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Stealth Hilarity

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This post might ruffle a few feathers in the world where trading, tweeting, and blogging intersect, but that’s fine by me. I might be a gentleman, but maintaing a top shelf blog means that I have to occasionally let it rip.
I have to laugh at how self-righteous many gurus outside of the sacred iBankCoin corridors are becoming right now, given the very weak price action in the market of late. They pound their chests as though no one will remember that they have been the epitome of a broken clock calling top after top after top after top after…since March of 2009, and probably well before that in the 1982-2000 bull market for those old man bears.
Bearish arguments are attractive to many market participants and observers who fancy themselves to be deep-thinkers for a variety of reasons. First and foremost, the bearish thesis usually seems carefully crafted, void of emotion, and just the sensible thing to do for people who consider themselves to be superior to a society filled with miscreants run amuck in a bull market. Beyond that, contrarians, such as those wannabe Fight Club losers, actually derive sexual pleasure from the bear case, as it fills a massive void from all of those days being thrown up against their high school gym lockers and robbed of their lunch monies (numerated in proper gold coins, of course).
Now, look, I understand that if you are a new reader you might be thinking that I am writing this to act out any nervous energy I might have from being “balls to the wall” long. You would be wrong for thinking that, as I have been either in heavy or full cash over the past few weeks (100% at the moment). Let me be clear in stating that the bears might win this one, and I will be right alongside them shorting when I feel the time is right. By no means have I nailed every single market fluctuation, but a look through my archives will yield the April 2010 top, the July 2010 lows, staying bullish through last fall’s uptrend (see multiple posts in archives), turning cautious in February of this year as we sprinted past 1300, among other individual calls that proved true.
Basically, outside of the iBC universe of businesses, there is no other technical/swing trading blogger who puts as much content out there, in terms of specific market analysis, as consistently as I do. Plenty of “talented” guys come and go as they see fit, leaving you hanging out to dry just when you became accustomed to reading their thoughts on the market. Why? Because there are a lot of phonies, two-bit hustlers, and immature kids in this business. But beyond that, I have more heart than all of them combined. Do not misconstrue who are dealing with here: I paid off all of my undergraduate and graduate students loans via playing poker full-time, with no old man to foot the bill, as he had long passed away. Although I am still relatively young (31 years old), when it comes to hustlers and cons, I have seen it all.
So, consider this fair warning to all you sleazebags chomping at the bit to steal my business, and those of you who think you’re about to knock off iBankCoin with this market downturn: You will fail and fade away, just like everyone else that has tried. Want proof? Look at the quantity and quality of my archives, and the quality and quantity of content that iBC puts out on a daily basis for active traders and market observers alike.
Checkmate.

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Energy Maxing Out

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Despite the intense selling to close out last week, energy stocks are still holding a key multi-year area that I discussed two weeks ago in this blog post. The reason why I view energy stocks as such an important proxy for risk appetite here is that the bulls need them to stabilize. If you recall the bear market in 2008, the amount of highly levered hedge funds piled into (and rushing out of) high beta commodity stocks exacerbated the fierce, indiscriminate selling as the air came out of the tires in a deflationary environment. To that end, watching the key $62/$63 level on the XLE (ETF for energy stocks) is still important for the intermediate-term direction of the market.

On a related note, best of breed oil service firm Schlumberger is sporting a weekly chart that provides another crucial reference point. Understand that the fierce global liquidations over the past several weeks render short-term areas of support essentially useless, which is all the more reason to hone in on these major long-term levels. In essence, energy stocks are pushing these levels to the max. As you can see below, the “Slob” had better stabilize at $72 in order for the bulls to hold onto their recovery scenario.

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Saturday Night at Chess Cinemas

The Freshman (1990) is a very underrated comedy, centered around satire of the mafia before it became cliché. Watch it.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KaG4C2Z4pqg 550 412]

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