iBankCoin
Joined Nov 29, 2008
329 Blog Posts

Playing Imminent Breakouts / SPX Still Testing June Peak / COMP Oct Gap Filling / World Markets

turok

I made a solid 1% yesterday. My multiple double-digit gains in HEB and SQNM did the job as I was about halfway through Season 5 of Lost. I’ve stressed the importance of careful selection many, many times. You will do well if you find stocks that move, regardless of what the general market is doing. Stocks, with minds of their own, can be your best friends as I’ve demonstrated time and time again.

dshort5

The SPX is still testing the mid-June peak. In fact, there is so much strength that followed the continuation gap that it is just too dangerous to short. Shorting during a countertrend move is fine, but missing out on the primary trend is not. Unless you have exceptional timing skills, it’s best to stick with imminent breakout or breakdown (if short) plays that make your life so much easier. On some days, I don’t even bother keeping the SPY chart up because I don’t need it.

spx2m4spx6m10eb

The COMP is the first and only index that is trying to fill the early Oct gap. Note the boundaries in orange. We can expect significant resistance at this level, primarily because LT breakaway gap downs have a tendency to reject initial attempts.

comp10m

Finally, I look to the world indices so get a feel for how the rest of the world is doing. I charted the Japanese Nikkei, Hong Kong Hang Seng, S. Korean Kospi, German Dax, French Cac, and the London FTSE. I especially like the neutral range breakout executed by the Kospi.

nikkhsikospidax1cac1ftse1

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133 comments

  1. jazz

    “there is so much strength that followed the continuation gap that it is just too dangerous to short. ” yes, shorting this market is like….driving down one way the opposite direction. very dangerous :=(

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  2. Hammy

    lost is so good

    what are you long right now? What are you eye ballin for tomorrow? TASR, AXP, CALM, GLW, and PARD look interesting

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  3. StockMarktMagic
    StockMarktMagic

    Thanks for the world markets charts. They all share the U.S. V shaped March bottoms. Let’s hope the current bear market doesn’t run the 34 month course. Shorted S&P 500 yesterday 🙂

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  4. Cash-N-Guns

    GNBT as suggested here yesterday looks like it will take off this am. FYI.

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  5. DrewDog

    CA – what’s your thoughts on HEB today? CC at 10am and up a little in premarket. I held overnight, sort of an all or nothing play. Could be a classic, “buy the rumor, sell the news”, with a little HGSI tailwind. Any thoughts?

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  6. Docsparks

    I’m with CA in day trading during these transitional segments – I’ve had a great year and want to sleep at night. My watch list today includes CODI, NEWS, and RDEN, and any short squeeze pops I can find if the market heats up. LDK was on my initial radar but I scratched and missed the huge day yesterday because the short data for it on shortsqueeze.com was missing – although FINVIZ had it at 48% – it may have a lot more upside if FINVIZ is right. ORLY and CONN are in that camp too.

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  7. The Chart Addict

    Bought NVAX $3.26/27

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  8. The Chart Addict

    Bought AGEN $1.89/90

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  9. The Chart Addict

    Bought GNBT $0.71

    HAT TIP CASH

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    • Cash-N-Guns

      acknowledged..thanks good luck..and perhaps PPHM -DVAX

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  10. JP

    I think I’m catching on….bought AGEN at end of day yesterday and NVAX at 3.28 at open.

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  11. The Chart Addict

    Bought AEZS $1.84

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  12. Kel

    AEZS is moving on volume

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  13. Toronto Canuck

    AEZS breaking out. I am in at the open

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  14. Toronto Canuck

    OFG moving on volume

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  15. PissAnt

    Going to start slowly getting short here… Bought 1/4 of intended position in TZA @ 19.73

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  16. sergeifreud

    VVTV 2.74

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  17. The Chart Addict

    Bought AKRX $1.31/32

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  18. justin

    looks like MITI could b/o with more volume

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  19. trendfollower

    akrx

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  20. PissAnt

    Bought another 1/4 TZA @ 19.50… will wait till the market starts breaking down before adding the last half.

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  21. DrewDog

    akrx making a move

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  22. The Chart Addict

    Sold GNBT $0.70 – will revisit

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  23. Kel

    Bought AVNR 2.22

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  24. Schismatic

    FRZ doesn’t look bad on the daily or hourly

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  25. Schismatic

    Actually FRZ looks great haha

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  26. Docsparks

    In CODI at 8.59

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  27. Hammy

    PARD

    update: no.. nevermind

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  28. sergeifreud

    sold VVTV 3.1

    scary shit!

