iBankCoin
Joined Nov 29, 2008
329 Blog Posts

Morning Thoughts (UPDATED with FSYS Trade)

Yesterday’s best trades were in WFMI and FSYS. I am nearing a 20% total portfolio gain for just this week alone and the week isn’t even over yet. If you don’t believe me, then obviously you’re a nOOb reader in the CA Trading Room. I am the one and only Chart Addict and my returns are far superior than yours. Stick around for a while and you might learn something.

Yesterday’s call on the general market was very wrong, and I don’t care. I don’t even trade the general market. It’s such a beautiful thing when your predictions are wrong, yet you still make a +6% total portfolio gain. Hope that’s a lesson in playing only the best and highest probability trades, regardless of overall direction.

I have to see how this next leg turns out. I estimate that it will be another week before a IT determination can be made. Always keep an open mind and never let your opinions get in the way of great opportunities. You are your own worst enemy. Never forget the POWER OF CHARTS.

I have no idea where we are going in the markets, but I guarantee you that I will win again today – that would make every single day of this week a win. Watch and learn, folks.

—-

UPDATE: Due to popular demand, I decided to spend the time to annotate my FSYS trade from yesterday. All documented here on the blog and on twitter in real-time. I will make my “trade review” a regular thing here.

fsys

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154 comments

  1. William

    Hey Chart Addict,

    You have a trading room? Give me the details!

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    • The Chart Addict

      I was referring to the title of the CA blog.

      I do have a live one and it’s for my good friends that trade with me on a daily basis.

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      • Bob

        Hey CA,

        I’ve recently left a large prop trading firm after a long successful run and am trading for my own accounts now. I’ve been looking for some new and different ideas to add to my trading arsenal and ran across stocktwits. From all the guys on there you seem to be one of the very few I’d give a second look at. When you’ve met and traded with so many traders over the years its not hard for me to sort thru the BS and find the real talent. You seem to know your stuff down to a “T” and have the balls to make the calls.

        Would love to chat with you sometime via ph/MSN/Skype etc and perhaps share some tips/tricks/strategies. You never know what you or I might learn from each other. In the almost 20 yrs I’ve traded now I do know you can never stop evolving your trading knowledge to stay on top of your game. This was especially true in the prop world I came from.

        Anyway let me know if you want to chat some time and exchange ideas. In the meantime keep up the awesome work.

        B

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  2. frog65

    Thx retox, how are the fills in general after your stop is activated

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    • retox

      Sometimes close sometimes not so close.

      This was one of the better- the nearer to the recent price action the better (adds risk of course). I think the pre-spike up had mkt buy orders coming in during the push down which really helped (not for them – ouch).

      I’ve learned that, if you are not close, don’t bother at all. And it must be a heavily traded contract (/ES, /CL, or /6E).

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  3. retox

    pure eloquence CA – one to print, frame and read every day for motivation and clarity.

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  4. retox

    more oil short 78

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  5. DannyCali

    TCK break out

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  6. retox

    AIG!

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  7. smiegel

    BX

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  8. BW

    CA,

    What locked you on to WFMI and FSYS? Was it volume spikes or were they already on your watchlist?

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    • finclyde

      read his education articles, very helpful,

      from what I’ve learned from this blog, I’m going to guess it was on his watchlist after the huge gap down, once it broke the descending triangle intraday, he was short on accompanying volume

      it looks like a spiker candidate today by the way he’s playing it

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    • The Chart Addict

      it is now about liquidity and if the price patterns are stable. This has to be determined in the first 1-3 minutes of the trading day.

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  9. momoboy

    INO running here… way oversold, imo.

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  10. retox

    APOL suffering

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  11. kiddjones

    fins suffering…

    XLF struggling with 10 sma (14.33)

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  12. smiegel

    AONE Short

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  13. kiddjones

    WNR nice bear flag on 1 month was right at resistance and being hogdrug…

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  14. retox

    top of the channel – 1 hour chart /ES for the week

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  15. Mike

    Sym tri on /CL 1 min. The correlations are all messed up but a break above 1068 on /ES could give oil the push it needs to rally to the 10 day at 78.94

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    • retox

      it’s the safest short today

      will die harder faster and cleaner on SPX fail

      will not participate in the upside

      been that way for a few days – sticking with it until it doesn’t work

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      • retox

        I’m still calling fresh lows on /CL today

        I know it’s crazy, but it’s true (sing it loud).

