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Tag Archives: $LRAD

11-07-2014 Trading Journal

Looking to the right, then left… nothing in sight, the bull then cautiously trotted onward.

SPY_Daily

Price continued to move higher; however, it needs to pick up speed soon or it may start to dip down.

Today was a correction day for my port. Except for the energy and gold, the rest was down.

I added more $NUGT when it took out yesterday high. Unfortunately, I was still recovering from Wednesday stop-out when I loaded up big; thus my position is only half of what I bet in Wednesday’s chip size..  In hindsight, I was one day too early in loading up.  Sometimes, suffering a bigger hit can affect your propensity to remain aggressive in the same stock.  Instead I diversified my cash to $URA to play safe.  Although $URA also bounced, it did not bounce as much as $NUGT.  But these are all hindsight talking, I should be happy that today price gain on $NUGT recovered the losses I took in Wednesday stop-out.  And I should be happy that I went back in despite multiple times of stopping out for small losses.

NUGT_daily

While the bounce is impressive, it has yet to prove that the bottom is in.  Although I like to load up “at the bottom”, sometimes you just have to take the gift of the momentum when you see one.

NUGT_weekly

The weekly $NUGT chart above shows the first weekly green bar after nine consecutive red bars.  I may add a bit more if price continues to advance.

$URA has an impressive bounce today.  I’m so glad I’ve decided to buy some yesterday.  Sometimes chart reading can help you get that “nudge” to move in.  The double-bottom setup was a tale-tell sign even though it wasn’t a guarantee, the odd is better than 50% a bounce can happen if the price did not drop the following day.  That was why I bought yesterday when it did not open down to negate the up day before. And when price opened higher today, it increased the odd of a continued bounce so I double-down after the open.

ura_daily

Weekly chart below:

URA_weekly

Both daily and weekly charts show a strong bounce.  As long as price does not take out recent low from here, I believe we are seeing the bottom in uranium.

$BAS also bounced but not as much as $URA.  However, I’m taking any bounce regardless of % gain since a continuing upward momentum is needed to change the trend back to up.

BAS_daily

At least the price closed above the 5 MA line which is a good positive sign.

BAS_weekly

The weekly chart, on the other hand, is not so encouraging.  The next weekly bar needs to take out the high of this week bar to confirm a good reversal bounce.  Nevertheless, the 2013 low is right below to act as support.

$DMRC spent the week consolidating around the low of Monday down day.

DMRC_daily

I take it as a good sign that price did not break below the 23.6% Fib retracement support (blue line).

DMRC_weekly

The weekly chart above simply shows a normal correction after three weeks of up bar.

$LRAD corrected a bit more today.

LRAD_weekly

While there wasn’t much of a follow-up to Tuesday big move day, the weekly bar above still shows a price increase from last week.  In other words, price is advancing slowly. I’ll take that anytime any day over a down week.

$ORBC was down ’cause the secondary offering is priced at $5.60.  Price has no choice but to follow-thru to find the equilibrium.  But it doesn’t need to stay there as I’ve learned the hard way from $CLDX which I got out after the offering and missed the spectacular rise from $7 to $20+.

ORBC_daily

I like the way price regained momentum to close near the high of the day.

ORBC_weekly

From the weekly chart above, I like the fact that price regained momentum to close above the 89 MA line.  I’m excited about the acquisition for I believe it will put $ORBC into strong competitive advantage over the long-run in the M2M sector.  I’m holding this one for long-haul.

Due to corrections from $LRAD, $DMRC, $ORBC and thanks to gains from $NUGT, $URA, and $BAS that helped cushion the losses, my port gave back 2.2% for the day with YTD gain now at 10.5%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, BAS, URA, NUGT and 3.8% cash.

From my other account:

$MCIG had a good week with this week bar higher than last week.

MCIG_weekly

I’m waiting for my dividend share of the spin-off for Vitasig.

My 2 cents.

