iBankCoin
Joined Nov 29, 2008
329 Blog Posts

H&S + Sym Tri’s on Indices / Sector Analysis

thunderbird1

Blood Angels Land Raider/Thunderhawk Gunship Assault

Let me reiterate something here. The head and shoulders pattern is only confirmed when the neckline is broken. The neckline is the last major support level that is keeping the chart intact, and it’s not broken, yet.

dshort

In addition, I see possible symmetrical triangles forming on the COMP and SPX. Keep an open mind to all of the possibilities that are present. If we consolidate long enough, and the pattern remains intact, then we might not even decline as much. I am waiting for further confirmation by either a H&S neck break, or continued neutral range-bound consolidation.

spx2m10d110bsspx6mcomp2m10d110bscomp6m

Here are the SPRD Select Sector ETFs. XLB, XLE, and XLI are forming descending wedges. XLV and XLU are still in ascending channels. XLK and XLP are forming symmetrical triangles. XLY is in a neutral range. XLF is still forming a large pennant.

xle2xlk1xlf1xlyxlu1xli1xlp1xlv1xlb1

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175 comments

  1. kchu

    MRNA up 21% pre-market, CA you are banking it if you still held that one.

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    • Juiceyfruit

      imo, thats a market maker suckers print .. they try to get all excited & then it trades down all day … my guess; big seller

      caveat – you never know .. but buyer beware!

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  2. The Chart Addict

    I do hold it, as I am holding everything else. I’m still listing swing trades, but I didn’t make any yesterday.

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  3. PissAnt

    MRNA was marked up 21% on 100 shares…. dont get your hope up kchu

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    • Juiceyfruit

      exactly … bs by mm’s … watch for sell down

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  4. frog65

    AEZS up, slightly, on pre-clinical data (mouse) for alcohol and perhaps food addiction treatment.
    http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/July2009/07/c4178.html

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    • frog65

      Sadly no excitement for this groundbreaking treatment for alcoholic mice. lol

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  5. valerie624

    anyone on XOMA.

    thank you

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  6. Kel

    Looking at XLB, XLE, and XLI it seems one could argue they are forming a H&S as well though the left shoulder is not as clean a formation as on the S&P.

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  7. retox

    Overnight ES short at the close from 894.75 hit PT at 891.75 +3

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  8. The Chart Addict

    Bought STSI $1.04

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  9. Zeratul

    TRIB btfo!

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  10. Zeratul

    PissAnt- think it’s possible ISRL will complete its double top today?

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  11. PissAnt

    Zeratul: I hope so, but i havent been posting trades but i’ve been shorting at 120, and covered at 115 several times since wednes of last week. I now cant get a borrow on the stock, so i’m hoping i can get back in on the short side.

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    • PissAnt

      Becareful, i think a lot of people might be getting short…. stock could rip higher on a short covering before the stock breaks

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      • Zeratul

        Noted, thanks for the warning PA. So far it’s still not an issue, because there aren’t any shares available lol.

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  12. sergeifreud

    SQNM going again

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  13. justin

    JAZZ b/o

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  14. venim

    CIT is breaking out.

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  15. PissAnt

    *STAR SAYS MOTION REQUESTS COURT TO SET ASIDE JUNE 16 VERDICT
    *STAR SCIENTIFIC SEEKS NEW TRIAL :STSI US

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  16. adam

    clne b/o

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  17. Ring

    STSI rocking….good for you CA…10% up

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  18. The Chart Addict

    STSI – the freebie for today. On your own now.

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  19. Juiceyfruit

    ATSG back to 2.69 seller

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  20. PissAnt

    ATSG poised again at 2.69…. looking to buy on the breakout

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  21. Hammy

    PAR bull flag b/o

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  22. sergeifreud

    at this rate AIG is going to need another reverse-split at the end of the month

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  23. sergeifreud

    MRGE recovered nicely – might go for hew highs

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  24. Hammy

    RT flat base up 7%, hasn’t broke out yet but watch it

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  25. Juiceyfruit

    watch CYCC for possible swing

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  26. Juiceyfruit

    CDII approaching trendline support 1.40 ish

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  27. PissAnt

    Long UNG for a quick trade, 12.50. Out if we break the lows.

