Home / Tag Archives: $YY

Tag Archives: $YY

Market Indecision Will Fleece You of Your Coin

Whether you trade weekly, daily, tic, range, or minute charts you MUST recognize a lack of trend and behave accordingly.  To trade momentum there must be momentum.  I know V.King would enjoy that sentence.  Once you recognize conditions where momentum is gone, you must adjust to fading extremes or sideline yourself.  That’s it.

I like to use EMAs to give a trend some visual clarity.  When EMAs of different speeds (i.e. the 9 and 33 period) converge and then flatten out, that’s a strong indication the market is on pause.  Such was the case all morning.  Today it was easy for me to avoid because we were working inside a tight market profile and we had the Fed in the afternoon which I knew would give the market a pause.  More times than I would like to admit, I haven’t been so astute.  And every time I fail to recognize these conditions the alogs pick me to pieces.

I’ve been a doubter of any such trendless action most of June, but as the month drags on it’s becoming a distinct possibility that we’re entering a flat consolidation phase.  My 9 and 33 are flattening out and going sideways.  It would make sense too given that my momentum plays are all fizzling out.  Take a look:



I’ve spent the last few weeks churning my portfolio with small wins and medium losses.  All-in-all I’ve given back hard fought gains.  Anyone who tells you the gains came easy is wrong and unwashed.

Today I cut most of my China junket.  I sold off BIDU, YY, and MY.  I sold WETF along with the Fly and I took some profits in CREE, keeping the position about ½ size.

You may notice a much less manic tone in my writing.

I’m up over 50 percent cash now and lost around 1 percent today.  Current longs listed largest to smallest are as follows:


I want to keep my speculative swing positions down.  I’m getting confused, tracking so many positions.  Plus liquidation becomes more taxing by my broker.

I’ll ride most of these through the trendless chop of the index.  But I swear little allegiance to any and will cut to make room for others.

I don’t love the idea of shorting up here, but both T and JBLU look like great swing shorts to my eye.

Bottom Line: It’s summer now.  We may still push higher but we’re showing signs of stalling momentum.  This is the third major pullback too, it has a much lower win rate then the first two.  HOWEVER, we’re on the proper side of the 33 EMA, my primary demarcation.

Comments »

Sitting Through a Draw Down

As we mosey into the Fed event, my arm is slowly being eaten by a small Chinese crustacean.  I don’t hate the name yet, but why oh why?

I don’t even know what they do.

The problem here is I still like the chart.  What Uncle Ben says should have no real implications to the basic goings on of YY, but YY as an equity could see some action on the Fed.  So it’s on ICU watch, and I’m fully prepared to pull the plug if it takes a turn for the worse-er.

Same goes for fairy dust wind energy name MY.

Awesome, carry on.

UPDATE: Both of these positions stopped out post our holy Ben speaking. 

Comments »



I’m sticking to the China theme mainly because the charts aren’t over extended. I can get decent risk based entries in names that could produce huge returns. That’s the humble reasoning.

The subjective reasoning is the Chinese are coming. They’re coming for the US markets riding solar powered Godzilla monsters and they mean business. My list of China longs is, well, long:

YGE, HMIN, YY, RENN, HSOL, and MY (listed by position size, largest to smallest)

All together, the basket represents about 35 percent of my portfolio. May they all go total Godzilla on a town near you.

UPDATE: I’ve pinned all the charts up to detail what I see


Comments »



I was caught out of position today in FSLR and as a result was stopped out for a single day 6 percent loss.  Listen closely, it happens.  The way I chase momentum, about 1 in 10 trades does this to me.

If you recall, I bought two solar names yesterday, YGE being the other name.  Interestingly enough, this position is sized the same as FSLR.  But pull up the two charts and you might be able to see why one stopped out and the other didn’t.   I’m not saying YGE is a sure winner here, the trade is still in question, but it is/was a better bet than FSLR yesterday at 3 pm.

