iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

Don’t Say A Prayer For Me Now

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Uxc9eFcZyM 450 300]

Save That Schit For the Morning After

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A funny thing happened whilst I was away from the office today (for the second day)... I got murdered.   Usually when I’m out and about the market is pretty accommodating, like an Edwardian butler in white gloves and tails.   He  may give me a light workout, just enough to suffuse my brow with a light patina of salty perspiration, nothing more.   Even then, he’s there to hand me my plush towel and smoking jacket at the bell.

But today I was accosted by a gang of wiry Cockney longshoremen in baggy jodhpurs and nail-soled leather jackboots.   Reviewing my 50% position in gold stocks like ANV and silver stocks like — you name it, but SLW was down almost 15% today — they proceeded to bash me about the shoulder and ribs with brickbats and lengthy cords of hard salami.  They said something about leaving my face “intact” so there’d be no questions at work tomorrow.

Nevertheless, I speak to you from traction after suffering a near 7% bullshit beating today (don’t believe me? Check out XRA’s action today, and GFYS!), and am lying here in my linament-soaked bandages, waiting for a bounce to get out of some of these damaged names, as per the plan of yesterday.

A bounce, you say?  Jake, you addled fucker, you were thrown down one too many escalators today! How say you “bounce,” pray tell?  Well, here’s clue # 1 on the $SILVER commodity chart.  It’s been almost 15 months since we last hit the 200-day EMA, and yet we hit it today.  The RSI is oversold egregiously as well:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As for the $HUI today… well, you know the sad sad end of that story.  Like Brad Pitt’s relocated Northern Irish Provisional Army man, Frankie McGuire, said to Harrison Ford’s NYPD sergeant, Tom O’Meara  in the 1997  IRA potboiler, The Devil’s Own

“Don’t expect no hoppy endin’, Tom.  It’s not an American story, it’s an Oirish one.”

Yes, and it appear’s our Baby $HUI ended up just as perforated as young Frankie did at the end of that movie.   What’s more, it looks like there’s still some room to travel even closer to Hell:

But don’t cry for me, Argentinians.   I am getting up and hitting back twice as hard, Chicago Politician-style.  In fact, I swung a haymaker at a bunch of AGQ this afternoon a little too early, at $175 and got stopped out.   I may grab some more on the open tomorrow though.   Also, respecting The PPT and it’s historically oversold levels, I dumped out of half of my TZA hedge and loaded up on a very large dollop of TNA at the close.   I may even add to that if we have a last blow off tomorrow morning.

Don’t let the Man get you down, folks.   Let’s hang together, as we sure don’t want to hang separately.

_________________

 

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60 comments

  1. franky

    great post jake – one of your finest!

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  2. Juiceyfruit

    blame that damn yankee $usd … i wouldn’t bet aGINsT her just yet

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  3. The Zombie

    Dr. Goldfinger, I’m seeing $134 for AGQ right now. Is that the mother of all screaming buys or what? If you wish to answer in the PPT, that’s cool. Thanks, Good Sir.

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    • DMG

      I hope so as i loaded up trying to negate some of the damage from yesterday afternoon’s buy @ $164 and change…

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      • #6

        oof.

        I was down 8.5% yesterday. Down 3.5% this morning and the rectal bleeding continues.

        My only saving grace – AAPL staying above 4 hundo.

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        • EXK challenged

          Ditto on AAPL, amazing stock. JG methinks will always be a hayta on CRAPPLE as he so affectionately refers to it. I do believe there is a bounce due…and hopefully will sell into it.
          You will get off the canvas JG, I know it…

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        • AAPL NEXT WEEK

          My prediction. Apple has held up well. Imagine your camping with your friends and a fucking bear coming. The bear starts fucking ripping peoples heading off so you bust outta there running. Slowing but surely the bear is catching people running away and ripping there heads off also. AAPL is one fucking fast runner, and hes out ran just about everyone else. Only problem is AAPL cant out run that fucking bear, and its going to rip peoples fucking head off. Case in point, the failed break above previous all time high of $404..This is your chance to get out…Cause this thing is gapping lower monday.

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          • #6

            That’s a hilarious analogy but I’m not too sure you’ve got your numbers correct as aapl is currently trading at $406 and the previous high was $422.

            Even if you’re short, thanks for the laugh. Appreciate it. Need it on week like this.

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        • DMG

          Phaaaack – may have to do some desperation buys of AGQ under $120 here in a few…

          TNA and TBT buys are not killing me… yet

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    • JakeGint

      Zombie — I would say that there’s a lot less chance of you getting burned at these letters, but who the fluck knows. I’m goggle eyed at the move silver’s made in two short days.

      You’d think it was copper!

