The bull made another push against the bear and gained another foot of movement…

At least, the bull now emerged out of the rectangular box.  Now it needs to overcome the resistance from the previous low established back in August.  We will know tomorrow if this resistance can be broken to the upside.  If not, back to the box it will be.

Today was almost a neutral day for my port with two slightly down ($LRAD, $DMRC), three up ($ORBC, $INFN, $NUGT), and one even ($AMRN).

I was fortunate that my $NUGT did not get stopped out at the open.  In fact, price opened higher and spent the rest of the day continued upward.

From the daily chart above, the rally today only put the price back into the consolidation range.  In other words, price is still basing and there is no inclination of a breakout just yet.  However, notice that the 5 and 15 MA lines are now converging and it is possible that another up day will make the 5 to cross over the 15.  Thus, if there is another up day tomorrow, I may add to the $NUGT position.

$INFN rallied nicely to maintain a bullish stance.

Notice that the 5 has crossed over the 15.  Price action looks good for a continuing rally.

$LRAD managed to rally back to close at “almost” breakeven.

Notice that price is still hanging around the 79 & 89 MA lines.  I’m still very bullish with this one and anyone who sold has allowed the short-term traders to influence their conviction of the trade.  Not me, I’m hanging on to all my shares waiting for the big rally that is still simmering underneath the earth waiting to explode.

$DMRC’s judgement day may be this Wednesday.  Will the earnings call reveal the big retailer(s) who is/are testing the Digimarc barcode?  If so, do they love it?  Any positive news will move the price higher; however, another “we are not allow to disclose the name of the retailer yet” update will stall the advance unless it is qualified with a comment that they like what they’ve seen so far.

Thanks to $NUGT, $ORBC, and $INFN, my port gained 0.3% today with YTD gain at 5.7%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, AMRN, INFN, NUGT, and 3.5% cash.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

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The bear didn’t have a chance.  The bull simply dragged the bear along in its pursue of height.

The above is the weekly chart.  See how it ended the week escaping the tan rectangular box?  While it didn’t close above the box, it was definitely good enough to call it a win for the bull.

While the market was up, my port had a minor correction which was to be expected after it had defied gravity for most of the week.

I sold $KNDI in the morning when I still had profit to take.  I didn’t like the high open and then a sell-off afterward.  I also bought some $NUGT for bottom-fishing with a GTC hard stop below the lower bollinger band from the daily chart.  I wasn’t stop out by day close.

$LRAD and $AMRN were even for the day with $DMRC, $ORBC, $INFN, and $NUGT closing in the negative territory.

Below are the weekly chart which show more bullish tone except for $AMRN and $NUGT which are more on the fences.

$LRAD weekly chart below::

I like the fact that price closed above the middle line of the long-range Andrew’s Pitchfork (purple lines).

$DMRC weekly chart below:

This week bar completely recovered from last week red bar. Now it just needs to get over the 79 & 89 MA lines to begin the bull move.

$ORBC weekly chart below:

It was a strong green bar above the 79 & 89 MA lines.  Breaking out of $7 resistance will be the next target.

$INFN weekly chart below:

While I was late going in, this weekly bar looks strong for continuing upward momentum.  Price is also above the 79 & 89 MA lines.

$AMRN weekly chart below:

Price was neutral at the bottom.  Price needs to stay above $1 for survival sake.

$NUGT weekly chart below:

What more can I say, it is a catch-the-falling-knife play with a hard stop.  The reason why I decided to play this one is because of last week “almost” doji bar. It could mean a possible bottom. If it bounces from here, I’ll be OK; if not, I’ll be stopped out for sure.

Due to some minor corrections from $DMRC and $ORBC, my port gave back 1.2% for the day with YTD gain at 5.39%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, AMRN, INFN, NUGT and 3.6% cash.

