far, took profits in the paper (but haven’t touched my BullionVault holdings) and will re-enter the paper near the 50 day (I hope).
I suggest everyone look at gold’s 2007-2008 run. What we have seen so far looks almost identical to the first leg of that run. After rising around 22% gold retraced about 10% to the 50 day and then broke out and climbed 25% further. Very similar numbers to 2009 – so far…
Also keep in mind that while DZZ looks attractive to some, all this market needs is s whiff of a rumor of central bank buying and a DZZ position will be a hot poker in the eye.
Indeud.
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I’m sorry, did the Fly moon his wife in a restaurant?
Porthos, mon ami!
Surely votre Français is better than that?
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ha!
how’d the poke-her go last night?
i’d be impressed if you have actually read Proust. your man crush on le fly is.. palpable
Well, I’m impressed you caught the reference, though I’d posit your sense of– and for– satire needs considerable honing.
Oh — and please try not to measure your own half bushel into someone else’s apple barrel TOO obviously, there, Mr. “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell.”
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loverly, well written vignette …. however, on to market matters … a limb took some wires down this am & lost power before open .. .elec just restored & I see I am swimming in red on AGQ purchase fm jesterday … so bought another 500 59.11 & will take another 500 somewhere around here .
Thanks… I’m not with. you on the AGQ kamikaze raid. however.
I don’t see a remotely safe buy here until $54.
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yes hoping to get out of this trade alive ….. and reload mid fitties ….. prolly not worth the effort 8)
Jake,
Why are you looking at 440 on HUI and how far do you think spot gold pulls back?
$440 was the 13 week moving average (see the blog post a couple back with the $HUI chart). Spot gold may go all the way to $1040, but I doubt it.
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Completely unrelated:
This site has some funny shit; also some awful, inappropriate, cynical, monstrous shit too; but some funny shit….
That’s gold, Jerry, GOLD!