      Anyway… yeah, but keep a decent stop at 8-10%.

      _________

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  4. xxxHuggieBearxxx

    I too have been murdered and am counting on a most fortuitous bounce upon which to reclaim some of my lost fortune.

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  5. ecchymosis

    Stay in the office today.

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  6. GoodAsGold

    It is true, as Fly has proclaimed, we are in a deflationary vortex! But, our weak feeble minded politicians will continue to peruse inflationary policies. For now, as the write offs and deleveraging take place, we are just filling in the holes of destruction but eventually all the holes will be filled and inflation will manifest as higher prices. We must stay true to our convictions….. Silver and Gold is God’s Money and!!
    The dollar will reach it’s intrinsic value…0!

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  7. duck

    little TBF for a trade.

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  8. JakeGint

    I’ve got my bottom fishing orders in… If we break through those levels, we’ll be facing nuclear destruction anyway so…

    __

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  9. Anton

    Nice post, Jake. I’m still holding a bit of the SLW from waaaay back on your recco. Still abiding, Dude-like.

    Hope your traction is purely metifericle (sic). I’ve tried to warn you about that permanent tilt to the right.

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  10. The Zombie

    Holy SHIT is all I have to say about AGQ. I’ll throw in a WOW. Sad to see, unless you’re trying to buy.

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  11. TraderDR

    If $AGQ isn’t a definition of a falling knife, I don’t know what is

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    • huh?

      I have no idea how the fuck you guys are buying this right now…This thing is getting completely annihilated! Might be good for a bounce I guess, but I wouldn’t be on either side of this thing.

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  12. South of the Mason-Dixon

    Speaking of The Man:

    U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack told members of the National Restaurant Association on Monday that Americans need to “adjust” their tastes so that they like the kind of food the government believes they should eat—and “we have to make sure that what we do is create the appropriate transition.”

    “You know, as we deal with this issue of reducing sodium and sugar, it sounds simple to do, but you all know better than I do, it’s not as simple as it sounds,” said Vilsack.

    “It’s going to take time for people’s taste to adjust and they will adjust over time, but it will take some time,” he said. “So, we have to make sure that what we do is create the appropriate transition.”

    Yep the gubmint now want to control what you eat and how you perceive it as tasting. I suppose if you blanch at the restaurant over the taste of said offerings then the goonsquad jackboots from the FDA-FBI-ATF will come haul you away for taste buds inconsistent with the statist norm.

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    • JakeGint

      The mindset… and the balls.. of these Obamanists is so patently Bolshevik it’s fucking amazing they are allowed to speak in public.

      You wonder what fucking world they are living in.

      They wouldn’t even try this shit in FRANCE!

      ________

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      • South of the Mason-Dixon

        Yep.
        BTW-I ended up rather dismayed after the GOP yapfest last night. Romney and Perry basically suck. I had hope for Perry but he should simply quit now. Romney is a statist. Huntsman is a statist. They will change nothing about the military state of this country. Gingrich rocks but he is toxic. Bachmann needs to go back to the House and raise hell. She’s flaky. I like Santorum but the right to death independents will never go for it. He’s smart. Paul? Good grief.

        So that leaves Cain. My favorite since day one. I suppose I should flog myself for not having more faith in the man but I just can’t see how he gets elected. If not for Rubio he would make the perfect VP candidate. But wouldn’t it be amazing to have someone choose Gingrich as their running mate and watch him square off against Biden? Oh my lord he would destroy the man.

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        • JakeGint

          Love Herman Cain. He’s gotten a lot better in the debates, too.

          He’s also the perfect anti-Obama of course. Might even get 25% of the black vote.

          ___________

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  13. JakeGint

    Grabbed a final 1000 shs of AGQ at 118.46 ten minutes before close.

    Final tally for the day? Long 4k AGQ.

    ______

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  14. En1gma

    I was *so* close to buying ZSL yesterday as a hedge for my smallish silver position. In past two days missed a ~30% move.

    Personal lesson learned: if you feel like you need a hedge don’t do anything else until your hedge is in place. You can always take it off later.

    I am not so sure PM’s bounce soon. Long term nothing has changed, short term there is plenty of downside pain to go around.

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    • JakeGint

      You have my thoughts exactly. I re-considered after close today, and realized that I should have but ZSL on just as a hedge on my other silver plays.

      Lesson learned.

      __________

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  15. chanci

    I started buying the miners that were too expensive to buy last week, like PZG and XRA. And then I decided to buy HL.

    I know that there is room to fall, but I also know that on the very illiquid stocks I sold out of today and yesterday to raise cash, they were filled instantly. Sometimes on these illiquid pinks it takes days to fill. But today and yesterday there were buyers waiting. And their prices did not fall like the rest.

