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Dollar Pick Up

Dollarpickup

Jake Cashes in some Chips for “Butter & Egg Money.”
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Yes, I’m raising more cash ovah heah, and even buying puts for the first time since the March ’09 lift-off.    Sure I’ve sold calls in various weighty PM positions before this, but today I actually bot a starter in January [[SPY]] puts.   100 Jan 110’s @ $2.82-.85, to be exact.  

Was I early?  Sure looks that way.   That said, I think we’ll have a dollar bounce here very soon, and my purchase will prove propitious.   That said, I won’t add the second half until  I see a break, ovah heah.   Note the evidence:

uupbounce

In the meantime, I am continuing to sell down exploding higher PM positions, much to my rue and chagrin.   I just sold 2k more Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] @ $13.97,  2k more Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] @ $13.92 and 4k more [[EXK]] and Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] at $3.91 and $4.23, respectively.

I cannot bring myself to sell anymore Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , even as I know it’s the right thing to do at this juncture.  

My advice?  Now that the Fly is legitimately cussin’ and hollerin’ I think it’s time to raise cash like it’s “bread day” in Zimbabwe, people.  

In the least, it will be good practice.

Salud.

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Hocking the Silver Service into the Close

silverservice
Everything must go!

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As the Turkey Gods take awkward flight from the Bridges of the Kosciuszko (sic), so too they leave with Mom’s silverware firmly “en beak.”

And hey, what a shocker that the markets found an excuse to sell themselves into perdition this late in the daily cycle, no?  Who would have thought?   

For my part, I was only happy that I was afforded the chance to sell some more gold and silver positions at only a slight discount to Wednesday’s highs.   Today, I cut into the actual bullion positions, with a 5k sell of [[SLV]] at $18.02 and a 1k sell of [[GLD]] in the $115.40’s.  I also boosted the last (600 shs) of my [[AGQ]] position just south of $68.

For those who’ve been paying attention, that’s about 50% of each PM position in my port if you include the 40 Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] April $55 calls I sold today (at $4.80 and $4.90) as well.

I also dumped 2k  more Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] in the $13.02-.04 range.  I am now up to 30% cash overall, and if you exclude the large position in United Parcel Service, Inc. [[UPS]] that I cannot sell, I am very close to 50% in cash for the remainder of the portfolio. 

Here’s what else — I expect to sell more Monday and on any knee-jerk bounce in the early parts of next week’s “Tryptophan Rebound.”   Remember:

The Ghost of a Turkey God does not a Turkey God’s Blessing endow.  (Confucious)

I may throw up some charts, but for now, I am taking the Jacksons to 50% cash as well, with a “butcher’s cut” slap chop to every position in uniform fashion.   I will likely post that revision this weekend along with said charts, if you are lucky, and if I am not overburdened by post-Holiday catch-all catch-up here at the homestead.

My take — this is not over, even as I concur with many on this boar that the Dubai thing was a rasher of extra rancid bacon from those who eschew such lovely pork products in their nutritious diets. 

Be cautious, and be wary of stopped-watch bears who are right once a quarter.   Best to you all.

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Euros Throat Grabbed by Angry Turkey Gods

palmisles
“The Check Is in the Mail, Inshallah”
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The Turkey Gods are punishing Europe and Asia for not properly honoring Thanksgiving, as is proper and righteous.  

If you think, however, that we will escape the “surprize!” news that Dubai may default on all those re-donkulous island developments with which they were blotting the Arabian Sea during the height of the funny money period, well… have another bowl of stuffing and steel yourself for a margin call.

There was massive selling on strength in the [[SPY]] yesterday (close to $700 mm) and I thought that would mean Fly would get his 10,500 and “done” on Friday.   With the Euros getting emasculated in early Turkey Day trading (down anywhere from 3.2% to 3.4%), however, all bets may be off, and our sweet tongued friend may remain “family friendly” till at least the end of December.

In other non-surprising news, I sold even more Silver Standard Resources Inc. (USA) [[SSRI]] and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] yesterday, 2k shares each, and to my horror, at prices well below their close.   That said, I am feeling more and more comfortable with my cash horde, and with my taking money off the table in these high falutin’ $HUI stocks.  

On Friday, I expect I will take the final step of getting rid of the rest of my [[AGQ]] (only 600 shs left, so not much) and selling some [[SLV]] and [[GLD]] for the first time in 14 months. 

