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Monthly Archives: December 2012

Teacher Pensions Place Odd Investment Bets in Gun Manufacturers

“Gun manufacturers have enjoyed lucrative growth in recent years, a trend now under scrutiny after the massacre of 20 children inside a Connecticut elementary school. Investors in the industry include one group that now stands out conspicuously: public school teachers, via their pension funds.

According to a Huffington Post survey of public databases, several of the nation’s largest teachers’ retirement systems — including those in California, New York and Texas — hold tens of millions of dollars worth of stock in two publicly traded gun manufacturers, Sturm, Ruger & Co. and Smith & Wesson Holding Corp.

The California Teachers Retirement System has also committed more than $700 million toward private equity funds managed by Cerberus Capital. Over the last six years, Cerberus has amassed a holding company, the Freedom Group, which has purchased some of the nation’s most prominent firearms brands. According to securities filings, the Freedom Group owns Bushmaster, the company that built the rifle that law enforcement authorities say was used in Friday’s shooting spree in Connecticut….”

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$NUE Warns on Upcoming Earnings

“Another earnings warning is out this morning, this time from one of the largest U.S. steel makers. Nucor Corp. (NYSE: NUE) this morning lowered its fourth-quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) estimate to a range of $0.25 to $0.30. In the third quarter, the steel maker reported EPS of $0.35 and in the fourth quarter of 2011 EPS totaled $0.43….”

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Confidence in Technology Rises to All-time High

“The Consumer Electronics Association (CEA) said this morning that its index of consumer technology expectations rose 9.3 point in December, lifting the index to an all-time high of 97.3 since the survey was started in January 2007. The index has gained 3.7 points year-over-year.

According to the CEA’s chief economist: ”

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Home Builder Confidence Surpasses 2006 Highs

“WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A gauge of confidence among home builders rose in December to the highest level since April 2006, with respondents encouraged by declining inventory and good sales conditions, a trade group said Tuesday.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose two points to a seasonally adjusted level of 47 — matching estimates from analysts polled by MarketWatch — from a downwardly revised 45 in November. A prior estimate for November pegged the level at 46. See economic calendar.

Despite eight months of gains, the confidence gauge remains below the key reading of 50. Readings over 50 indicate that more builders see sales conditions as good than poor….”

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Market Update

U.S. equities have completely stopped caring about the fiscal cliff. While some news broke last night that got foreign markets off to a bull run, more comments have come from Boehner and the W.H. that show clearly that a deal is far from struck. Markets do not care and have rallied up nearly 100 DOW points.

Market update

World indices

3D heat map 

[youtube://http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xn7boyyKHQA 450 300]

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The Last 3 Times Valuations Hit These Levels We Has Some Major Sell Offs

“Our Blue Angels analysis of the S&P 500 shows that its forward P/E rebounded from a recent low of 12.1 on November 15 to 12.7 yesterday. In the Santa rally scenario, it should soon retest 13, which has been an unlucky number since early 2010. The market had three nasty corrections since then after failing to rise above this valuation level.

The fourth assault on 13 could be the charm. If so, then the valuation multiple could rise quickly to 14, a level not seen since early 2010, just before Greece hit the fan. S&P 500 forward earnings edged back up to $112.77 per share during the week of December 13, just a nickel below its recent record high….”

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$GS Revises Their China Growth Rate Higher

“Goldman Sachs’s Li Cui and her team revised their Q4 2012 Chinese GDP growth forecast to 7.8 percent year-over-year, up from 7.6 percent.

The revision in fourth quarter data is based on better than expected “production-side data” namely better fixed asset investment and industrial production data.

Goldman analysts also revised their 2013 GDP forecast to 8.2 percent, up marginally from 8.1 percent….”

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$DKS Suspends Rifle Sales at All Stores

“We are extremely saddened by the unspeakable tragedy that occurred last week in Newtown, CT, and our hearts go out to the victims and their families, and to the entire community.

Out of respect for the victims and their families, during this time of national mourning we have removed all guns from sale and from display in our store nearest to Newtown and suspended the sale of modern sporting rifles in all of our stores chainwide.

We continue to extend our deepest sympathies to those affected by this terrible tragedy.”

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$JPM: Home Prices Could Jump 9.7% Next Year

“Home prices could climb as little as 3.4 percent and as much as 9.7 percent next year, according to JPMorgan Chase estimates.

The bank boosted its base-case growth estimate to 3.4 percent from 1.5 percent after concluding that net demand for housing in 2012 has surpassed 2 million homes, the first time since 2006, according to The Wall Street Journal. Net demand is defined as a measure of the pace of existing home sales minus the inventory of homes available for sale.

“Net demand has picked up a lot in 2012,” said JPMorgan Chase strategist John Sim, The Journal added…. ”

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While Buying Fluctuates, China Appears to Shun U.S. Debt

“China has stopped buying Treasurys, as it diversifies its foreign-exchange investments.

Actually, that’s not completely accurate. While the amount of China’s Treasury holdings varies from month to month, it’s down sharply from its peak.

China owned $1.16 trillion of Treasurys as of October, down 12 percent from a record high of $1.31 trillion in July 2011. ,,”

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El-Erian: Cliff Deal Doesn’t Guarantee Robust Growth

“Even if the White House and Congress put political differences aside and navigate the economy away from the year-end fiscal cliff, growth could still come in sluggish next year, said Mohamed El-Erian, CEO of fund giant Pimco.