    What does that tell you?

    Also, I saw a chart that showed back in 1979/80 it took 8 months for the the minors to go ballistic after the blow off top in the price of the physical. (they lagged all through the gain in the physical back then, too. And while the senior minors gained on the average 4 times, the juniors rose on the average 2300%. (out of 15 juniors followed)

    I wish I could copy and paste that chart, but I can’t.

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    • huh?

      You getting fills tells me that either a lot of people still believe this is a correction, or we have a lot of short term traders betting on a bounce…either way they are going to add to the panic later.WAaayyy to many people buyinh into weakness for my liking.The bottom will come when 90% of people are short, not with people buyinh weakness

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      • chanci

        Well, I guess I am thinking about the school of thought that trying to time a bottom is a fools game. There is plenty of money to be made in the middle 6o%.

        Most of the gold/silver investors do not short term trade. They think trying to trade the minors is impossible and a fools game, because of their nature. They are buy and hold investors, or at the very least like Jake who buys and hold a core position and trades the add on position. Especially in the pink sheet explorers.

        I have been obsessed with the minors for four years, and read about 10 hours a day on them.

        I just don’t see how we can go wrong in the long term.

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      • chanci

        Huh, just get your buy list ready.

        This is for you 🙂 –

        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r0X0aqx3UHI&feature=related

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  16. chanci

    What this tells me (about my orders being filled so quickly) is that there are investors who are banking on a repeat of ’79/’80, because these were juniors (explorers), and that is where the biggest money is made in the mania phase.

    I hope that is why anyway. Maybe it is just one big giant head-phuck. I don’t know.

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    • huh?

      Its a joke how many people are trying to bottom pick this market. Bottom line, stocks look like completely elephant shit. Last time I bought shit it was legit shit. Seriously, I bought dinosaur shit and I now use it as a book-end. That’s the only time I will ever buy shit. Hence, my inability to buy this market. Market bottoms happen when people are throwing in the towel, not buying weakness.

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      • chanci

        dollar cost average

        Average in. Buy 20% now, 40% later, and then 40% after that.

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  17. Taco

    I think the weekly USD chart says it all —
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p13671906081

    It just kissed massive overhead resistance. That AGQ will be on my buy list prior to Monday’s open, if I can get in…

    I expect massive head-fakes so will not place any sell stops on this trade.

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  18. chanci

    Well if shit is what you are looking to buy, then okay.

    But, these companies are not shit. They were undervalued to begin with, now they are screaming buys.

    If you were willing to buy a company at $5 and now it is trading at $3, wouldn’t you consider that a screaming buy?

    Buy when nobody else wants them, when there is blood in the steets. This is how you buy low and sell high.

    I know that the stocks I am buying are not shit, and that they will go back to where there true market value is.

    Great song, great artist, btw –
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rM8veMYmy_k

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    • Taco

      This is a great artist, my friend… Bombino.

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzWBow0OAeA&feature=related

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tneOdum6f68&feature=related

      Master of the ancient Tuareg blues guitar from the Sahara.

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    • Taco

      Good lyrics and sound. Will keep an eye out for when he comes through town… Capps. Thanks for sharing…

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    • huh?

      Im short Canadian banks. However, I completely understand where you are coming. Things look cheap, your absolutely right. I think we just have a differing opinion on what to do when things look cheap. For me, if things look cheap with a positive Macro background I will buy till I’m in the fucking poor house. When things look cheap with a negative Macro background, I stand aside and let things play out.

      “What seems low and cheap generally goes lower”

      -William O’Neil

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      • TraderDR

        100% correct

        I own a ton of yield bought mostly in 2009 because that’s what I live off and I’m fine with riding it down 30% from here.

        My long trading exposure consists of Oct put spreads sold on several leaders at prices 18% below here and even that is at 15% my normal weight – I’ll yank even that in a heartbeat if we waterfall again.

        I will miss the bottom and that’s great with me but no way I’m buying because it’s cheap.
        Let shit washout first – there’s no hurry, plenty of time to get in on a real rally.

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  19. chanci

    *their

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  20. chanci

    I love Grayson Capps. There was this one song I really wanted to post for everyone, but I’ll be danged if I can find it.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UOVNFqqUSOI&feature=related

    I’ll keep looking.

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  21. chanci

    Finally, I found it. It isn’t even that wonderful, it just reminds me of New Orleans, and Savannah, too, for that matter.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8QVyjGQUjg&feature=results_video&playnext=1&list=PL2AB80DE9EF604171

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  22. chanci

    Okay, maybe it is all that wonderful, now that I listen to it again. Grayson Capps will always be New Orleans to me, I guess.

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