 

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11-06-2014 Trading Journal

The bull continued to trot upward in a fine sunny day.

SPY_Daily

New high and you can see the uptrend has been staying on top of the 5 MA line all the way which signify a strong bullish tone.

Today, I bought $URA to look for a possible double-bottom on uranium play.

ura_daily

As you can see on the daily chart above, price bouncing yesterday set up a potential for a double-bottom from mid October.  Due to price not trading down in the morning, I decided to buy a starter position to see if this double-bottom can hold.

$BAS also bounced some more today which improves the odd of finding a bottom with the 2013 low as support.

BAS_daily

The blue line you see in the chart is the line of the 2013 low.  Let’s see if price can continue to climb from here. Yesterday, I forgot to mention that I got the idea of $BAS from Mr. Cain Thaler of the ibankcoin.com.  Mr. Thaler penned a post about $BAS and I like what I read; thus I chose $BAS as my bottom-picking oil play.

$DMRC continued to hold the ground at the 23.6% fib retracement level.

DMRC_daily

Today was a small range low volume day which is to me a day to rest a bit after a yoyo weak.

$LRAD continued to fight against weak and impatient traders while waiting for earning announcement.  From my quick search, last year November earnings reporting date was Nov. 21st; so we should be expecting the same time frame for this month earning report.

LRAD_daily

Price is still strong to stay above the 5 MA line.

$ORBC announced today that it is to acquire SkyWave Mobile Communications for $130 mln. and on the same day also announced a public offering of up to $72 million of its shares of common stock.  On top of that, earnings announcement will be on November 10th.

My only response is “Wow!”

I’m thrilled!  I don’t care how the market is going to react tomorrow but I’m excited about the prospect of $ORBC becoming the largest global space-based M2M communications company.

ORBC_daily

 

Since these announcement came in after hour, the chart above showed a neutral stance.  Tomorrow, we will see how the market react to this news.  It’s really a toss since you have a secondary offering against an acquisition.  I’m glad I chose $ORBC despite the fact that I gave up $SWIR to focus on this one.  We will see if $ORBC can regain what I’ve missed in $SWIR spectacular run.

I also bought back a small position on $NUGT when price opened higher.  Since it is a small position, I use a mental stop instead of a hard stop.  By closing bell, I’m still in.

Thanks to $LRAD bouncing back, my port was up slightly with a day gain of 0.4%,  YTD gain is now at 12.7%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, BAS, URA, NUGT, and 5.9% cash.

From my other account:

I’m so glad I sold $FITX yesterday to cut my losses; otherwise, I would suffer another 43.6% losses.  Meanwhile, $MCIG got approval to spin off Vitasig.  Yay!  I will be getting a 1 to 1 dividend shares on the spin-off.  My last positive result from a spin-off was the Parametric Sound Corporaton (formerly PAMT).  PAMT was a spinoff from $LRAD.  I know not all spinoffs are the same but I like the concept of Vitasig so I’m betting it will work out.

My 2 cents.

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11-04-2014 Trading Journal

The bull was actually meandering around eating grass… good grief!

SPY_Daily

But the good news is that price is still on top of the 5 MA line.

On the other hand, my port was having a great day!

$LRAD made a spectacular come back to approach $3. While price did not pass $3 yet, it may do so tomorrow.

LRAD_daily

From the daily chart, the up move today with higher than average volume could signify a potential explosion to the upside. This potential ballistic upside is very possible if $LRAD win one (or even both) of the orders from the two large Middle East cities for the mass notification systems.  Per previous earnings announcement, $LRAD is anticipating a response from one of the cities this month- November.

$DMRC gained back yesterday’s loss.

DMRC_daily

The green bar today put a reversal spin on the drops from the last two days.  If their mobile payment solution can get traction, this can go much higher.  Nevertheless, today bounce was also attributed to the upgrade by Cowen and Company.

