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Word from the Oubliette

hole 

The word from down here in the midst of my cold, damp and mutton-bone strewn hole is “chastened.”

I’m just going to leave up yesterday’s boast  — with it’s eyebrow-arching results red with glory –as a lesson to me about hubris in the face of Mother Market.  

She holds a ruler, you know, and it’s forged from annealed titanium.  

I’ve got the scars to prove it.

That said, I’m happy that some of my correspondents got to participate in some of this fear trade today with the added bonus of a fat discount from yesterday’s prices.   I’m thinking specifically of IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , [[CDE]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] which were all bludgeoned yesterday and which I believe have now become nice opportunities here, especially on the bounce trade that will come in at some point tomorrow morning.

So wait til the afternoon, or a sell-off in the dollar, whichever comes first.

Enjoy these key bargains, whilst I gnaw (with satisfaction) on one of these stringy gristle-bones with which my carbuncle-encrusted gaolers (sic) have  pelted me.

I am ever so grateful.

Slange* (sic).
_______________________
*(Do not be fooled, it’s an Irish oubliette)

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In a Metal Mood (Say No More)

PAtBoone

(Ain’t talkin’ ’bout love!)

Ultra Silver Pro Shares [[AGQ]]

Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]]

Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]]

Banro Corp. [[BAA]]

 

(My Love is rotten to the core…)

Citigroup Inc. [[C]]

 

(Ain’t talkin’ ’bout love……)

Coeur d’ Alene Mining Co. [[CDE]]

Powershares Double Silver ETN  [[DBS]]

Powershares Double Gold Long ETN [[DGP]]

Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]]

Corriente Resources Inc.  [[ETQ]]

Endeavour Silver Co. [[EXK]]

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF [[GDX]]

 

(Just like ah told you be-foah, be-foah, be-foah!)

Gold Fields Limited (ADR) [[GFI]]

SPDR Gold Shares [[GLD]]

Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]]

Hecla Mining Company [[HL]]

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]]

NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]]

New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]]

 

(Hey! Hey! Hey!)

Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]]

Pan American Silver Corp. [[PAAS]]

Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]]

Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]]

Seabridge Gold, Inc. (USA) [[SA]]

 

(Hey! Hey! Hey!)

iShares Silver Trust  [[SLV]]

Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]]

Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]]

Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]]

Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]]

 

(Ain’t talkin’ ’bout love……)

(Ain’t talkin’ ’bout love……)

(Ain’t talkin’ ’bout love!!!)

(fade out)

___________________

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOkZ2zhCx5I 450 300]

Aside — if you weren’t such a piker, you’d join The PPT and catch me pounding out these winners like freshly minted doubloons on a daily basis…. tsk! tsk!

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One to the Kisser

shamwhap

Don’t let anyone ever tell you bear markets are tough. At least bears are conditioned for rapid snap-backs and so set tight stops and get the heck out of Dodge when the inevitable reversals come.

But try trading a true, secular bull if you want some real whiplash action. The older these things get, the more ornery and difficult to ride.

Take for instance the gold and silver plays we’ve visited in the last week. You wouldn’t know you were in the midst of a nine-year secular bull with the wall of worry we’ve been climbing since our original early month break over $1,000 in POG.

And yet, despite the pullback under $1,000, there’s no question we are still in a strong bull in the precious metals, and the dollar is still in a death spiral, despite it’s launch today. Still, I lightened on some leverage today, as a result of [[SLV]] dropping below it’s long term 61.8% fib at $16.04. Specifically, I got rid of the 40 $9 strike December Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] calls I’d bought a few days earlier. I’m not sure silver will stay under $16 here, but prudence forced my hand on this one.

For that, I’ll never forgive Prudence.

Still loaded to the gills on the precious plays, and gold looks like it’s remaining close to the $1,000 mark even as the price of silver plunges down near $16, a significant level, I believe, as that makes gold over 62x the price of silver. That can’t last in this market.

I am going to continue to sit on my hands as I’ve been doing, and work the margins for the most part. If you feel you must trade, I’d focus on the more volatile plays, like IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] which will likely experience a pretty frightening bounce here in the next two or so days.

