Swisher Sweets are Smoo-o-o-o-ooth.
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I’d walk a mile… for a Camel… (and to buy that last piece of that January [[SPY]] put position– 50 more @ $2.89-2.92.)

Bryl-Creem, a little dab’ll do ya…. (just like a concentrated position in sold calls and targetted puts will “smooth out” the rough spots in a downdraft).

Winston Tastes Good, like a cigarette should… (so do 20 more [[GDX]] March 50 calls sold at $8.00 a pop.)

Rice-a-Roni, the San Francisco Treat…  (not unlike [[PTM]] , which has stayed strong — and unsold– while it’s brother PM’s have sweated.  That may change tomorrow, as I may take a third off, despite my lack of a full position as of yet.)

N-E-S-T-L-E-S, Nestles make the very best… (chocolate, maybe but not market hedges.  I expect we’ll have a bit of a global pullback, so even the traditonal consumer product hedges may be of little use.   Note that Brazil took a dive today from [[EWZ]] ‘s tops over $80.   A little [[EEV]] may be a choice smoothner her for a week or so.)

The best part of waking up, is Folger’s in your cup… (but maybe not Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] if it breaks through this near term support at $60, right here.  Next very strong support is $55, which I would consider “back up the truck territory,” on a bounce.)

Best of all, it’s a Cadillac… (but not if you’re a GM shareholder, Ford Motor Company [[F]] is actually looking good here on a pullback to $8.50.  I’m sure Mr. Cane Thaler is well pleased)….

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Feel free to add some favourite (sic) advertising slogan-themed picks of your own.   I’m off to dinner at a fantastic local restaurant.  Ciao.

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He was Emo when Emo wasn’t cool.
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Stubbornly and like an ass, I sold continuously throughout  the day.    

In drips and drabs of course, but it becomes cumulative after a while.   Frankly, I don’t know how Docteur Le Fly does it.   It seems like one day he’s fully invested and then — BOOM! — He’s 60% in cash.

It doesn’t even seem to faze him.

I, on the other hand, agonize on every share sold in a rising market, even as I know deep down in my medulla oblongata (sic), it must be done.  I am at a little more than 25% cash right now and I feel as if I’ve been scourged on the wheel for a fortnight.

Perhaps I shall cut out that nasty M.O. and be shrived of my cognitive dissonance sins at last.  Who needs motor function anyway? I can always blog at you via sophisticated “eye-blink” technology, right?

Onto the shriving.   Needless to say, I bought nothing today, despite the ambulatory nature of such Ag Gems as Jacksonians The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] and Monsanto Company [[MON]] , which finally broke back over the $80 barrier.    You remember the old Fly-saying, yes?  “If it gets over $80, it’s going to $120?”

We shall see.   I also like Intrepid Potash, Inc. [[IPI]] and Agria Corporation (ADR) [[GRO]] , but lower.

Sales today were across the board on the PM’s and I even took the time to sell off some odds and ends as well.

I sold some enormous Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] today — almost 30% of my stash, 4k at $13.12.     I also sold 2k shares of the enormous performer IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , one third of my holdings in that name, for $18.85.    Sawing a hunk of my shoulder blade off would’ve been less painful.

Of my 6k shares of [[GDX]] I sold 2k outright at $50.18, and then hedged the remainder by selling March $50 calls at $5.25 a piece.

Taking a dull spoon to my eyes, I sold another 4k of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , and then hedged 7k of the remaining 11 by selling 70 March $16 calls at $1.90 and $2.00.     Perhaps talking about it here will assuage my pain? 

I sold 2k of [[PAAS]] at $24.68 and another stray K of Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at $12.16, leaving me with 4 and 10k respectively.    What will you have of me next?  My children?

Oh my, I must have been putting this one out of my mind, as I’d almost forgotten… I also sold 8k of [[EXK]] today (40%!) at $3.68.  Arthur Koestler, I know your Darkness at Noon!

Last on the precious fronts, I sold 1.5k of [[CDE]] at $21.99 and $22.03, and 4k of Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] at $4.16.  

On the “odds and ends” front, I sold another 2k of [[BIOS]] at $7.68, leaving me with only 2k left, which I will not sell outside of Armegeddon, where I may need River Styx fare. 

I also sold 6k of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] for a rare loss (only a couple of pennies plus commish) on a complete “cautionary” basis.   I think I can buy those back cheaper, is all.    Last, I sold a stub amount (1k) of Sinovac Biotech Ltd. [[SVA]] which I’ve owned since the low $3 range, for $7.51.

Last, but not least, I booted the remainder of my [[ERX]] (1.5k) with the dividend pushout, at $38.46.

I am quite exhausted and on tenter-hooks, ovah heah, but I must trust my charts and instincts, or all is lost.   I am thinking we will see a correction at least into Turkey Week, as Tim Geithner and the Klown Kircus will be selling more yummy T-bonds into the maw of Mother Market whilst we prepare for Pilgrim Foods.