CREE burned me too when it melted its heat sinks and lit the ceilings on fire here in la casa de Raul.  I will go to hell and back with this name though, extra devil.

Every other part of my book sucked less, which is good.  YY is at an important junction.  This junket may have already reached its destination as they say, but I would be remiss if I cut it after one day of selling.

My largest position performed admirably.  Well done HMIN, may your holding out for better days be met with strong accumulation.  I’m talking to stocks again…I need to bring this up next time I see my therapist.

I closed out the day with cash elevated back to 35 percent.

Comments »

Still Pressing the Boot

I’ve been on the long side all morning, both in the futures and the stocks.  Well, I came into the day long stocks and enjoyed a nice 2 percent drawdown on my swings to start the day.

Now it’s practically green.  Si!

One thing isn’t working at all and that’s solar.  I chased YGE and FSLR yesterday, nearly buying their respective highs, and you see the result today.  Both positions are down over 5 percent and not catching a bid.

Therefore I’m trading everything else that is catching a bid to make up the ground being lost by these solar issuances.  They haven’t told me I’m wrong yet.  Unfortunately, I’ll have to be about 10 percent wrong to know it’s the case.  Such is the life of an overeager speculator.  Position accordingly.

Aside from my bashed on the head by Japanese men wielding solar panels it’s a good day.  We filled a 15 handle gap, a pro gap as they say.  The pros filled the pro gap and did so with the steady hand of accumulation.

I still like this tape to the long side.  I scaled some LEDS too soon, at $1.98.

My new longs are more YY and some ODP, yes…you know me.

Comments »


I’ve come to live by one saying in today’s markets and it’s, “get it while it’s here, boy.”  Because in complete honesty, any spectacular hype surrounding pockets of momentum won’t feel the same next year, week, or even hour.  When a stock is hot, it’s hot.  Higher highs, higher lows, and cocaine dances.  When it’s not, it’s National Bank of Greece.

We are undergoing a slight bounce back after a brutal five percent correction.  Did you blink?  You may have missed it.  As investors peer out of their bunkers, weary from the bombs dropped on their person, they see a strange sight.  It’s Sir Raul, dressed in ceremonial red marching regalia, tap dancing through a mine field.  The sight is so unexpected, so beautiful, they don’t even reach for their gun, they simply watch.

Just as I clear the field and hunker down into a foxhole with many women and Chairman Mao! You come to your senses attempt to clear the field.  You saw the path I took, you see how effortless it was.  You go for it.  Only at that very moment a B-52 bomber blankets the entire field with liquid hot napalm.  You’re dead.  Keep that in mind.

I’m nearly filled to the gullet with high spec, high momentum names.  Names like YGE, FSLR, DDD, YY, LEDS, and more.  I’ll either party all week long with The Chairman, or suffer the very possible drone strike after the NSA hones in on my cell phone whist I order pizza.

It appears the market has gone completely stagnant as I write. Regardless, PRESS THE BOOT!

The only stocks sold were those that will not aggressively appreciate in value.  I cut AAPL and TSLA.

Comments »

More Red by the Day

No, not my gain/loss, but my swing portfolio.  You see, I like these Chinese Burritos right now.  They’ve had strong years, yet they shrugged off this entire week’s weak weakness.  The stocks of my brothers from the Far East are poised to pump with great pomp and vigor.  They sport pristine balance sheets, approved by the general secretaries and chairmen of China.  The board of board of directors will not lose (sic).

I also took down WETF today because, there’s nothing like a millennia-old rivalry to get the energy going.  WETF is my Japan exposure, YY and HMIN represent China.  You know what? Let’s throw LEDS in with China too, no one knows what the hell they actually do, like China.

This is a game of Risk gentleman, position yourself correctly and you may find yourself chairman one day too.

Into the weekend, I’m holding the line, dressed in Red regalia, saluting you and yours.

Comments »