For Prudence and her crew, I like [[GDX]] , which may drop all the way to $42.50 here first. I also will look to accumulate Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] — my superstar– if it gets any cheaper. This is a great place to start on RGLD as well, if you have not yet had the chance. [[CDE]] will also bounce hard, when it finally decides to do so.

Patience.

That’s all for now… more tomorrow in the comments section.

________________________

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Arise! Sir Loin of Beef…

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Qtgm5g5Gyo 450 300]

Fly Takes on the Mustachio’d Bearshitters via Liberal Use of The PPT Hammer

____________________________________________

Here’s the full vid, if you’re interested.   I tried to isolate the part where Bugs sells the King’s garden property to the Sheriff of Nottingham (pictured above), but couldn’t find that select clip. 

 I thought the Sherriff’s self-head hammering in that scene (about 4:00 or so in the full ‘toon) a particularly apt metaphor for the ursine intransigients, but I guess the scepter-malleting depicted above will have to serve as an able “second best.”  

He is making the Sheriff a “KNIGHT” after all, right?

Too unsubtle?  Pity. 

_________________

More of the same wanton winning today, even as my activities in The PPT were relegated mostly to assembling one single ginormous call position in [[GDX]] .  

 I sought “deep-in-the-money” leverage here, purchasing the December 39’s and 40’s at $8.60 and $7.90 respectively.   I had to buy both at the ask, which I don’t like to do, usually.  However, I was unsuccessful with limit orders at lower prices, and did not want to wait another day, as I think GDX could launch again at any time.

I expect to hold these calls til near Turkey-Day, for what it’s worth.   I may shave some exposure if we have a large run-up earlier than I expect.

In other news, the “Killer Bee’s”  [[BAA]] and Beazer Homes USA, Inc. [[BZH]] continued to mint coin for myself and my compatriots in the bullion vaults of The PPT.      That’s just one letter of the alphabet in double digits…  I’ve another 25 in here ready to roll.

It’s been that kind of day in The PPT Wintocracy.  

 I continue to like IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , [[CDE]] and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] for accumulation purposes here.

Tomorrow, I look at an interesting metal play starting with “A” — I think you’ll be intrigued.  

Until then, Slange (sic), and out.

___________________

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Is it Safe??

MarathonMan

Did you take some action today? Were you nimble? Were you quick?

I’ll have you know today I, “Jack,” jumped many a candlestick, whilst running away from ex-Nazi dentists with maddeningly persistent, OSHA-oriented questions.

Did you?

I’m not going to mess around posting a bunch of charts, mostly as so many of them look the same with their one day reversal candles… but I’m going to say it here and leave it up to challenge. Today was a gift from the PM stock gods.

You see, today was the day “they” — the Operators — were going to shake the tree on all the trepeditious weak hands in the PM sector.  They were going to drive gold below $1,000 and then knock you over the head with a sockful of nickles to see how many positions you’d drop onto the ground for them to Hoover up.

And they were successful — to a point.  They were able to force gold below the $1k surface for a little more than two hours of trading this morning (NYSE hours) before, like a dirty beach ball in the Coney Island medical wash, it broke out above the waves again and headed higher. As I type (11:15 pm), POG is almost $1008 again, and POS is approaching $17. I’m betting we see more recovery tomorrow.

The same thing that happened to physical gold and silver happened across the precious metal mining sector. Very rare was the singular breakout like our previously recommended Corriente Resources Inc. [[ETQ]] , “the Latina Beauty.”

No, most of our names offered instead outstanding opportunities to buy at deep discounts today.  Just pull the chart on any Jacksonian or other oft-mentioned PM name and note the reversal dojis as they roared to recovery, some all the way to the green.

And yes I took advantage, though I announced only to The PPT today, as I mentioned I would. And no, I don’t mean to torture you like Sir Laurence Olivier with a rusty dental drill, but… well…

You see, I think we are in trading this Fall in very opportune times, and I want to make sure the people kind enough to keep this worthy site going “in custom” as it were, are rewarded with first dibs on choice observations.

