What is going on in Africa is an absolute tragedy. Unfortunately it appears as if this situation is getting out of control and now we have reports of an Ebola victim in Atlanta. Additionally: “Our government has declared this now as a humanitarian crisis that is above the control of the national government,” Tolbert Nyenswah, Liberia’s assistant minister of health, told CBS News. Also a good friend of mine told me today he is thinking of canceling his trip to London this October due to the Ebola news. The sector most levered to this situation is the airline industry. The earnings leverage is immense and if people start to cancel or if governments restrict travel these stocks will get absolutely decimated. These stocks have been home runs but they are very cyclical. So far the charts are not indicating anything is amiss but that could change quickly. I am not going short these stocks because it feels wrong to profit off of misery but if I was long I would be thinking of ringing the cash registrar.
FYI: I personally think this ebola scare is nonsense. 2-5 million get the flu every year and about 200k-500k people die and we don’t ban travel or stop flights. My fear is that governments need people to believe they are good at something so there might be a knee jerk reaction from the powers that be. The fear imposed on joe six pack will be greater than the reality. Bleeding from your eyes is sensational while dying in your sleep from the flu is common place. It has been reported that the national guard has received ebola detection kits in all 50 states. They received these kits in April. We live in very interesting times.
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(sigh)
http://www.futureofmankind.co.uk/Billy_Meier/Contact_Report_215
Saturday, February 28, 1987, 2:09 AM
232. Also, an epidemic known as Ebola will cause many deaths, as well as other unknown epidemics and diseases which will sporadically arise in epidemic proportions and will be new to the human being, causing great concern.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mfgppl-moneyflow.html?mod=mdc_leader
bluestar, $837 mill SPY buy on weakness # … that would bookend a similar sell on strength # that was the precursor to this selloff …
buy SPY calls
Ebola kills too quick to make many sick.
Co….stanza!! (in the cadence of “by….Mennen!”)
Blue Star, Make a request of Le Fly to add “reply” to posts. It would be nice to reply to posts in a string format here.
An American missionary from Liberia is being transferred to a hospital in Atlanta for treatment. Very diff than saying an “Ebola victim in Atlanta”
jc7,
I stand corrected. I think this is nonsense but it does not matter what I think. more importantly does the government foment fear and overreact. That is the question.
Don’t forget the media. How’d you like to be a journalist in today’s world. Beyond competitive, so to get noticed you have to sell out to the most extreme headline.
Ebola is not a high pandemic risk disease because it kills too quickly and symptom onset is rapid. Worst case scenario is 1 week travel ban, problem solved. Diseases with long incubation periods that are contagious while the host is asymptomatic are a different story. This is a tragedy, but a non event in the grand scheme of things. – your resident MD
Bluestar – you noted that you are in DIA puts. May I ask how far out they are?
I think it is a mistake for the Ebola patient to be brought to the US. Imagine public sentiment if one person contracts it as a result. Politicians not properly managing their risk I believe. Either that or they have already planned who to blame it on. Recall in June the CDC head of the bioterrorism lab resigned because of improper handling of anthrax samples. Btw, CDC is practically across the street from Emory hospital.
Fryguy
9/20
Brushfyah,
thank you for your expertise.
j livermore,
check out alternative media. whipping people up into a frenzy.
BeWater,
Very strange days indeed.
bluestar, what do you think of the below information?
Regarding the Ukraine crisis, it is mainly the fault of the EU (European Union) that started the crisis, because of its having the megalomaniacal intention to annex Ukraine like a few other countries, such as Georgia, etc., in order to become bigger and bigger. And to achieve this goal the EU – as one of the first steps – has been striving for an agreement with Ukraine to a so-called association treaty for a very long time, which was eventually successful after the EU provoked a kind of coup d’état.
Now there is the very unfortunate and very violent situation between Western Ukraine, with its officially elected government, which is supported mainly by the EU, and East Ukraine, which is supported by Russia. This crisis is a threat not only for Europe but also for the entire world because it could lead to new international war, and even to WW III eventually, if the leaders in charge of both sides don’t find a comprehensive and reasonable solution for all parties.
There is a similar situation in Israel and in Palestine, where Hamas receives their “rocket weapons” from Syria. Both sides, and therefore the Israelis AND the Palestinians, are acting in a very primitive and unreasonable way, which could unfortunately easily lead to WW III, as well. Meier said that in both crises – as well as in other similar crises such as in Syria and Iraq – the responsible people are acting with a more primitive behaviour than the real primitive tribes that live in the jungles, etc. would act, in the same or similar situation.
Regarding the so called “BRICS-States”, which consists of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (with a total population of at least 3 billion people) and the treaties they signed in July 2014, it is to say that it could and probably would be the beginning of a new world economy “order”, with especially China as the new world superpower.
The BRICS-States, as well as Argentina and Kazakhstan, both of which recently applied to become a part of this “alliance”, will probably become the new economic powerhouse in the world within the next 30 years by outperforming the Western civilizations, especially Europe and the USA. The irony of this progress is that it’s precisely the United States of America and the European Union that have mainly, but unintentionally, been initiating this ongoing process by neglecting these emerging states with the typical arrogant, bigheaded and egomaniacal attitudes of the Western civilisations against the emerging economies, especially regarding the disadvantages these states have to cope with because of being treated by the BRD (International Bank for Reconstruction and Development) and the IMF (International Monetary Fund) in the same dishonourable and unfair manner.
Due to this fact, on 15 July 2014 in Brazil, the BRICS-States therefore founded their own BRD or “World Bank” which is named as the “New Development Bank” (NDB) with the headquarters in Shanghai, China, with the purpose of acting as a counterbalance to the BRD and the IMF. This crucial foundation and other further actions in the near future will provide and support the BRICS-States and other emerging and aspiring countries to probably become the new economic and political powerhouse of the world.
meanwhile /CL craters. In our perception based world this means moar to airlinez than the fear factor. Yes, the price of jet fuel means more than the spread of quasi certain death, after all, its just business, overloading planes with just enough gas to get there while cramming another row of seats in coach.
next on fear factor, alien invasion. be very afraid indeud.
refuse to be afraid of anything in this lifetime, solid words.
Juice,
Ukraine is a joint US/EU operation with the US driving the bus. Victoria Nueland (state department official) was recorded plotting and planning the coup this winter. The BRICs bank while not really talked about in the MSM is a huge deal. Bottom line anyone who threatens the hegemony of the dollar is an enemy of the US. The dollar is the key to understanding what is really happening in the world today. The MSM drama is kabuki theater for the masses. It does not play well to joe six pack that we took out Iraq and Libya because they wanted to sell oil in something other than dollars. Notice how sanctions on Russia were ramped up the day after the BRICs bank meeting and then MH17 happened. Its like we are watching “Jake Ryan: Shadow Recruit” playing out before our eyes.
Buying puts on PCLN very soon.
MUHAHAHA
“Ukraine is a joint US/EU operation with the US driving the bus.”
Greece is bound and gagged in the back of the bus; Germany is untied with the emergency door open, looking for an opportune time to jump. All other are somewhere in between.
3,000 German companies anr not interested in sanctioning Russia.
The friend that is thinking about canceling the trip to London in October is a certified dumbass.
Rayray,
The dumbass just called me. He did cancel. Perception over reality.