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Monthly Archives: February 2013

Do What They Do, Not What They Say – #Bullish Calls, #David Tepper

“No one typifies the bullish euphoria of the last year better than Appaloosa’s David Tepper (except perhaps Laszlo Birinyi). It appears, however, that everyone’s favorite perma-bull is up to his old tricks again. The manager who infamously opened his mouth about how he couldn’t be more“balls to the wall” bullish of US financials – and then proceeded to reduce his positions notably in the quarter following that media appearance – has seemingly done it again. His appearances earlier this month on CNBC and Bloomberg were both full of hubris and arrogance as he encouraged the world to grab financial stocks with both hands and feet. However, as Fox Business’ Charlie Gasparino reported yesterday, Tepper’s Appaloosa is now seeking bids (to unwind a long position) for $400mm of European bank debt – doesn’t seem so balls-to-the-wall bullish to us? Withtwo weeks left to the great unveiling of the Q4 13Fs, we wait anxiously to see just how big Tepper’s ‘balls at the wall’ really were/are.

Via Fox Business Network,

FOX Business Network’s (FBN) Charlie Gasparino reports that Appaloosa Management Founder David Tepper put out for bid $400 million of hybrids for HBOS PLC, Royal Bank of Scotland and Commerzbank. Gasparino goes on to report that this indicates he might be turning bearish on financials due to some headwinds surrounding trouble in Europe.

On the $400 million of hybrid bank securities Appaloosa founder David Tepper put out for bid….”

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Is the Fed as Strong as Atlas ?

“Back in June 2011 Zero Hedge broke a very troubling story: virtually all the reserves that had been created as a result of the Fed’s QE2, some $600 billion (which two years ago seemed like a lot of money) which was supposed to force banks to create loans and stimulate the US (not European) economy, ended up becoming cash at what the Fed classifies as “foreign-related institutions in the US” (or “foreign banks” as used in this article) on its weekly update of commercial banks operating in the US, or said simply, European banks.

And while many, primarily the British press, demonstrated how simple it is to confuse cause and effect, and suggested, incorrectly, that the surge in cash was due to arbing the Fed’s IOER (it wasn’t, as otherwise all excess reserves would have migrated to European banks due to the open-ended arbitrage instead of merely tracking the ebb and flow of the Fed’s reserves), what we showed….”

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Ground Floor Opportunity -$ZTS

Once in a while i get a strong feeling in my gut that provides me an opportunity to bank coin. Remember, an opportunity is only that and you must keep a constant eye on your investments always re-checking your original assumptions.

Lately, i’ve been thinking about how to make long term money since i would like to focus on other things in my life. Day trading and momentum trades are fun and exciting, but require constant attention….something i may not have as i am planning on starting a new business.

At any rate, i will be honest and tell you that i have not done any homework as of yet; so you must do your own.

But i think there is a huge opportunity with Zoetis. It went public on Friday and caught my attention as there is little competition and a worldwide market to develop.

I have no position yet, but will take a preliminary taste to be an owner and will eventually add over time as i do more homework.

A simple approach to understanding the opportunity here is that his company will benefit from the rise of the middle class and their love for animal companions.

It will benefit from the current course of how we raise livestock.

It will benefit from strategic acquisitions and relationships.

It will benefit from being a long term growth company. Currently revenues are around $4 billion.

Do your homework!

Get started here

 

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Is $AAPL’s Design Team On the Way Out ?

 

“Given Apple’s commitment to secrecy, it’s hard to get a good sense of what is going on inside the company.

But in the opinion of one respected industry observer, Paul Kedrosky, some of Apple’s recent missteps can tell us a lot about that.

In an interview with Bloomberg West yesterday, Kedrosky said Apple’s inability to meet demand for its new iMacs–a problem that contributed to disappointing Mac sales in Q4–as well as its cancellation of many iPhone component orders, mean that one of Apple’s key competitive advantages may be disappearing.

Kedrosky believes that Apple’s iMac problems reveal an important change in the power balance within the company.

Specifically, Kedrosky thinks that, in the power-vacuum following Steve Jobs’ death, the design team, led by Jony Ive, have been given too much latitude–such that Apple is now designing products that it is not capable of manufacturing as smoothly and quickly as it needs to to meet demand….”

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Cuckoo For Currency

By:  Peter Schiff Friday, February 1, 2013

“In Switzerland, it’s not just the clocks that are cuckoo. Over the past four years Swiss politicians and central bankers have gone on an unprecedented buying spree of foreign exchange reserves. In 2012, their cache swelled to as much as $420 billion worth of various currencies, primarily the euro. This figure is a seven-fold increase since 2008 and equates to 70% of the country’s annual GDP. The sum translates to $200,000 per family of four, enough to keep the Swiss in clocks, chocolates, and fondue for many years to come. The Swiss leadership will claim the money has been “invested” with an eye to the future, but what they’ve done is impoverished themselves in the present.  Although such a decision seems perverse, it makes perfect sense when seen through the lens of today’s presiding economic thinking.

