This will be a succession of posts I intend on printing out, over the next 48 hours. The times call for a complete reassessment of the present, and that means I need to determine the top sectors for allocating funds to.
This is not being done because I think for some reason the price of commodities or precious metals are suddenly going to collapse 50%. On the contrary, I think that for the foreseeable future they will be in a sustained move up.
However, I’m not just interested in making money. I’m interested in making as much money for as little effort as possible.
I’ve juiced the commodity move with such precision that anything less than 60% annual moves in my commodity names will be a drag on my performance, all else being equal, and the exposure to risk in commodities as measured by threshold (I’ll elaborate later) is unacceptable and limits new investments I’m willing to make.
As I see it, three sectors at present command the best chance for massive gains:
- Real Estate – specifically Residential REITs which specialize in rental units and multi-family purposes.
- Agriculture Producers – I am completely fixated on wheat growers and storage/distribution networks.
- Utilities – they are far too cheap for the security they offer.
I’ve already begun this process by introducing the utility purchase. I’ll be moving quickly to analyze the following spaces and make my allocation adjustments.
For Agriculture, I’m looking at ADM and BG.
For REITs, I’ve got a much larger list: AEC, AIV, BRE, CLP, CPT, ESS, and SNH, thus far.
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Congrats Mr Cain! Well deserved promotion! I see you still have vz. Are you holding or adding at these levels? I own vz and for now holding. Divi payment on 2/1. TY
Holding VZ, not adding. They’re working on the 5G network and should still be reaping benefits from the iPhone but the big move there was when the share was below $30.
Mr.Cain Thaler I think I like what I see here!!!!!!!
Mr. Cain Thaler, this is most interesting.
I can see why Fly appreciates your perspective.
Looks to me like a sort of Macro fundamentalist view of the world.
If I may be so bold, can you provide a general sense with regard to your holding period on buys, and do you employ stops and if so how much of a loss are you willing to take to see an idea through?
I will be detailing my criteria for buying, holding, and selling, in the near future. I’ll dedicate a post or two to it.
I actually already have a piece of it written. However, for the immediate future, I will be holding those in reserve, as I need to complete these others.
Mr. Cain,
Are you the guy who used to have a tab during hurricane season doing weather forecasts, or am I completely off my rocker?
That was Doc Cane, as in HurriCANE.
I miss that guys work; it was a brilliant model program he had there. I remember nailing a winter weather play with him, thanks to natural gas drawdown.
That was Veritas, the harvard kid who forgot all about us once he graduated.