Joined May 7, 2012
196 Blog Posts

Plebs: I’d Rather Hold Stocks Than Crypto

I will start with the good news: it’s still early in the Crypto game. Very early. You have not missed the boat. You can buy Crypto today and you’ll be way ahead of the exponential S curve we are entering. Everything up till now has been a test. The launchpad is ready and we are now loading rockets to the moon.

The bad news: you don’t own a time machine so you can’t got back in time and buy Bitcoin at $700 as I blogged about or flip that Bitcoin to Bitcoin Cash at 10:1 from August 2017 to November 2017 before BCH exploded above $1,000. C’est la vie, bitches.

It’s time to take a page out of the good book of Kanye. Think for yourself. Here’s some places to start.

Stop trying to change your life trading stocks. If it was going to happen it would have happened by now. You can continue to play the “seeking alpha” game grinding yourself into insanity looking to beat an index fund by 3% and risking getting 2 years of returns wiped out in a single swing of your FANG portfolio, along with every other FANG chump, due to Zuckerberg admitting he has sex with chickens or you can step into something new and reap the benefits of being an early adopter of the biggest thing since the Internet. It’s really your call how you live your life.

Make no mistake. Stocks may have been good to you but they can’t hold a candle to what’s coming in Crypto.

So I’m inviting you to make the leap. There is risk. I won’t paint a utopian scene in Crypto because it doesn’t exist. People get REKT. But you can greatly increase your chance of riding out the volatility and establishing a base on the freaking ground floor before the entire cryptoverse launches with extreme levels of vigor and massive green dildos.

It’s amazingly simple to get started. Use some common sense:

  • Don’t chase shitcoins. Too good to be true is a law of the universe. If you play that game play to win. In and out with profit. Don’t let a trade become an investment. The flameouts in Crypto are too numerous to mention.
  • This is a game of survival of the fittest. If you are not clear on why your coin will survive the law of the jungle then you shouldn’t be holding it.
  • Pick your winners then hold them. The crypto tree gets shook hard. Really hard. If you can buy that panic, great, but you probably won’t. Just don’t bail your core positions because of FUD. Have some conviction in your trades.
  • Consolidation is coming. Buy the cream of the crop. The insanely profitable alt coins seasons are fool’s gold. There is a lot of money to be made, but it’s the outlier scenario. Unless scalping momentum is your trading style, don’t fall for it. You’ll do better sitting tight on good coins.
  • If you are an alt coiner, buy the absolute bottom of everything. Spread your bags far and wide. Then wait. It may take six months and some of your bags may go to zero, but history has rewarded this strategy very well. I don’t personally care for it, but it’s an option.
  • Trust no one. Consider the crowd to always be wrong. Stay open minded.
  • Have a plan. If you stick it out till massive profits accumulate I promise you’ll be visited by GREED. Have a sell plan and stick to it. You will be tempted to ignore it. ASK ME HOW I KNOW.

Those are random bullet points off the cuff. But you get the idea. The key point is to get started. To ignore the FUD and burrow in knowing and accepting there will HUGE swings in volatility. You are not buying an index or a blue chip. You are buying instruments designed to alter the future world of finance and their volatility are going to be extreme, as will the rewards of getting in now ahead of the majority.

Don’t ask me about your random shitcoin. I don’t care. I’ve been very clear about where I have put my investments and will update if anything changes. No, I don’t recommend BTC.

Near term, I think EOS and BCH are the most promising coins. I expect them to be the new ETH and BTC and to possibly destroy all Alts in cannibalistic fashion.

Also, don’t do what I do, which is to be irresponsibly allocated into Crypto. I have years of experience juggling this dynamite. Just 10% of your portfolio in Crypto can make a huge difference. Increase as you see fit.

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Sold All Of My Monero

I have made a portfolio change. Rather than BCH, EOS and XMR I have reallocated.

I have sold all of my XMR and I have added to BCH.

Monero has a lot going for it: regularly scheduled hardforks, anonymous by default, a clear and concise roadmap with a process for what items are prioritized.

Monero may also have one of the largest botnets mining XMR on people’s computers without their consent, but that’s more of a fun fact than a feature.

Confidential transactions and anonymity are important in Crypto and XMR has been a leader. However, I don’t feel it’s in a place to hold that position much longer.

The unique value that XMR has in it’s anonymous by default architecture doesn’t make up for the areas where it has lagged behind: hardware wallet support, mobile clients, usability (altho it’s more usable than ZEC) and scalability.