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  28. sergeifreud

    XIDE spiki

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  29. The Chart Addict

    FYI – the cost of my live, in-person, 1-on-1 private program will be in the thousands. It will be the only training you will ever need. Trade exactly the way I do, and you’ll be set for life.

    If you have a preliminary interest in the program, e-mail me at: JCLee84 @ hotmail.com (no spaces).

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  30. justin

    ATSG b/o?

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  31. PissAnt

    ATSG broke out

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  32. Juiceyfruit

    CA … how many thousands?

    ATSG poking thru 2.69

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  33. sergeifreud

    ATSG making it’s move?

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  34. kchu

    ATSG is breaking out

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  35. The Chart Addict

    lol wow, everyone’s tracking ATSG.

    b/o = about fucking time.

    Exact cost is still being determined. I have to estimate expenses and such.

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  36. PissAnt

    hmmm, bailed on ATSG…. seeing the blog, everyone is long and about to dump the stock it feels like… .. ahhhhh!!!

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    • Juiceyfruit

      PA – don’t overthink it

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      • PissAnt

        if i miss this one, i’ll live… it doesnt seem like a true breakout, volume not convincing. But goodluck to all.

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  37. retox

    CL (Crude Oil) buy 62.75

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  38. Mike

    Hey boys and girls, take a look at BORL on the daily, one of the stranger patterns i’ve come across.

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    • The Chart Addict

      I mentioned several weeks ago that BORL could be the next SUMT. Indeed it was.

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    • PissAnt

      Not strange, there is a bidding war for BORL…. been multiple cash bids at different levels, starting a few months ago $1

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    • Zeratul

      That is one dull chart, lol. Strange indeed, think it will step ladder up to $5?

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  39. PissAnt

    Boys and Girls stay away from these companies who have buyouts… it’s plain gambling. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose… it’s not work!

    BORL is a good win if you get long a stock thats been bought out.

    CRGN has done nothing, HUN is a deal gone bust, HAR is a deal gone bad (2 year ago)….

    It’s simply not worth it

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    • Mike

      Ah, my curiosity is satisfied. Thanks for the info. (I wasnt going to buy it, I just thought you all might find it as interesting as I did)

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  40. retox

    CL sell 62.90 +.15
    bitch tried to take my fish.

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  41. Kman

    I hate when someone tries taking my fish.

    CA – You like FCX on the daily?

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  42. Cash-N-Guns

    Yippeee. another Ponzi scheme uncovered..just blow up the fucking SEC building now..start from scratch. People who steal are the scum of the earth….we should just hang them in front of Starbucks..

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  43. retox

    Most beautifulest chart of the day goes to ZB – 30 yr bonds

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  44. Jumbo

    Just noticed they got rid of the fast money chart music. Can’t say that I miss it.

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  45. retox

    Kman,

    The tells on FCX are HG (copper futures) & GC (gold futures) or GLD – the ascending triangle
    set-ups for copper & gold were much cleaner – and both just had VERY nice moves.

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    • Kman

      Thanks Retox. FCX just had a nice move off 45.15 (ish). I should of clarified I was looking at a 5 month daily chart.

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      • Kman

        And obviously as a short setu w/ a break below 45. Anyway, thanks.

        Back to my real job. The market needs a bounce or we revisit the low 800’s in my very humble opinion.

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      • retox

        ahh, I’m mostly on 1 minute charts – almost all of my trades are scalps.

        That was a killer set-up for FCX though if you were watching the underlyings. The GC trade would have been ~$500 per contract if you nailed the exit.

        That’s why I love futures – there is always a great set-up somewhere.

