Thoughts on recent action

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I decided to start blogging again. I’ve done it on and off over the years under various aliases, all with fantastic results in my money management career. As soon as I start to deviate from it, it’s like not counting calories; you walk in front of the mirror one morning and think “oh..”. So, lets talk shop. It’s not a surprise that 7 years into a recovery we are starting to see signs that mid/late cycle developed markets are slowing down. However, some sectors are still looking ripe for squeezes and or tactical long positions. I’ve been discussing it with co-workers, but all else if a global disaster doesn’t happen and S&P stays above 1600 by year end, looks like 2016 will be a great trade for relative value guys. That is, long early/mid cycle EM’s + EU equities and stay core short countries with serious structural issues.

I love shorting euro on pops. You heard Druck, its going to .80. Love countries like Vietnam. I think guys who are still short short term and didnt cover are going to be skullfucked going into mid-week.

 

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