You know what that usually means by now, I expect.   If not, you have not been paying close attention, and are condemned to suffer the fate of Piglet during Swine Flu Saison (sic).    (Ostracism)

Best to you this weekend.   Off to see an Opera.

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Addenda — if you haven’t already done so, be sure to ring up your block head Senator and tell him/her that this Obamacare is a train wreck waiting to happen.     It looks like Dirty Harry Reid and the Dem Senate are taking a page out of Madame Pelosi’s book of legerdemain and are going to try to jam this through in a Saturday Night Special.   If this were a good bill, of course they’d have no need to be so serpentine.

Ciao.

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Bow and give sacrifice!
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You don’t think this cocaine and eggs party can go on forever do you?

Be serious. 

I sold a third of my [[AGQ]] today.   I got rid of the rest of my [[GDX]] calls.   I sold Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] calls.

I sheeved, I shrieved, I shucked.

Tomorrow, I’ll do more.

All things in good time.

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Daaaaaah-DOPE-di-dope-di-dope-dope-dope-dope-daaaaahhhhh…..
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Dateline Palo Alto — Sierra Club President Richard Cecil-Head, IV speaking from his Half Moon Bay headquarter today stated that “No efforts will be spared,” in seeking to preserve the shrinking populace of gold bears in the foothills of Palo Alto.

“Few people realize the boon to society these particular bears can provide,” stated Mr. Head.  

 “Leaving aside their propensity to keep their backyard pools clean of scree and pine dust– sometimes scrubbing them as many as three times a day– these bears also provide significant aesthetic value by selling into every downspike and even potential downspike in this secular bull market over the last nine years.”

“Do you realize how rare a commodity such perfect obtuseness is nature?  Darwin be damned – these knuckleheads must be preserved for the good of us all!”

Head is particularly concerned about the dead and dying bears being reported all up and down the California coast, especially those found with [[GDX]] -brand tire tracks across their furry backs.

“Please,”  Mr. Head told this reporter “Let’s get this story out there.   We cannot afford to lose this valuable animal to the ravages of rational market.”

(Rumours (sic) of Mr. Head’s large investments in physical gold were unconfirmed as of this column’s deadline.)

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Today I was busy, friends.

I sold a lot of phat calls that I owned since the last two dips today, mostly because they were getting long in the tooth (ie, “December strikes”).   I got rid of December GDX $39’s and $40’s at embarassing profits, all thanks and praise to the GDX shorts, once again.   I did similarly with December strike Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] calls that I held at $7.50 and $9.00 strikes.  

The profits were unseemly.  I shall not speak of them again, for fear of “colour” (sic).

I also sold 20 Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] December $7.50 calls for a nice mark up, and I hold another 20 I will likely boost tomorrow.   I still hold another 40 SLW and another 20 GDX December 40’s (listen, I had a ton, okay?) which I will likely get rid of for the one reason that time grows short on them.

The next dip I will be starting the process all over again, likely with the same robust names, as they have been “berry berry good to me,” Garret Morris-style.

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Please tell me you got some Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] over the last weeks and/or months?    It broke the fruits out today, and it’s in “I dunno WTF” territory now.

I would love for RGLD to return to the breakout area of $49.72 or so… I just don’t know that we’ll see it.    I will not sell this stock under $200,  and  I firmly believe it will be the Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (USA) [[POT]] and The Mosaic Company [[MOS]] of the “next” commodity bubble, which will be precious metal driven.

Don’t forget about [[PTM]] in all the gold and silver shuffle, either.  

  Sell some Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] if you have gains.  It’s a lagger, and I’m cutting back on it.   I think I shall replace it with Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] , on the Jacksonian Roster, fwiw.

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Last, there’s been a lot of back and forth this last weekend over the benificence of socialized medicine, care of Nan Pelosi, Scary Harry Reid and President Obama.   Putting all politics aside, know this — you cannot get something for nothing, and economics law will not self-suspend, even in the name of alleged altruism.

As I explained to a fellow blogger over the weekend, increased demand drives one of two things — higher prices or lack of supply, depending on whether prices are allowed to increase in a free market environment.

Increased participation in a market at a “zero price” (ie, gov’t paid health-care) will put a strain on our current supply of very expensive health care, even positing there is no exit by our  current providers.    If prices are not allowed to rise — or heaven forfend  they are cut — there will be massive “throwing in of the towel” by providers across the board.

Look for a  bifurcated system to arise, in that event, where the best providers that remain will “opt out” of any government — and likely many “governmentalized private” — insurance programs to serve those who can afford “club-based” gold plated care.  

Does anyone think that anybody but the Ted Kennedys and other such plutocrats who can join “the Club” will be happy with what remains for the masses?  

Dr. Fly cannot attend to everyone, you know.

Think hard, America.

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Thanks, L’il Buddy!
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As Fly may have already catechized, The Turkey Gods are all about “giving thanks and praise.”

