iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,416 Blog Posts

The Next Step In the Resurgence

Despite FEYE holding me down, I managed to make a little more than 1.25% today, putting my year to date losses around 22.5%. I realize it will upset many of you to see me make even a slither of my coin back. Moreover, anything less than total loss, 100%, is reprehensible to you. Perhaps one day “The Fly” will blow up in spectacular fashion, even more so than now. However, I still have my wits about me and haven’t lost an edge. By the time I lose my edge, you will already be dead;therefore, as logic dictates, it’s as moot point.

When is a good time to buy a winner?

Remember the answer, always: anytime.

Most can’t grasp it, as they’re too busy conducting themselves as ‘non-gentlemen’, cavorting about the market place with noses filled with cocaine. Sometimes you have to endure a little pain; and that’s just part of life.

If FEYE wasn’t already down 50%, I’d sell it now. There isn’t a reason to hold a stock that is down on an up day. Then again, it could be going lower due to another hedge fund blow up or some other sort of liquidation. I am convinced it is a mechanical mess, not fundamental. I am owning the stock for the month of May. I believe the downside is limited to 5% and I shouldn’t rush towards the exits now, after being so very patient with it over the last, tortuous, six weeks.

We have ourselves a 3 day rally, albeit a quiet one. Let’s build upon it tomorrow, refresh ourselves over the long weekend, then kill all of our enemies on Monday.

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103 comments

  1. Bullish

    Where’s that Showtime guy? He just had his dick chopped off yet again.

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  2. Badduck

    Let’s kill some friends too.

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  3. Mister Jinx

    Good stuff. You’ll be back.

    In particular, despite employing a vampire as its CEO, I agree that the downside in $FEYE is limited at this point.

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    • Bear

      agreed, when it goes from 47 to 38 that will seem immaterial compared to his ride from 90 to 47, adding consistently along the way

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  4. Teddard

    You’re fucking delusional.

    Losing 25% is a blowup kiddo

    Let’s hear it for Jennifer today, he cock-punched the market real strong with his timing to get long two days ago

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    • The Fly

      Teddard

      -22.5% is a blow up. My point was, if you learned how to read better, was that some of you are unhappy with my minor blow up and would only be happy with a -100% return.

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      • ripper

        all unrealized, so no blowup.

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        • Teddard

          But, but, but, tell that to the margin clerks 🙁 the ones that were so busy calling Fly’s stockies and making them go down like the bad ol’ meanies they are!

          dipshit

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      • Teddard

        I read quite well Mr. Cloud Computer. Perhaps if you learned to read better, you’d have known the quibble was that -25% isn’t a “MINOR” blowup.

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        • Steak

          Again, nobody was claiming the drawdown to be minor. You seem angry with something.

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        • Dr. Fly

          While -22.5% might seem like the world to a small man, such as yourself, understand that I’ve come back from greater depths and was up nearly 70% last year.

          WHAT WERE YOU DOWN LAST YEAR?

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          • Teddard

            You have zero insight

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          • Dr. Fly

            So answer the fucking question,

            How much were you down last year?

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          • Teddard

            It’s a pathetic strawman, the type you’re best at.

            There is no way to corroborate any number I provide, and any number I provide will be met with “sureeeee” “BS” “where’s your blog for proof” type of nonsense. And you know it.

            Further, no answer I can provide has any bearing on your incompetence or quest for childish pissing contest.

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          • Dr. Fly

            It would be “straw man” only if I AVOIDED any questions or tried to hide my performance.

            When insulting another person, you should be able to answer questions, else you’re nothing more than a vulgar miscreant.

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          • Teddard

            You claim that -25% is a minor blowup. It’s not. When I refute your claim, you reply by asking me what I returned last year.

            That’s a strawman argument, sorry to tell you, because it misrepresents the original topic of argument.

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          • The Fly

            move to bottom. this thread is screwed

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          • Cygod

            I
            I
            I
            I

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          • Scott Phillips

            It’s quite obvious you are a losing money trader

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    • azulgrana

      thats how you separate the pikers from the rest..the ones that cant see beyond 3 month returns within the context of maybe 5 years historical performance. truly retail commentary

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  5. Rob R

    Only a reasonably small handful of donks are rooting against you but you should quit feeling sorry for yourself and nix sentences like numbers two and three above. If you are mentally strong, you could buzz back to the top of the heap by year’s end.

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  6. Frog

    GOOG miss

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  7. Bear

    Any chance u will let Jennifer be an interim tabbed blogger, he seems to know what he is doing in these turd 4 horsemen

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  8. Mr. President

    Really coulda done without that miss, GOOG

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  9. it is showtime

    1862. Ha !

    I spit on your feeble attempt to match my virtuosity, ye Feathersword

    Arrr! Avast!