I bought back $GALE after their earning report simply because their net revenues from the Abstral sublingual tablet had increased and I believe it would continue to increase thru out the year and beyond.

Gale_daily

Price bounced back above the 15 MA line.  If this bounce can hold, I’ll hold; if not, I may cut losses quickly.

$ORBC was basically neutral for the day.  I was also stopped out of $NUGT at breakeven after I set my hard stop to my entry point when price opened down.

Thanks to $LRAD and $DMRC rallies, my port gained 4.6% for the day with YTD gain at 13.7%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, GALE and 12.5% cash.

From my other account:

Both $FITX and $MCIG bounced today; so I’m doing ok here.

My 2 cents.

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10-31-2014 Trading Journal

Boom!  Just like that, the bull was standing by the previous high… almost touching it.

SPY_Daily

From the weekly chart below, you can see that it took four weeks for the bear to bring it down to the 79 & 89 MA lines area; yet it took the bull only two weeks to get back up to near previous high.  Who is in charge?

SPY_Weekly

The bull!

$NUGT gapped down from yesterday big dump which seemed to me was overdone.  So I decided to play the catch-the-falling-knife once more time by buying the opening range breakout.  I was looking for a possible island reversal bottom formation.  In mid-day when price began to rally again after dipping back below opening range, I added some more.  However, when closing bell was approaching, price began to sell off.  Giving this bearish closing momentum, I decided against holding over the weekend and sold out my position for small losses.

I also bought back $AMRN when the weekly script number went back to 9,4xx.  Last week it dipped down to 9,2xx from 9,4xx so it wasn’t very encouraging which probably explained the price drop.  But with script # going back up, there is a possibility of reaching 10,000 script in a couple of weeks.  I could see that I wasn’t the only one buying back in.

AMRN_daily

Price showed a bullish engulfment candlestick bar today so let’s see if it signifies a bottom here.

$DMRC finally corrected today which was a well-deserved one since price had been climbing non-stop the whole week.

DMRC_daily

However, I’m not crazy about the bearish engulfment bar today from the daily chart above.  But then, a bearish engulfment bar has to be confirmed next week by making lower low.  We will see if that is the case.  On the other hand, the weekly chart below shows a bit more bullish tone overall.

DMRC_weekly

Take a look at the third week up bar in January. It also had a long tail on the top; however, price continued higher in the four week.  Will $DMRC repeat the same pattern next week?  We will see.

$ORBC had a good day as well as a good week.

Daily chart below:

ORBC_daily

Weekly chart below:

ORBC_weekly

Price closed above $6 for the week after struggling all week to climb out of $5ish.  The weekly chart showed a successful basing on top of the 79 & 89 MA lines.  I think price is ready to rally from here.  Of course, it will be relying on catalyst from the upcoming earning report.

$LRAD spent all week being neutral.

LRAD_weekly

So, I wasn’t surprised the week ended in a doji bar as you can see in the weekly chart above.  It is also depending on upcoming earning announcement to determine future direction.

I sold $STV today for small losses due to its inability to bounce in a bullish day.  I bought it for the bounce and I would not want to hold if it could not bounce.  This was purely a trading position so conviction played no part in my wanting to hold.

Due to correction from $DMRC, my port gave back 0.2% today.  YTD gain is now at 10.9%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, AMRN and 7.9% cash.

From my other account:

I bought back some $FITX today looking for a bounce.  $MCIG also rallied some today so the bounce is happening.

MCIG_daily

FITX_daily

Both $FITX and $MCIG charts look bouncy from here.

My 2 cents.

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10-30-2014 Trading Journal

After an initial dip into the water, the bull marched back up the hill with the hill top within sight.

SPY_Daily

The uptrend is quite convincing at this point.  Price is approaching the recent high and we may even make new high next week if the momentum continues.

I made a new trade today by adding $STV with a starter position to my port..  I’m expecting a rally from here to mid-Nov before earning report.

