iBankCoin
Read Scott here on iBankCoin and also at http://www.createcapital.com/
Joined Jan 19, 2010
717 Blog Posts

Alert! Bands are pinching. From CreateCoin Premium

Bollinger Bands are an excellent trading tool and when longer-term bands come together (pinch) as they are now, it means a big move is coming soon. Not only is the Dow chart showing “the pinch” but it is replicated in most of the major averages.

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One-Handed Clap…

The Chief Strategist of a Wall Street firm must learn to eat shit. Lemme tell you why: when you are right, great. That’s your job. When you are wrong, you lose people money, and they don’t soon forget. Victories are dismissed with a “what ya got next” and defeats are resurrected on a regular basis.

The market has been doing exactly what it is supposed to be doing, namely frustrating all. Everything you’ve been told is wrong from one minute to the next. But if you step back, you can see that the market has been in an accumulation mode–NOT a distribution mode. That means stocks should be accumulated on weakness. Sound familiar?

The histrionics of the economy, the markets, the political situation and the coverage in the media has forced those with “smaller minds” into doing exactly the wrong thing. The running now into no-interest fixed income is a huge near-to-intermediate term mistake. There will be more “panics” and much more “malaise”, but after six months of consolidation and much hedging against disaster, the major indices are about to make their move. Maybe not today, but what may be a pretty big and forceful move is coming soon.

The mantra of “accumulate on weakness” is the key. I am neither a perma-bull or perma-bear, just a “market realist” and I will be consistant with that strategy until my work tells me to change.  Find the low expectations and buy them for the intermediate term.

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Who wanted oil stocks in June?

Back in June the entire world firmly believed that oil stocks were going to experience a new pricing scheme because there would be no more drilling or some such garbage. Investors actually sold stocks because there would be a hit to next quarters numbers. Stocks lost 30% in a week and it was one of the greatest buying opportunities of the year so far.

Fast forward to today. Technology is dying. Nobody will ever buy a chip again. Most semi stocks are down 50% since April and some are testing their 2009 lows. Should they be worth their crash lows? Is the semiconductor business finished? Was the oil business finished?

There are still opportunities in oil stocks even now. But you should be focused like a laser beam on the “new death”, second tier technology and semiconductors. Low debt and cash? Trading in the single digits? There are a ton of them.

But you’ll need patience and discipline. Expectations have already plummeted, stocks have plummeted and there has been hardly a “bad” number. This will be a classic case of “sell the expectation, buy the fact”.

I’ve seen this a million times before. Just buy no more than a half position at a time and keep your stops wide. These are not trades, but rather intermediate term opportunities.

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