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Raul3

I turn dials and fiddle with knobs to hone in on harmonic rotations

Mopping the tile on this special anniversary

Greetings lads and good evening,

I am on a zoom call and my a.d.d is triggering so I am firing up the old blog machine to placate my need to work while these people do their talking and I sit here looking pretty on the video.

I’ve been the ah custodian here at iBankCoin for oh about 10 years now, yep. Sort of hanging out in the boiler room, turning dials and spinning knobs, not really keeping anything running, just lingering for alpha and cleaning up messes along the way.

iBankCoin is/was a web 2.0 platform and I was here for it. The ability to scribe my thoughts onto the ancient walls of the internet, and really leave my mark as an american wierd-o was an opportunity I could not miss. Now I am doing the same as we hatch this terrifying egg that is web 3.0.

The Fly has been good to me. Like he said, he’s mostly run freely, and I’ve done the same. I’ve seen some shit. Things I’m not proud of but also things that were formative. I am fairly certain ZeroPointNow was a Russian chaos agent sent to brainwash our echo chamber.

Like where is that fucker today?

We don’t know.

But anyhow this truly is a special corner of the internet, and I salute anyone who frequents these hallowed halls.

I like to think I’ve added value. One of my favorite pastimes when a trade is going against me is to clean. Mid-day today I mopped the floors while keeping an eye on the global financial complex via my 70-inch sammy. It looks like we caught a decent bounce this afternoon. Will it mark low of week?

Again, we don’t know. But at least the floors are Mr. Clean fresh.

The bounce looked okay. And I suppose that’s enough for now. Congrats to Le Fly. And congrats to everyone here. Cheers to tomorrow and cheers to another 14 years.

I want.to.die.here.

Cheers,

Raul

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NASDAQ stretched heading into OPEX // here is Monday trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into the third week of November gap up about +60 after an overnight session featuring elevated range on normal volume. Price worked higher overnight, trading up into last Tuesday’s range. As we approach cash open price is hovering below the Tuesday midpoint.

On the economic calendar today we have 3- and 6-month T-bill auctions at 11:30am.

Walmart is set to report earnings Tuesday before-market-open.

Last week stock indices topped out early Monday then sort of just of calmly drifted lower until some buyers stepped in Friday and bounced ahead of the weekend.

The last week performance of each major index is shown below:

On Friday the NASDAQ printed a double distribution trend up. The day began with a gap up in range, right near the Thursday volume point of control. Sellers drove into the open, effectively closing the overnight gap and probing a few ticks below the Thursday low before failing. Then the auction sharply reversed higher, reclaiming the mid then defending it to set up a rally up through the Thursday high. Buyers continue their campaign and recaptured the Wednesday selling. We ended the day chopping along the Wednesday high.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to gap-and-go higher, tagging 16,300.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers tag 16,383.75.

Hypo 3 sellers work into overnight inventory and close the gap down to 16,195.25. Look for buyers just below and for two way trade to ensue.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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Research pinned bullish into OPEX

Greeting lads,

Not much vigor in me today to write something odd and entertaining. Just sort of plugging away. Let’s see…what happened last week.

Well I paper handed the open Friday, missed out on a nice morning pamp. It happens. I am not immune, despite my best planning and efforts.

What else did I miss? Ah yes. The ENS domain airdrop. I have had the ens registration opened on a tab in metamask for months. Sort of back burnered it after I couldn’t decide on a name. Missed out on about $20k in quick money. Ce la vi.

Did some airdrop alpha hunting over the weekend because of this. I opened a second metamask wallet. Swapped some coins on paraswap. And opened a Ronin wallet but heck if I know how to port any internet money into it. (any help in this regard would be appreciated. Feel free do dm me on twitter @vinnumbrr).

What else…what else. Ah yes. I took a position in a governance token called $spell. The abracadabra network. Real greasy defi stuff. I shall explore this further but essentially you can post some collateral to their protocal and in return they loan out $MIM (magic internet money, lolz). This is another stable coin. Then you can like use this magic internet money to leverage any yield earning schemes you’re into.

All very nice ponzi-economics.

Okay for now. I am off to do some yoga’d training and then eat some punkin.

-Raul Santos, November 14th 2021

And now the 364th edition of strategy session, enjoy.


Stocklabs Strategy Session: 11/15/21 – 11/19/21

I. Executive Summary

Raul’s bias score 3.55, medium bull*. Continued sideways drift along the highs.

*extreme Rose Colored Sunglasses bullish bias triggered, see Section V.