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  46. venim

    AA B/O

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  47. Milan237

    UNG halted

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    • retox

      news pending…

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      • Milan237

        UNG US Natural Gas ETF discloses it will temporarily suspend the issuance of additional Creation Baskets until the SEC declares effective the registration statement on Form S-3 (12.63 +0.07) -Update- Co discloses that on July 6, 2009, it announced that only 32.1 mln of its units registered with the SEC were available for purchase by UNG’s Authorized Purchasers. As stated in its current prospectus, UNG creates and redeems units in blocks of 100k units called “Creation Baskets” and “Redemption Baskets,” respectively. Only Authorized Purchasers may purchase or redeem Creation Baskets or Redemption Baskets. As of July 7, 2009, UNG issued all of the remaining outstanding units to its Authorized Purchasers. As a result of these issuances, UNG will temporarily suspend the issuance of additional Creation Baskets until the SEC declares effective the registration statement on Form S-3 which was initially filed on June 5, 2009 and registers an additional 1 bln units. This registration statement is currently subject to review and comment by the SEC, the Financial Regulatory Industry Association and the National Futures Association. The suspension of the issuance of Creation Baskets has no effect on the ability of Authorized Purchasers to redeem baskets of units. (currently halted)

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        • retox

          UNG is a “too big to fail” mess waiting to happen.

          It would be like FAS owning 80% of all bank stock floats.

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          • Milan237

            Agree way to much fuckery to behold for me to deal with in addition to all the other shit we face trading daily. I exited that trade fortunately on top and will not be dragged back into it.

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            • retox

              UNG:

              …controls about 78% of ALL nat gas trading activity…
              …(they have) no experience dealing with / unwinding / rolling positions like this (this size)…
              …no one entity has ever controlled this much of any futures contract…

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            • venim

              UNG is trading again

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              • retox

                The UNG trade halt (not the actual news – just the halt) caused a sell-off in nat gas futures equal to about a $1200 loss per NG contract held.

                That is so fucking backwards…

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  48. PissAnt

    BOOOYAAHHH! Sold UNG @ 12.56 on the open after the halt. So freaking lucky!

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  49. purdy

    long CENX at 5.51

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  50. Kman

    ICE!

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  51. retox

    testing 200 day again…

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  52. Milan237

    Broke the support … yippie
    !

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    • retox

      Gave it up like my friend’s sister – not the cute one – the one with one leg shorter than the other.

      <879 SPX would be the real kick in the crotch.

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  53. The Chart Addict

    Neckline is broken

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    • retox

      still lots of support (congestion) for the next few points no?

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  54. Mike

    VICL unusual volume 1 min

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    • Mike

      Don’t think we’re getting back over the 200 day MA (SPX) so I’m selling out of the small position I took at 2.70

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  55. retox

    Bond uptrend & Euro/USD downtrend getting tired – may be good for the market – or just confusion/hesitation

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  56. retox

    a move back over 200 day and I’m long Euro, short 30 yr, long ES… all 3 are setting up nicly

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  57. The Chart Addict

    100% cash. -1.7% for the day. I’ll be busy this entire week.

    Still up slightly over 200% YTD. I won’t give that up.

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  58. Kman

    Sh*t hits the fan and RICK is in BO mode.

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  59. retox

    ES – gotta get a bounce here

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  60. Zeratul

    Rifin broke 600 again, feels like we’re gravitating towards something unpleasant.

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  61. frog65

    Out LVLT 1.39 (1.54)
    Out CNXT 1.19 (1.39)
    Ouch. Fools rush in–apt phrase for me today.

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  62. retox

    going long a little ES overnight

    877 entry
    879 PT
    no stop

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  63. retox

    Long Euro futures 1.3912
    stop at 1.3894
    PT 1.3937

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  64. The Chart Addict

    U guys remember that Josh kid? He’s long now, since Sunday (/ES). lol…wow

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  65. franky

    i think financials are ripe for a tank and thinking of buying FAZ after hours. does anybody think URE and ERX will bounce in the morrow? buy now and sell in the morning?