The Monero dev team is also lead by Riccardo Spagni AKA fluffypony on Twitter. Fluffy relishes playing the crypto troll. He wears hats that say EXIT SCAM and is an anti-promoter of Monero. The anti-promoter anti-hero role had a certain appeal in the ICO crazy heights of crypto mania of 2017. Here was a guy telling us not to buy the coin he’s developing. Maybe he “can” be trusted.

I don’t know if he can be trusted or not, but I do know that I’m not so thrilled about having an investment where the most public figure is telling people to not buy the coin I am holding….and is still saying that as the rest of the market matures, explores new partnerships and stakes claims on dominating whatever niche they’ve claimed as their own. It’s a…ummm…. unique strategy.

I’m not good at goodbyes so I’ll just leave this here…


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Enjoying A Crypto Melt Up

Things are good in Crypto land. I’ve managed a return that would shame billion dollar money managers for their entire career in the past two weeks. I’ve enjoyed egregious gains and catastrophic drawdowns since my first Bitcoin purchase at $13. It’s been a wild ride. Were I not in early enough and had weathered the dot com collapse I may not have made it this far. Truth be told, I was built for this.

Feel free to ignore the 80% drawdown suffered from the highs in December, that’s just going to be a speed bump on the chart in 2020. Perspective gentlemen. Don’t ever lose it.

I am watching in awe as EOS FOMOs out of control. Up 27% in 24 hours. It’s beautiful. Let’s look a little deeper.

I have been an EOS holder since day one back in summer of 2017. I weathered that nasty downturn to ~50 cents on an ill conceived FOMO buy over $3.00. Now I am sitting on a stack of vaporware tokens valued at over $14.50. These are amazing times we live in. Let’s call it a 4x gain in a year for easy math purposes.

What to do now? Well, taking profit here seems a no brainer. Take the money and run! If I’ve learned anything it’s that GREED ruins my portfolio more than anything else. It’s the bane of my existence. My personal kryptonite. And EOS is due for a pullback.

Truth be told I understand EOS even less now than when I purchased it initially. It’s morphed into a beast. It’s promising high transaction speeds, a revamped ICO market, easy access to new projects with automatic airdrops and a governance system that addresses many flaws in other systems. It’s all from the brain of Dan Larimer who has an impressive list of accomplishments in Crypto projects.

So a profit here, while seemingly sane and prudent, may be the worst move. It may also mean suffering an intermediate 50% drawdown of course as gravity takes effect. No chart stays vertical. But if EOS does take over the ICO market, proves a fast/scalable platform for decentralized apps and shows the crypto world the way to implement a fair governance system then the EOS run of 2018 may make ETH look rather pedestrian by comparison.

In my risk/reward calculations it’s an easy choice. Greed is good.

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Key Level for Bitcoin Cash

$1,560 is a key level for Bitcoin Cash. This level has served as important support and resistance. Once broken we could see a violent upswing.

In the words of the immortal Jesse Livermore:

Prices are never too high to begin buying or too low to begin selling.

This technical level for price is a natural place to pause. There is the May 15 hardfork three weeks away and many other projects in motion that are bringing the value prop of BCH into sharper focus: Money Button, MemoBCH SDK and others. Yes, these look like immature products. They are. It’s still *early* in Crypto. Have some foresight and fortitude for once in your life and stop chasing shiny objects.

All it takes to be Warren Buffet in Crypto is to hold for more than 180 days.

Zooming out on Crypto understand this is a once in a lifetime opportunity. Yes, you may groan at that kind of hyperbolic language but it fits here. Don’t let your cynicism ruin the opportunity. You plebs bought the TSLA dream and think you are geniuses for worshipping at Church of Elon but meanwhile you are missing out on the actual future of money because “you got it all figured out”. Don’t do that. Be humble. Consider the possibilities.

Tim Draper says Bitcoin will be bigger than TSLA and others combined:

Crypto is in an S curve adoption curve over a 10+ year timeframe. We are entering the vertical ascent. Yes, there will booms and busts along the climb. Don’t count it dead and don’t (necessarily) wait for the best entry point.

And regarding what coins to buy I have been clear in my opinions and reasons. One thing that has shifted for me is that it may no longer be the best strategy to buy an index of the top 20 coins and wait. This strategy was a monster the past 2-3 years but I think the market is smarter. The cream will rise to the top. Comparing to dot com days, don’t buy Xcite when you can be buying Google.

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Best time to buy Crypto

Crypto is back and so am I. If you didn’t buy the dip you still can.

Bitcoin Cash has run 110%+ recently and is gearing up for a May 15th hardfork to enable new functionality in the form of opcodes. In layman’s terms, opcodes enable BCH to do anything any alt coin can do now. It’s Boolean logic. IF….THEN type logic. This means your favorite alt coin just got obsoleted.