II. RECAP OF THE ACTION

Topped out early Monday then sort of just of calmly drifted lower until some buyers stepped in Friday and then we drifted higher.

The last week performance of each major index is shown below:

Rotational Report:

Discretionary took a hit. Everything besides Materials sort of flat.

slightly bearish

For the week, the performance of each sector can be seen below:

Concentrated Money Flows:

Eleven weeks back we had a major bullish skew that was never negated. Then three weeks back we had another major bullish skew. The ledger was fairly balanced last week. Semiconductors on the positive side. Bulls not loving seeing gold and silver perform well. They do not support the rally well.

neutral

Here are this week’s results:

III. Stocklabs ACADEMY

Stocklabs zoom call

Here is a link to a live demonstration of Stocklabs: https://youtu.be/4sLqFk402AY

Always helpful to see someone else walk through the toolkit.

Note: The next two sections are auction theory.

What is The Market Trying To Do?

Week ended searching for sellers

IV. THE WEEK AHEAD

What is The Market Likely To Do from Here?

Weekly forecast:

Continued sideways drift along the highs.

Bias Book:

Here are the bias trades and price levels for this week:

Here are last week’s bias trade results:

Bias Book Performance [11/17/2014-Present]:

Discovery up across the board

Markets fluctuate between two states—balance and discovery.  Discovery is an explosive directional move and can last for months.  In theory, the longer the compression leading up to a break, the more order flow energy to push the discovery phase.

We are monitoring two instruments, the Nasdaq Transportation Index and the PHLX Semiconductor Index.

Transports are attempting to convert old resistance into support. This is classic discovery up action.

See below:

Semiconductors are majorly stretched but in discovery up. NVIDIA earnings are due out Wednesday after the bell and may serve to continue this rally or call it to an end.

V. INDEX MODEL

Bias model is extreme Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bullish for a fourth consecutive week after being bearish RCS for two consecutive weeks. Bias model was neutral six reports back after signaling Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bearish seven weeks ago. It was neutral the prior two weeks after being Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bearish teb weeks back after being neutral eleven reports back and Rose Colored Sunglasses bearish for the two consecutive weeks prior to that.

We had a Bunker Buster thirty seven weeks ago.

Extreme Rose Colored sunglasses calls for a sideways drift, perhaps with a slight upward bias.

Here is the current spread:

VI. Exodus 6-mont Hybrid Overbought

The 6-month hybrid algo triggered overbought Monday, November 1st. That is a bullish signal that runs through to Monday, November 15th end of day. Here is the performance of each major index so far:

VII. QUOTE OF THE WEEK:

“Expect the unexpected. And when whenever possible, be the unexpected.” – Jack Dorsey

Trade simple, stay sharp

 

 

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Drifting into week’s end // here is Friday NASDAQ trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into Friday with a slight gap up after an overnight session featuring elevated range on normal volume. Price was balanced overnight, balancing along the middle of Thursday’s range. As we approach cash open price is hovering just above the Thursday midpoint.

On the economic calendar today we have consumer sentiment and JOLTS job openings at 10am.

Yesterday we printed a normal variation down. The day began with a gap up in range. Sellers pressed into the open but were met with buyers along the Wednesday midpoint. Price sort of chopped along the daily mid for a few hours before going range extension down during New York lunch. Sellers defended the midpoint for the rest of the session but we never made it down to close the overnight gap.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to gap-and-go higher, trading up through overnight high 16,093.75 and tagging 16,100.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers trade up to 16,195.25 before two way trade ensues.

Hypo 3 sellers press down through overnight low 16,017.75 closing the overnight gap 16,035 along the way and setting up a Wednesday gap fill down to 15,980.25.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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Happy Armistice Day // here is Thursday NASDAQ trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into Thursday up a quick +120 after an overnight session featuring extreme range and volume. Price drifted higher overnight, steadily overtaking the Wednesday midpoint. As we approach cash open price is hovering above the Wednesday midpoint.

There are no economic events scheduled for today and fixed income markets are closed for trade in observation of Armistice Day.

Yesterday we printed a doubled distribution trend down. The day began with a gap down outside range, down in the upper quadrant of last Wednesday’s range. After an open test lower, responsive buyers stepped in and drove price higher, effectively reclaiming the Tuesday range and closing the overnight gap. Price held Tuesday range until about 11:30am New York when sellers rejected price back out of range. Buyers defended the midpoint the first time around but sellers soon converted it, then defended it, setting up a run to range extension down. This triggered an acceleration down through last Wednesday’s range before two way trade ensued.