So please don’t think me unkind, but rather, think of me as merely giving you yet another incentive– by way of whirring dental drill– to at least take a peek at The PPT…  for your own “toothsome good,” as it were.

Here’s an (edited) log of my announcements on The PPT‘s famed User Notes today:

10:30 & 11:15 am— Bot 15k shares [[CVM]] @ 1.90 (blended)

11:03 am— Bot 40 Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] December $9 strike calls @3.60, (SLW @ $12.12)

11:45 am — Bot 1k more [[PAAS]] @ $22.84

11:51 am — announced “POG back over $1,000 oz. again, if you blinked you missed it.”

12:02 pm — announced a potential new flag break formation on Beazer Homes USA, Inc. [[BZH]] .

1:07 pm — Bot another 2k of BZH @ $5.75 (limit order placed at 12:10 filled)

1:22 pm — Took advantage of the huge discount in IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] and added another 2k @ $13.66 right as it bounced off the upward sloping trendline.

1:36 pm — pointed out the (then 12%) breakout in Corriente Resources Inc. [[ETQ]] .

In addition, after the above purchases, I also gave a “preview” on three potential plays that I think are setting up, maybe as soon as tomorrow. And remember, this is the kind of thing that is happening every day on The PPT, and not just with my picks, but with trades, observations and analyses of every serious trader involved on these pages and elsewhere.

As a result, we’ve become near-Homeric in our collective winship. Grab an oar if you like, we’re off to Troy again tomorrow.

Slange (sic).

____________

Makeup bonus:  Just to prove I’m not an over-secretive ogre, I’ll divulge a non-PM tasty I’ve been eyeing.  Take a look at ANADIGICS, Inc. [[ANAD]] on a pullback to $4.75-.80 here.  I think it’s going places. Best to you.

_________

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Don’t Get Too Cocky…

After all, this is why we are socking away wins for a rainy day:

deficit

So yeah, the Jacksons (up a collective 36.5% since May 1st as of today’s close) may be doing egregious “loaves and fishes” type miracles with your cash pile, but let’s keep our nose to the grindstone, as you’ll need that dough when a ham on rye, hold the mustard sets you back $36.25.

Remember we are all about dollar destruction here.   Take a look at that chart and ask yourself if the Congress and the Fed are going to support that kind of spending (not to mention the huge Medicare and Soc Sec liabilities) via the good old fashioned “belt tightening” of increased taxation and spending cuts?  

As they say in Texas, “No, hail no.”

So let’s be opportunistic and remember that there will be pullbacks in these metals, but that we need to manage our positions to maximize cash flow in this critical period.   For me that means selling calls at critical junctures, and even trimming the sails to raise cash from time to time.  If I’m reading things right, however, you are in for a bumpy, but enjoyable continuing ride here.

Keep in mind Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] has broken to new highs yet again, and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] remains a favourite pick.   I may take some leverage (ie, bot calls) off the table in Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] soon, as it’s run faster than it’s brother silvers by far, with over 66.8% returns since May 1st inception, while [[PAAS]] and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] are only at 43.5% and 29.2% respectively.   I think SSRI especially will gain from here. 

On the junior level [[EXK]] continues to be a junior trooper, and I continue with a leveraged position in [[CDE]] as well, because of the acute lack of overhead.  I also own Hecla Mining Company [[HL]]

On the gold side, IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] remains the monster of the pack, with 85.8% returns since inception, but I’d look for a pullback here before jumping in.   Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] still look like they can pack punch here, however, so keep an eye out on them and yesterday’s mention Gold Fields Limited (ADR) [[GFI]] .  

 Last, non-PM Monsanto Company [[MON]] grabbed back some ground today but continues to be undervalue in the Jacksonian sphere.   Still a “grandkids pick.”   The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] –up over 106.5%  since Jackson inception — is still our leader, and looking for $39 as it’s next “achievment.”

I’ll have more tomorrow, but let’s shut it down with a veritable classic from my youth.   Share it with a favored son of daughter, and it’s likely they’ll never forget it:

  [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7tQVEEPWv0 450 300]

Slange.

__________________

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