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  10. Train Wreck

    i wish i were only -22.5% down

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  11. jimmy_two_times

    @swallow where ever you may be my bitch

    lets talk p/l on my TQQQ and TNA May calls

    You see I bot Mays so this trade could develop and it has

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  12. ironbird

    The hide in value tech asshats are getting rolled in IBM pm.

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  13. gatorsun

    AMZN and YELP,,,for the victory lap out of this mess. these 2 will do it

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  14. gatorsun

    seriously, lets stop the “how much are you down” crap with Fly,,that story has played out,,,lets make some freaking money(ps +.003)

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  15. Jennifer

    I sold all of my longs today. Got about +3% the past 2 days to bring ytd total to +13% thanks to tza. 2013 was +93% thanks to oww mtg and sune

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    • J Livermore

      Oh gosh, let me write that down in my ledger because I really do care.

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  16. Genghis Khan

    More losses coming tomorrow. IBM & Google were heard shouting “FireEye! FireEye!” after the market close.

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    • THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD
      THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD

      BIG SURPRISE, NOT

      IBM has made it self predictably shitty by missing earnings for several quarters now.

      Bunch of old pillow biters.

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  17. negrodamus

    U closed the ppt , now it’s time to close the comment section young padowon- it had a good run

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  18. ironbird

    IBM is the warning shot for the hide in shit no growth cheeseburger plays. Let the growth comeback begin.

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  19. alf44

    .
    …GOOG and IBM might’ve “screwed tha pooch” for BULLS tomorrow !
    .

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  20. gatorsun

    have you checked GOOG ? on the rebound mr alf

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  21. rahagar

    The GOOG is back to after hours green. One time expenses get some blame for the miss.

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  22. og

    Facebook is starting to eat Google’s ad rev lunch.

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  23. Dr. Fly

    I guess it was a bad idea to rotate out of growth stocks into ZERO growth shit like IBM.

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    • rahagar

      lol. Shoulda bot all the excitement and glamour of the ripping Utes instead of Big Blew. $XLU fo-evah!

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  24. Dr. Fly

    FYI

    For all of you talking shit here, I am 100% okay with you taking shots at me and I realize me asking you “what were you down last year?” is more to irritate you than anything else.

    However, being that you’ve pursued a campaign to slander me on the site, I think it’s only fair that you speak about your current positions here too, to be equally ridiculed.

    What do you say?

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    • Teddard

      Sure. But it’s pointless because some of these positions are old and some are newish.

      (values rounded to nearest 5th percent)

      30% Cash

      Old Man Yield:
      5% L DEO
      10% L ARCP

      Sector / Technical:
      15% L AGN
      15% L SXCP
      20% L MPAA

      Spec:
      5% L GLD

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  25. The Fly

    To the guy who claims I am making a “straw man” argument by asking him how much he lost last year:

    You are avoiding my question, for good reason. To settle this, why not put your cards on the table now and tell us all your positions, so we can judge you from here on.

    We can quibble about -22.5% and how it’s insurmountable or not, none of that makes us money.

    You know my ideas, which you disparage. So now, you tell me yours.

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    • Teddard

      My rationale:

      Want some yield from steady payers. Reit and alcohol, no science there

      Want to focus on strong sectors for “growth”. Energy is strong, certain healthcare stocks have held up, and cyclicals still are ok

      Spec can be whatever. I think gold has more upside than downside but really offers nothing otherwise

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      • Teddard

        Year end price targets:
        DEO up 10%
        ARCP up 20%
        SXCP up 25%
        MPAA up 15%
        AGN up 35%
        GLD up 10%

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    • Teddard

      Also, I’m not claiming you made a strawman argument, you are making a strawman argument, literally, the dictionary definition of. Seriously, look up the definition, as it appears you don’t know it offhand. Kind of hilarious if you think about it.

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      • The Fly

        Ironically, you are making a straw man argument by accusing me of making a straw man argument by avoiding my questions.

        I am an open book. I’ve never avoided anything you asked. Tell me your positions in detail. Keep the size out. I’ll take the weightings and positions though.
        Tha ks

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      • Strawman R. Gument
        Strawman R. Gument

        Go get yourself a sense of humor. Not very funny.

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    • Moonshot

      I was up 77% last year, and I’m down 42% this year. My fortunes rose and fell based on a very large position in TXTR that I rode through the Citron bullshit hit job, and the highly correlated fall to your four horsemen since then.

      Obviously TXTR has been beat to shit, off its highs more than FEYE, but I’m convinced it will rise again, especially going into earnings with over 35% of the float shorted (probably higher now) and high days to cover, unlike many of the momo growth stocks it’s been running with.

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      • The Fly

        Txtr is a hard stock

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      • Mr.Partridge

        I hope your portfolio is tiny … swings like that could lead to serious health problems

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      • jeremy

        That is complete nonsense. You arent trading, you are gambling, with money you do not care to lose. Which is completely fine, but we are supposed to comparing apples to apples.