STV_daily

Price “tried” to rally but frizzled out.  Since it is still supported by the 89 MA line, I like to see it rally next week.

$DMRC continued to impress by closing positive again.

DMRC_daily

I see more positive development going into November.  Digimarc will be showing their Mobile Payment Solution at the Money 20/20 Conference in Las Vegas next week.  Let’s see if they can make a splash with their technology.  Any positive acceptance to their mobile solution will add another major revenue stream alongside their Digimarc barcode system.  This will create a significant upside in price movement for $DMRC.  Of course, there are a lot of “IF” here and there.  But I’ve my chips on the table for the bet.

$LRAD did not partake into today general market rally.  It corrected a bit instead.

LRAD_daily

There is really nothing to do but wait for earning report and news on the Middle East mass notification sales.

$ORBC had an impressive come back after an initial drop at the open.  Due to my strong conviction, the morning drop did not faze me.  I wished I could say the same for $GALE which obviously rallied on after shaking me out.

ORBC_daily

Price has now reached back to the 79 & 89 MA lines.  Perhaps tomorrow or next week, it will rally on ahead to $7.

Due to $LRAD correction, gains from $DMRC and $ORBC were reduced to only 0.4% for the day.  YTD gain is now at 11.1%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, STV and 13% cash.

From my other account:

$MCIG finally bounced today as I’d expected.

MCIG_daily

I like to see price bounces from here.

My 2 cents.

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10-29-2014 Trading Journal

The bull had a bad hiccup but recovered later in the day.

SPY_Daily

Price bounced off the 5 MA line and closed only a bit lower than yesterday which is actually a good sign considered that there would be no more QE.

Today, I was literally shaken off my position on $GALE.  Seeing price fell off all of a sudden to low $2 from $2.07, I started to unload my position ’cause I didn’t have a lot of conviction on this one.  I also began to see the recent bounce as a possible ABC correction pattern if the breakout to the upside didn’t work out.  Seeing that Monday is the earning day, I decided it was too risky to hold at this point.  As usual, after I was out, price jumped right back up and even closed higher for the day.  This is what happen when you don’t have conviction on a stock.  With the conviction I’ve for $LRAD, $DMRC, and $ORBC, the short-term trading volatility does not faze me at all.  One way to explain it is that my conviction has grown root into my mindset such that it is as strong as a tree with root in the ground.

$AMRN is like a tree that has been blown off the ground by tornado so many times that it no longer has strong root.  Thus, any slight disagreement with the price direction can trigger my mental stop loss quite easily.  With price dropped to near 0.9 even, I unloaded $AMRN to take small losses.

$NUGT was a no brainer in cutting losses when price dropped like a rock after spiking up to $19.4x. I cut my losses when I realized $18 was not going to hold.

$DMRC showed strength when it was able to counter the sell off to close higher for the day.

DMRC_daily

In its subtle way, it actually had a higher high and a higher low for the day.

$LRAD had a slightly lower closing.

LRAD_daily

Nevertheless, price is still above the 5 MA line.

Due to losses from $AMRN, $NUGT, and $GALE, my port gave back 0.7% today with YTD gain at 10.7%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC and 15.6% cash.

From my other account:

I’m still holding $MCIG despite another smaller drop today.

MCIG_daily

From the chart, It may bounce from here due to a smaller range day and lower volume.

My 2 cents.

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10-28-2014 Trading Journal

After getting out of the mud, the bull jumped into the river and swam pass the 79 & 89 markers into the bull territory.  The bull has come back home.

SPY_Daily

Price has convincingly crossed the 79 & 89 MA lines to the upside which is a strong bullish sign.

Today, I bought back $AMRN, $NUGT, and $GALE.

I like $GALE here due to a possible breakout pattern from the daily chart.

Gale_daily

From the chart, you can see that price has broken out of the $2 resistance today. I’m sensing a momentum coming to take the price higher.  It is possible we may see $2.5 and $3 in the near future.  However, the potential upside is very depending on the upcoming earnings report on November 3rd.  I’m going to do some research to determine if I want to hold this one thru earnings.