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  66. retox

    ES hit PT above +2

    boring…

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    • Mike

      How much %wise are you pulling in on ES daily? Seems every 20 mins you’re posting another +1.5, +1, +2

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      • retox

        Mike,

        I’ll probably catch shit for it but I don’t really watch my % moves every day. I have other long-term investments and this is really an income account so my goals are $ per week.

        I don’t only trade ES but I’ve been calling those because the set-ups are frequent and most are used to watching the SPX anyway. The point is that what CA teaches can be applied to futures, forex, etc. I will probably be calling them less and less because I don’t want to shit the joint up too much. I think the points been made…

        This week – today especially has been great – ZB (30 year bonds) had killer set-ups, the Euro (6E)
        was awesome all day – look at the 5 minute chart H&S on the day. I’ve been watching CL (crude oil) lately and i’ve had some nice profits there. Gold & copper are usually on my list but I missed really nice set-ups there today – oh well.

        I, for one, would like to see more futures on IBC but, in the end, it’s all just numbers moving around anyway so we’re in the same boat no matter what. A flag is a flag and a triangle is a triangle.

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  67. Schismatic

    Classic CA right here: We’re in the midst of a market shit storm and 10 min before the bell on twitter he says — “Any end of day charting requests? Let me know.”

    True baller.

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  68. PissAnt

    Ring – Hope you got out of YGE, i just took a look at this thing… they’ve gotten HOMO-HAMMERED! It was 13.80 on Jun 30th.

    June 30th post: “Ring – i see why you say YGE looks good for you. But it is currently vulnerable in my opinion. You should take a look at the USO, double top? If so and oil falls for the next few days, you’ll be hammered in all the alternative energy plays.”

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    • Gio

      I’m up about 25% on YGE short . Sell on the news for a few weeks now.

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      • PissAnt

        Gio – Wish i could say the same, cant get a borrow on any of these crappy solar names.

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        • Gio

          Right now it’s hard, that’s why I’m hesitating to cover, cuz I know I’ll have trouble getting back in. There are shares in FSLR and SPWRA but that’s a little tougher. Did you try CSIQ, SOL?

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  69. PissAnt

    Ouch NEXM down 55% in afterhours…. take cover!

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  70. Teahouse on the Tracks
    Teahouse on the Tracks

    CA, how bout MFC, EXH, FCS, SQNM, BDSI, TIE, PVA, WLL & IVN?

    I’ll ck stocktwits for your response .. thanks, hope I’m not too late.

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    • The Chart Addict

      you are too late.

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      • Teahouse on the Tracks
        Teahouse on the Tracks

        Thanks for the response …. just found you at stocktwits and wasn’t a member so I thought I’d try to catch you here at home … I’ll try again if I catch you before last call … meanwhile, have a triple GG on me!

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        • The Chart Addict

          I’m just fucking with you.

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          • Teahouse on the Tracks
            Teahouse on the Tracks

            Fair enough … Thanks for your analysis, always helps to have an extra set of eyes.

            BDSI is awaiting a delayed FDA decision of a NDA. News is expected between 6/22 and 7/13 – we are getting down to the nitty gritty here so this is one to watch despite looking “finished” per the chart.

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  71. The Chart Addict

    Won’t be trading today. I got shit to do.

    At a minimum, expect inside doji day.

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  72. FLOWER

    Watching LVLT

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  73. PissAnt

    ISRL on fire!… just called no borrow available, fail to deliver securities all over the street. Shorts are going to be forced to cover at any price. Hope i didnt get you guys caught up in this one. Sorry!