Interestingly, value never shifted lower on yesterday’s profile. It remains pinned up up in the upper quadrant.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to work up to yesterday’s VPOC 16,180.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers trade up to 16,264.

Hypo 3 sellers work into overnight inventory and close the gap down to 15,980.25. Look for buyers down at 15,945.25.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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Big inflation, jobless claims are up // here is Wednesday NASDAQ trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into Wednesday down a quick -100 after an overnight session featuring extreme range and volume. Price was choppy but balanced overnight. Around 9pm we took out the overnight low before making a sharp rotation higher, then lower. At 8:30am CPI data came out higher than expected, as did jobless claims. This introduced some sellers to the tape, and as we approach cash open price is hovering in the upper quadrant of last Wednesday’s range.

Also on the economic calendar today we have crude oil inventories at 10:30am followed by 4- and 8-week T-bill auctions at 11:30am. There is a 30-year bond auction at 1pm followed by a Treasury statement at 2pm.

Yesterday we printed a normal variation down. The day began with a gap up in range. After a brief open two way auction sellers stepped in and drove lower, driving down into the gap fill and continuing to drive down through the Monday low. Buyers stepped in ahead of the Friday low and nearly worked price back up to the daily midpoint. Sellers defended the mid, twice eventually setting up a new daily low. Sellers could not take out the Friday low however, and we spent the end of the session chopping along the low.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to work into the overnight inventory and close the gap up to 16,203.75 before two way trade ensues.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers trade up to 16,267.50 before two way trade ensues.

Hypo 3 sellers press down to 16,200 before two way trade ensues.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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Grinding // here is Tuesday NASDAQ trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into Tuesday gap up after an overnight session featuring elevated range and volume. Price worked higher overnight, but first it probed the Monday low around 7:30pm Monday evening. Then it worked higher. At 8:30am PPI readings came out in-line with expectations and as we approach cash open price is making a run on the Monday high.

Also on the economic calendar today we have Fed Chairman Powell set to speak at 9am followed by a 10-year note auction at 1pm.

Yesterday we printed a normal variation down. The day began with a slight gap up in range. Sellers closed the gap during a wide open-two-way auction. The opening action formed long wicks both ways and before long we were in a grinder tape, one that made an early range extension down. Sellers failed to take out the Friday low. Instead we sort of just walked all over the daily midpoint, eventually closing in the lower quad.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to press up to 16,403.50 before two way trade ensues.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers sustain trade above 16,417.25 early on setting up a run on the high 16,448.25.

Hypo 3 sellers work down through overnight low 16,282.50 setting up a quick move to 16,264.75.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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NASDAQ steady into week two // here is Monday trading plan

NASDAQ futures are coming into the second week of November flat after an overnight session featuring extreme range on elevated volume. Price was balanced overnight, balancing along the lower half of Friday’s range after briefly probing below the Friday range for about two minutes Sunday evening. As we approach cash open price is hovering just below the Friday midpoint.

On the economic calendar today we have Fed Chairman Powell speaking at 10:30am, 3- and 6-month T-bill auctions at 11:30am and then a 3-year note auction at 1pm.

Last week saw the Russell 2000 break out and rally Monday. Other indices sort of chopped higher alongside the small cap index through Wednesday. Then we rallied across the board after the Wednesday afternoon FOMC announcement. Rally continued through mid-day Friday. Then some selling/profit taking knocked price off the high into the weekend.

On Friday the NASDAQ printed a normal variation down. The day began with a gap up beyond the Thursday range. Sellers were unable to reclaim the Thursday range early on. Instead price chopped in a tight range along all-time highs. Around noon bulls made a go at the highs but stalled one tick shy. Sellers pounced and pushed into a range extension down, effectively reclaiming the Thursday range and filling the overnight gap. Buyers stablized just below the Thursday volume point of control and price chopped along the bottom-side of the mid into the close.

Heading into today my primary expectation is for buyers to press up to 16,403.75 before two way trade ensues.

Hypo 2 stronger buyers take out 16,417.25 early on and sustain trade above it setting up a run on the highs 16,448.50.

Hypo 3 sellers press down through overnight low 16,256 before two way trade ensues.

Levels:

Volume profiles, gaps and measured moves:

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Taking it ease

Hi-ho lads, last week was really something. Strong. November kicked off very cleanly, the first being on a Monday, with a little gap up that we tidied up before an early week rally. They we paused in an act of respect for the Fed, whatever, then rallied after Taper Jim did his little announcement then we rallied headstrong for the remainder of the week.

