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Tag Archives: $CARA

03-10-2014 Trading Journal

The market started off negative and later recovered some by day close.

SPY_Daily

Notice that price bounced off the upper range of the consolidation area.

At first, I was going with the market momentum by shorting via $TZA and $FAZ; but both turned out to be non-performing due to lack of market follow-thru with the waterfall action.  I got out with small losses.

Due to negative market action in the morning, I took it upon myself to reduce position size on $SEED and $KGJI by 40%.  Nothing really happened except that $SEED dropped a bit more below my exit point.  I’ll be buying back these shares if momentum is going back to the upside.

seed_daily

$SEED dropped below the support today.  There is another support at the 15 MA line at $2.50.

$CARA also dropped at the open and took out last Friday low.

CARA_daily

However, I wasn’t concern ’cause I know price can spike back up really fast due to the low float status.  Basically I can create a new low if I dump my shares at the market; but I surely will not be able to buy them back at the price I sold for ’cause I will drive the price back up really fast if I try.  Thus, I’m not trading this one. Chart looks good for a bounce from here.  Price needs to take out today high to confirm a bounce.

$MZOR continued to meander nowhere.

MZOR_daily

But it was good to see price hang around the upper part of the consolidation range.

$KGJI was following $MZOR playbook.

KGJI_daily

Price was still having a hard time breaking out $1.85 resistance.

Good to see $LRAD bounced ’cause that means it is staying inside the consolidation area instead of breaking out to the downside.

LRAD_daily

Price is inside the range and bounced off the 15 MA line.

Due to correction from $SEED and $MZOR, my port dropped another notch.  Now, I’m barely above the milestone high.

Current holdings:

LRAD, MZOR, CARA, SEED, KGJI and 38% cash.

From my other account:

$FITX appointed Ms. Anndrea Hermann as President of the newly acquired Hemp Technologies company.  I googled Anndrea and was pleasantly surprised to find that Anndrea practically dedicated her whole adult live working with hemp.  It is an excellent move to have someone with high level of expertise on hemp to take $FITX to the next level in industrial hemp business.  Since the Federal law now allows the production of industrial hemp with its recent agricultural bills, I can see $FITX is laying the necessary ground work to become a key player in the hemp and medical cannabis market.

FITX_daily

Price came back down a bit after an initial up move.  This one will require a lot of patience…

My 2 cents.

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03-07-2014 Trading Journal

The market had a wild swing during the day but closed the day neutral.

SPY_Daily

While it was a red bar, the overall trend is still up.  Notice that since beginning of February, there was only two significant corrections, 02/19 and 03/03.  This can only mean that we are in a kick-ass bullish trend or we are due for another small correction soon.

And this is the basis of my concern that I no longer feel the conviction to hold on to my $KNDI shares.  A collection of recent events had somehow changed my strong conviction on $KNDI into a cautious “going for a quick buck” speculation.

What recent events?

Remember that time I bought $XONE in December @ low $5x.xx and rode it all the way to high of $70.xx+ in mid-January and then watched a whole chunk of my unrealized gain evaporated into thin air in the name of “bullish conviction”?  This experience taught me that I must temper my conviction with a dose of short-term reality. This lesson was further confirmed by my most recent gave-back of my medium size unrealized gain on $CERS going into earning day.

Reaching my milestone target is another event that put me into cautious mode.  I do not want to fall below this milestone high so early in the game after just reaching it.  Selling out my largest position (30%+ of my port) to lock in gain was the only way to ensure that my milestone high would not be out-of-sight if a correction hit $KNDI b/w now and March 17th reporting day.

Since $KNDI had climbed so fast and is making new high approaching the March 17th reporting day, I’m becoming more leery of holding such a huge amount of unrealized gain gambling on the earning outcome.  In other words, if I’m going into this earning date with my unrealized gain on the table, I’m practically betting this whole $KNDI pot (principle and unrealized gain) on the earnings result.  So  I asked myself if I am ready to push all my $KNDI chip in the center of the table?

No.

The possible “island top” was all I need to find an excuse to sell $KNDI to lock in profit last Tuesday 03/04.

In an nutshell, I lost my “nerve” on $KNDI.

But that is just me.  $KNDI could surprise and continue to move much higher and those who have the gut to bet big will surely be rewarded for their risk-taking.  I believe I was rewarded very well for my gut and conviction of buying at the low $5 and rode it all the way to $18.xx since the latter half of 2013 with a double-down in late December after Geely’s announcement on the EV version of the London’s black taxi.