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    • Mike

      Short from .51; Cover .30; +21

      Short again .27

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      • retox

        watch for a reaction at 78

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      • Mike

        Cover .02 +25

        well i’m no good at calling new lows so i’ll leave that to you, but my bias is also short. im content to take small pieces along the way

        unless we see some major weakness in /ES or /6E here i’m going to stay out of /CL until we get a response to the 20 day at ~.64

        in again at .54

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  16. kiddjones

    short XLF 14.28

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  17. retox

    gonna be a fight soon – long have to stop this /ES decay

    61 should be the spot – failure should go to 58

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    • retox

      these S/R numbers are killing the tape! – 61 failed 3x – hit 58 and reversed

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  18. dumas

    Fly, quit writing on CA’s blog.

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  19. Purdy

    SWKS

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  20. retox

    Buona notte olio

    short cover 77.14

    I am done today with monster pre-market wins in crude and 2 solid overnight wins.

    P.S. my “working” thesis “worked”

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  21. Japoe

    JL Your trading is a pure art form at its best. Feel like I am watching a great Art being developed live. Very amazing. Thanks for sharing and keep it up. You deserve the bragging right.

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  22. kiddjones

    covered XLF short 14.17 +0.10

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  23. kiddjones

    bad math 0.11

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  24. retox

    1058 /ES is critical

    remember 1052 is the pivot (not the official number but it’s my pivot)

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  25. retox

    anybody get APOL???

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  26. The Chart Addict

    I am back from a class

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  27. retox

    oil ready to give up 77 if /ES fails

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  28. The Chart Addict

    Short $STEC 13.70

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  29. retox

    goin for more oil soon

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    • retox

      in from .18 – dangerous

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      • Mike

        Chop just wiped out a substantial % of my profits today, out of oil until the chart cleans up

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        • retox

          Mike, I’m sorry. “dangerous” for me usually means intermediate potential to get smacked around with longer term payoff

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          • Mike

            Oh I wasn’t following your trade when it happened. I was just getting impatient and trading less than ideal setups. Lesson learned. : )

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    • retox

      “I am extraordinarily patient, provided I get my own way in the end.”
      Margaret Thatcher

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    • retox

      covering 76.78

      +40

      always hard to get the last crumbs of the trend – especially with a crazy short coming out of a rising wedge

      just figured it would fail with dramaticism (yeah, it’s a word, look it up). longs would panic, sell stops get hit; you know the story

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      • retox

        was a support line I had on the chart

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      • ESWannabe

        here comes our friend the solitary pit trader bidding it up again…as we speak

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        • retox

          I would do it all day long myself if I could. Just remember there are 2 sides to every trade.

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  30. The Chart Addict

    Short more $STEC 13.58

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  31. The Chart Addict

    Short $AONE 16.75

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  32. The Chart Addict

    Covered all $STEC 13.57/frac

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  33. The Chart Addict

    Covered $AONE 16.91

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  34. DannyCali

    sbux

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  35. frog65

    I’m starved. Time for lunch. keep /es right here for me

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  36. smiegel

    OPTT

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  37. DannyCali

    mnkd

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  38. The Chart Addict

    Bought $OPTT 8.57

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  39. The Chart Addict

    Sold half $OPTT 8.72

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  40. The Chart Addict

    Sold other half $OPTT 8.945

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  41. The Chart Addict

    Bought $WFMI 28.09

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  42. The Chart Addict

    Added more $WFMI 28.22

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  43. DannyCali

    You’re good, CA

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  44. The Chart Addict

    Short $STEC 13.46/47

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  45. The Chart Addict

    Cov $STEC 13.45/46/47

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  46. momoboy

    INO imminent

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  47. The Chart Addict

    3rd buy/add-on $WFMI 28.34

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  48. retox

    should have /CA

    futures contract on CA portfolio

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  49. The Chart Addict

    Bought 4th addition of $WFMI 28.42

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  50. ESWannabe

    too fucking choppy…short term trend keeps breaking on both sides…

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  51. retox

    if you stare at it and focus 2 feet behind your screen you can see an asc tri forming on /ES 1 minute chart – with vol confirmation.

    next 30-45 minutes will confirm or deny. will be my final trade.

    power packed trading fun.

    just watch 1070 area for resistance – top of the channel
    downside move – use the same support we’ve been talking about

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    • retox

      faster than I thought – in it

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    • retox

      1070.25 target to reverse and go short

      should have been in at the bottom but it faked me in

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      • ESWannabe

        it’s the fourth test of the 1 min trendline….feels more likely it will break…?

