iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

Entering High Sociedad

 Frank&Bing

What’s not to like when Fly and Henry Agree on Lithium?
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I actually worked this chart up on Sunday, but I didn’t think Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] was quite ready at the time.    Though not for the SQeaMish, this name is near-Jacksonian in character and ingredient (click for profile).

Being from South America, the land of “What Can I Nationalize Today?” is certainly a negative for SQM, but we can take some comfort in this company being located in the relatively free market country of Chile — Uncle Miltie’s playground, may his blessed soul rest with the angels. 

I like the play — and consider it quasi-Jacksonian — because it mingles the best of the agricultural boom aspects of my Jacksonian thesis (note: The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] remains my top performer, up over 114% since May 1st) and the latest crazy Fly, crazy Henry Foo’ and even crazy Ozzy J “lithium insanity” (no pun intended, though surely all three require ample lithium dosages for a “stable day.”)

I also like the chart.   I cautioned Fly last week in The PPT (why haven’t you signed up yet?) that SQM’s last peak high on 9/18 at $40.44 was right at itslong-term  61.8% retrace (which falls right around $40), and that it was likely we’d see a little more of a pullback than we had before it breaks back above that important fibonacci line.

Well, I think we got that on Thursday and Friday of last week with the dip down to $37.86, and then one more time this morning with a final scare-off to $38.59 .    The cautious among you may wish to wait for the final break above $40 for the “all clear” to enter here.

Certainly Prudence would approve.

I’m getting in right now.   Slange (sic)

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Quick explanation on the chart — the vertical lines are aligned with the same place on the RSI that the chart was as of last Friday.  As you can see, in some instances it continued down and in others it rebounded.  I thought it would rebound given similarities to other points on the chart, and it looks like it’s doing just that as of today. 

sqmdaily

Alert:  Buy all Jacksons on the dollar break of [[UUP]] — below $22.79.  I like [[EXK]] , [[BAA]] and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] again today.   Silvers should run too.   Slange (sic).

 

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9 comments

  1. JakeGint

    Bot 1k (Starter) SQM @ $39.07.

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    UUP @ $22.78

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  2. j

    and the latest crazy Fly, crazy Henry Foo’ and even crazy Ozzy J “lithium insanity” (no pun intended, though surely all three require ample lithium dosages for a “stable day.”)

    lol.

    You talked me into it. I bought a little more of this south Am hole in the ground after your talk up.

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    • mrkcbill

      ditto- SQM 39.17
      ditto- NGAS 2.41

      Jake ….would’ve invited you up to KC this weekend to watch your beloved Giants and fully take in the “Camarohead Experience”
      Being the distinguished gentleman you are, I thought you wouldn’t have any interest in watching a 5th exhibition game.
      If you are nutty enough to want to go…….. let me know and I’ll have VIP seats waiting for you. Hollah

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      • JakeGint

        Would love to go — KC is one of the few large cities in the US I have not yet been to, and you gotta respect any city with a Mafia heritage like that Vegas jump-off.

        However, leaving for a Giant game in a separate city during a “Kids Sports” season would have me explaining my annoying falsetto to clients for the rest of my life.

        Thanks for the offer, though!

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  3. JB

    Lithium sales makes up only about 7-8% of SQM’s total revenues. That ain’t much.

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  4. JB

    SQM news…wow, I must say this is one of the best “spins” on bad news I’ve ever seen! Rather than admitting that increased production combined with weak demand is forcing them to lower lithium prices by 20%…they make it sound as if they are cutting lithium prices for the good of all humanity! Pretty funny PR.

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