For now, $KNDI is just another possible speculative bet that warrants a “guerrilla” type of trading- in and out with small to medium size position for a quick swing trade.  With more update fundamental news, I may again become a longer-term holder.  One thing I learn is that today stock market environment requires us to combine nimbleness and a long-term outlook at the same time.  Think of a jaguar following the herd jumping in and out of the herd for the kill but still follow the herd for the next possible kill.

I actually went in with some starter position on $KNDI today but chickened out at breakeven when I realized I didn’t want to hold the position over the weekend.

Both $CARA and $LRAD were taking hit today so my port suffered another small setback.

Since $CARA position was only 1/3 of my original $KNDI size, My conviction of its disruptive pain-killer technology can handle the drawdown.

CARA_daily

So far, all I’m seeing is some normal price correction.  Still holding my shares long and strong despite taking heat.

$SEED was practically neutral which was good enough for me.

seed_daily

Notice that price is still above the support area. Still holding long and strong.

$KGJI bounced slightly today.

KGJI_daily

Perhaps, next week price will take out the $1.85 resistance once and for all?

$MZOR performed well today coming back from a bearish attack to close only slightly down.

MZOR_daily

Price is still trading in the upper-range of the consolidation.

$LRAD was still stuck in its own consolidation range.

LRAD_daily

Today was another set back but I like to see price bounce tomorrow to stay inside the recent consolidation area.

Due to $LRAD and $CARA correction today, my port was down another notch but overall is still above milestone high.

Current holdings:

LRAD, SEED, MZOR, CARA, KGJI and 28% cash.

From my other account:

$FITX broke thru the resistance today.

FITX_daily

Although it fell back from the high of the day, it still closed above the previous resistance which has now become support.

$FITX announced that it acquired Hemp Technologies Ltd.  I believe that $FITX is laying on the correct brick to build the company up. To me, it makes perfect sense.  After harvesting the 1.3 million pounds of medical cannabis, those non-bud (leaves and stems) can be used for industrial hemp.  Nothing go to waste.  What perfect synergy!

Still holding long and strong.

My 2 cents.

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03-06-2014 Trading Journal

Market was up slightly today and the general direction is still up.

SPY_daily

Notice that volume was lower than average for the last two days.  Can price continues to float upward from here?  We will see.

I added to $KNDI due to a strong opening; but when price started struggling to stay within the opening range, I decided to put a stop below the range.  I remember reading that some outfit projected a target of $20.xx; so I asked myself, “we are at the target, so who else is buying this up?”  Apparently no one since I got stopped out when price fell thru the lower opening range.  Luckily I still had some profit from yesterday buy that despite my adding this morning, I came out with a small profit.  Although I got out of my large position two days too earlier; I really can’t complain about the profit I was able to capture.  Stock speculation is risky and no one can ever get out at the top or buy at the low.  We just need to stay true to our decisions without second-guessing ourselves because hindsight gives a different picture than the one we’ve envisioned.

$SEED took a tumble at the open when there were no news to hold yesterday gain.  I did not sell ’cause my original objective of seeing thru the China’s decision on approval of the GM seeds has not changed.

seed_daily

While price came back down, it still stayed above the support (blue line). The good news is that $3 resistance had been broken, so I don’t see it as a hard resistance anymore.  Let’s see if there is a bounce tomorrow.

I sold $SVA today ’cause price fell thru yesterday low.

SVA_daily

When I loaded up to swing for the fence, I expected price to behave upward with strong momentum.  And when price went the other way, I had no choice but to “get out of Dodge” before losses magnified to an unbearable point.

$MZOR bounced a bit today so I’m still holding.

mzor_daily

Price is still at the upper range of the consolidation area so I’m not worried at this point.

$CARA corrected today but I decided not to sell any shares ’cause I believe this new pain-killer can improve pain-management drastically due to the lack of side-effects the opiate drug has.  So, I’m holding this for a possible buy-out from big pharmaceutical company or positive phase 3 result.

cara_daily

See how price closed above the 5 MA line?  Hopefully, it is finding support here.

Both $KGJI and $LRAD were practically neutral for the day.

Due to correction of $SEED, $SVA, and $CARA, my port gave back a chunk of gain from yesterday.  However, my port is still above my milestone level.

Current holdings:

LRAD, SEED, MZOR, CARA, KGJI and 28% cash.

