[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Y88SaP4orc&feature=related 450 300] God Bless our Veterans This Day… “to the Lost!”
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First, my thanks to all who serve and who have served. This is your day, God Bless.

Second, I just got back from my road trip so I’ll be brief.  There’s not much more room in this dollar bounce, in my humble.  In fact, I may amend my $79 target (the 13-week EMA) down to $78.60, which is the 50-day EMA.  

No, none of these numbers ever work out exactly, like some sort of magic poodle act, but they are a decent guide for resistance levels — especially when we are entering overbought territory already.  Behold — 

And when that dollar starts turning down, the PM’s will start running again, with abandon.  The silvers have hardly slowed down, but EXK would be on my radar screen along with the usual suspects.

Mostly, the gold juniors are looking the most appetizing here, specifically IAG , IVN and EGO.   However, this knife catch will probably be my first buy when the dollar cracks its head tomorrow:

Ciao to you all, annoying Italianate friends.   Go out there and buy a beer for a veteran or a current service person, and never be embarrassed to say “Thanks for your service!” to someone in uniform.  They really appreciate it, every time.

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This is good…

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wty7974IKg&feature=related 450 300]

This might be even better….

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b8XVMU5obkc&feature=related 450 300]

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C’mon California!  The Giants have done the hard part and dispatched the Crackboys for you.   This leaves the NFL safe for Niner and Charger domination.   Who knows?  Even the Raiduhs are showing signs of life…

Now all you have to do is get rid of Barbara Boxer and reclaim one of the greatest states in the Union.

I know you can do it.  God speed.

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If you were on The PPT today, you saw that I added a tonne of metal back to my portfolio.   AGQ, EXK, GSS, IVN, RGLD, and even FRG were all added at favorable prices.

I also got rid of the last of my hedges at a slight profit. 

Last, I added to my PBR, my favorite long term earl play.   Yes it’s Brazilian, and someday it will be worth a Brazilian bucks to my family.

That is all.   Keep watching that dollar.   My best to you, especially those people in Kelly-Phonia, who can once again give direction to the U.S. with the right move here.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwpdGyIY2fQ&feature=channel 450 300]

This is pretty incredible, especially considering it’s from CBS’s 60 Minutes…  Watch the whole thing if you can.  Sobering.

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Feel free to pay attention to all the goings on in this weekend’s G-20 Meeting in Seoul, South Korea.  It’s said they will “contain” this current race-to-the-bottom devaluing fest we’ve seemed to have ignited in order to keep our mortgage market afloat.

I have other ideas, however.

I will instead sacrifice a small goat in a special backyard Harvest Celebration in hopes the the Great Pumpkin will descend into my wife’s tomato gardens, and fix all of our U.S. currency iniquities without locking us up in a stockade in the Hague or sending us to plantations in Dominican Republic to hack tall cane for short beer.

I really believe this is the wiser strategy, and what’s more, it seems goats are running three for six dollars down at the Kroger this weekend.  That leaves two for milking as a bonus.

The dollar markets are already returning to form this evening, and they are down below $77, again, as I type this.   Here’s what’s got me scratching my ribcage like I’ve got a needle-sharp case of the Shingles:

The prospects for the plummeting dollar may change by tomorrow morning, but as for now, I’m planning on giving thanks to the Great Pumpkin (a god as powerful, some say, as the Turkey gods themselves!) and putting back on most of my precious risk trades….

And mooooooooaaahh!

And yes, that includes going back to AGQ, and adding to all of my silver hordes, including EXK, PAAS, EXK and maybe even some MVG.   I will also be adding IVN as mentioned, and more GSS, and RGLD if I can get it quickly enough.

Watch yourselves this week, folks, and watch that vid to get a taste of where we really are these days.   My best to you all, especially my friends in California.

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Not my Yanks, that’s for sure
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Drawdown days are a bitch, I don’t care how well hedged you are. Some of my positions took 7 and even 8% haircuts today, but mostly that was the small ones. The bigger ones were hedged, so the bleeding was not entirely egregious. I was almost entirely out of my AGQ with only 400 shares left, so that was not a horrible caining I took even in that double slammer today, given I formerly owned 3k shares.

