[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dzpTFQR0Tg&feature=related 450 300]

Whatever happened to gay rap anyway?

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Today was kind of interesting, no? False alarm breakouts all over, and almost none of them held…

Save for the PM miners of course. Sort of like a… a… PM Dawn, no? I took my cue off the Baby $HUI earlier today, as it had gracefully touched the bottom of it’s trading channel and then sprung up like a coked out stallion loose in the mare barn.  True, it sold off some at the end of the day after that initial hop up.. but I still like the pin action.  Note:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Despite the long wick in that last candle, I like how there’s still lots of room to run on the RSI and the other stochs.   This puts me in the mind that we are seeing a genuine handle breakout here.   On this action, I doubled up on my XRA and BAA positions, as noted in The PPT today, right before lunch.  I also added to EXK, AG, GDXJ and SIL.   I even bought some more RGLD, just to add to that pile.

Some other nice movers today that I own, but did not add too (much to my chagrin) included AXU, ANV, AUQ, AUY,GSS, NUGT, IAG, NXG, etc.  Keep an eye on these for further developments tomorrow.

As I type, the dollar is below $77, Gold is well over $1,810 and silver is over $40, indicating the $HUI is steering us in the right direction.   Enjoy tomorrow, as I will be “road-bound” again, and checking in from remote airport locations & scruffy hotel bar rooms.

My best to you all.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X43ZyUGOPyw&feature=related 450 300]

The Greatest New Wave Hit Ever to Prominently Employ an Accordian

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Aside from that fantastic musical interlude, as written, played and sung by musical prodigy Matt Johnson of The The (no, really, that was the band’s name), who later in life went on to shave his head and post semi-lucid conspiracy rants on the internets.  And no, I kid you not– it’s kinda sad actually.   I won’t link his blog, as you’ve seen it all before.

On the trading scene, I’ve got very little to add tonight.   We only need see this dollar issue resolve.  If we are in a bull flag situation, we should quickly spurt above $78.1o on the DX-Y, and then we are “clean” out of all PM’s and miners.  I will continue to keep my Skiffles (SKF) as I believe that will be keeping me somewhat warm throughout the Mort Kondracky Winter.  A break of that $78.10 number on the dollar will actually induce me to store away more Skiffles as I await massive bank death via the whirling blades of European currency demise.

For the love of Ticonderoga pencils under $35/ a piece, please do not get shaken out too early.   I assure you it will be worth the $1 or so move on the dollar index to make sure you are not being head-faked here… again.  Whatever does happen, however, you should not head out to the moors seeking the Werewolf’s curse, or go down to your local discotheque seeking mad mad passionate love from Big Baby Glenn Rice.  Let’s keep things in perspective and ride this puppy together.

Best to you all.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u9LcKcXpCDE&feature=related 450 300]

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Not to be overBEARing, but it looks like the US Banquing sector is going to have a rough time of it in the next couple of days.  Why not take advantage of that turmoil by setting aside some silver and gold for your posterity?

Besides, who wouldn’t want to kick “JP Morgue” in the teeth by buying silver, or so the old wives tell it?
I’m not going to tell you to do anything I wouldn’t do, so I’m not imploring you to go out and swamp your local numismatic dealer with pleas for hard bullion and coin.  I think this should be a part of your overall portfolio, but I think there are adequate substitutes still available under our current very liquid market system.   Unlike our fellows above, I don’t believe SLV and GLD are “false flag” operations designed to trick one out of one’s natural incentive to purchase physical.

I could be incredibly naive, but I trust the current rule of law enough to believe the audits of these depositories are valid.  Why?  Because the idea is too much of a moneymaker to allow it to be waylaid by a lack of credibility.  Both SLV’s iShares and State Street (GLD‘s parent) have too much invested in barriers to entry here to screw up a good thing with a fraudulent audit.   I like to use Occum’s Razor when analyzing these situations, and in this case, the easiest path to big money is to establish a creditable physical substitute.  Why screw w. that?

As you know, I also believe that another liquid path to trading gains is in the highly leveraged miners.  I don’t have to remind you that the most highly leveraged vehicles in that sector are the royalty financiers to those miners — namely RGLD and SLW of gold and silver concentration respectively.

After that there are many names, but if you want to act quickly, you are best throwing dough at GDX, GDXJ and SIL, which are the large cap gold, small cap gold and silver miner ETF’s, respectively.   I point you to these names because liquidity will be king here, and there will be volatility on top of volatility in the coming weeks.

Be ready to snatch opportunity with these vehicles and yes, by shorting the banks as opportunistically as possible through SKF, and even FAZ if you dare.  Remember to keep an extremely tight leash on both, however, for they will turn and snatch out your gizzard in the blink of an unsuspecting eye.

Best to you all.

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There is no Bernank, Only Zuul

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I don’t have a lot of time this morning, so I’m just going to feature the chart I put together last night.   As you know, I’m increasingly bearish here, and more so on the financial sector than any other, primarily because they are — like our internal deficit and debt problems — another can that has been kicked down the road.

Back in 2008, when the world was melting into a hardened polystyrene ball thanks to the implosion of the easy money real estate bubble, banks were allowed to escape (some just barely) thanks to the ministrations of the Fisc and the Fed via TARP and other more nefarious and clandestine sources.   Worse, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the twin dogs of Zuul the Destroyer, were allowed to remain in their positions of power “for the good of the market.”