So this month especially you must dig out the old acolyte’s robe, dust off the incense urn, and begin “lubricating the pipes” with a mixture of chamomile tea and castor oil to ready them for the proper Gregorian hymns and chants of the Season.

This year, a full First Rite ceremony of Turkey Carols and strong-bourboned wassailing will be reserved for the Blessing of the Lemmings — that annual bishop’s tradition whereupon all good Lemmings worldwide are blessed by the Turkey Gods for turning over the proceeds of their accounts to those more weurthy (sic), in the Gobblers’ Mercy.

That would be we of the Jacksonian bent, who have been blessed once again with said proceeds, thanks to an Oracle from the West, who has instructed his flock to proceed swiftly over the cliff of “Short [[GDX]] ,” much to our non-chagrin.

May he and his tribe prosper and multiply — in at least a more favorable rate than they have been proceeding over aforesaid White Cliffs of Dover.
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To add to this morning’s glorious GDX burst, we are coming Turkeygod-awful close to $1,100 on the price of gold. This is a psychological barrier, obviously, as the more technical resistance resides about $20 north of that line.

That said, should we burst through $1,100, we may get a Maypole Dancing psychotic celebration of short covering in the miners as a whole, in which case, you want to be owning some juniors for purse-snatch quick gains that will accrue.

I like Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] again, but also Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] ,
Yamana Gold Inc. (USA) [[AUY]] ,
[[BAA]] ,
[[CDE]] ,
Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] ,
[[EXK]] ,
Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] ,
Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] ,
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]] ,
NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] ,
New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] ,
Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] ,
[[PAAS]] [[PTM]] (platinum WILL catch up!)
Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] , and,
most important of all — Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] “The Grandmother Stock.”
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On other fronts, commodity plays Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] and Teck Cominco Limited (USA) [[TCK]] are doing well again, and The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] looks like it may have at least temporarily arrested it’s fall.

Monsanto Company [[MON]] is finally working on that Bollinger Band crash trade from a week back, at over $70, and let’s not forget about le grand merde fan hedge — [[TBT]] .

Last, pinless hand grenade [[CVM]] is on the move again, don’t ask me why, ask the Turkey Gods.

Pax Vobiscum, Children of the Turkey.

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Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]]

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There’s room for Every-frickin’-body!
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It’s quite likely I’ll be busy today, so I wanted to throw a couple of brontosaurus burgers out there for your barbecuing pleasure in case things get all jiggy like yesterday.

‘Cause, make no mistake, we are entering into primo deal season here, if all of my bidness (sic) radar array are working in proper function.  My group is busier than a one-armed Palo Alto Perma-Bear at a self-congratulatory back-patting contest, and if the middle markets are moving, then I’m going bet the big boys have more cooking than just Uncle Warren’s Train Set purchase yesterday.

For one example, look for deals in the edumacation business, for one thing — companies like Apollo Group, Inc. [[APOL]] and DeVry Inc. [[DV]] and Career Education Corp. [[CECO]] have all been beneficiaries of a sea change in education delivery in the last decade or so.  

However, I think the paradigms are going to change even more drastically going forward.  I am getting this intuition from the myriad start-ups and later stage deals I am seeing in this space over the last 12 months.   As a result, I’d look for tuitions at all but the most exclusive post-secondary schools to come down in the very near future.   As a father of four near-genius children, I couldn’t be more pleased.

That aside, I think there’ll likely also be acquisitions in the Precious Metalspace as well,  as the various hedged and non-hedged behemoths squat and mark their territories by gobbling up junior miners with promising cargoes of “ounces in the ground.”   

To my chagrin,  I have no insight from an M&A perspective, as the majority of that deal making occurs north of our borders in the frozen outbacks of Canuckistan, completed by cigar-puffing investment bankers wearing snow-blindness goggles and polar-bear fur pantsuits.

Therefore, I can only point you out the promising junior and middle sized firms that may be in the snowmobile screens of various behemoths like Barrick Gold Corporation (USA) [[ABX]] , Newmont Mining Corporation [[NEM]] , Goldcorp Inc. (USA) [[GG]]  and AngloGold Ashanti Limited (ADR) [[AU]] .    These include:

Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]]

IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]]

Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]]

Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]]

[[CDE]]

Hecla Mining Company [[HL]]

Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]]

[[BAA]]

Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (USA) [[IVN]]

[[EXK]]

[[PAAS]]

Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]]

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SA (ADR) [[BVN]]   ———->>>> note: this one can be an acquiror or an acquiree, given it’s geographic interest.

and of course, the “catch all”  — [[GDX]] .

There are quite a few more that I’ve left off as I’m rushing, so feel free to add your own, and I may or may not add or comment on those later.

Best to you all, and one last thing:  beware the bear traps — and those calling petulantly from within them.

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Update: In a shocking and unexpected move the dollar is down again [[UUP]] .

Who could’ve seen it?  Heh. 

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