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The General Still Riding High

jackson horsed 

Not to get overly full of it (hah! me?), but the Jacksons are close to annual highs again.   What’s interesting is that most of the recent runup last week occurred on Friday, when the dollar took a significant downturn.   Now whether or not this is going to be a headfake or not should be apparent very quickly, I believe.

The only thing that gives me some pause is the [[TLT]] runup here.  I just can’t believe that lower discount won’t get a snapback here soon, and with it another pullback in the market.  Right now I continue to believe the  [[UUP]] will continue to weaken and $USD will head to its lows of $71 again.   

No need to mention, if the dollar does continue it’s retrace to the lows, the Jacksons and the other precious metals will continue to soar here.  As usual, I like the silvers, but of the non-Jacksons, Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] is the “most ready,” and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , [[BAA]] , and Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] look tastiest on the gold junior side.

Happy hunting this week. 
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Name/   %   %   Portfolio Portfolio     
Ticker 24-Jul Change 31-Jul Change   Value Impact   Comments
ANDE  $       30.99    $      32.22 3.97%    $       9,728 0.23%   Over $32 new highs!  Bounced off 20-day
EGO             9.27            10.00 7.87%    $       9,370 0.44%   Huge day on Friday, should cont.
GDX           39.90            39.77 -0.34%    $     12,035 -0.02%   Another big hop on Friday.
GLD           93.41            93.35 -0.06%    $     10,736 0.00%   Lifting off  20 and 50 day here.
IAG           11.11            10.56 -4.95%    $     13,021 -0.39%   Also lifting off 20 & 50 day.
MON           84.16            84.00 -0.19%    $     13,327 -0.02%   Over 200 day still.
NRP           23.00            23.45 1.96%    $       4,867 0.06%   200 day @ 23.70, bo @ $24
PAAS           19.68            19.71 0.15%    $     11,838 0.01%   Launching through 20/50/200
RGLD           41.78            41.08 -1.68%    $     11,351 -0.11%   Above 200, testing 50 day
SLV           13.66            13.70 0.29%    $     11,129 0.02%   Also launched Friday, big move
SLW             9.23              9.18 -0.54%    $       8,917 -0.03%   Over 20/50/200 again.
SSRI           20.08            19.67 -2.04%    $     11,443 -0.14%   Over 20/50/200 again.
TBT           53.19            49.43 -7.07%    $       9,847 -0.42%   $48 looks likely
TC           14.75            14.55 -1.36%    $     11,976 -0.10%   Coming out of pullback here.
TCK           24.49            26.29 7.35%    $     17,480 0.77%   Just a monster. 
Cash (000)  $     16.89    $    16.89 0.01%    $   16,891 0.00%   Same as last week no new buy/sells
AVG (weekly)     0.20%    $ 183,957 0.30%    
AVG (monthly)     9.85%   Actual      
AVG (inception)   23.07%   Return 22.64%    

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Thar’s Gold in Them Thar Hills!

YukonBumble

Dang, I should be out of the office more often. Looks like the “Dollah Dollah Bill Y’awl” prediction  I made yesterday is staying true and we are continuing to see a break down in the much beknighted green back– [[UUP]] .

The dollar’s breakdown is causing a “so sorry” event for bears, but a “yippe kai yi yeah, muthaflickah” event for those of us in the precious metal camp. What’s ironic is that the bears are correct — the only thing keeping this market going right now is the craptastic dollar. In other words, it’s not “real” value but “inflated value” that’s driving stocks upward. What is doubly ironic is that bears will short this market thinking that the dollar will strengthen.

Very odd.

We’re here to make money so let me throw out some picks that are looking good. First — the junior golds, which on the Jackson side include only Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] , which is my strongest Jackson today. Non Jacksonian juniors I like, and will mention again are Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] (which is breaking out as I type this), Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] , [[BAA]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] and Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] on the gold side and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[CDE]] and [[EXK]] on the silver side. I also like the double silver ETF [[AGQ]] here as well.    Finally, the Jackson silvers are looking strong here as well — Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] , [[PAAS]] and [[SLW]].

Non-PM Jacksons Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] and Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] continue to look great while agro man The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] takes a breather.   Still a buy as well, though.

From a non-Jackson picks side, [[BIOS]] is getting knocked back today, but it’s still on trend by a long piece, so look to add. Also , the rockets I gave you the other day — Trimble Navigation Limited [[TRMB]] and Given Imaging Ltd. [[GIVN]] , are flagging here and if they begin to take off from the bottom of these flags (instead of breaking down), they too could be a nice purchase here. Use caution and mind your sizing with these big movers. Best to you all, and look to the PM’s if the dollar continues to deteriorate.