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  26. THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD
    THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD

    Today’s actions were on some shitty volume

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    • Teddard

      Yes, mkt still has definite downside ahead

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    • ironbird

      The bears will make another raid that is a given. The SPY never even corrected.

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      • ironbird

        Volume is meaningless. We rip on no volume and fall on big.

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        • THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD
          THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD

          So it means nothing that the recent upswings have been on lower volume and the downswings on higher volume?

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          • ironbird

            It has been that way for years now. The SPY dumps on big volume and goes higher on low volume. Volume has been a tough tell.

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  27. Teddard

    From our pals at wikipedia:

    “Strawman argument … is based on the misrepresentation of the original topic of argument. To be successful, a straw man argument requires that the audience be ignorant or uninformed of the original argument.

    >>>>>Remember the original argument was that -25% is a major blowup, not a minor one, as Fly seems to believe. <<<<<>>>>>>>The “so how much were you down last year buddy”<<<<<<<>>>>> The “see, you won’t answer the fucking question, therefore, you are wrong / know nothing / are avoiding my question for good reason” line of bullshit logic <<<<<<<<

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  28. Dr Fly

    Ted

    Much better. You put your positions with some rationale behind it. Perhaps someone will benefit from it. Much better than grazing on my grass while saying it tastes like shit

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  29. incometrader

    Current Long term stock portfolio TSX only
    $AX.UN $BTE $CPG $CWT.UN $D.UN $ENF $FCR $FTS $NPI $PBH $REI.UN $TRP $CAR.UN

    Put Sales mostly May

    $AGNC 21.50/22 $ATLS 39 $HTS 18 $EFC 22.50 $POT 32.50 $VZ 45.50 $MIC.CA 32 $NBD.CA 27

    I have a ton of April put sales but they’re all expiring tomorrow so I’m not bothering to post them here

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    • incometrader

      Stock account 55% Put sales account 45%

      Put sales account does 13% per year every year, stock account being TSX only badly underperformed the SPX last year but outperformed greatly 2009-2012

      So far put sales account up 4% for the year, stock more than that as the TSX (and REITs) is playing catch up in 2014

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  30. john

    I’m a very old man and I’m trying to decide whether to construct my cd ladder at PenFed where the 5 year cd is 1.5% or at Melrose credit union where the 5 year cd is 2.25%? You do know what a cd ladder is don’t you? I’M NO DEGENERATE GAMBLER LIKE YOU YUTES!!!

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    • THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD
      THEY WILL KNOW ME BY THE TRAIL OF BLOOD

      LOL, fucking CDs. Get that shit out of here.

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      • ripper

        old man with inflation at 7-8% you simply cannot afford to sit in CDs.

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    • The Real Muppet

      Haha. CD laddering. Finally someone with a proper sense of humor!

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      • Mr.Partridge

        He doesn’t lose money – he might not make much, but he doesn’t lose… and he is old not degenerate so it’s ok for him… you are – young, losing money and degenerate gamblers…. you have different goals in life… Cheers…
        Happy trading 🙂

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    • jeremy

      buy NNN properties. can buy dollar tree or family dollar at 8-9%, depending on location

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  31. alf44

    .
    … don’t you just love the threads that have so many replies … they turn into a single column of unintelligible letters and punctuation marks ?

    ROFL
    —–
    WTF ???
    .

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    • alf44

      .
      … BTW, just finished buffing out a light layer of “Meguiars Auto Polish” on the old “FAZmobile” !

      Whatta sweet ride !

      Call me crazy … but, I’m actually considering takin’ her out for another spin tomorrow !
      .

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    • unclehar

      not surprized that appeals to you.

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  32. Carlo Zamboni

    I miss bannings.

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  33. xxxHuggieBearxxx D.P.M
    xxxHuggieBearxxx D.P.M

    IM MAKING A PUBLIC CALL RIGHT HERE RIGHT NOW.

    Within the next few trading days, probably sooner than later, I will go full-in aggressive short with my entire portfolio.

    I plan to make 10%-15%, equivelant to the S&P decline.

    BOOK IT.

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  34. clarkevii

    This was a nice day for IFON

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  35. Lau.trader

    Forex kong…..That’s it.

    I’ve now learned to trade like a gorilla as…..fly=bull=toast

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  36. BS Caller

    Fly, it’s not that anyone wishes you ill will, it’s just that no one believes that you aren’t down more than -35% at this point.

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    • The Fly

      Bs caller

      How could I be down 35% when none of my positions are down that far, not even feye!? You’re a fucking mental midget

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  37. Lau.trader

    Its not that as fly puts it all out there being up or down. Cool.

    It’s the ridiculous one sided / bullishness that takes the cake as 5 years up . 3 years down etc…it’s called the business cycle right?

    Eternal hope for higher prices is just ridiculous at this point and there doesn’t appear to be any other plan.

    Gay in my view.

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    • The Fly

      I was super bearish in 2008-2009. I just don’t think we go lower. Period

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