iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,419 Blog Posts

Don’t Expect Santa to Bail You Out

I’m not looking for any significant move, up or down, prior to the New Year. We will likely grind lower, as traders call it a year and go fuck themselves.

Thus far, the holiday shopping season can only be described as “a fucking disaster,” with retailers giving shit away—desperate for capital.

With regards to the markets:

There are many idiots tied up in low yielding t-bills, which may begin to unwind itself in 2009. However, do not expect it to happen right away. Bubbles take a long time to pop.

With gains of more than 60% booked for the year, and bus loads of freshly minted coin going into “The Fly’s” checking accounts daily, I find little need to press the envelope here. Methodically, I’ve been selling longs and covering some shorts, in order to raise cash. My goal is to have more than 50% cash by the end of this week, in order to get a ‘clean slate’ going for 2009.

I’m a huge believer in ‘clean slates.’

Also, I will make an effort to unwind most of my inverse etf’s; because they’re bitch of a whores. Again, the CEO of Proshares is a ‘corn on the cocks’ for inventing these ‘tools of terror.’

As you can see, oil is defying the laws of reason and romance, if there is such a thing, via stabbing dollars in the eyes of oil producers. Expect the oil trade to continue on the path of ‘most pain.’ For the most part, I am pleased with DUG, short XOM, short RIG positions. However, I will be selling DUG soon, due to my inverse etf protest.

The ag sector caught some downgrades today. It’s amazing how poorly the classic ‘inflation stocks’ are behaving, post Fed cut to zero. I knew the market would fuck everyone, via marking the classic plays down. Expect that trend to continue.

Finally, bullshit biotech stocks, like MAXY and ACET, have been outperforming. Stay away from that sector, for it is a ticking time bomb that will blow your arms off when you least expect it.

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22 comments

  1. RC

    Any thoughts on CLNE almighty one?

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  2. The Zombie

    The Fly is God.

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  3. ottnott

    Check out the unpleasant capital gains surprise for some Rydex ETFs:
    http://biz.yahoo.com/etfguide/081217/123_id.html?.v=1

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  4. jcvtwo

    Went shopping at Dillards today, everything I bought was 40% off. I didn’t even look for a discount, the hovering sales lady was ready to please. No crowds. This will be a disaster for retail.

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  5. TraderCaddy

    Haven’t been to an indoor shopping mall in at least five years and won’t go now. I will wait until they have going out of busines sales.

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  6. The Chart Addict

    why buy at 40-70% off when you can get it for 90-95% off in a few months.

    cashmere sweater: $5. Final price.

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  7. the Bull

    Senor,may I be so humble and inquire what instrument you park your cash in when waiting to deply?

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  8. The Contractor

    Macy’s here is ridiculous. I bought a truckload of stuff at 60% off and then was able to get another $25 if I used a Macy’s card for the purchase.

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  9. Woodshedder

    Watch out for the afternoon rally…coming soon.

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  10. Keyser Soze

    The Belgian government just quit? How does that work? WTF?

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  11. Keyser Soze

    Fly, try shorting the 2X utra’s, ie your bullish on financials short SKF, bearish short UYG. Take advantage of the slippage and fees

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  12. Small Fry

    SRS limps along like a castrated giraffe.

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  13. Malaka

    SRS in the house commercial RE going down for the count hurry hurry load up

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  14. Aris

    i was thinking about walking over to macy’s to have a look around, but seattle is so fucked up right now that i probably wouldn’t make it back up the hill without ice cleats, which i don’t have of course.

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  15. TraderCaddy

    The 2X and 3X etfs are like addicting drugs. Just one more time. I know I can can make $$ on it. I was just doing it wrong before.
    Fly may need an intervention.

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  16. Gwar

    SRS is in the poop shoot w/ FXP & EEV. I would stick with the index 2xs…. DXD, QID, SDS

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  17. Tony

    C looks like they’re gonna need another bailout

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  18. scum bucket

    poop chute

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  19. The Fly

    Just got back.

    SMN/SRS booking.

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  20. Woodshedder

    Take profits on SMN. Then short it. Get back to me in a few days.

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  21. 4fl3x

    Master Fly, don’t be a piker, go for the big dick gains.

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