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It’s 1:50 PM and I see [[UUP]] banging up against the downtrend line and fully expect it to turnover here right now.

Target $23.05. Good time to grab some of your favorite options play for quick snicker-snack of your Vorpel blade.

“Abort! Abort! Abort!” signal is upon a break of our aformentioned $23.28 to the northside.

I am looking at [[PAAS]] , Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] , Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , and [[GDX]] .

Caution: Follow me at your own risk, and make sure you Wait for the rollover!

Best to you, Jake out.

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UPDATE:  Bot 50 Sept $34 calls on GDX @ $5.60 .   Caveat: If you follow me into GDX you may contract “Midas Touch Syndrome” and end up turning your favourite (sic) poocho into a very valuable knick knack, and you may lose money too.

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Well, in the least, it’s a bounce. And it’s off two significant indicators, which gives me comfort. The more indicators, the better I feel about taking the trade.

As you know I’m already ass deep in gold and gold miners, and the [[$HUI]] is a great indicator for the unhedged (ie, usually smaller) gold and silver miners. That said, I may try to take advantage of what I think will at least be a measured bounce here to pick up some $GDX calls. Again, the chart tells the tale:

I’m looking at the September $28’s now, as well as adding some more juniors. Best to you all.

_________

UPDATE:

I bot 20 Sept GDX 28 calls @ $8.00. Possible to add 20 more… developing. Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] and NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] on fiah. Watch biotech grenades… [[OXGN]] stealing all the air from the room. Keep an eye on [[BIOS]] .

Second Update:

Bot 1500 of IRE @ $8.10. Probably late, but… I like the look of it.

Last, an enduring hat tip to my young friend CA for [[CAR]] .
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(Thanks to ‘Shed for the family photo)

As expected,  the miners have begun to consolidate a bit of last week’s (and last month’s) run up.    Nothing major mind you,  but the $HUI tells the tale here.  Remember this weekly chart from the 22nd of May?

A little more than a week later, the $HUI is behaving as indicated.   Remember that red line — the “likely target for a short rest?”    Here’s today’s same chart: 

This wholly expected retrace may bring us as far back as the top of our “consolidation box” ($375-ish).  But if the dollar and the 10-year continue to exhibit problems, I shouldn’t expect this rest to last much longer than that.    I will be using this time to aggregate some names like [[GG]] and [[AUY]] that I’ve been looking to add.   Those of you who have been waiting for a Jacksonian entry may want to consider this week’s opportunity as well.    

One other thing, I’ve been thinking about water as an appreciating commodity recently, and many of the water-related stocks have begun setting up nicely.  I may take a shot at grabbing some of the desalinator [[CWCO]] tomorrow if the stars are properly aligned.   

Note the new “comments” section on the JCHP performance chart.    Innovative, no?  

Best to you all.

Name		1-Jun	% Change		Comments
ANDE		$       26.00	3.59%		Moving with the Ags
EGO		9.69	-2.32%		Accumulation opp. Here
GDX		43.41	-1.70%		$HUI pullback
GLD		95.73	-0.49%		Resting for the leap to one grand?
IAG		11.02	-2.22%		Friday’s gap @ $10.92
MON		81.48	-0.82%		Yet to fill gap @ $85.06, Barron’s mention ↑
NRP		24.24	2.45%		Low volume up day, KOL up big
PAAS		23.39	-0.13%		Still very much in uptrend channel
RGLD		46.14	-0.92%		Half volume day, pullback
SLV		15.35	-0.78%		Friday’s gap @ $15.06
SLW		10.49	-0.29%		Friday’s gap @ $9.99, will it get there?
SSRI		24.30	1.72%		“Indefatiguable”, Friday gap @ $23.26
TBT		55.52	5.47%		Gapped up, strong volume day
TC		9.99	4.06%		Gapped up today, didn’t fill.
TSO		17.51	3.36%		Hugging the top of the triangle, must break $17.80
		AVG	0.73%

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There is nothing like “living for the moment,” and I won’t begrudge the staunchest of my conservative reader base a splash in Fly’s Pool of Carney Delights,  over on his blog and in the incredibly exciting “User Notes” section of The PPT  .   Let me assure you, ladies and gentlemen, there be some astute trading minds throwing Kruggerands around in that room.