“Bitcoin is Turing complete. This means Bitcoin can perform any function related to a payment you can do with a high level programming language.” -Satoshi’s Vision Conference, Tokyo 2018

PROGRAMMABLE MONEY. Plus more. And not that ETH crypto kitties BS. We’re talking about contracts built on a network that can scale.

Also, there is a lot talk about privacy on the BCH chain. Oblivious transfers and threshold signatures. This tech can make BCH private, anonymous and easier to protect. Transfer anonymously, recreate private keys, change every address with every block. This makes BCH anonymous and safe. Public blockchain transactions are optional.

So, can BCH eat every alt coin for lunch? Is privacy and anonymity months away? What would that do for it’s utility and value? Watch this talk from 2017. Google everything you don’t understand. This is THE roadmap laid out for the world to see.  (be warned, Craig Wright’s delivery is direct. Listen to the message and set aside your thoughts on the delivery):

What’s the risk? Well, the hard fork could fail. Craig Wright could be full of shit. The hype may be just hype. Shooting straight, there will probably be a mix of all of the above. And it won’t matter.

While BCH has done all of the above BTC has bet the farm on Lightning Network to scale Bitcoin. Being as objective as possible all I can say is LOL. Lightning Network has so many risks it’s more of a new set of difficult problems rather than a scaling solution. The Bitcoin Civil War is not worth rehashing here but all I’ll say is the coin that is poised to capitalize on BTC’s failure to scale is BCH.

I think we’re on the verge of grand larceny for BCH holders. We are going to rob alt coin holders then kick them down an open manhole. I find no other alternative acceptable than to be 100% at risk. All chips on the table, poised for greatness or heartache.

With the exception of a 10% holding of EOS I am all in on BCH. I sold my Monero in the past 48 hours (I have a bull market target on XMR of $600 yet it did not live up to my personal risk/reward ratio).

Also, Kanye is back on Twitter. Follow him immediately.


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Merry Cryptmas from John McAfee

John McAfee of “I will eat my own dick”, selling AntiVirus empire to INTC for $7B and marrying prostitutes 30 years his junior fame is handing out presents this week.

John highlighted BURST coin on Dec 22.

Here’s the 175% return on BURST in the 23 hours following his tweet.


John also tweeted about Digibyte (DGB). It rose 70% in one hour.

But then…..John mentioned Reddcoin (RDD) which I have never heard of….

and this is what happened to the chart.

How does a 1H 63,000% return sound? Would you like to 63x your money in one hour? Someone did. BTW, I have no idea if John’s RDD social media claims are true and, frankly, don’t care enough to verify it. If someone does please report back.

This all seems illegal right? Totally not. Crypto is not regulated (to my knowledge) in this area and John is just mentioning coins.

What does it mean for you? Well, you could buy a bag of shitcoins and hope John calls your number. It’s risky but buying a big bag of shitcoins and holding months at a time has proven to be very profitable in the past. Your risk is your coins don’t get called and the recent alt coin run up is retraced quickly.

John also mentioned XVG recently and Verge went parabolic. Verge was mentioned in comments here a couple weeks ago. Shame on me for not looking more closely.

I have an idea of what coins John may mention next but I haven’t made any moves yet. What coins do you see as good candidates?

Here’s some Holiday Cheer from It’s a Wonderful Life. Scene seems appropriate to this post.

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The Million Dollar Crypto Post

The Crypto correction we all knew was coming is here. It’s not clear how deep we will go but in this post I will share info that will make you money in 2018.

In my previous blogs I urged iBC’ers to put a small percentage of your portfolio into Crypto starting back when BTC was under $1,000. Then I called out BCH, XMR and EOS as my favorite coins. Hopefully you followed that and your 2-10% investment has grown into 30-100% of your previous portfolio size even after our precipitous market decline. If not, there’s still time.

If you are wondering what happened this week go look at Twitter and see that I made some solid calls. This week wasn’t a total surprise.

Had you set bids at $1900 you’d be up 40% this morning.

BTC hit $12,000 the next day.

With that palate cleanser complete, I will now post some facts and opinions. I will do my best to separate the two. These facts may upset people but you can verify them for your self.