I bought back $AMRN expecting a bounce.  I’m also committed to have some position in this stock just in case of any positive catalyst to pop this one back up.  And I want to be in the stock when it happens.  I’ve invested too much time, money, and heart-break to see this one take off without me.  So, even though I might have sold to cut losses, I’ll always find a point to buy back.

$NUGT is a stock that I’m trying to catch the bottom by jumping in and out to avoid getting suck into the black hole.  I do not want to forget it and then one day see it takes off like a rocket without me on board.  I don’t mind the multiple small losses I’m racking up ’cause once I’ve caught the bottom, this one will bring in more $ than the small losses I’m taking now.

$DMRC continued to march ahead.  The shorts had its fun so now it is the bull’s turn to drive the price higher.  This uptrend reminds me of the January uptrend which started from $20 and moved all the way to $36 without much of a correction.  Could $DMRC repeat this feat and beat the January price range by making new high?

DMRC_daily

With more retailers joining the Digimarc barcode system, price could simply keep going up without stopping.  If their mobile payment solution has any leg, watch out.  This one can become huge.  Perhaps, it will make up for my missing the $LNG trade.

$LRAD is moving cautiously.

LRAD_daily

At least, it is moving in the right direction.

$ORBC finally got some good news to halt the falling price.  Today it announced win of 16,000 units order from one of the nation’s largest retail fleet.  I believe this is just the beginning of a migration.  With the eleven new state-of-the-art satellites to be launched soon, more and more businesses will sign up is my take of it.

ORBC_daily

Finally a green bar to stop the falling reds.

Almost forgot to mention that I sold $XONE near $25 to lock in gain ’cause of its potential resistance at $25ish.

Thanks to $DMRC and $LRAD (my two largest position), my port gained another 2.3% today with YTD gain at 11.4%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, GALE, AMRN, NUGT and 5% cash.

From my other account:

Still holding $MCIG despite another down day…

My 2 cents.

 

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10-27-2014 Trading Journal

Today was a stuck-in-mud day for the bull.

SPY_Daily

The good news is that price is still inside the 79 & 89 MA lines and above the 5 MA line.   There is still no sign of the bear nearby despite being stuck.

Today, only one turned red in my port.  I also bought a starter position on $XONE.  I’d been eyeing this one for awhile and decided today would be the good day to go in.

XONE_daily

Price was barely above the 5 MA line when I bought and I like the fact that price was staying above the 5 MA line during the morning time when the market was in negative territory.  It was a good buy since my position is in solid green by closing bell.

$DMRC continued to march ahead.

DMRC_daily

After an initial dip, buyers came back in to drive the price back up.  Just as easy as the short had walked the price down, the bull is walking the price back up.

$LRAD spent the day maintaining its range above the 79 & 89 MA lines while waiting for the coming earnings result.

LRAD_daily

While price hasn’t shot up yet, everything in the chart tells me something is about to happen soon.

$ORBC continued to disappoint by having another down day.

ORBC_daily

I’m curious about the coming earning result. Did they pick up more customers from the new six satellites they recently launched?  We will have to wait and see; but I’m confident the fundamental behind $ORBC will be in solid ground in 2015 and beyond.

Thanks to $DMRC continuing strong rally, my port gained another 0.6% today with YTD gain at 9.1%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, XONE and 13.9% cash.

From my other account:

$MCIG had a correction today.

MCIG_daily

I’m still holding ’cause I like the fundamental behind Vitacig.

My 2 cents.

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10-24-2014 Trading Journal

“Bear market?  What bear market?”

SPY_Daily

And the bull kept on going, going, and going.  The above is the weekly chart. A very powerful green bar coming off the high volume hammer-like candlestick from previous week.  It isn’t that far from previous high, you know.

