Quick thought on retail

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What happened to shoot first, ask questions later?

The more I dive into this retail bit, the more it becomes apparent the industry will have its CTJ during this back-to-school season as it grapples with the idea of passing on HSD/LDD price increases. It seems a foregone conclusion to many folks that unless these price increases stick, retailer margins are about to nosedive. Last I looked, Consensus estimates do not expect lower retailer margins in the coming quarters. Last I looked, people weren’t getting raises (though they don’t seem to be getting laid off as much these days). That equals uncertainty to me, but these stocks are still ripping to new all-time multiple and stock price highs.

Just wandering about musing.

3 Responses to “Quick thought on retail”

  1. Perfect market neutral arbitrage trade setting up

    Short XRT retail , and buy an exact equal amount XHB

    http://tinyurl.com/3r89tw5

    In theory, you should make a few percent no matter where the Dow goes. Just need this gap to narrow, between housing and retail stocks

    Alternately, you could buy XLF against an equal amount short XRT

    http://t.co/qvkeIpX

  2. Did you notice the Stern Agee report on MU today? Price Target of $17. Thoughts?

    • Analyst Bomber

      I did not see the report yet, but my magic eightball says “not likely.”

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