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        • retox

          I’m NOT shorting this tape – too slow.

          I had a hell of a week so I’m willing to risk this last trade. If it holds the line there will be enough wee-wee short covering to blast us up a bit.

          will probably go home swing short /ES though.

          watch dow 10k

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  52. The Chart Addict

    Sold all $WFMI 28.35/36

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  53. GozoTrader

    CNO one to watch

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  54. GozoTrader

    LEE taking the steps

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  55. MX2101

    Will be interesting to see if SPX moves decisively above 1070 today.

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  56. The Chart Addict

    Bought $OPTT 9.21/22

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  57. GozoTrader

    CVM

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  58. The Chart Addict

    Out $OPTT 9.04/05

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  59. kiddjones

    RIMM lower highs and lower lows on daily 1m chart and just broke the 100 min and ascending triangle

    get shorty… 58

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  60. kiddjones

    nice click to edit function

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  61. retox

    3:00pm USD Consumer Credit m/m -9.9B expected

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    • ESWannabe

      how do these boyz synchronize the buying/selling at the 3.20/30pm ish time? do they have secret earphones and say ‘let’s go chaps’ ?

      seriously they work 9.30 to 11.30 and then come back for the last 45 mins. What the fuck do they do in between? Any brothels around where they get their blowjobs?

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      • retox

        most of it is done through arb programs

        the number hit and there was a 10 second lag before it dumped

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        • ESWannabe

          broke the trend line, but they are fighting it and bidding it back up???

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          • retox

            mostly feels like balancing out now – shorts from above covering (they tried but couldn’t drop it)

            also some paper buying – could be more short covering or a bid to take it up for a dump – or poss opening positions into the weekend.

            scalping tape

            you never know why the buying is coming in – you just have to react to it and stay on the right side of the tape

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  62. kiddjones

    covered 57.77 +0.23

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  63. The Chart Addict

    Bought $WFMI 28.48

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  64. The Chart Addict

    Out $WFMI 28.48

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  65. Gunners

    CA,

    any comments about what typically happens to stocks like WFMI on the third day? any candles to watch or anything?

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  66. DannyCali

    I mean TCk

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  67. U Gurl

    you twat!

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  68. The Chart Addict

    Short $AIG 35.32/33/34

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  69. The Chart Addict

    Short more $AIG 35.26

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  70. U Gurl

    but I don’t hate you… think it’s because you look like a girlie boy and your big talk is ridiculous coming from a little tinker.

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  71. Purdy

    CVS could fly. In at 29.66

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  72. The Chart Addict

    Removed half $AIG 35.46

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  73. The Chart Addict

    Out other hlaf $AIG 35.47/48

    avg day

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  74. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    Got some ARIA …

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  75. The Chart Addict

    Short $AIG 35.38

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  76. retox

    sayonara bitches

    goin’ home short-ass-short

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  77. The Chart Addict

    rofl and out $AIG 35.38 haha

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  78. zephler

    hey CA – have you ever charted how loud people from different cultures eat? For the past 10 years, all of the chinese people I have met and worked all eat disgustingly loud – they all eat with their mouth totally open for the whole meal – it’s at the point now I can’t even sit in the lunch room with asians – all I hear is their lips smacking together – it’s disgusting – I car pool with a Chinese person to work, and sometimes he eats breakfast on the way to work – I nearly gag for the whole ride, and I absolutely have to roll down the window and crank the radio to block out the smacking of their lips and their mastication of their food.

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  79. The Chart Addict addict
    The Chart Addict addict

    Retox: thaks for all the info you provide throughout the week, invaluable!

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    • frog65

      Definitely! Have a great weekend!!!

      Would love to open that long /CA, multiple contracts.

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  80. zephler

    isn’t it all the same? lol! Have I offended you yet? ahahaha – humility is something you should brush up on

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  81. zephler

    I’m just teasing you man – thanks for the great work this week…

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  82. mom

    So how do you find the stocks you want to play for the day? and how many are on your watchlist in a given day?
    do you go after news?

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  83. retox

    taking oil for a hurricane fool ride up to 79

    fundamentals are wrong and the hurricane will be a non-event but it should still make a run

    I will endeavour (sic) to get short after the sun gain shine down on Thuder Horse.

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