From my other account:

$FITX continued to bounce back upward.

fitx_daily

We may be seeing a V-shape bounce to take out the resistance @ $0.115 level.  As $FITX continues to show progress on the construction of the facility, price will continue to climb higher.

My 2 cents.

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03-04-2014 Trading Journal

Market staged a spectacular rally after a gap-up.

SPY_daily

Look at the spike up!

$KNDI also followed with its own spike-up as well.

kndi_daily

However, I’m spooked by the narrow range doji formation at the top. Although it has not been confirmed to be one, the doji at the top reminds me of the island top reversal pattern.   Thus, despite my better judgement, I made the difficult decision to sell all my $KNDI shares to lock in profit even though I like this one for long-term.

Another main reason I wanted to lock in profit today is because my port has finally reached a milestone in term of a specific target I’ve dreamt of achieving.  In a manner of speaking, I’ve broken my own “sound barrier” record.  As such, I like to see this new milestone frozen for a few days by locking in my biggest gain so that any temporary correction of $KNDI will not drop my port back below today high.

$MZOR was up slightly but I added some to round up my investment size.

mzor_daily

Price is now banging against the top range of the consolidation.  Let’s see if it can breakout to the upside this week.

$CARA was also up today and it was fighting to stay above $22 all day but failed at the end.

cara_daily

At first, I sold some to lock in profit.  But the more I think of its potential as a pain-killer drug, the more I want to stay in with my trading shares; thus I bought back the shares I sold in the morning plus some before market closed.  Let’s see if this one can continue upward this week.

The rest of my positions provided minimum impact on my port.  Thus, today $KNDI, once again, took my port to a whole new level.  I’m sure I may regret getting out today but I need a rest to enjoy the view for a moment.

Current holdings:

LRAD, MZOR, CARA, SEED, KGJI, SVA and 32% cash.

From my other account:

$FITX fell off the cliff and even I found it disturbing for a moment.  Thanks goodness price bounced back up eventually.

fitx_daily

See how price bounced off the 79 MA line?  Magical!  With such high volume to back up the bounce, the odd of continuing upward is high.

My 2 cents.

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03-03-2014 Trading Journal

Market fell off the cliff today but managed to hang onto to the tree branch dangling above the consolidation range.

SPY_daily

See how price closed back above the range?  I could see a bounce tomorrow.

Meanwhile, thanks to $KNDI and $CARA, my port made new high today.

$KNDI opened lower but bounced back to the surface rather quickly.

kndi_daily

As you can see, the bear tried to push $KNDI down in mid-day but failed; price bounced back up to close near the high of day.  It was a nice looking bullish chart, you would think the general market was up today just by look at $KNDI chart.

My weekend research pointed me to $CARA.  It has a fantastic story of a pain-killer drug that is as strong as a morphine drug but without the opiate addiction side-effect.  Please pardon my pasting an excerpt from a contributor from SeekingAlpha:

The most exciting CARA compound is CR845, which is not a CB-acting drug. CR845 is unique because it acts on pain receptors in the same class as those acted on by morphine but it does not cross the blood-brain barrier, leading to significantly reduced side effects. This molecule is currently in Phase III studies for Post-Operative Pain, and had excellent morphine-sparing effects in Phase II results.

I couldn’t contain my excitement as I learned more about $CARA.  As luck would have it, due to negative market open, $CARA also opened down.  I jumped at the opportunity to build up a position while price was debating whether to go down more or to go back up.  I didn’t care if it would go down more ’cause I wanted to buy more.   As price began to climb back above water, I just kept on buying until I got the amount I wanted.

cara_daily

To my surprise, price began to climb much higher from my entry point during mid-day.  Although price gave back some gain from the high of the day, $CARA closed almost 13% higher for the day.

$SEED also performed admirably in the face of down market.

seed_daily

Price did bounce back from the support as I had predicted.  $SEED looks like it is going to go much higher soon.

Although $LRAD, $MZOR, and $KGJI all corrected a bit today, the gain from $KNDI, $CARA, and $SEED propelled my port to another new high today.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, MZOR, SEED, CARA, KGJI, SVA and 1.5% cash.

From my other account:

$FITX continued to head south and somehow, I wasn’t concerned at all.

fitx_daily

Notice that price is getting near the 50% retracement area.  Currently, the heat I’m taking is being absorbed by the gain I made from $XTRM earlier before I got into $FITX.  In the back of my head, I somehow know that $FITX will pull through and get the facility build… but that’s just me.

My 2 cents.

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