For the past few generations Switzerland has enjoyed some of the strongest economic fundamentals in the world. The country boasts a high savings rate, low taxes, strong exports, low debt-to-GDP, balanced government budgets, and prior to a few years ago one of the most responsible monetary policies in the world. These attributes made the Swiss franc one of the world’s “safe haven” currencies. But in today’s global economy, no good deed goes unpunished.

Central bankers around the world, particularly in Washington, Frankfurt and Tokyo, have been engaged in a massive and coordinated campaign of currency debasement to combat the recession. But for years the Swiss refused to join in the printing parade. As a result, investors around the world wisely decided to park their savings in the reliable Swiss franc. From December of 2008 to August 2011 the franc appreciated an astounding 59% against the U.S. dollar and approximately 30% against the Japanese yen. More importantly, the franc gained 42% against the euro. As the Eurozone completely surrounds Switzerland, its trade with those countries represents the vast majority of its international transactions…”

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Gasoline Finds New Highs for This Time of Year

“U.S. drivers are now paying more to fill up their gas tanks than they ever have at this time of year.

The national average price of retail gasoline posted its biggest one-day increase in 23 months on Friday, rising four cents to $3.46 a gallon, according to AAA. The average price has risen 13 cents — a 4 percent increase — in the past week.

Gasoline prices have followed in part the climb in the stock and oil prices. Oil and equities have risen sharply over the last few weeks, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached 14,000 for the first time since 2007, Brent crude oil futures hit at 4-month high near $117 a barrel, while the U.S. oil price is near $98 a barrel.

Retail gasoline prices have also hit a new milestone.

“This is the highest price record for February 1st,” says OPIS analyst Tom Kloza, who predicts the national average price of regular gasoline will climb a few more pennies to $3.50 a gallon this weekend.

NYMEX March RBOB gasoline futures, which help determine prices at the pump, have risen 10 percent in the past two weeks, finishing the week at $3.05 a gallon on Friday….”

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Worst May Be Over for Euro Zone Factories

“Euro zone factories had their best month in nearly a year during January as burgeoning German output offered support amid signs the worst may be over for the troubled currency bloc, a survey showed on Friday.

While Markit’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) pointed to a continued decline in activity, it rose to an 11-month high, suggesting the downturn in manufacturing output – which fell for most of last year – has passed its nadir.

The PMI rose to 47.9 from December’s 46.1, ahead of an earlier flash reading of 47.5. The index has been below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction since August 2011.

The output index, which feeds into a broader gauge of the economy, the Composite PMI, due next Tuesday, rose to a 10-month high of 48.7 from December’s 46.0. That was the biggest one-month jump in a year.

“While the industrial sector looks likely to have acted as a drag on the euro zone economy in the final quarter of last year, deepening the double-dip downturn, the PMI provides hope that the first quarter could mark the start of a turnaround,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit….”

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State of the Union: Bifurcation Will Not Succeed

Yesterday we got news that personal income was up 2.6%. Then I read a story about about a study finding that nearly half of all Americans on the edge of financial brink.

How long can bifurcation last ?

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Mine is Bigger Than Yours

When it comes to televisions the bigger the better. Get ready to shell out $500k….yeah that’s right a half mil for a 155 inch t.v.

I’m wondering if it comes with a few hookers and a mountain of cocaine.

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Will Last Week’s Twitter Hoax Become the New Face of Stock Fraud ?

“From the boiler room-basement brokerages of southern New Jersey to the opulent office suites of midtown Manhattan hedge funds, the U.S. financial police is supposed to track down stock market fraud wherever it takes place. For what appears to be the first time, a tip-off is leading them into the world of Twitter.

U.S. market regulators are trying to determine if a message posted on a hoax Twitter account this week was used as part of a securities fraud scheme, The Huffington Post has learned. The inquiry will be looking at tweets, sent Tuesday from an account thinly disguised as that of a well-known equity research group, that contained false information regarding Silicon Valley company Audience Inc. The tweets caused a violent sell-off in the stock of that company Tuesday afternoon, which some market participants noted was likely intensified by high-frequency trading robots.

Diane Vanasse, a spokesperson for Audience, Inc. said the “company was certainly aware of the hoax tweets” and said that “Nasdaq is investigating” the matter. Joe Christianet, a spokesperson for exchange operator Nasdaq OMX, said the electronic trading board “did refer the matter to FINRA.”