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  74. FLOWER

    MVIS. GETS 1 MLN CONTRACT

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  75. dtrader

    NVGN, MSHL – secret sauce

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  76. nascrack

    the nascrack it back, bitches. nascrack.com

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  77. frog65

    Keeping eye on AHD, IO, HW

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  78. Docsparks

    My watch list for the day is bupkis except PLAB, but I didn’t have the stomach for that one so I missed out. That plus what I’m seeing in the indexes + the fact I don’t know enough to short (yet) means my pile ‘o cash from last week continues patiently on the sidelines and I’m going to play rather than stress.

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    • retox

      Doc,

      if you aren’t trading today, paper trade /CL, /ES, /6E (watch for short and long set-ups) for a few hours – it will make you better and faster at trading chart patterns.

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      • Mike

        I’ve been doing this for the past two days after watching your string of successes. lol (there goes ES eek)

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  79. retox

    ES – no bounce here would be bad

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  80. The Chart Addict

    WALKING INTO A SHIT STORM – PUT YOUR GOGGLES ON

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  81. frog65

    Agreed. Watching SRS (22.50 -23.) here which has been a very reliable trade for me in the past.
    Has been here 2X before, will have to wait for a pullback. I’ve had enough failed break outs lately.

    Would love to be trading futures again. Would have to renew my prescription for propranalol (beta blocker)
    lol!

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  82. retox

    short Euro, ES, & crude

    long 30 yr bonds

    criminal gains and I’m only taking small chunks out of these moves
    the risk trade is O-V-E-R

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  83. Docsparks

    Retox – I should be doing much more of that and plan to if I can ever get rid of some of my deadlines this summer. I’m inclined to test a bit of SMN since commodities are really the only index besides AG not below the 200 day, I can’t see any reason why it should be spared a further flaying.

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  84. Docsparks

    Went ahead and committed a half position to SMN. We’ll see, maybe it’s the month of rain here in Maine, but just doesn’t feel like there’s a bounce in the air today.

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    • frog65

      Doc,

      I’m in Maine, too. I think we’ve broke the record set in 1900 or so for continual rain /clouds.
      We are all getting pretty squirrelly.

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  85. The Chart Addict

    875 major support

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    • retox

      Crude should catch support here & at 59.70 especially with 6E (Euro/USD) hitting 50 DMA and 1.3800. not taking many more short set-ups in these today.

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  86. PissAnt

    Who told me not to worry about ATSG and i’m missing the big picture yesterday afternoon?

    Juiceyfruit… come on man

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  87. PissAnt

    EUR/JPY is fucking collapsing, just broke from 131.30 to 129 over the past 1 hour.

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  88. retox

    watching ES & ZB walk their trend lines – gives good entries for quick scalps with tightly defined stops

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  89. PissAnt

    geez 127 now EURJPY…. everybody fleeing to safety

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  90. retox

    …should be looking for defensive stocks in b/o patterns

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  91. frog65

    SRS still waiting for a pullback lol

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  92. retox

    ZB – BTFO
    6E – BTFO

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  93. nerdy

    Looking at $LSI on the weekly. Thoughts?

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  94. nerdy

    Whats up With $BEE ? 4M shares at 12:50? Or is that a glitch?

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  95. Teahouse on the Tracks
    Teahouse on the Tracks

    GY consolidating after a nice move up the last day or two but has room for much more upside coming off a double bottom, positive earnings report and challenging the 50 …. yes I do own it for my LT account.

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  96. retox

    ACCL worth watching to see how this resolves…

    been riding the 20 day for almost 4 months – sitting right on it now – should provide support for an entry with a good stop.

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  97. retox

    Euro drops now

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  98. frog65

    Love AHD chart.

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  99. retox

    okay, bate taken – adding a little ACCL right here with a PT @ 5.90 & a stop @ 5.59 for today – will walk the stop up daily just below the trend line on the day chart in case it breaks down instead of up.

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  100. retox

    thank you GS bots!

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  101. JP

    Bought USO at 32.57 and DZO 22.25 for a quick bounce. USO fallen too hard and fast, s-t bounce at trend line.

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  102. JP

    correction above – dzz

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