That said, I’m sure glad I’ve got the bulk of my holdings in the JCHP, my friends, because I’m not sure how much time is going to be left in this “bring your own lava lamp” filthy 70’s-era hot tub party.    I think I already see some unpleasant objects of questionable birth rising up amongst the bubbles.  

First, I’ll draw your attention to our friend, Mr. U.S. Dollar.   He’s pretty much in “do or die” territory here, and frankly, I’m thinking we’re in trouble whether he strengthens or not.    Lookee here — remember our faithful dollar proxy UUP?

Well, heck if he’s not banging around down at the same December 18th lows that set the timer going on our next market plunge (which occurred about two weeks after the dollar started to climb again).   And here’s what’s worse… the dollar can continue to go down here, but I’m not sure that’s going to benefit our stock markets much, either.  

Why?   Well because there’s another bit of business the dollar keeps low if it’s behaving, and that’s our Treasuries’ interest rates.   If we show relative strength in our dollar, then foreign investors are willing to keep our debt.   But if the dollar keeps getting mauled here… well, those same folks might not be so kind to our lovely treasury paper.   Remember back when we first advocated  TBT as a Jacksonian pick?  Here was the chart:

We were expecting a nice move up, and we sure got it — in spades.   However, now the rapid run up in rate must give us pause with regard to how much longer the music can play.   Look at how far we’ve come since that last posting:

Bang!  All the way above the 200-day EMA.   Now you know I’ve been selling calls against my position here, in anticipation of a pullback.  Well, even as I expect a pullback, I’m just as ready to take a loss on those calls if I see this thing launch anymore than it has.  

Remember, TBT is my “Stock of the Year” pick in Rajun’s annual contest, and I continue to believe TBT is going to be the play of the next three to five years, minimum, thanks to the unwinding that will have to happen in our long term bond rates.   That said, high interest rates eventually take a bite out of stock prices, so we are going to have to be even more synched than ever with the JCHP. 

Remain vigilant my friends, and make sure you attend to RGLD.   I believe it’s the harbinger of our gold holdings’ future.   The other PMs will follow it’s lead, but it will likely become the star of this Jacksonian portfolio in future.

UPDATE:  I added another 1,000 shares to my SSRI holdings today.   I will add another 1,000 if I see further weakness, and then I will likely be “full up” in this name.

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		26-May	% Change
ANDE		$   24.95	6.90%
GDX		41.84	-0.50%
GLD		93.76	-0.73%
IAG		10.56	-2.76%
MON		85.25	-1.57%
NRP		22.75	2.43%
PAAS		21.64	1.03%
RGLD		45.38	2.53%
SLV		14.42	-0.55%
SLW		9.49	1.61%
SSRI		20.82	-4.19%
TBT		55.07	2.80%
TC		8.73	1.04%
TSO		16.73	3.08%
Avg %			0.85%

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Not to be disparaging, but I’ve felt I’ve spent the week with a squadron of flying goats.   There you are flitting from tree to tree looking for the best green shoots, ears up and horns out,  “baaaaahhhing” it up to beat the band.   

Chips stocks!  Cancer stocks!  Lenny Dykstra Car Wash franchise stocks!  Get ’em while they’re hot from the chute!

But why must you make your lives so difficult?  There’s no reason to search for rare buds in the top branches of the acacia tree when there’s plenty of bull grass right here on the ground.   Come down from there and take a look at the freshly scythed alfalfa I have gathered for you, my yellow-eyed friends. 

Remember our weekly $HUI chart from last week?

Well, look what’s happened this week…. Pop!

Can anything be more promising than that little green bud out of the consolidation zone?    And yes, we’re a little overbought here, and should be coming into some more resistance around 400 or so, but we should welcome that opportunity.  