I noticed that $IBIO went higher today to close above $3.  While I did not take the trade, I’m happy for those who is sitting on profit.  I’m quite content with the money I made off from $IBIO and was “relieved” to be free from it.  To get back in will cause me to stress out about giving back gain I’ve made.  $IBIO is currently floating on air based on nothing more than their IP portfolio.  Any news of containment of the Ebola over the weekend will cause a gapped down situation in Monday morning.  I for one will certainly wish that this deadly Ebola will be contained over the weekend.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

 

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The greedy bear made one last pull and took the bull down at the open; but the bull had enough of the BS and climbed back up with such brute force that the bear could not stop the advance no matter how hard it tried.

Price climbed back up in the middle of the tan area which was good.  It also didn’t take out yesterday low which was double-good.  Now, the bull is set up to move higher; but it needs to take out today and yesterday high first.

Today, all positions on board are in green.  I dropped $CERS and bought $INFN and $KNDI.  I also added to $AMRN.

$LRAD finally made a small bounce.  At this point, any bounce is good.

Price did take out yesterday high so I believe we may see a bottom here.

$DMRC continued to surge ahead.

Price is now touching the 79 & 89 MA lines which are also converging into one.  I believe price will simply walk pass this magical lines tomorrow and rally hard in anticipating of next week earnings call.

$ORBC, like $DMRC, has been rallying hard this week despite general market turmoil.

Price is now gunning for $7 resistance.

$AMRN finally broke out of $1 resistance!

I’m glad I added more in the morning.  As you can see in the chart, price is forming a smooth slow curve heading back up.  It will probably be a slow grinding up from here.

I bought $INFN today for the bounce up. I had bought $INFN in the past but got out too early and missed the rise to $11+ from my 9ish entry point.  Now, I see an opportunity to get back in.

Price continued to bounce off the 79 & 89 MA lines.

$KNDI bounced hard after opening lower.

Seeing price took out the opening range, I decided to buy some shares to see if this has leg.

Thanks to all six stocks going up, my port gained 2.4% today and YTD gain at 6.6%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, AMRN, INFN, KNDI and 2.8% cash.

From my other account:

With DOW opened negative and $KNDI opened lower, I decided to close $KNDI position while I still had some gain left.  Turned out it was not a good move hindsightwise.  However, this mishap was more than offset by my “another” fortune of $IBIO gapping up after I got in yesterday at $1.30+.  Without hesitation, I sold at the open to lock in gain once again.  Although I did not buy as much as before, i still enjoyed the gain.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

Comments »

The bull, apparently suffered from vertigo, fell over backward and then rolled down the hill.  After vomiting out yesterday’s digestion due to the spinning sensation, it felt a bit better and was able to crawl back up some.

It was an ugly day but yet a redeeming one as well.  The price stayed inside the tan rectangular box and was a green bar that reflected the tenacity of the bull.  There may still be hope for the bull.

I’d another fortunate day.  While $LRAD went down quite heavy in the day, it managed to come back to minimize the damage.

That was a very nice long-tail doji with price closing very near the 79 MA.  If price can take out the high of today bar, it will be a very powerful bullish reversal signal.  In other words, $LRAD may find its bottom today.

Meanwhile, three of my other stocks closed higher for the day despite a down market.

$ORBC had a spectacular price momentum today.  You would think that there were no large market down day just by looking at $ORBC daily chart.

Price obviously cut thru the 79 & 89 MA lines like hot knife thru butter. Imagine where price will go when the general market begins the bull run again.  Something is cooking at $ORBC and I don’t know what it is.  But I don’t mind it ’cause I’m always bullish with their brand new state-of-the-art M2M satellites they have launched with more to launch by year-end.

$DMRC continued on higher which was quite a performance in a down day considered it was a low float stock that was easy to be manipulated.

As you can see, price is approaching the 79 & 89 MA lines.

$CERS is finding its footing giving current virus and baterial infectious climate.

Price actually filled the gap and bounced back up which is a good sign for the bull.

$AMRN was the second stock that was closed negative; but it was a small dip so I’m not going to put a chart on it.

Thanks to stellar performance from $ORBC and $DMRC, the gains were more than enough to offset $LRAD’s drawdown to still bring my port up by 0.5% higher.  YTD gain is now at 4.2%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, CERS, AMRN and 10.3% cash.