  • Bitcoin Core is the dominant Cryptocurrency
  • Bitcoin Core has ~250k transactions backlogged in the mempool
  • Bitcoin Core mempool is nearing 300MB
  • Fees are approaching $50 for a transaction to confirm in less than an hour
  • At current rates it would take 50 hours to clear the BTC backlog if there were no new transactions
  • Bitcoin Cash has landed a deal with BitPay and is reinvigorating the Bitcoin merchant market
  • Bitcoin Cash is faster and cheaper than Bitcoin Core


  • Unlike previous corrections Bitcoin Core may not fully recover, ever
  • The transaction speed and fees are choking the BTC network
  • Bitcoin Core holders believe Bitcoin Cash is evil and this will cause many Core holders to lose a lot of money
  • The Bitcoin Core as Store of Value narrative will be the death of Bitcoin Core
  • Bitcoin Cash will be the dominant Cryptocurrency in 2018

This all leads to my strong recommendation to buy BCH over BTC. BCH goes against the grain for the majority of Bitcoiners and that’s why it’s going to be a brilliant investment. You’ll be early. The money is coming this way. No matter how much Core fans complain on Twitter Bitcoin Cash has a better economic model and will continue to draw increasingly more investment.

Objectively review BTC vs BCH for yourself. Read the whitepapers. Look at the networks. DO NOT trust what you read on Twitter or even on this blog. Go do the work.

I have done the work and I choose Bitcoin Cash.

People ask me what they should buy and I say BCH, XMR and EOS. They are on sale now on a forward looking basis. Plan your entries according to your risk as Crypto is volatile.

If I am right and BCH takes over the targets for BTC you would have 500-1,000% gains in 2018.

If I’m wrong you’ll still likely make money. The entire crypto market will have a great 2018.

Merry Christmas.

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In Crypto, Tis But A Flesh Wound

You thought I was kidding when I said I am dead inside. I am a black hole. Throw catastrophic losses that would have most traders set themselves on fire and I don’t even blink. No emotion.

Experiencing a 60% drawdown within 36 hours frays your nervous system. This isn’t my first rodeo so I watch in amusement while newbies assume the fetal position on busy highways.

There is no shortcut to get here. You must burn in the fires of Crypto. A lot of Crypto Tuition got paid out tonight. Hopefully you paid attention. If you panic sold the bottom, thank you. Please drive through.

Bitcoin Cash chart, a tidy .786 fib correction. It’s bounced 40% off the lows IN THE PAST HOUR.

Riding out these swings is like riding a bicycle. I can tell you what it’s like but until you ride a bike you don’t get to experience what I’m telling you about. Now, you get to experience a crypto style correction. We do this shit right, like we invented it. If Crypto had a VIX it would be pegged at 1,000,000 right now.

It’s late and I’m tired so I’m going to do what any sane person does who is down 50% since yesterday. I’m going to bed and I will sleep like a baby.

I hope you picked up some BCH, XMR or EOS on this dip. They all got hammered. Congrats on your baptism.


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Crypto Correction

You took some profit right? You had a trading plan. You executed it flawlessly. Your fibs were drawn with care and your stops optimized for textbook 4:1 Risk/Reward ratios. Good.

If not, enjoy this feeling. Nothing has you more alive than a swift 20% market wide correction. Your portfolio decimated, your plans for next year’s vacation wiped out. It may not be pleasant but you will survive, stronger for the experience.

Pain will be of the Hellraiser variety but stay the course. Don’t indulge in the pain because  this is when you need to go to work. You make money when you buy in Crypto and buying opportunities are coming. The moves in Crypto are violent. Crypto markets are mass psychology in fast forward motion. Be a student of it but don’t let it run you.

Your lighthouse in this storm is this: you are playing the long game. This is the early innings in a multi decade shift in how financial transactions happen worldwide. This is bigger than the Internet. Do not lose sight of this fact. This dip will be a blip on the chart months from now. Don’t chump out for a 20% daily drawdown.

We will look at our favorite coins and we will find that sweetest support. We’ll bid that support and we will be victorious.

We are the heroes in this movie. In the first act you meet the hero. In the second act the hero is in jeopardy. In the third act the hero kills everyone. This is the second act. Soon we will be beheading market participants and drinking from their skulls.

I’ve have not traded any coins since late October. I am irresponsibly allocated in BCH with a very small position in EOS. BCH is my long term monster play in crypto. EOS is my potential moonshot and I will rebuy XMR as my anonymous coin angle, possibly soon.

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My Worst Crypto Video Ever

I made this video last night with zero prep. It rambles. I think out loud. It’s all over the place. It’s simply awful and you shouldn’t watch it.

And I’m sharing it because given today’s action there were several good calls, especially XMR. I maintain XMR price target of $1,000 in 2018 (still own zero at the moment).

The gist is, I showed how a bunch of charts were overextended and we were headed for a correction.

I’m working on what I think is next. I posted a few preliminary thoughts on Twitter this morning.

Given this is my current music you can get an idea of what may be on the horizon.


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