It has been more than a month since I indicated that YELP has no a sustainable business model in this environment and its stock was going to crash. It was way before the FB IPO and the tape showed that the stock was doomed short term. Several factors have contrubute to this decline: competion (numerous web players fishing in the local market, including GOOG); extortion lawsuits, although dismissed, they undermied company’s reputation; FB failure; market decline; unprofitable quarter and lack of an upside surprise-expected but still damaging, ravaging shorts, etc. What surprises me is Fly’s conviction with respect to this stock-he usually cut his lossess very quickly if the investment thesis does not work. Apart from his holding into VXX, in similar circumstance he quick cut his huge losses in Palm. Is there any future in YELP? It is a big question, the best scenario would be its acquisition. As an alternative, I would look into DDD, INVN, AIG, WNR, TFM, ARCO, UAN those stocks held up very well in the last few days and appear poised to the upside short and long term.
TREND ANALYSIS
The current blog is dedicated to the trend analysis and tape reading. Unlike other blogs it DOES not focus only on the technical analysis. Rather it analyzes the whole spectrum of the market and beyond, such innovation trends, politics, and human psychology in general. As my trading experience has taught me everything counts in the market.
5 Responses to “YELP Continuing Misery”
Dr Fly
Palm?
Lol. Never owned it.
trendfollower
Well I remember when you were on vacation several years ago PALM droped several points after you acumulated it somewhere around $20
pedro
Listen, pal, you’ve been right but for all the wrong seasons. Yelp’s decline to date has nothing to do with its long-term business model.
How about a $150 billion addressable market? How’s that for long term viability? Apple has already integrated Yelp into SIRI and will likely soon position it at the core of its new map app. Don’t be fooled by Google+ bullshit scheme to takethe over local–those fucking reviews take a community to cultivate and Yelp is quickly approaching critical mass.
trendfollower
I hope you right but the market has been stating otherwise. Look, for traders the goal is to make easy money-if I see the tape improving for YELP or/and it guides higher- i would change my mind, but otherwise YELP is going to the teens.
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