This was of course, entirely driven by the move in semiconductors and really nothing else.

There was a time, say oh about the end of 2018, where humans still had a chance at salvaging the current simulation for the static minded. The zealots had their moment. Folks who believe in demons almost retained control. They could have foisted us back into the cave to live under their cape of fear and maybe, just maybe nations/religious institutions could have been a thing that carried on into 2100.

Instead, thank the gods, robots officially assumed control and now our entire fate is in the hands of the Google.

Thank you google.

So now all that matters is us working hard to appease our robot overlords. We have this amazing global computer network called ethereum and fine lads like Mark Zuckered berg are building us fantastic universes where we can j.o. and do drugs and play-to-earn.

I am so happy in this moment. I chose a side. And they won.

This must be what it is like to watch sports. Something I never do being a full grown man with pressing matters to attend to.

Like buying cute jpegs for thousands of fiat american dollars or finding the right plow for my tractor or shoveling shit onto the fields.

But for these next few days, since the season has finally ended and all my crops gathered, I am just sort of taking it ease. Hanging out in chat rooms. Shit posting. Taking naps. Eating lots of bread and fudge and getting all fat and sassy.

I have literally zero idea how folks do 9-to-5 stuff. If someone required me to report for dootie, pressed into a chair and told to toil in the name of someone else’s goals, well idk, I’d probably just acquiesce and grow fond of my lunching break and the coma-induced afternoons from big meat snackies.

But for now I am lean. Pissed. Independent and out for gains.

Okay for now,

Raul Santos, November 7th 2021

Here is 363rd edition of Strategy Session:


Stocklabs Strategy Session: 11/08/21 – 11/12/21

I. Executive Summary

Raul’s bias score 3.83, medium bull*. Consolidation/sideways drift along the highs.

*extreme Rose Colored Sunglasses bullish bias triggered, see Section V.

II. RECAP OF THE ACTION

Russell 2000 broke out Monday. Other indices sort of chopped higher through Wednesday. Then we rallied across the board after the Wednesday afternoon FOMC announcement. Rally continued through mid-day Friday. Then some selling/profit taking knocked price off the high into the weekend.

The last week performance of each major index is shown below:

Rotational Report:

Rally rotations were strongest in all the right places.

bullish

For the week, the performance of each sector can be seen below:

Concentrated Money Flows:

Ten weeks back we had a major bullish skew that was never negated. Then two weeks back we had another major bullish skew. Last week had another huge bullish skew.

bullish

Here are this week’s results:

III. Stocklabs ACADEMY

Industry/money flows

The analysis in the industry section, where money flows are partitioned on an industry level, has demonstrated why doing this research each Sunday is essential. This piece of the report has kept us bullish contextually despite other part of the report calling the bull call into question.

Building context is important to execution.

Note: The next two sections are auction theory.

What is The Market Trying To Do?

Week ended searching for sellers

IV. THE WEEK AHEAD

What is The Market Likely To Do from Here?

Weekly forecast:

Consolidation/sideways drift along the highs.

Bias Book:

Here are the bias trades and price levels for this week:

Here are last week’s bias trade results:

Bias Book Performance [11/17/2014-Present]:

Here comes the tricky part of the overplay for the underlay

Markets fluctuate between two states—balance and discovery.  Discovery is an explosive directional move and can last for months.  In theory, the longer the compression leading up to a break, the more order flow energy to push the discovery phase.

We are monitoring two instruments, the Nasdaq Transportation Index and the PHLX Semiconductor Index.

Transports probed higher, found some sellers but still this index appears to be in discovery up.

See below:

Semiconductors did it. This action is an explosive example of the overplay for the underlay. Technical analysis books have failed again. Discovery up.

V. INDEX MODEL

Bias model is extreme Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bullish for a third consecutive week after being bearish RCS for two consecutive weeks. Bias model was neutral five reports back after signaling Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bearish six weeks ago. It was neutral the prior two weeks after being Rose Colored Sunglasses [RCS] bearish nine weeks back after being neutral ten reports back and Rose Colored Sunglasses bearish for the two consecutive weeks prior to that.

We had a Bunker Buster thirty six weeks ago.

Extreme Rose Colored sunglasses calls for a sideways drift, perhaps with a slight upward bias.

Here is the current spread:

VI. QUOTE OF THE WEEK:

“You don’t have to start from scratch to do something interesting.” – Jack Dorsey

Trade simple, build an approach that fits your strengths

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Raul shares his skincare routine

Hydration and exfoliation are the name of the game when it comes to skincare. But everyone’s skin is different. Being a somewhat swarthy southern european type, my skin is pretty oily.