After all my boy, it is a bull market — and maybe the only one you’ll see for years to come.  So relax some, take a load off, and get your nets ready.   It’s almost harvest time again.

This week’s Jackson Core Holdings Portfolio results were very pleasing, especially as measured against the indexes.   So have some nice goat cheese this weekend, and maybe try to pause a second whilst hoisting that relaxing beverage to remember those who have served, and especially those who have fallen in order that you could enjoy this great country.    Be well.

Name	5/8/2009	5/15/2009	∆	5/22/2009	∆
ANDE	$    21.50	$      21.31	-0.88%	$    23.34	9.53%
GDX	37.46	37.65	0.51%	42.05	11.69%
GLD	89.98	91.55	1.74%	94.45	3.17%
IAG	9.92	9.83	-0.91%	10.86	10.48%
MON	86.42	89.95	4.08%	86.61	-3.71%
NRP	23.39	21.29	-8.98%	22.21	4.32%
PAAS	19.35	18.66	-3.57%	21.42	14.79%
RGLD	39.90	39.97	0.18%	44.26	10.73%
SLV	13.79	13.77	-0.15%	14.50	5.30%
SLW	8.91	8.58	-3.70%	9.34	8.86%
SSRI	20.06	19.06	-4.99%	21.73	14.01%
TBT	52.24	49.13	-5.95%	53.57	9.04%
TC	7.98	7.65	-4.14%	8.64	12.94%
TSO	16.72	16.60	-0.72%	16.23	-2.23%
		AVG	-1.96%		7.78%
Name	5/8/2009	5/15/2009	∆	5/22/2009	∆
SPY	$    92.98	$      88.71	-4.59%	$    89.02	0.35%
QQQQ	34.23	33.37	-2.51%	33.54	0.51%
DIA	85.47	82.78	-3.15%	82.87	0.11%
NDX	1,394.16	1,355.11	-2.80%	1,363.17	0.59%
RUT	511.82	475.84	-7.03%	477.62	0.37%
		AVG	-4.02%		0.39%

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Why now this crying, this cringing, this fear?

What ‘ports of market disaster come near?

Come,  there’s no trembling, no reason to hide.

For this day, Brave ‘Drew Jackson, the Dude, will abide.  

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Have you good silver and gold in supply?

Use you green paper instead for your chai?

Best keep this warning in back of your mind,

Fed Notes like those will soon buff your behind!

_______________

Silver Wheaton, Pan American and S-S-R-I

With bright silver trumpets the thieves they descry!

And their fellows in golden and anthracite hue,

(Gold, Royal Gold, NRP name this crew)

Like friends made in foxholes– they will always stay true.

___________________________

And in our travels, let’s not forget “farmer’s friend:”

Stout “Mr. Anderson” forges an uprising trend.

And those thinking  now of their grandkiddies needs,

Must never disdain Sir Monsanto’s brave seeds.

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“Molybdenum’s” fun just to say, if you ask me,

But “TC” is  the name of the stock that will task me. 

Especially when earl and gas spreads ‘come dear,

And Tesoro’s my ‘folios’ sole quit-claiming cheer.

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What’s left to us then, in the Jacksonian Core?

But to brandish the bane of that Great Federal Whore?

Yes Ben Bernake, I speak now to thee…

And like a cross to a vampire, hold high TBT!

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 ANDE — $22.75  (+0.57%)

GDX — $40.47 (+5.31%)

GLD — $92.25  (+1.42)

IAG – $10.16 (+2.83%) 

MON — $91.83 (+2.49)

 

NRP — $23.37 (+3.41%)

PAAS — $20.99 (+6.33%)

RGLD – $42.77 (+5.19%)

SLV — $14.10  (+0.86%)

SLW — $9.46  (+3.61%)

SSRI — $22.00  (+5.47%)

TBT — $49.95  (-2.14%)

TC — $9.14 (+1.56%)

TSO — $17.29 (+0.41%)

Daily Average:  +2.69 %

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