iBankCoin
I turn dials and fiddle with knobs to hone in on harmonic rotations
Joined Oct 26, 2011
4,121 Blog Posts

Hunting a Trading Range

It has been a busy morning in the futures market as premarket participants digest CPI data as Janet Yellen prepares to speak.  The reaction thus far to a slight uptick in CPI was a pop and fade.

The intermediate term auction continues to appear seller controlled with swing trades showing a series of lower highs and lows.  The question now is whether market supply will continue driving prices down on the intermediate term, or if instead price will stabilize and revert to the mean.   There is data supporting the latter outcome and that my expectation.  However, I respect the trend playing out on the intermediate term and must be willing to shift my stance should my expectation not occur.  I would not change this vision of a bracketed trading range developing if we took out our recent swing lows, but it would be a progressive step.

On the day timeframe auction, little changed between Friday and Monday.  We printed an inside day where our daily range was within the range of Friday and we also printed a neutral day with range extension to both sides of the initial balance.  Both of these characteristics suggest indecision on the part of buyers and sellers.  We printed an excess low yesterday which suggests we may see some follow through by swing buyers today.  I have highlighted this excess low as well as a few other observations on the following regular trading hours NASDAQ market profile:

NQ__MarketProfile_04152014

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9 comments

  1. Raul3

    risk elevated of the trading range breaking

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  2. Sooz

    took profit on FXEN mentioned in late Feb. I missed the open while outside shoveling my walkways(D@MN Snow) plus a bunch of arctic wind damage from yesterday. Not Cool!!

    here:
    Status Filled at $3.8349
    Symbol FXEN
    Description FX ENERGY INC
    Action Sell
    Quantity 7,500 Shares
    Trade Type Cash
    Market Session Standard
    Order Date 04/15/2014, 10:19:27 AM ET

    I’ve been accumulating shares after mentioning interest and didn’t post all entries here(sorry about that)
    remain long just over 1/3 position Acquired 04/07/2014 at $3.30

    There are so many stocks I want to scoop(mostly those little biotech~hand grenades)..and others that are holding up remarkably well…

    Da Bears needed a turn sooner or later, yes?
    Be safe out there all you Beautiful People.

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    • Sooz

      http://youtu.be/y7ZEVA5dy-Y

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      • Sooz

        My best gains in the micro Biotech world were 2011 and 2012..(posted all entries ..truth..as I traded along side my Kindest Pickr Friend, kjp)
        Just ask Val..aka Flyaway and her partner Mr. P. who would pop in as they perused the inter~web(s) most often retreating back to these pages here at iBC, StockTwits and Laura’s site(miss her..very smart trader)

        It is unbecoming when a fellow trader gets great thrill out of telling ‘Anyone’ how effin stoopid they are to scoop stock(s) at a level or price they see fit. Seriously…
        A great example UVXY earlier this year shot up over 100..;) ))) That wasn’t so Stoopid after all, now was it? I’ll let you do the math on that, Partridge, since you’re So ‘Got D@mned'(sic) smart…yup!.

        Now..back to those little hand grenades
        It was my sector pick going into 2011 and many just (((HAHAhaahhaha))) laughed about that. Yes Indeedy!

        It wasn’t until late 2012 that the PRO’s woke up to the stocks while they claimed they would NOT Touch/Trade. They’re ‘Heart Breakers’.swoosh and there goes everything on FDA rulings.

        Much like our little NEXS(RVLT) too many eyes followed that $$. Nature of the Beast,yes?

        I still hold position(s) in some that YoY over YoY have been Very VERY Good to me and I do plan to add back share when timing is right.

        There is ‘No’ need to prove anything to anyone here. It hurts when I see people, Bull and Bear alike, have unrealized loses on their books. Many of us have been through some hefty draw downs.
        IDCC is a great example for me(on numerous occasions)as many of you watched in horror(and many others were probably short). I felt as though it would give very few people a chance to ride it up or cover short.(exclusion of HFTers)which was exactly what happend.

        Hang in there..when you feel the most pain(most often) it is the best time to buy/add. That’s just my ridiculous opinion. Really, what the h#ll do I know?

        I look forward to the day I can give up this gig..
        Now back to work!

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  3. Sooz

    here’s one straight from the port..
    (cost avg down morning session at 4.32..”why?”, you might ask. OOoh..who cares,really)

    AEROPOSTALE
    5,500.000 $4.670 2.42% $4.56 $25,078.99

    Just a little Spec all you Beautiful People
    😉

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    • Sooz

      actually it was afternoon session and $4.33 here:

      Status Filled at $4.3274
      Symbol ARO
      Description AEROPOSTALE
      Action Buy
      Trade Type Cash
      Market Session Standard
      Order Date 04/15/2014, 12:57:56 PM ET

      *added to a few other positions, as well.

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  4. matt_bear

    how you doing out there buddy? talk to me.

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  5. Sooz

    AHhhh…those little hand grenades..
    😉 ))

    have a few faves in that bucket and posted about them on many different occasions right here on the Fan~tabulous Sir Raul blog.
    (at least..since beginning of 2012 when they finally turned off the lights and shut it down over on Pickr)

    Have a safe and wonderful Holiday all you Beautiful People.

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    • Sooz

      oh hey..
      I took some more profit on FXEN..here:
      Status Filled at $4.2401
      Symbol FXEN
      Description FX ENERGY INC
      Action Sell
      Trade Type Cash
      Market Session Standard
      Order Date 04/16/2014, 10:34:46 AM ET

      you are probably wondering if I’m POed that I sold^^ yesterday..
      Oh H#ll NOOooo… not in this market.
      (although..woulda coulda made another $3,300 if I’d waited just 24hrs.)

      *continue to hold position at above mentioned entry of $3.30

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