In other words, little was done in regard to true reform save “shoring up” for “the good of the industry and the economy.”    Bad mortage loans are still on many books, and real estate prices have been frozen in a glacial slide to the sea, rather than being allowed to correct in a more natural — if radical — manner.

Ironically, it is not those mortgage time bombs which will kill the banks in the immediate term, as the “propping up” methodologies of Congress, The POTUS and the Fed are actually hurting the taxpayer while assisting lame banks.  No, it will be the regulatory overkill administered in the fecal kludge which is Dodd-Frank Reform Bill, also known as “the second 2,000+ page bill that no one read before voting through.”

To give the Congresscritter some defense however, we can’t blame them for the criminal act of not reading the bill, since there were hundreds of pages of regulations YET TO BE WRITTEN found within its pages.  In my opinion, this is the far more egregious and unconstitutional sin.   In the case of signing a law that carried unknown legislative directives in it, Congress is yielding it’s power to an unelected alphabet soup of Federal financial bureaucracy.

Banks are just now beginning to “implement” some of the new regs.  You are already familiar with the loss of revenue due to debit card restrictions, but there are other capital and revenue limiting aspects which will also affect banks both large and small.

Ultimately, this will likely lead to another round of consolidation,which is what the cronies in Congress would like, as they loathe competition and it’s messy donation collection implications.   Until then, banks will be a mess, and I would steer well clear of them.   If you are adventurous like me, you might even take an interest in their downfall:

As you know, I added to my SKiFfles the other day, along with a position in TZA and more TBT (which remains a hair shirt).   What you don’t know, unless you are a member of The PPT was that I also loaded up on EXK, GDXJ and AG calls yesterday afternoon.

Yet another reason to look into a subscription for The PPT as soon as possible.  My best to you all.

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I made good on my threats today, and took everything down to the 30% level on my personal accounts. 

I was up an average of almost 5% across a number of different portfolios and I finally said “enough is enough.”   I am keeping 30% invested, with the equal expectation that we could hit a precipitous downdraft in the precious metal sector at any time, just as we could shoot past $2,000 gold in an eye-blink.  

I care no more, as at this point risk avoidance has become very important to me.  If that means I miss the next $200 in gold on 70% of my portfolio, well so be it.   It’s very possible we could see a break past $50 in silver as well, and again, I’ll have no nonsense from any of you about it.   Really, I mean it.  Just shut up now.

And yes, that means I sold large chunks of AAU, AG, AUY, ANV, EGO, EXK, GDX, GDXJ, GG, MVG, NG, NGD, NXG, PAAS, RGLD, SIL and even beloved SLW.

And I blew out the rest of my NUGT as well.

And no, I am not abandoning the PM’s as a theme now, and won’t abandon them should they continue to skyrocket in flight to many more afternoon delights this late summer.   I am willing to wait for them, however, and to examine “other areas” whilst they frolic about like mad sturgeon on lady’s night at the Aquarium.

One of those “other areas” includes my old friend, Mr. Skiffles — SKF.  Along with his rebrobrate alchoholic brother, FAZ-tard, I believe Mr. Skiffles will be getting some nice exercise this second half of the year.  One of the reasons is the behavior of BAC, and now, most recently, the troubles of GS, and it’s Waspy rival MS.  

Another is the critical structural problems of Europe erupting again like plague boils on the carcass of its major banks.  This is a contagion that may yet again bolt across the Atlantic and may even explain the impolite selling vigor in some of our larger institutions.  Will the Fed be there to save their lying souls once again? 

Too big to fail, you say?   Maybe, but while “fail” might rhyme with “bail,” I wouldn’t be too sure equity holders won’t be left holding an empty bucket this time around.  Be warned, friends, storms approach.

Peace be upon you.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSYtQy9EqTA 450 300] (Highly Recommend the movie, “Snatch,” by the way)
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Stuff has gotten a bit frothmatic here, and that means I will likely be taking some more off the table. I sold 70% of my SLW calls on Thursday and Friday of last week, and more than 50% of my GDXJ calls as well. I didn’t touch my IAG calls or my WNR calls, and I will let those two ride a few more days.  But all in all, I will be reducing leverage (options) here, rather than increasing.

Silver has gone ham in a way that makes all sane pigs quake with fear for their hocks.  Will this parabolic pole-vaulting continue?  Oh yes, it will, be assured.

But not without massive, gut-wrenching pullbacks that will have you alternatively cursing your mother and calling out for her like a stoat suckling, lost in the Deep Wood.  The key here will be staying porcine without losing your belly to the Bacon Merchants of Chicago.   Always remember, young chitlins — Oscar Meyer has no friends, despite his great wealth.

What’s still viable?  It’s questionable this week, as the profits will have to be snatched and then held close like a small hamster family you found in a rain storm.  I will be harvesting some AGQ here, for sure.   I will take from my other various silver nest eggs, and convert some of them (but not so much) into hideous useless “green paper,” for a short period.  

Some still harbor promise, however, and for the bold, I offer my EGO for your approval.  Note on on this weekly chart, we’ve achieved the triangle break we’ve been seeking… however so slightly:

Not impressed with that seemingly slight break?  Let’s look at it on the daily, then…

There, that’s better, no?  Truthfully, I don’t know what this sucker is going to do.  There are a lot of nice gold stocks that look like they are going to move this week, but I can’t help but feel like we are playing on borrowed time right now.   Play if you like, but be ready to take some off so we have plenty of cash for the next round of C-wave highlights.

We are not done here, ladies and gents, but the road will be bumpy before it gets like it was last week again.   Keep some crappy green lettuce ready for that event.

Slainte.

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