From my other account, I bought back a small (10% of original size) number of $IBIO for the bounce.  I also bought some $KNDI to test the water.  Both are in the black after closing bell.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

 

Comments »

The market really tried hard to rally; unfortunately, it went out of mojo to maintain altitude.

While price gave back most of the gain during the day, it at least closed higher.

Today, four out of five went up.  It was $LRAD that closed negative.

Nevertheless, price is finding support at the 79 & 89 MA lines.

$DMRC continued to head higher in anticipating of next week earning conference call.  Will the big retailers’ name be revealed?  Do they like the Digimarc barcode?

If price can take out the 79 & 89 MA lines to the upside, we are heading higher.  And if there are positive news regarding the big retailers, we will see a rocket launch soon due to the fact that $DMRC has a super small float of only 6+ million shares.

$ORBC also had a good day with strong momentum behind it.

Price broke out of its tight consolidation and approached the 79 & 89 MA lines to the touching point. Will it simply walk over the lines tomorrow?

$CERS had a spike up day.

Price is now on top of the 79 & 89 MA lines.  If it can find support on these two lines, it will be in good shape.

Thanks to four stocks being up, my port, after offsetting $LRAD drawdown, still came out with a 1.4% gain for the day.  YTD gain is now at 3.7%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, CERS, AMRN and 10.3% cash.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

Comments »

The bear wasn’t done yet and the bull could not climb against a slippery slope.

Nevertheless the bull may have a resting place to pause and possibly to bounce as well.  Notice that price today closed right at the August low which is now a support or a double-bottom.  There is a 50/50 the bull may bounce next week.

With fortune blessing, I’d a good day today.  It all started with my attention on $IBIO yesterday.  A small voice in the back of my head said, “Hey, load back $IBIO at 70 cents with the cash you got from selling $KNDI and $CERS.”

But I wasn’t ready to load up on a hi-beta biotech stock in the middle of a down day when my port was getting hammered.  So I passed.  But when I noticed that $IBIO opened higher (> 90 cents) this morning, I checked for news and there were none.  Then I checked for the latest Ebola news to see if this virus had been contained.  It is not.  The guy in Texas died.

“Somebody knows something?” I thought to myself.

I waited a minute or two after the open to see if price would sell back down below 90 cents.  Nope.  Then price started to move to 95, 96, 97 in succession.

That is!  I’m going in.

I started buying ’cause my intuition told me price was going to break out $1 very soon.  Resistance developed around 99 cents but I didn’t care, I just kept buying to build my position up.  After I built up to 50% of my original size.  I stopped.  I thought of adding since I still had plenty of cash left.  Then my cautious side told me to spread it to other biotech such as $CERS and $AMRN.  $CERS was bouncing in the morning so I bought back what I sold.  $AMRN was holding strong at 99 cents to a dollar so I checked the script number for the week.  It was up so I bought back in at a dollar.  If script number can climb over 10,000 per week soon, $AMRN at a dollar is a steal.

$IBIO busted out over $1 after I bought what I needed.  It went as high as $1.16 before falling back down to my entry point.

“Get out at breakeven?” I asked myself.

“Nah, hold on.  Remember this is a cash account, once you get out, you can’t jump back in until a few days later.”

“Ok then. Let’s hold a bit longer,”

Then I got busy with other non-trading business.  Lucky thing I did ’cause price went back above $1 and then fell back down to $1 for the 2nd time in the afternoon.  If I was watching, I might be tempted to get out at breakeven giving the general market was fighting to stay positive at the same time.

When I finally get back to watching the market an hour before the closing bell.  I couldn’t believe my eyes.  $IBIO was climbing  and climbing.  By the time it started to correct after trading to the high of $1.39, I was very tempted to sell some to lock in profit.  My finger was at the mouse button ready to push.  Seeing that the general market was literally falling apart, I clicked the mouse button and 50% of my position I bought this morning was let go.  And so I thought I did good.

“Holly Molly!”

Price began to climb again.