Nancy Condon, a spokesperson for private market regulator FINRA, could not confirm or deny an inquiry was taking place, but noted that market activity of this kind is usually investigated by either FINRA or the federal Securities and Exchange Commission.

A spokesperson for the SEC declined to comment, and representatives for Twitter did not respond to repeated requests for comment….”

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Fun Times: Vacationing in a War Zone

“A Russian judge who decided to spend his vacation moonlighting as a war correspondent in Syria survived being shot in the face and arm this week, Robert Mackey and Ellen Barry of The New York Times report.

Sergey Aleksandrovich Berezhnoy, 57, was hit while accompanying the crew of the Abkhazian Network News Agency (ANNA) as it reported on a unit of the Syrian Army fighting rebel forces in the Damascus suburb of Darayya.

A video recorded by the ANNA crew shows Berezhnoy—a former military intelligence officer and prize-winning writer—taking pictures before the incident and includes footage the emergency surgery he underwent in a Syrian military hospital….”

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Dumb Ass Consumers: Flying Across Country to Save a Few Bucks

It pains me to here about people who wait on line for a couple of days to save $1,$2, perhaps $300 on some sort of consumer electronic good that is more than likely not needed. I wonder how little could you be paid in order to lose a few days of work in exchange for the discount.

Here is another dumb ass consumer story where people are flying across country to buy some $LULU Lemon stretch pants.

How much could one save after a flight, time with DHS, food, lodging, and other transportation? How addicted and mind controlled does one have to be ?

Seriously, you people need a mental health physician.

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250k Twitter Accounts Hacked, Java Related Issue at the Heart of the Breach

“Earlier this week, hackers gained access to Twitter’s internal systems and stole information, compromising 250,000 accounts before the breach was stopped.

Bob Lord, the company’s manager of network security, reported the incident on Twitter’s official blog Friday.

Twitter is resetting passwords for the affected users.

Twitter’s Lord did not specify the method by which hackers penetrated its system. However, he mentioned vulnerabilities related to Java in Apple’s Safari Web browser and Mozilla’s Firefox browser, and noted an advisory from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security that users disable Java on their computers.

There are also suggestions in Lord’s post that the hacking attempt was organized, and possibly linked to recent cyberattacks on other media institutions like the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. Lord wrote…”

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Apple Blocks Java From Macs

NEW YORK, N.Y. – Some Mac users were taken by surprise Thursday as their computers stopped running programs written using the Java programming language after Apple blocked Java due to security problems.

Java allows programmers to write a wide variety of Internet applications and other software programs and run them on most computers, including Apple Inc.’s Mac.

However, earlier this month the U.S. Department of Homeland Security recommended disabling Java in Web browsers to avoid potential hacking attacks. Oracle Corp., which owns Java, has issued updates that fix known vulnerabilities, but the DHS expects that there are more flaws in Java’s coding.

Apple sends out virtual “blacklists” to Internet-connected Macs, instructing them not to run certain programs. Apple is blocking the latest version of Java from running on the most recent versions of its Mac operating system, and blocking an older version, Java 6, from running on the older version of its Mac system, called Snow Leopard. The blocks affect programs and online games that use Java in Web browsers.

Oracle had no immediate comment on Apple’s action.

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Documentary: Harvest of Empire

In light of the recent immigration proposal this week, i thought it would be interesting to delve into the history of immigration and how so many illegal immigrants ended up in the U.S.

I for one had a high quality private education right through college and never once was taught what this documentary reveals.

So cast away everything the boob tube has pounded into your head and understand some of the root causes as to why we are in the situation were are in.

Cheers on your weekend!

[youtube://http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISQbe2Vd2PI 450 300]

Link for iPhone users: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISQbe2Vd2PI

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BURGER KING ADMITS TO SELLING HORSE MEAT BURGERS

Burger King has tonight admitted that it has been selling burgers and Whoppers containing horsemeat despite two weeks of denials.

The fast food chain, which has more than 500 UK outlets, had earlier given a series of ‘absolute assurances’ that its products were not involved.

However, new tests have revealed these guarantees were incorrect in a revelation that threatens to destroy the trust of customers.

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Debtor’s Prisons On the Rise

“How did breast cancer survivor Lisa Lindsay end up behind bars?

She didn’t pay a medical bill — one the Herrin, Ill., teaching assistant was told she didn’t owe. “She got a $280 medical bill in error and was told she didn’t have to pay it,” The Associated Press reports.

“But the bill was turned over to a collection agency, and eventually state troopers showed up at herhome and took her to jail in handcuffs.”

