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Scott Bleier

Read Scott here on iBankCoin and also at http://www.createcapital.com/

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It’s criminal…But it sure is fun!

The new FED Governors Vice Chariman is out making comments. Yellen says:

Mortgage buying effort worked as planned
No inflation
Mortgage rates will stay low
Now is not the time to tighten rate policy

They see exactly what the stock market is doing. But inflation is not around the corner. It is deflation. Have you seen the prices of assets other than copper and oil? Do you think your house will go up in value anytime soon?

Stocks are in the midst of the end-of-the-quarter blow-off. The odd lotters are back and buying anything that moves. Is now the time to buy? Nope. Now is the time to sell…

That doesn’t mean we will stop and reverse down. It simply means that things are getting silly. It’s great fun, but when the upward pressure stops, most stocks will fall while the major averages simply stabilize. Be ready for new setups…Maybe even some shorts…

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A perfect world for the markets, again!

There is lot’s of news. The economy has “headwinds” and “challenges”. The recovery will be “modest”.

What that means is that there is enough bad news to keep the presses printing and the FED pumping with near zero interest rates for a long, long time.

Yet the government statistics show how much better things were than last year when we were in the midst of the greatest meltdown of our lifetimes.

The Wall Street machine has bought it hook, line and sinker.

This may be all short covering and there may be some “real” investing going on, but after an uninterrupted recovery back to new highs, and this mornings surprise reversal, plus the quarter end approaching–momentum has taken over. Period, end of story…

ADDENDUM: There are so many short setups but I am scared to death to try–just yet…soon grasshopper…soon

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Dilemma! or it’s Dart-throwing time…

Welcome to the meltup. We should have gone down. Instead we went up. Now most everything is rallying in the face of double tops, negative divergences, overbought conditions and anything else you can shake your technical stick at.

We have been able to ring the register with 10-40% gains in this six week rally. I feel like I need to buy more stuff because its all going up. But when I identify a stock to buy and look at it carefully, I am convinced that I am going to get bagged as the last one in.

But the dollar is dropping. The FED has our back. It’s the end of the quarter. The Treasury has our back. Earnings will be terrific. The government has our back. I still own some stuff. Will that placate me? Is that good enough? Probably not as I am staring at a low-priced technology stock as we speak. More later!

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