UPDATE:  I almost forgot to throw something in on Rage’s regional banks  play.  Of those I like Fifth Third Bancorp [[FITB]] and KeyCorp [[KEY]] .  Somewhat  related — I also like the Irish shilelegh-wielding banks too — Bank of Ireland (ADR) [[IRE]] and Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) [[AIB]] .

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Lord of the Flies Decade

LordPig
Bow down to Lord Pig!  Did you forget what Island you were on?

Don’t think you can just skip on down to the Circle and pick up the conch and blow to your heart’s content.

You cannot.

No, it’s time to get your horn rimmed glasses smacked from your face and ground underfoot, whilst you grope wildly after fuzzy-form perpetrators who’ve done away with Good English Manners.

The Jacksons took a similar blind side hit today, and you know what? I’m not given to much concern. I’ll sit up here on top of my coconut tree and munch bananas whilst I watch the devolution down below.

Yes, yes, “kill the pig, slit it’s throat!”

(Eye roll)

What-ever!
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Note [[BAA]] , mentioned last night, and of which I bot 6k of at close at $2.03-.04, hardly moved today, even as the gold and silvers markets shivered and [[UUP]] peeked its battered head up? Did you note the same behaviour (sic) with previously recommended Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] ?

Pure luck, I assure you. All of the juniors will show some strength, merely because their time to shine is almost here. Same with the silvers. They are trying to shake, but even their now-familiar swoons seem half hearted.

Just wait here, with me atop the coconut tree. The ham hocks will be served, presently.

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Two Golds and a Bold!

two golds

Allright, that’s enough of this Barack Obamacare bashing. For now.

Let’s all remember what this blog is about after all, which is sound money market plays. That stuff can’t work out without a crapload of bad government policy to destroy the currency for our benefit. So let’s all take a minute to thank Barack and Nancy and the whole group down at the Fed for the opportunities they’ve apportioned us.

And here’s some more that I think may be burbling to the surface this very evening… First it looks like the coal stocks are catching a whiff, so let’s not forget about the Jacksonian dividend payor — Natural Resource Partners LP [[NRP]] .

Next I’ve got some fun junior golds that I think are ready to take off, not unlike last night’s recommendation [[CNXT]] did today. The first I’ve talked about for many months, and it’s one of my favourites (sic) of the junior miner variety — and here’s Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] ‘s weekly chart:

anvwkly
Looking for a flat side breakout (up) here, with a little additional volume. $9.00 should be the safe zone.

Next is [[BAA]] , which finally got it’s mojo going today. I think a move over $2.14 is the second stage of this story:
baadaily

Last, an old friend who may be indicating good news (finally) for the Brotherhood of the Natural Gas freaks (like Fly’s Flotek), is Lexington, KY-based NGAS Resources, Inc. [[NGAS]] , which is showing a turtle head pop-out of the downtrend:

ngasdaily

Last, the silvers look like they are going to make another run, so keep an eye on the silver Jacksons Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] and [[PAAS]] . Also platinum finally started getting off it’s keyster today as well — I use the ETF [[PTM]] to invest in that precious metal.

Remember to write your Congressperson about keeping their hands off your private, well supplied healthcare system. Don’t let them kill the goose that’s laying the golden eggs for us and the rest of global health. Best to you all.

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Monster Santa and the Meltup Miracle

 St. Thug

I figured I’d take some time off from battling economic illiterates and Stockholm-Syndromed left wing Canadians on nature of government bureaucracies to comment on the market. 

The only thing I can say is:  maybe I should do more political blog posts, as it seems to act like Miracle-Gro on my portfolio garden.   And no one is more an example of that than the Ag King Monsanto Company [[MON]] who is kicking down doors and stealing third world children for medical experiments with quite the profitable panache these days.  (Sorry that last was from an E.L.F. brochure I picked up at an Al Gore hedge fund meeting yesterday).  

As a result of today’s ridiculous meltup, [[TZA]] hit my final stop which was $18.30, though my “eggsellent” trading service didn’t sell it for another four pennies.  I will have words for them, believe me.   I always have words.

I also took the opportunity to grab another 100 shares of MON for the Jacksons today at the 10 am price ($81.09), which will get my position size back in line with its former numbers.  Yes, I am buying it higher than where I sold, but what the hell, I didn’t sell it on my “real” portfolio and that should be a lesson to me.  Here I am trying to be more conservative with the Jacksons and all I’m doing is costing you money.   I will try to be more clingy for you in future.

Also at 10 am, I added another $5,000 worth of Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] at $14.13 (354 more shares), which will also bring that position back in line with original numbers. I still like Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] here, but am still waiting for a pullback, which has become a wearying excercise. I also like Titanium Metals Corporation [[TIE]] and am adding here at $8.20 to my personal portfolio. Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] I have mentioned and bot a small amount earlier this month. It is “BTFO” today.