Today was a learn to trust your “instinct” lesson in the disguise of the $AMRN trade.  Early this week, I sold my whole position of $AMRN for a gain (instinct) and watched the price spiked back up to $1.10 before price settled back down.  Seeing that price wanted to go up, I was anxious (lesson: anxious is definitely NOT instinct) to buy it back the next day (which was yesterday). Seeing that price was holding at $1.05 at the open and that there a large bid supporting the price, I added some more this morning.  Then I went on my merry way.

“Whoa!” was all I could muster when I came back to look at the price after being away for awhile.  Price was printing $0.97 cents when I checked on $AMRN.  Without hesitation, I immediately liquidated my entire positions to cut losses.  The daily chart looked ugly:

AMRN_daily

As you could see, price cut thru the support of the whole week (new low for the week) and the volume was very high.  Somebody knew something and was dumping en mass.  If there is follow-thru next week with a new low, this could get even more ugly.  I’m going to see how low this will go before picking bottom.

Asides from cutting losses with $AMRN, I again went back in $NUGT but with a smaller position.  This time I decided to do away with the hard stop and opted for a mental stop.  The smaller shares allow more room for this stock to fluctuate around.  By closing bell, I’m still at breakeven from this morning entry.

Meanwhile, $DMRC continued to march ahead.

DMRC_weekly

The weekly bar above reflected a turning point.  What I like about the chart is that price is now on top of 79 & 89 MA lines.  Looking back to January, you could see four consecutive up bar after the 1st up bar.  Will $DMRC repeat this pattern?

$LRAD, while it did not have the same “punch-out” pattern of $DMRC’s weekly bars, it showed a resiliency to hold the fort.

LRAD_weekly

At least, it was a green bar above the middle of the Andrew Pitchfork line which could be a preparation for a coming bounce.

$ORBC is an example of what I prefer not to see.

ORBC_weekly

It is a weekly red bar that showed it gave back gain from last week. However, the good news is that price is still above the 79 & 89 MA lines.

Due to losses from $AMRN, the gain to my port for the day was reduced to 0.2% despite a good showing with $DMRC rally.  YTD gain is now at 8.5%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, NUGT and 14.7% cash.

From my other account:

$MCIG weekly chart showed that it is holding steady here.

MCIG_weekly

In other words, price is still basing here and have not made any move to the upside yet.

My 2 cents.

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10-23-2014 Trading Journal

After a good rest, the bull marched onward.

SPY_Daily

Price is now above the 89 MA line.  It needs to go higher to take out the 79 MA line.

Today, I bought back $AMRN but missed $INFN. I did not want to chase a higher open ($INFN) and had waited for a retracement that never came.

However, my two largest positions were doing fantastic- $LRAD and $DMRC.

Below is the $DMRC daily chart:

DMRC_daily

Price finally broke out of resistance that began in early August.  By doing so, price also took out the 79 & 89 MA lines.  Chart looks very good for a continuing rally from here.

$LRAD also took off from support.

LRAD_daily

Price bounced off from the 79 & 89 MA lines and took out the 15 MA line as well.  All is waiting for the large order of the mass notification system from one or two of the Middle East cities.  When good news come, this one will pop hard.

What can I say, I missed this beautiful gap up $INFN trade.

INFN_daily

By not chasing it in the morning, I missed the follow-thru run.  Instead I went to buy $NUGT again and got stopped out.  Thinking back, the risk of chasing $INFN may be less risky than catching a falling knife on $NUGT.  I need to remember this lesson next time.

$ORBC was disappointing today ’cause it went down.  $AMRN was practically breakeven although it dropped slightly.

Thanks to $LRAD and $DMRC, my port gained back 3.7% today with YTD gain at 8.3%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, AMRN and 9.8% cash.

From my other account:

I added a bit more $MCIG.

MCIG_daily

Price is beginning to form a bottom with an inclination to move higher.

My 2 cents.

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