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Hangin’ Out in Devil Dawg’s Bunker

Yes, I’ve been down here all day stacking cans of chicken stock and chewing tobacky with the Devil Dawg, whilst we discuss Obamacare Armageddon scenarios and the influence of Frederick Heidegger on the work of the BeeGees, post-Staying Alive.

Okay, so it’s not that bad yet, but I’ve “taken some steps” ovah heah, as I mentioned I would last night.   One of them was to cut back a bit on certain plays where I had some substantial gains (in the case of Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) [[SLW]] and Thompson Creek Metals Company, Inc. [[TC]] ) or wanted to reduce some exposure due to flaccidity Eldorado Gold Corporation (USA) [[EGO]] — all in order to raise cash.  

I sold 25% each of the SLW and EGO and another one third of the TC, as it broke $9.25.    I now have just a third of my original 1,407 shares of TC purchased at $7.11 left.  This second batch was sold at quite a bit less than the first ($11.21), but still at a 30% premium.

The SLW was sold at $8.21 right before the close, and the EGO at $8.12, at 6.35% and 1.5% returns, respectively.  Ugly and the folk in the PPT will tell you how reluctant I was to part with even that much, but a necessary cash raiser for our protective [[TZA]] , of which we purchased $10,000 worth at $24.82(as mentioned this morning in the last post’s comments), similar to our other “initial purchases” in the JCHP.    I reserve the right to add more in $10k increments, and may do so tomorrow, depending on where this market is headed.

I am also looking at [[SMN]] as a possible add tomorrow, and Natural Resource Partners LP [[NRP]] as a possible cut, again depending on what the commodity movers do.  Stay tuned.

             
Name 22-Jun % Change 23-Jun % Change   Comments
ANDE  $ 28.45    $ 28.23 -0.77%    50-day @ $27.53, could “touch & go.”
EGO       7.65         8.07 5.49%   Strong launch off the 200 day today (7.64)
GDX     35.74       37.33 4.45%   Also bounced off the 200 day EMA (35.71)
GLD     90.54       90.92 0.42%   $90 seems like support/
IAG       9.04         9.58 5.97%   Nice rebound from yesterday’s plunge.
MON     78.12       79.30 1.51%   Continue to watch that $77.25 level.
NRP     20.60       20.65 0.24%   Rebounded weakly, may sell tomorrow.
PAAS     18.02       18.31 1.61%   Need some follow through tomorrow
RGLD     41.12       42.43 3.19%   Closed just about 50 day ($42.27)
SLV     13.54       13.62 0.59%   Tepid response, but POS up 15 cents tonight.
SLW       7.97         8.21 3.01%   Needs to reclaim 200 day @ 8.40, or die trying.
SSRI     17.56       17.99 2.45%   same as above, 200 day is @18.91
TBT     53.28       51.85 -2.68%   Could easily get back to 49.25 before bounce.
TC       9.40         9.42 0.21%   Sold another 1/3 at $9.24.
TCK     14.57       15.51 6.45%   Nice bounce off 200 day EMA @ 14.62
TZA     24.82       25.57 3.02%   New hedge entrant, up nominally today.
AVG (daily)       2.20%    
AVG (monthly)       -9.93%    
AVG (inception)   11.03%    
Cash ( 000’s)    $   4.14    

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Bang! Bang! Maxwell’s Silver Hammer

I was beaten like a silver gong today, and Mr. Market is telling me in not so polite terms that I’d better get the hood up on the convertible before he starts raining golf ball sized hail on my head.

I’ve been busy here so I don’t have a ton of time for comment, but suffice it to say, until further notice, we are in bunker mode.  That means I will be hedging the JCHP with double and treble ETF’s in order to make up for any downward motion in the silver and gold plays.  As well, I may either cut back severely, or totally eliminate certain positions.  

Natural Resource Partners LP [[NRP]] is an example.    I am keeping it right now, even though it is down more than 10% since inception because it carries a high dividend yield (almost 9% at inception, higher now).  However, I may get rid of it if it dumps below $20.   I may also take this opportunity to lard on some [[SMN]] or other appropriate short shields.   I will definitely add [[TZA]] — the triple short small cap —  at the open for instance, since I bot some just before the close today for my own portfolio ($24.92

I think we’ll probably get a bit of a bounce tomorrow, and I’ll be taking that opportunity to move into cash and some hedges, as I don’t think this is over.  If it’s just a short term blip, so be it.   We can scale back in when the ground is safer.   In the meantime, protecting principal (and gains) will be the paramount idea. 

I’ll update the JCHP later tonight.

Update:  One thing to keep in mind is that the US Gubb’mint needs to sell over $100 billion in bonds this week.  You think there might be a reason to jack the price of Treasuries [[TLT]] for such selling purposes?  Remember, Goldman sells these things for them.

Update: Here’s yesterday’s ugly Jacksonians.  I just picked up some TZA @ 24.85 (yes, lower than yesterday’s entry) for insurance:

Name 19-Jun 22-Jun % Change   Comments
ANDE  $ 28.61  $   28.45 -0.56%   Spent most of the session up
EGO       8.20         7.65 -6.71%   Broke $8 support, next at $7.19
GDX     38.39       35.74 -6.90%   Broke TL barely, needs to get back to 36.75
GLD     91.90       90.54 -1.48%   Also broke TL, needs to see over $91.50 
IAG       9.36         9.04 -3.42%   Also beneath TL, needs $9.35
MON     80.73       78.12 -3.23%   Still on trend, needs to stay over $78.
NRP     21.99       20.60 -6.32%   Sell below $20.00  
PAAS     18.93       18.02 -4.81%   Least banged up silver today, still above TL
RGLD     43.08       41.12 -4.55%   Still above TL, 38.2% fib @ $39.50
SLV     13.99       13.54 -3.22%   Still above TL til $12.87
SLW       8.63         7.97 -7.65%   Right on long term TL today, gotta bounce here.
SSRI     18.92       17.56 -7.19%   Still on long term TL til 16.50, could get there.
TBT     54.34       53.28 -1.95%   Could easily get back to 49.25 before bounce.
TC     10.54         9.40 -10.82%   Sell all on a break of $9.25, 1/2 on gap fill 10.38
TCK     16.54       14.57 -11.91%   Sell below 14.35, long term TL @ $12.50
AVG (daily)     -5.38%    
AVG (monthly)   -12.15%    
AVG (inception)   9.39%    
Cash ( 000’s)  $       4.61    

UPDATE: The following astounding link should be clicked by all.   Keep in mind that The POTUS just asked that the Fed be put in charge of MORE of our financial system, and then watch this.

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