I will not sell Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] or Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] only because I have not yet built full positions in those, and will take this pullback as a gift.  I have trimmed every other position anywhere from 30-50%, however.

I plan to celebrate tonight with some nice turkey and egregious amounts of California cabernet.  Caymus Special Reserve is my favourite (sic), but I’ll also bring some Freemark Abbey, as it’s a friend’s winery, and I’m partial.

Please have a Happy Thanksgiving, and try not to think too much about how cranes in Arabia (or other wealthy developing nation enclaves) nearly always designate a market top for most of the Western World.    

Best to you all, my friends, and watch the drinking and driving.

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Stretched Taut

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ba8OGkwgPOc 450 300] ____________________
Yeah, I’m still selling.

Maybe “Armegeddon-style.”  Like I’m one of these fine Japanesey blokes fighting like a samurai to smoosh my face against the rising nylon tide.

All I know is that the dollar trade is stre-e-e-e-e-e-tched taut. There’s only so much a dollah can take, after all.

Before it snaps.

So I’m selling, into egregiousity. I’m selling beautiful IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] — one third of my portion at 2k shares @ $18.87.

I even sold more Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] today… only 1k at $16.15, leaving me with 10k left.  I got rid of the bulk of my KKR Financial Holdings LLC [[KFN]] as well, 4k shares at $5.35.

Meanwhile, in Market Earth, people keep appeasing the Turkey Gods with supplications comprised of gold scoffing and precious metal pilgrimage, saying :

Oh Turkey Gods, if only you will make this a secular bull, and give reasons unto us that will be economically feasible for this uplifting in the markets, I will promise to stop throwing trash and banana excrement on my neighbor’s lawn, in Thy mercy.”

Too little too late, I say.  My pendulum is stuck at 9 o’clock, but not for long my fair thee widgets.   Said pendulum will come “crack-back” style to implode the knees of those hoping for a consolidato (Italian for “get up & go market”).

I am at 30% cash right now.  Near unprecedented.  There’s only so much a market can take, and guess what?   I’m selling more calls tomorrow.

Best to all you nylon tug of war mavens.

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Going Full Eeyore

Eeyore

He was Emo when Emo wasn’t cool.
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Stubbornly and like an ass, I sold continuously throughout  the day.    

In drips and drabs of course, but it becomes cumulative after a while.   Frankly, I don’t know how Docteur Le Fly does it.   It seems like one day he’s fully invested and then — BOOM! — He’s 60% in cash.

It doesn’t even seem to faze him.

I, on the other hand, agonize on every share sold in a rising market, even as I know deep down in my medulla oblongata (sic), it must be done.  I am at a little more than 25% cash right now and I feel as if I’ve been scourged on the wheel for a fortnight.

Perhaps I shall cut out that nasty M.O. and be shrived of my cognitive dissonance sins at last.  Who needs motor function anyway? I can always blog at you via sophisticated “eye-blink” technology, right?

Onto the shriving.   Needless to say, I bought nothing today, despite the ambulatory nature of such Ag Gems as Jacksonians The Andersons, Inc. [[ANDE]] and Monsanto Company [[MON]] , which finally broke back over the $80 barrier.    You remember the old Fly-saying, yes?  “If it gets over $80, it’s going to $120?

We shall see.   I also like Intrepid Potash, Inc. [[IPI]] and Agria Corporation (ADR) [[GRO]] , but lower.

Sales today were across the board on the PM’s and I even took the time to sell off some odds and ends as well.

I sold some enormous Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] today — almost 30% of my stash, 4k at $13.12.     I also sold 2k shares of the enormous performer IAMGOLD Corporation (USA) [[IAG]] , one third of my holdings in that name, for $18.85.    Sawing a hunk of my shoulder blade off would’ve been less painful.

Of my 6k shares of [[GDX]] I sold 2k outright at $50.18, and then hedged the remainder by selling March $50 calls at $5.25 a piece.

Taking a dull spoon to my eyes, I sold another 4k of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] , and then hedged 7k of the remaining 11 by selling 70 March $16 calls at $1.90 and $2.00.     Perhaps talking about it here will assuage my pain? 

I sold 2k of [[PAAS]] at $24.68 and another stray K of Allied Nevada Gold Corp. [[ANV]] at $12.16, leaving me with 4 and 10k respectively.    What will you have of me next?  My children?

Oh my, I must have been putting this one out of my mind, as I’d almost forgotten… I also sold 8k of [[EXK]] today (40%!) at $3.68.  Arthur Koestler, I know your Darkness at Noon!

