iBankCoin
Read Scott here on iBankCoin and also at http://www.createcapital.com/
Joined Jan 19, 2010
717 Blog Posts

Same Game, Different Names.

Railroads. Radio. Nifty Fifty. Personal Computers. Biotech. Internet

You see that every few decades there are new bubble/booms. And in every new boom there is a bubble in a few of the leading names.

In the most recent Internet boom the stocks everyone had to own were the “Four Horsemen” of Microsoft, Intel, Cisco & Dell. They peaked with a market value of nearly $1.5 trillion. Combined they bottomed just a few years later with a value of of $250 billion, a loss of 80% from peak to trough. They have since doubled off their respective low-water mark to a market value of about half a trillion.

Today that group is comprised simply of Apple, Google & Amazon. Currently they sport a market value of just over $1 trillion. At their low water mark, at their 2008 lows, they traded with a market value of about $170 billion. They are up almost 500%.

In each bubble/boom, the names that “everyone must own” become ridiculous, yet are justified at their time. Today is no different.

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6 comments

  1. Tonka

    Percentage increase =

    [(Ending value – Starting value) / Starting value] x 100

    So, for the three companies you speak of:

    [(1 trillion – 170 billion) / 170 billion] x 100 = 488%

    Dell from 1996 to 2000 where it increased from $0.72 to $60:

    [(60 – 0.72) / 0.72] x 100 = 8233%

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  2. Mr. Cain Thaler

    Wait, are you saying I can’t get rich buying the Nifty Fifty?

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  3. Bernanke

    Grpn,lnkd,FB,znga

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  4. Yabollox

    What will the next batch be?

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    • drummerboy

      bonds.it’s a new bag by loui vitton, all the masses will be holding one !

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