iBankCoin
Don't pay dollar to keep 2 cents when wrong. Cut your losses quickly. Trade what you see, not what you think.
Joined Oct 26, 2011
719 Blog Posts

Land grab in California

Who want to own some dirt cheap lands in the sunshine State calls California?

If you didn’t have the mojo to buy them cheap during the 2008-2011 periods, here is a chance to pick some up thru $UCP.

$UCP was recently IPOed a week or so ago and the market cap is only $110 millions at current price of $14.20.  This is what I believe to be below the book value of the lands they own.

Let’s just say that if the book value is based on purchase price of the land in 2008-2011, what do you think these lands is worth right now?

Edit: I’ve forgotten to mention that $UCP received $116.25 million in cash (7.75million x $15) before subtracting IPO cost. Therefore, basically, current market cap for $UCP is eerily closed to their cash value right now WITHOUT their land values being factored in.  Can you spell U N D E R V A L U E?

Since $UCP has only been trading for less than ten days, I can’t present a technical chart to show trend; therefore, I’ve bought this one based on what I believe to be the most undervalued land grab in California.

Below is the daily chart for $UCP:

UCP_daily

Btw, $UCP has an outstanding share of 7.75 million shares; how much of that do you think goes to the float?  This is the stock to buy when no one is aware of it yet…

My 2 cents.

 

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8 comments

  1. Spooky

    Check out Tejon Ranch. TRC.

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    • Zenhunter

      Spooky,

      TRC has a market cap that is already doubled that of their book value in total asset. On the other hand, UCP has a market cap equal to their cash balance before even counting their book value of their land holdings. Therefore, I see UCP a better play in term of risk/reward calculation.

      Thanks for sharing!

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  2. Yabollox

    They sold 42.3% of their stock, with an extra million+ shares for the underwriters.

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    • Zenhunter

      Yeah, I found that out later after my post that $PICO Holdings “spin-off” 42.3% pf their stock to the $UCP IPO. Even with the new fact, I still believe we are sitting in an under-priced asset simply because market cap of UCP is almost equal to their cash balance. In time, the market will adjust the pricing to take into account the 42.3% shares of the California lands and properties.

      Thanks for bringing the new information to light.
      Cheers!

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  3. Spooky

    Yes, all true. But TRC has great long-term potential. They’re sitting on some of the best, least developable land 60 miles from LA, and they’re building a city that will become important. I don’t care about the businesses on their land… their future real-estate value is not recognized, imho…and you get to hold it as a stock.

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  4. Spooky

    …a town, not a city, I should say…

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  5. Spooky

    Nor am I saying this is a better play than yours. Just sharing.

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    • Zenhunter

      Spooky,

      Thanks for the add’l information on $TRC. If they are building a city, that will be something. I’ll keep this on my watchlist.

      And thanks for sharing!
      Cheers!

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