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    • PissAnt

      sick move… CEO keeps scooping stock, after the close he said he bought 300k on the 17th of July… he’s bought more than a million over the past 2 months.

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  29. franky

    check out HEB. quite the buy right now…

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    • Kel

      I am going to guess the cc didn’t go well….

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      • franky

        i don’t think so. from what i can gleen on the blogs, its kinda non-informative. ah well.

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  30. The Chart Addict

    Bought AVNR $2.29/30

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  31. Grouch

    Thank god i’m not long UAUA today, WOOOZER down 6%…. right sergeifreud!

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  32. The Chart Addict

    raping the market today

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  33. JP

    look at agen run!

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  34. Cash-N-Guns

    DVAX…breaking out on volume

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  35. The Chart Addict

    Sold half AGEN $2.29-30

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  36. JP

    out agen 2.33 & nvax 3.31

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  37. dtrader

    It’s all about bio today… SOMX and CRDC also up, on volume

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  38. trendfollower

    INSM

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  39. sergeifreud

    for anyone interested XIDE has a rendevouz with the 200day at around 4.28.
    i’m still long from 3.39

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  40. Cash-N-Guns

    buying IBM August 110 puts @ .95

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  41. The Chart Addict

    Sold other half AGEN $2.18/17

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  42. The Chart Addict

    Sold half AEZS $1.98/99

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  43. The Chart Addict

    Sold half AVNR $2.35/36/37

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  44. The Chart Addict

    Sold other half AVNR $2.31/32

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  45. Schismatic

    Keep an eye on CAEI daily

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  46. The Chart Addict

    Bought CAEI $1.83/839

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  47. Docsparks

    ugghhh CODI didn’t seem to pan out to well so far. It’s got a 34 cent dividend for holders on the 24th so would seem I’ve got a pretty solid cushion. I started using a program called Advanced Analyser (real time quotes through my TD Ameritrade account) and somehow missed the major fact that it opened lower. I don’t like the program so far, seems basic stuff I’m used to is complicated on it.

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  48. JP

    Only open position is FCL, which is showing good strength.

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  49. Aris

    bah, fuck. CAEI lifted off and i wasn’t in it, even though i put it on the list yesterday.

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  50. dtrader

    Whole boatload of these perking up today. APPY ANDS CTIC JAV NLTX ILMN and ONXX all moving, in addition to the ones already mentioned. Wow.
    Looking at JAV a little closer…

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  51. PURDY

    added yet more RVBD

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  52. Kel

    Bought RICK 7.68

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  53. The Chart Addict

    Bought AGEN $2.22/23

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  54. The Chart Addict

    Sold AGEN $2.18

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  55. Kafka

    Any opinions on UUU.to, been struggling to get over the 50 day for awhile. Broke over today by a hair on low volume. Is this imminent ?

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  56. Aris

    anybody do any anal on DAN today?

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  57. The Chart Addict

    Bought LEE $1.06/69

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  58. Cash-N-Guns

    AEZS..adding 2.08

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  59. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    CA … how’s ANPI look aside from light volume?

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  60. EN1GMA

    CA,
    any opinions as to whether this market will continue to break out after this crazy run? It looks like it’s itching to break out despite overbought conditions…

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    • Schismatic

      To paraphrase Ice Cube — just like big dicks in yo ass, shorting this market is bad for your health.

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  61. PURDY

    out of all RVBD

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  62. The Chart Addict

    Sold LEE $1.08/09

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  63. The Chart Addict

    Bought ANPI $1.88/89

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  64. Cash-N-Guns

    KERX @ 1.03

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  65. Gludibokslosh

    I think this could be a good time to short the market. We´ve just seen a failed break of the highs which may have trapped a lot of weak longs.

    Whadda you say?

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    • Cash-N-Guns

      perhaps…wont fail till last hour – imo

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      • Gludibokslosh

        Agreed. The uptrend line on the 10 min SPY chart is not threatened yet. But lets see, I do think its time to be a bit defensive…However, we might also just see some sideways fuckery consolidation.

