Doubled My Shorts
On the open, I added another block of SPY short, as well as a few individual names.
This leaves me 75% short. Most of these positions will be covered by the close, or by Monday’s close.
On the open, I added another block of SPY short, as well as a few individual names.
This leaves me 75% short. Most of these positions will be covered by the close, or by Monday’s close.
Posted by Woodshedder on Friday, July 17, 2009 at 9:35 am
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jgranit (3 mins ago) what PPT is available for subscribers? 2.0 Beta version or 1.0 ? [...]
mrkcbill (4 mins ago) Fuckin A [...]
J (4 mins ago) from his backside. [...]
monaybot (6 mins ago) Watch the daily 8ema and go eat a banana split [...]
The Fly (8 mins ago) Where do you come up with this nonsense? [...]
The Chart Addict (21 mins ago) depends [...]
egghead1 (23 mins ago) so you don't always cut right away if the breakout fails. [...]
The Chart Addict (30 mins ago) out $GLD 105.27 [...]
The Chart Addict (34 mins ago) Bought $GLD 105.43 [...]
The Chart Addict (51 mins ago) other half $CAGC 18.12 [...]
lol (49 mins ago) agreed... could be fairly epic breakdown in FSLR, buyin some LEAPs on the OTM puts. I'm also looking for the overall market to bounce and p [...]
RC (10 hours ago) Solar looks terrible, short on weakness: http://chart.ly/d4yafr [...]
OpihiMan (10 hours ago) It's gonna be nuts in NO all the way through next Tuesday. Wish I was there. Ack. TM's Prius recall was confirmed. Wonder if F is gonn [...]
mke (12 hours ago) Just as long as Favre is stil a Viking in 2020 when he wins the superbowl at age 50 [...]
Joe Shareholder (12 hours ago) Who cares about stocks is right. Not sure why I ever got involved in this. Steelers to win it next year, however. Go Pittsburgh! [...]
TA (16 hours ago) Since I sell puts, selling puts on the inverses works the best for me. My brain just works better when the chart is a long play. Great looki [...]
TA (16 hours ago) I'm always wary of shorting because squeezes are unpredictable and vicious(and not subject to any of your conditions). I need to develop [...]
Mark (18 hours ago) Thanks G! [...]
Satuki (5 days ago) If my understand is correct, you have more in SOHU than NTES. That means this pair works well so far [...]
ChrisBrown (8 days ago) lol @ the hard stepping. [...]
TraderCaddy (2 hours ago) The Chinese taking a position in GLD. I guess their sovereign wealth fund is the Chinese PPT but they don't try and hide it. http://www. [...]
Jakegint (2 hours ago) Dollar getting its face pushed in in early morning trading. It's under 80 on the DX chart, which is huge. Gold and silver up. Commensur [...]
JakeGint (10 hours ago) Rumour (sic) has it, that this billboard went up in Wyoming, Minnesota right after Jeremy got his iBC Christmas bonus. _________ [...]
JakeGint (10 hours ago) And for the record-- I agree the problem would be solved (for the Euro at least) if the "Eurozone" -- ie, the Deutsch -- could "impose aust [...]
JakeGint (10 hours ago) Dollah taking some flak, late night, and my silver's up 31 cent. Let's see if we can swing this, shall we? __________ [...]
Woodshedder (8 mins ago) Yeah, I saw that. That is one of the downfalls of holding something 65 days, also, if the rotate doesn't come at the right time, you'll rota [...]
Woodshedder (10 mins ago) Dave, I believe what Jeff is saying is to use the parameters of this post, i.e. the RSI65 and 65 day min. hold time, tested over the FSF por [...]
daveinphilly (17 mins ago) Been there, done that. Read Wood's most recent prior blog entries. [...]
daveinphilly (18 mins ago) Hi Wood, looking at the trades, one really stuck out. Buying PSQ ( a inverse ETF) on 10/24/08 was really late in it's move, thus resulting i [...]
Jeff (3 hours ago) Longer term tests can be simulated with Fidelity sector and style mutual funds, many of which have a fifteen year plus history. Just a thou [...]
Danny (17 hours ago) yeah Im running the #s for today now...so far, it it's mixed. Based on recent past, mkt should find support in the 1025-1035 area, with 105 [...]
Manuelstop (17 hours ago) I'm not sure I interpreted this correctly, but I think there was a collective "Fuck this shit" from equity participants during the second ha [...]
Danny (19 hours ago) Thanks ZM. You too. I bet more people wish they would have read my breadth update, perhaps they would have been more skeptical on today' [...]
ZMoose (1 day ago) Solid stuff dude - good luck this week! [...]
ManuelStop (5 days ago) We're a RCH from the 10/28/09 minimum low of [new 20 day highs; total market] (kinda up there in panel 4), so, if we don't bounce from this [...]
Mr. President (4 hours ago) MRO is CHEAP here. [...]
henryfool (10 hours ago) Dennis Gartman- what a buzz kill he was, yeeash! [...]
Goldie (23 hours ago) APL fucking rocking too [...]
Po Pimp (1 day ago) ATPG 4TW, up 7% already today. [...]
henryfool (1 day ago) The Dollar needs to take a break and feel out .80 [...]
Mr. Cain Thaler (2 days ago) I got slaughtered this week. I'm looking forward to redemption; but it'll be redemption without margin. The easy game has been played. [...]
JakeGint (2 days ago) Did not know you were Le Roi again! Cheers! I think the dollar dies next week, just not sure it'll be Monday. ____ [...]
BernieCornfeld (3 days ago) There are so many great buying opps in the commodity/resource area right now, but continued strength in USD will just drive them further dow [...]
The_Real_Hmmm (5 days ago) Yo, I found something about floating oil storage today. Things we were talking about a few months ago. Some numbers for quantification. h [...]
E Mandingo (6 days ago) Well noted - [...]
nTrade (19 hours ago) what's the link to streaming video market updates? [...]
E Mandingo (2 days ago) Great stuff - [...]
BernieCornfeld (3 days ago) Enjoying the shows Scott, stop worrying about the vid quality, I usually only listen anyway and you have a face for radio j/k I am thinki [...]
lindsay (4 days ago) That statement you made about being sure we'd be retesting 1040 sure came in handy today as I watched us get close today without throwing up [...]
Jworthy (4 days ago) And what good calls. [...]
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Hopped on the bandwagon with some speculative SPY puts at the close. Figured we’ll take a bit of a breather on Monday/Tuesday from all this buying…
DP, from your mouth to God’s ears!
That’s what she said.
lol…JP, you having any success in this market?
Woodshedder -
What are the exit criteria in your study? Love your work.
Tom
I’m a retard. Just re-read you prior post. Pardon me.
(And then I entered the wrong sum in the spam protection box!)
TES, one thing I’m going to look for is a lower RSI2 reading. The second block of SPY added on Friday will likely be taken off on the first profitable close.
These studies used a simple time based exit as I was trying to determine what edge exists right after entry and how long that edge persists.
With 3 consecutive up days the edge goes negative after 5 days or so (I’m going from memory rather than click back to look at the study) and with 4 consecutive up days the edge persists positively for the full 20 days tested.
And that is why I think we may be looking at an intermediate term top.
not working…get out and regroup laddie
Doesn’t look like it, does it C&G?
I’ll remain short today but will regroup if necessary based on today’s close.