In September 2009, Jeffrey Stearns, a concrete-company owner, answered a knock at the door from a Hancock County, Ind., deputy sheriff. The deputy was holding a warrant to arrest Mr. Stearns for not paying $4,024.88 owed to a unit of American International Group Inc. on a loan for his pickup truck.

After being handcuffed in front of his four children, Mr. Stearns, 29 years old, spent two nights in jail, where he said he was strip-searched and sprayed for lice. Court records show he was released after agreeing to pay $1,500 to the loan company. “I didn’t even know I was being sued,” he said, though he doesn’t dispute owing the money.

In a similar case, according to the WSJ, one Illinois resident was arrested for missing a court hearing regarding the $1,159.87 she owned on her Capitol One (COF) credit card. She paid $500 to get out of the local lock-up, which the company took as partial repayment of the debt.

Although the U.S. abolished debtors’ prisons in the 1830s, more than a third of U.S. states allow the police to haul people in who don’t pay all manner of debts, from bills for health care services to credit cardand auto loans. In parts of Illinois, debt collectors commonly use publicly funded courts, sheriff’s deputies, and country jails to pressure people who owe even small amounts to pay up, according to the AP.

If debt collectors won’t get you, the courts might. Many states hit people convicted of a crime, even for minor offenses such as speeding, with a range of fees. Skip out on those and you can go to jail, too. Some states also apply “poverty penalties,” including late fees, payment plan fees and interest when people are unable to pay all their debts at once, according to New York University‘s Brennan Center for Justice. Alabama charges a 30 percent collection fee, for instance, while Florida allows private debt collectors to add a 40 percent surcharge on the original debt.

Many Florida counties also use so-called collection courts, where debtors can be jailed but have no right to a public defender. In Pennsylvania, prisoners are ineligible for parole unless they pay a $60 fee, or roughly $40 less than it costs to incarcerate someone in the state for a single day.

Such “criminal justice” fees amount to criminalizing poverty, says an attorney with the ACLU National Prison Project:

Incarcerating people simply because they cannot afford to pay their legal debts is not only unconstitutional but also has a devastating impact upon men and women, whose only crime is that they are poor.

Under the law, debtors aren’t arrested for nonpayment, but rather for failing to respond to court hearings, pay legal fines, or otherwise showing “contempt of court” in connection with a creditor lawsuit. That loophole has lawmakers in the Illinois House of Representatives concerned enough to pass a bill in March that would make it illegal to send residents of the state to jail if they can’t pay a debt. The measure awaits action in the senate…..”

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From Sour Mash to Cannabis, Kentucky Republicans Spy Economic Gain

“Kentucky Republicans and business leaders are promoting an unlikely way to boost the state’s economic development: Grow cannabis.

Kentucky leaders want their state to become the king of hemp, a plant that comes from the same species as marijuana, though doesn’t contain enough of the intoxicating ingredient to cause a high.

They want to help state farmers overcome the federal government’s treatment of hemp as an illegal drug, and produce it on an industrial scale, for use in items such as soap, horse bedding, building materials and auto body parts. Kentucky is one of at least five states, including Indiana and Vermont, where lawmakers have introduced measures allowing hemp farming.

The Kentucky effort is supported by legislative leaders, the state chamber of commerce, Republican U.S. Senator Rand Paul and agricultural commissioner James Comer, a Republican who campaigned on bringing the crop to his state.

“It could produce thousands of jobs,” Comer said in an interview.“Industrial hemp is totally different than marijuana. It should be treated like corn or soybeans.”

U.S. retail sales of products with imported hemp were more than $452 million in 2011, according to an estimate by the Hemp Industries Association, based in Summerland, California.

All One God Faith Inc., a closely held company in Escondido, California, that markets Dr. Bronner’s soaps, is considering expanding to Kentucky if hemp is grown there, said David Bronner, the company’s chief executive officer. The soaps contain hemp.

Passing Laws..”

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SUCKER: The King Tainted His Burgers With Horse Meat – $BKW

“Burger King has admitted that some of its burgers sold in the U.K. and Ireland were, in fact, tainted with horsemeat.

This is just the latest chapter in an ongoing scandal in the U.K. and Ireland involvingbeef burger patties tainted with meat from horses and pigs. U.K. supermarket chain Tesco and other companies have also been affected. It’s suspected that a meat distributor in Poland, which worked with all the companies in question, used meats other than beef as filler in cheap burgers.

Burger King had originally stressed that its patties are made with 100 percent beef, although it later dropped Silvercrest, the food processing plant that received meat from the Polish distributor.

The Guardian has a statement from Burger King….”

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