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  66. The Chart Addict

    Sold half NVAX $3.25/26 , half CAEI $1.84/83

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  67. The Chart Addict

    Sold remaining AKRX $1.30/31, CAEI $1.80

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  68. Chart Addicts

    Chart Addict stop playing with yourself on the computer and take the garbage out…you jerk off

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  69. The Chart Addict

    Bought AGEN $2.27/28

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  70. Gludibokslosh

    NVAX nice symmetrical triangle forming on the 10 min. Most likely a continuation pattern, me thinks.

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  71. The Chart Addict

    Sold half ANPI $1.88

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  72. justin

    thoughts on DAN? forming ascending triangle in 5 min chart

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  73. The Chart Addict

    Bought CBAK $3.16

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  74. Mitch

    Hey CA or anyone else on here.. What would be your number 1 recommendation for a book on technical analysis for a person with an intermediate knowledge of it?

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    • The Chart Addict

      I don’t know what you know, but you can go through like 100+ books on this list I made last year:

      http://astore.amazon.com/wtc0c1-20

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      • Schismatic

        100 books??! Wtf. you’re like that robot in Short Circuit.

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        • The Chart Addict

          bro, I have A LOT more than that.

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          • Schismatic

            My question is – with only 24hrs in a day, where the hell do you find the time to read that much, trade all day, blog, fly around the country and do all your other real estate shit — and hit the town at night???

            Soon we’re gonna have to start calling you the Asian Santa Claus. MF is everywhere at once.

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            • The Chart Addict

              good question. I sleep 4 hours per day, which gives me 4 more hours than the average person. I bring a book along when I’m waiting for something (i.e. at airport, plane, or wherever). Blog late at night before I go to sleep. Real estate managed by property managers, but I’m usually on speaker phone with them.

              In the end, I am pushing my personal limit. I’m winding down other shit as I speak.

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            • EN1GMA

              haha… that’s why he banks it in daily like clockwork… his hard work paid off…or maybe he’s just a space alien

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              • Ferrari321

                its beyond that – space alien magician with a time machine 🙂

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      • Mitch

        Could you possibly narrow it down to like 5 or 6 good ones? Would be nice to know where to start. Thanks

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  75. Schismatic

    FRZ, push #2

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  76. Cash-N-Guns

    IBM acitng like Dennis Kneale at a mens club meeting…(rough translation like a jackass)..buying Aug 110 puts

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  77. Gludibokslosh

    NVAX b/o

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  78. venim

    Any thoughts on EROC on the daily?

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  79. The Chart Addict

    Sold half AGEN $2.30/31

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  80. trendfollower

    something up in INSM

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  81. Steve Smith

    CA – Who’s your broker?

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  82. Aris

    looks like a standoff in ANPI between 1.82 and 1.90.

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  83. justin

    $DAN b/o

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  84. Cash-N-Guns

    GNBT..another shot long here….66

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    • downsouthjukin'
      downsouthjukin'

      nice one with the puts, Cash. oops…supposed to be on the IBM comment.

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  85. DrewDog

    HEB coming back

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  86. Cash-N-Guns

    last half hour goat fuckery anyone…IBM shitting the shower…ahahahahahaaa

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  87. Aris

    love the goat fuckery.

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  88. Aris

    also, volume in the inverses is picking up.

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  89. The Chart Addict

    Short HGSI all sorts of prices between $13.50-13.60

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  90. JP

    sold FCL 32.07

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  91. Joseph

    Cashnguns what are you seeing in gnbt that im not ?

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  92. Cash-N-Guns

    profits….?? i like the setup..traded it a few times already – wont stay long if it doesnt continue

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  93. The Chart Addict

    Long half each: AEZS ANPI NVAX AGEN, Short 5%: HGSI

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  94. JP

    anyone following OGXI?

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  95. PissAnt

    Added other half of TZA @ 19.52… avg in at 19.60. Playing in for a pullback to 925-930 on SPX

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  96. Brady

    What do you think about FCS right here?

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  97. StockMarktMagic
    StockMarktMagic

    Never mind … I found your bio on Seeking Alpha.

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  98. JP

    Taking a flyer on ISRG, good earnings report, 193.85.

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  99. newbiewannamakemoney
    newbiewannamakemoney

    what do you guys think of AAI?

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  100. Hawaii Five O

    CA,

    Wasn’t 946 the June S&P high. If so, how do you figure 954.07 is “SPX Still Testing June Peak / COMP?”

    Just curious…Do you need more to call it a breakout?

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  101. Hawaii Five O

    Sorry CA,

    Was looking at close rather than intraday.

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