On the PM front, I like Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] here, if for only for the fact that it’s lagging, and that I think it will catch up with the crowd. On the fast moving fronts, the silvers are off the blocks again and sprinting ahead. I like Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] here, a lot. On the non Jackson front, the juniors are not exactly kicking as much arse as I would expect, but I continue to like their prospects over the majors. All the N’s are good Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] , NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] and New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] as well as [[EXK]] , [[BAA]] and Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] . Also keep an eye on Nevsun Resources (USA) [[NSU]] and Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] . Last of the list, Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] looks nice now, but will look really good on a break of $2.50. As always proceed at your own risk on these little pocket rockets.

I would be remiss if I were to ignore the relative beating the Obama Machine is taking in the polls on this healthcare initiative, and the effect it is having on the prospects of the horrendous bill (mentioned in last post) getting through Congress. I think the alleveation of that impending government blanket on our economy is what’s causing this meltup. That said, the euphoria could be temporary, especially if the Messiah Road Show gets any traction. If last night’s Ramble-a-thon is any indication, I think we’re moving closer to safe ground.

The big insurers are also taking some heart today, with Humana Inc. [[HUM]] , CIGNA Corporation [[CI]] , UnitedHealth Group Inc. [[UNH]] and Aetna Inc. [[AET]] all showing solid gains. I will not buy a one of them, however, until I know Obamacare is dead, and then I might only grab some Almost Family, Inc. [[AFAM]] when I know its safe. Let’s face it, health insurance companies are going to be under the gun for years to come here, and until Congress gets its hand out of their pockets, they’ll struggle within their regulatory environment. You are better off sticking with the inflationary names for now.

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UPDATE: I forgot to mention Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. [[CWCO]] which I am buying here at 16.45 (1k shares, starter). One of the miracles of St. Thug. (Salt water into potable)

UPDATE:  Just bot 1k more The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] for the personal portfolio @ $31.09.

UPDATE:  Just bot 2k more  [[BIOS]] for the personal portfolio @ $6.32.

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Monstrous Santa Never Dies!

bad_santa3

So why do you insist on fighting him?   Listen, hippy — you can disparage Monsanto Company [[MON]] all you like, but the fact is, that like the other chemical company everyone loves to hate The Dow Chemical Company [[DOW]] (or was it E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Company E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Company [[DD]] , I can remember?), Monstrous Santa brings good things to life, up to and including radioactive carrots as big as your thighs.

No, no, that last was just a sop to the active imaginations of the Luddite Hippy Masses (“LHM’s”) who think that unless you are breaking ground with a sharpened stick and planting only hand gathered (never plucked!  never, never plucked!) acorns in erratic rows, you are insulting “Mother Gaiea” and any manner of other animistic woodland nymphs and faerie (sic) creatures.

Fact is Monsanto is going to feed the world, and the world is going to thank them for it.   Everyone except the LHM patchouli smoking minority and Luddite millionaires like Paul Ehrlich of course, who — along with propagandists Al Gore and  Howard Zinn — makes money off of predicting world wide catastrophes that they can blame on our globe’s foolish lack of proper Marxist ideology.   No, these guys would rather the people of the Amazon basin continue a slash and burn stone age agrarian methodologies, as long as that means they don’t become part of the “problem”  —  i.e, enrolled members of the First World.  

The Euros hate Monsanto too, but for another reason.   Their agricultural protectionism makes ours look like the open bazaar in downtown Marakesch (sic).  They don’t want seeds from anywhere else but European soil, because, damnit, other countries’ seeds might actually push those lederhosen-wearing cough-drop suckers into the second half of the 20th century, four-cycle tractor engines and all.

But there’s a reason this seemingly high beta outlier lives in the stronghold that is the Jacksonian Portfolio, and that’s that feeding people will become an ever more dominating issue in this world of destroyed capital and increased liquidity.  Monstrous Santa has the intellectual property keys to solving that issue, and, barring a late hour nationalization as part of the Obamacare bill, their shareholders will benefit from that IP for years and years to come.

I’m not including the Jacksonian update from yesterday today, as I am too damn busy reading obscure legal documentia (sic) from third rate mouthpieces, and I’ve got other shit to do today as well, not the least being egregious “Continuing Ed” dealing with subject matters with which I will never in a million years have interactioin.   Gotta love bureaucracy, even in the private sector it assails me.

Know that Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] should be considered on this pullback, as should all the gold and silvers pulling back today.   Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] continues to be a monster, and it’s a Jackson full throttle again.  Ag-homey The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] also stirs again, with its sister Monsanto.  Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] holds serve on the PM front, and I like Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] and [[BAA]] here as well. 

Out for most of the rest of the day, be well.   And always remember:
hippiedoor
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