Word to the wise, the $HUI index is oversold already on the deep dive it did today, so I would not dwell long in the land of shorting this gold bull.  You are far more likely to receive  profitable thrills by waving your junk at a basket filled with hungry ferrets.

Of all the single precious issues out there, I like IVN and GSS to rebound first.  Don’t ask me why, just attend to my Spider Senses.   I also like almost precious REE, if it ever comes back down to earth again.  

In the non-metals world, I still love the Trannies and their strength here, relative to the scaredy cat sell off.   I especially love UPS, and you should look to add to this core holding if it can dip just a little below to it’s 50-day EMA at $66.60 or so:

RGLD is another core hold  you should be looking to glom here.   I will be adding to it, to ANV and to SLW very shortly. 

Watch the dollah!   More tomorrah!

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwkpfSMOyXU 450 300]

A Fistful of Awesome!

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Yep, I went and did it again today.   I didn’t like the pin action in the price of gold, not to mention the dollar, and so hedged most of my major positions, including SLW, ANV, EGO and RGLD, with short calls, just slightly in the money, one month out (Novembers). 

I also trimmed my AGQ once again, selling another 400 shares at $104+.  I now have only a measly 400 shares left from my original 3,000.   We are retardedly over the 200 day moving average in silver, which just refuses to stand down, but AGQ will be a hard break when it does finally succumb to gravity, I’d contend.  

The good I see ahead is in the precious metals, big surprise, no?   That’s why I’m only shorting calls, rather than selling big chunks, though I did sell 30% of EXK yesterday, instead of selling the calls.   At prices below $5, however, and really even below $10, I see there being little difference in the price of a call, and the price of a stock, so I just sell the underlying to a point where I’m comfortable holding through the storm, and then I just hang on.

The bad I saw today, was in the bank stocks.  I thought at first that this mortgage gig was a smokescreen, readied by The Powers That Are  to scare some valuations down for coming bank M&A’s.   That thesis may still be correuct, but I was given pause by the action of the bank index ($BKX) today.   Observe:

 After all this hooplah since early September, you’d think the financials would have something better to show us than the above, no?   And yet, it’s looking bad for now.   I shall revisit my “possible takeover” thesis later in the year, as I still believe there’s a strong percentage still in betting on a flurry of acquisitions coming off at the end of this year.

In the meantime, I dumped the last of my BBT, FITB and even JPM.   I may buy back one of those after this storm has passed here, but for now, cash is better than banks.

The ugly is none other than the mighty U.S. dollar, which seemed to get it’s bounce today, off the $76.40 low area and is now almost 30 cent higher at $76.70.   

This bounce should give you an opportunity to consolidate some positions, and perhaps enter others.  I have my eye on more GSS, which is one of the few gold and silver plays that is not yet overbought.  But be ready to pounce with all alacrity on the whole universe, as this pullback may be short lived.

Or, not lived at all. 

My best to you.

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Can you handle it?

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Not as well known a ditty as “Red sun at night, sailor’s delight,” but far more remunerative.  

First, my apologies for not being able to interact last night save by teeny tiny Crackberry screen, which after a day of meetings off-site (I am on the coast now), left my weary eyes strained.   I’ve never actually attempted to post from a hand-held device, save for comments, and I’m wondering if any of my fellow bloggers have. 

No matter, I’m here briefly to let you know we are at an inflection point, in case you haven’t noticed.  The dollar has broken some significant support levels at $82, and I think it’s next stop — and quickly there- will be $80.   I think old Ben has finally gone and done it and broken the bank.  Your only respite will be equities an precious metals in the near term.   For the long term it will be only the latter, I’m afraid. 

In the meantime, as it always seems to happen, I am enjoying “large phallused gains” in almost every category of my holdings, but none more so than the precious, and specifically silver and gold.   One of my correspondants was wondering about possibly putting on some more IAG exposure for the short term rebound.  Now would be that time, young chappo. 

Also, all the silver gods and dogs should move today and through this expansion as silver has easily crushed the $20 resistance mark and is now back on its way to all time highs.  I may take this opportunity to add some leverage to my holding through some DEC call action on SLW.  I may add also to some “permanent options” like EXK and GSS.

In short, the PM’s are like fat, slow blind juicy turkeys out there and you are armed with a blunderbuss on the third week of November.  Go forth pilgrim, and pacify.

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