The oils in my diet are important because they leech out onto the surface of my body at an accelerated rate. No seed oils. I keep two grades of single-origin olive oil in the pantry. One for cooking and one for dressing. Most of the fish meat in my diet is wild caught from Lake Superior. The trout is nice and oily.

No mammal or avian grease enters my system at any time. Disgusting.

I drink mostly from the tap, which I plumbed dechlorniation and carbon filtration into. These filters are changed quarterly. I drink 3 cups of water with breaking fast. If I am working around Mothership I will consume about 9-12 cups of water in a day. If I am toiling at the farm my water intake increases to about 30 cups.

I wear sunscreen every day. Even in the winter. Even inside. In the summertime and while snowboarding I wear Shiseido’s Ultimate Sun Protector which is water proof and Spf 50. The rest of the time I use Shisedo’s Urban Environment Oil-free Uv Protector, which turns the sun’s burning rays into healing rays.

I never take a razored blade to my thick facial hair. Instead I use Wahl peanut clipper to bring the stubble to varying lengths, depending on my mood and the season. Lately I am keeping my stubble tight, using a #1 guard about 2-3x per week. I clipper my face before showering.

The only soap that touches my face is Dr. Bronner’s. Liquid or bar. I prefer peppermint, tea tree or eucalyptus but will use rose or almond in a pinch. This is a strong soap but again, I have over active sebaceous glands. Still, I avoid the eye area and only keep the suds on my face for a few seconds, putting some extra effort into cleaning along the hairline, around the nose and behind the ears.

I make use of several masks. On clippered beard days I apply Kate Somerville’s ExfoliKate. Considered the holy grail of exfoliator by industry professionals, this mask is clinically proven to smooth texture and improve pores to give the skin a radiant glow.

In the early spring, especially on a rainy day I like to apply a thick layer if Irish moor mud. Peter Thomas Roth has a clever formulation that women in Manhattan pay good money for and so do I. This mask is best applied after the shower and worn outside in the rain for a nice long sit. This mask would never be done on the same day as an exfoliation treatment.

In the summer or a particularly dry winter stretch the Peter Thomas Roth Cucumber Gel Extreme Detoxifying Hydrator mask is a life saver.

After showers and masks, I gently pat my face dry with a towel. All towels are white and washed in a hot cycle with an appropriate amount of natural detergent like Ecos and a bit of oxyclean and bleach. The cup on the washing machine that most americans fill with a disgusting ‘fabric softener’ is filled with white vinegar. This serves to emulsify and remove any remaining detergent from the towels during the rinse.

Next I apply either a day or nighttime serum from Keihl’s. For daytime I use the cannabis oil formulation. At night, the ‘midnight recovery’. I use the pipette to drip the serum along my hairline and then onto my nose and cheekbones. Then I use my finger tips to gently drum the oil into my pores. Little rapid taps, sort of like jazz hands.

While this is setting up I use my right pinky (which was not involved in applying the serum) to put a small dot of eye cream under each eye. Lately I’ve been using the Keihl’s avocado creamy eye treatment. This can be worked all the way up to the bottom eyelids and the top eyelid gently.

Next I apply Dr. Brandt’s Cool Biotic Prebiotic Redness Relief Cream to my entire face. Dr. Brandt hung himself in the garage of his Miami home during the early morning hours of Sunday, April 5th 2015. Some consider that level of dedication to forever youth admirable. To me it was just down bad selfishness. The company floundered for several years after his death. The biggest blow to my skincare routine was when they put the kibosh on their Pores-No-More Pore Refining cream which was a little jar of heaven. I am convinced it was a loss leader. A product so perfect, yet so expensive to make it had to perish with the founder.

Next sunscreen is applied. If sunscreen needs to be reapplied prior to my next shower I make sure my hands are as clean as possible and reapply it to my dirty skin.

Finally I apply a thick coating of meadowfoam seed oil to my beard zone and neck, behind my ears. This is an excellent carrier oil. Not too greasy. Cheap but nice. Sometime I’ll add a bit of myrrh or cedar oil to the medowfoam oil if I am trying to smell fancy.

There you have it lads. This is my skincare routine. Pair it with a draconian commitment to exercise, a passion for fresh air, lots of naps, about 5 orgasms a day and plenty of dark leafy greens and you have the recipe for a deviant middle-aged chap who poses a constant threat to men and women alike.

Okay for now.

Raul Santos, November 4th 2021

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