Last on the precious fronts, I sold 1.5k of [[CDE]] at $21.99 and $22.03, and 4k of Rubicon Minerals Corp. (USA) [[RBY]] at $4.16.  

On the “odds and ends” front, I sold another 2k of [[BIOS]] at $7.68, leaving me with only 2k left, which I will not sell outside of Armegeddon, where I may need River Styx fare. 

I also sold 6k of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] for a rare loss (only a couple of pennies plus commish) on a complete “cautionary” basis.   I think I can buy those back cheaper, is all.    Last, I sold a stub amount (1k) of Sinovac Biotech Ltd. [[SVA]] which I’ve owned since the low $3 range, for $7.51.

Last, but not least, I booted the remainder of my [[ERX]] (1.5k) with the dividend pushout, at $38.46.

I am quite exhausted and on tenter-hooks, ovah heah, but I must trust my charts and instincts, or all is lost.   I am thinking we will see a correction at least into Turkey Week, as Tim Geithner and the Klown Kircus will be selling more yummy T-bonds into the maw of Mother Market whilst we prepare for Pilgrim Foods.

You know what that usually means by now, I expect.   If not, you have not been paying close attention, and are condemned to suffer the fate of Piglet during Swine Flu Saison (sic).    (Ostracism)

Best to you this weekend.   Off to see an Opera.

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Addenda — if you haven’t already done so, be sure to ring up your block head Senator and tell him/her that this Obamacare is a train wreck waiting to happen.     It looks like Dirty Harry Reid and the Dem Senate are taking a page out of Madame Pelosi’s book of legerdemain and are going to try to jam this through in a Saturday Night Special.   If this were a good bill, of course they’d have no need to be so serpentine.

Ciao.

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Rubbing My Belly into the Close

texbuddah

Yeeeeeeehhhh-haaaawwww!

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Omm-nom-nom-nom.

Deee-licio-OH-SOH.

What do you do with a market that won’t go down like this precious metal market will not?

You continue to take what it gives you, like a nice salami & provolone with banana peppers, and rub your belly into the close.

If you were wise enough to see the imminent destruction of the currency with the “Three Lemon Slot Machine Pull”  (POTUS, House & Senate) we ushered into office in November 2008,  you– my friendo — are sitting pretty right now.

Finally, you can afford all the best poodle grooming salons, and when you take your wife out to Chez Cherise you can order two rounds of Appletinis and there’s no talk of “Going Dutch” — practically ever.

You’ve grown so bold you’ve begun to get cheeky with Dr. Fly and starting throwing jibes his way over such nettles as Flotek and the teeny tiny coffee jug plays. 

Oh yes, you’re bold.

Well snap out of it!  The market doesn’t grow to the sky and three beanpoles do not a salad garden make! (Or something to that effect…)

Now is the time to harvest.  In fact, it’s beyond time.  You should be selling down at least a third of your stash as I have here.

Today I sold even more [[AGQ]] — another 1k shares at $68.05.   Just 600 shares left, sob.

I sold New Gold Inc. (USA) [[NGD]] — egregiously late as it turns out.  They announced  problems with the Mexican gov’t on one of their mines today and were punished like a thieving child. 

I took 60% of the position off (8k shares) at $3.74.   My over 50% gain in that stock melted down to 34.5%.   Que sera.  

I also took down a quarter of my NovaGold Resources Inc. (USA) [[NG]] position at $5.33 (4k shares),  mostly because it had the same first two letters as the above loathesome NGD.   For some reason, I left Northgate Minerals Corporation (USA) [[NXG]] alone.

I guess I like X.

I did not touch [[EXK]] , Exeter Resource Corp. [[XRA]] or [[ERX]] today.

I enjoy things with X.

I also dumped about 15% of my Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) [[GSS]] today (2k shares) at $3.56.   Just shaving.  Just paring.  Just rebuilding the war chest.  

To that end, I sold one more thousand shares of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] at $15.89.   I cried when I did it.  Fat, hot, soapy tears of real grief. 

In the odds and ends department, I launched the remainder of my OmniVision Technologies, Inc. [[OVTI]] , my Beazer Homes USA, Inc. [[BZH]] at $12.81 and $4.83 respectively.   

That’s a lot of trading for me.   My fingers are tired.  My cash horde is looming.  I am not gruntled.

Adieu.

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