Sweeping tax increases are due to take effect at the end of this year at the same time deep cuts to government spending kick in, a combination known as a fiscal cliff that could tip the country into recession next year.

The White House has insisted fiscal reforms must include tax hikes on those bringing in over $250,000 a year, a proposal that found strong opposition at first among Republicans, though the GOP appears to be warming up to the idea of higher taxes for the wealthy in exchange for spending cuts elsewhere….”

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Sources Tell the NYTs That $AMGN Will Plead Guilty to Illegally Marketing its Drugs

“The biotechnology giant Amgen is expected to plead guilty Tuesday to illegally marketing its drugs, people close to the investigation said Monday.

The United States attorney’s office for the Eastern District of New York said in an advisory sent to the media on Monday that Amgen was scheduled to plead guilty at the federal courthouse in Brooklyn on Tuesday morning. It provided no other details…”

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$BA Renews Buyback Program and Hikes Dividend

“Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA), increasingly unloved by Wall St. because of problems with its 787 that might make the plane dangerous to fly, has decided to entice holders to keep their shares, or new investors to join the company’s list of owners. The aerospace firm will increase its dividend by 10% from 48.5 cents and will renew its $3.6 billion share buyback initiative that was initially approved in 2007…”

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IEA Predicts Coal Consumption Will Catch Up to Oil by 2017

“By 2017, coal consumption will nearly equal consumption of oil as the leading source of the world’s energy. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that global coal consumption will reach 4.32 billion tons of oil equivalent in 2017, just shy of 4.4 billion tons for oil itself. Coal demand will grow everywhere except in the United States, where cheap natural gas will continue to push out coal burning….”

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The Best CEOs of 2012

“Best CEO lists can be based on dozens of factors. For public companies, the best metric is usually share price. It is hard for chief executives to be considered very good if the shares of their company do not outperform the broader market.

However, current success does not mean future success is certain, and the best CEOs must also make sure their companies continue to thrive. To succeed, a CEO might have a strategic vision, a meticulous plan or the ability to hire and keep excellent management. Good performance means more to shareholders, if a stock price continues to improve over the long term. Near the top of the list of CEOs who have accomplished this kind of multiyear success are Warren Buffett and Steve Jobs.

24/7 Wall St. reviewed the 2012 track records of dozens of large company CEOs. We looked at share price, execution, revenue and EPS growth, as well as evidence of substantial long-term plans. Some of the CEOs who made the list because they excelled or stood out in some or all of these measures had one particularly good year. Dan Hess of Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is an example. His ability to package his company and find a buyer were considered nearly impossible because of larger competitors AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Verizon Wireless. Nevertheless, Hess managed to make a deal with Softbank, which paid a large premium to take a 70% interest in the Sprint.

Other CEOs have posted many years of strong earnings and sales growth. In most cases, to do so they have changed their products to draw in new customers or create better operating efficiencies. Howard Schultz of Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) is among these CEOs. Starbucks has not only expanded its store base, but it has done so to some extent because of a series of product innovations and additions.

To identify the best CEOs of 2012, 24/7 Wall St. screened for best performing stocks in the S&P 500 using Cap IQ. The market value of the company had to be greater than $3 billion. We also examined EPS and earnings growth for the most recent quarter and recent year. To ensure that we only measured the impact of the current CEO and not a predecessor, we only considered executives who had been in the position for at least two years. Finally, we only considered CEOs who had done something particularly meaningful that had, or likely would have, a long-term effect on the companies they run.

 

Next » “

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Gapping Up and Down This Morning

NYSE 

GAINERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
BSMX.N 16.46 +0.82 +5.24
HCI.N 22.69 +0.93 +4.27
PBF.N 28.04 +1.02 +3.78
AMRE.N 17.15 +0.58 +3.50
HY.N 45.34 +1.50 +3.42

LOSERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
SSTK.N 24.80 -0.99 -3.84
RKUS.N 19.45 -0.60 -2.99
ABT_w.N 31.50 -0.96 -2.96
RH.N 33.72 -0.79 -2.29
NASDAQ

GAINERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
LIVE.OQ 4.99 +1.42 +39.78
CBOU.OQ 16.10 +3.78 +30.68
VELT.OQ 4.55 +0.71 +18.49
CPAH.OQ 2.04 +0.29 +16.57
MNTG.OQ 3.35 +0.44 +15.12

LOSERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
CLWR.OQ 2.90 -0.47 -13.95
BOSC.OQ 3.50 -0.49 -12.28
TFCO.OQ 4.25 -0.52 -10.90
NVGN.OQ 6.52 -0.62 -8.68
AMEX 

GAINERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
HRT.A 2.68 +0.39 +17.03
SGB.A 9.75 +0.74 +8.21
GMO.A 4.14 +0.31 +8.09
UEC.A 2.48 +0.15 +6.44
BKR.A 20.80 +1.14 +5.80

LOSERS

Symb Last Change Chg %
SAND.A 11.99 -0.56 -4.46
EOX.A 4.67 -0.14 -2.91
WVT.A 10.20 -0.30 -2.86
SVLC.A 2.44 -0.05 -2.01
MHR_pe.A 22.82 -0.17 -0.74

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