I looked at $CERS and it was down.  “Darn, if I bought more $IBIO instead of $CERS, that would be very nice…”

Yeap, like everyone, sometimes I did get infected with the hindsight bug as well.  “Could’ve, should’ve” started invading my mind.  I reminded myself that I was lucky to have the other 50% which represents 25% of my original position.  Meanwhile, all the time, I was mindful that $LRAD was trading in the positive territory most of the day.  I gave my thanks for a fortunate day while partly ignorant that the Nasdaq dropped like a rock to end the week since I was so focused on the after hour trading of $IBIO which traded to a high of $1.91.  Wow!

I’m posting the weekly chart of $IBIO ’cause this is the only way to appreciate the magnitude of the move today.  “If I could be holding my original size all the way…”  Oop! The hindsight bug struck again.  In retrospect, I did what I had to do giving the overall market sentiment.  I already had three long-term hold so locking in profit on a hi-beta biotech stock was the proper thing to do.  Moving on.

I’m thankful for the $LRAD bounce today.

See how price actually bounced off the 79 & 89 MA lines?

Giving the severeness of Nasdaq drop today, $ORBC actually was holding well despite being a negative for the day.

Per the weekly chart, price was holding well on the 79 & 89 MA lines.

Although $DMRC was down today, it did not make new low like a lot of tech stocks out there.

From the weekly chart above, you can see that price only gave back some of last week gain.  The action of $IBIO reminds me that as long as the stock has a strong binary event that if positive can move price the way $IBIO did today.  I’ve the conviction and confidence that the big retailers will adopt the Digimarc barcode system simply because of the efficiency factor.  If that positive decision is to materialize, $DMRC will move the way $IBIO did today; perhaps even more stronger.

$CERS was a bad trade today and I should have cut the losses when it didn’t bounce.  I’m going to see what happen on Monday before deciding what to do with it.

Thanks to stellar gain on $IBIO and the bounce from $LRAD, my port gained back 2.9% which put my YTD gain at 0.1%.  In other words, I’m back to breakeven.   Btw, this calculation did not account for after hour gain on $IBIO.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, IBIO, CERS, AMRN and 4% cash.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

 

Comments »

The market actually fell onto the trampoline yesterday and bounced to quite a height today.

That was a big bad green bar racing back to the 79 & 89 MA lines.  The bull is back on!

Today, my fortune reversed for $LRAD.  Thanks to Cramer mentioning $LRAD, the stock tanked as a result.  Or it could be as simple as big player wanted out to get cash.

Despite not being able to recover like every stocks out there after the Fed announcement of no rate increase, the chart still looks bullish.   Notice that the underlying short-term uptrend line is still intact

Meanwhile, the rest of the gang recovered nicely with $ORBC showing the most enthusiasm.

Due to $LRAD failure to recover (for the day), my port gave back 2.2% with YTD gain at 2.2% as well.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, KNDI, CERS (100% invested/speculated)

My 2 cents.

 

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Fore!  And the falling stocks fell all over the places…

Just when we thought the market could continue on its merry way, the bear pulled the bull by the neck and yanked it backward.  Ouch!

I’d a very fortunate day today.  Despite being bombarded by falling stocks (4 out of 5) in my port, I was saved by the only one that counted the most since I’m overly weighted on it- $LRAD.

$LRAD introduces the LRAD(R) 450XL – The Loudest Long Range Acoustic Hailing Device for its Size and initial order was received from New York National Guard.  With a better and more powerful product that comes in a size that is compatible with almost all military and law enforcement mobile unit, I can see a coming snowball effect on product sales.  It seems like everything is coming into place.  Not to mention that their state-of-the-art mass notification system is also picking up speed in sales.

Chart looks very bullish with today price action.  You could feel that the price wanted to go up bad.  Without the benefit of a rising general market, news of large order can still drive this one up big time.  So, I’m holding and holding.

I sold out all my $IBIO and moved the rest of the proceed to add more $KNDI.  Despite an immediate drawdown on $KNDI, I’m confident that price would eventually pick up and head north when news of China local provinces subsidies are approved.  The weekly chart below show that the overall trend is still up albeit some large swings along the way.

Last week doji bar “may” just be a bottom.  Worse case scenario will be that the weekly 79 & 89 MA offer the next support.

Even with today correction, $DMRC still looked good so far.  The 5 MA line is still a good support here.

With November closing in and $DMRC being inducted into the GS1 partnership. I say there is a high probability that one of the big five retailers testing the Digimarc barcode  is very satisfied.  My patience may be paying off soon.

$ORBC and $CERS are just fighting the general trend like every stocks.

Thanks to $LRAD being a champ today, my port was able to hold off the bleeding to only 0.5%.  YTD gain is now 4.4%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, KNDI, CERS (100% invested/speculated).

My 2 cents.

Comments »

The market took a V-shape bounce and confirmed a bullish hammer reversal candlestick pattern.

The good news is that price is now back above both the 89 MA line and the 5 MA line.  Next week will determine if this bounce can put the bull back in charge.  In other words, today price action has put the bull back in even ground against the bear.  It is now 50/50 for either direction from a short-term perspective.  From a long-term perspective, the bull is still in charge as shown in the weekly chart below:

The long-tail doji reflected a pattern of “pausing” if you looked at the previous weekly bars on chart.  Thus, I say the probability of a continuing bull move up is high.

Today, $LRAD made up for yesterday’s lack of movement.

As you can see, price is now above both the 5 and 15 MA lines with the 5 in the process of crossing over the 15.  This is very bullish.  If price can move over $3 next week, price may test the previous high of $3.88.  The weekly chart below shows a even more favorable odd of a continuing bounce.

Notice price bounce off the  weekly 15 MA line.

$DMRC was able to hold its gain from yesterday.  It was a worthy battle b/w the bull and the bear and the volume reflected it.

Price needs to move above the 79 & 89 MA lines soon to get back on the bull side.  Meanwhile the weekly chart shows a beautiful bullish engulfment candlestick bar that reflected a strong tendency to bounce from here.

Perhaps, next week it will take out the 79 & 89 MA lines.

$ORBC, like $DMRC, was able to fight off the bear to hold the gain from yesterday.

Price still need to work hard to get back above the 79 & 89 MA lines to maintain a strong bullish outlook.  Giving the confirmation of a bullish hammer reversal pattern here, I say the probability of a continuing bounce is good.  The weekly chart below reflected the determination of the bull to get back on track.

See how price is now back on top of the 79 & 89 MA lines; based on the magical quality of these two MA lines, $ORBC is going to bounce from here.

$IBIO was also able to fight off the bear and closed higher.

Price is now looking like a potential double-top.  Not necessarily a good sign; however, if you look at the weekly chart below, price definitely look like it is going to take out the January high of 0.85 soon.

See how the weekly bar closed much higher than the 89 MA line?  Notice how all the weekly MA lines are either in the process of pointing up or already pointing up. We may see price trading over $1 soon.

As you can see from the daily charts above, all four of my positions were up today.  My port gained back another whopping 4.2% with YTD gain at 4.2%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, IBIO and 5.5% cash.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

Comments »

Market fell off support and is now heading toward the 79 & 89 support lines.

I can see a bounce coming when it get there.

Just like $LRAD bouncing off the 89 MA line today.

With both momentum indicators all starting to turn upward, there may be a better than 50% chance it may continue higher tomorrow.  We will see.

With gain on $LRAD, my port gained back 1.5% with YTD losses at 3.7%.

I bought a small starter position on $KNDI to test the water and added a bit more $ORBC today.  Other than that, there wasn’t much to do but to wait out the storm in the comfort of a non-margin cash account.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, ORBC, IBIO, KNDI and 5% cash.

My 2 cents.

My reminder:

Wisdom from Warren Buffet:

“With a wonderful business, you can figure out what will happen; you can’t figure out when it will happen. You don’t want to focus on when, you want to focus on what. If you’re right about what, you don’t have to worry about when”

 

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