iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

WHAT MOVE HURTS THE MOST HERE?

Personally, I think the move that hurts the most here is a gap down tomorrow.

Each time the Russell has bottomed, it was not an event, it was a process. Last time the Russell bottomed in August, it had taken on a tone of relative strength (upward consolidation) where the SPX, DOW and NASDAQ sloped lower that week.

I liked how growth stocks didn’t follow the market lower yesterday, and with a small sell off at the open they did not follow the market to its lows. They’ve got to maintain that posture here, and the Russell needs to start outperforming soon to the upside (day to day comparisons).

The lowest reading I saw this morning in the $NYMO was -79. As you all know, that has been my go-to dip buy indicator most of my life. It’s rarely failed at telling me where there is limited downside in the tape.

If we open lower tomorrow, are you buying? If so, top pick?

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108 comments

  1. linmoo

    I think you’re right OA. I think today’s action was what you thought would happen yesterday, and the gap down will happen tomorrow. I still really like LOCO and AMZN here.

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  2. bonobo smores

    $FSLR gets a boost from California’s solar power initiative

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  3. RaginCajun

    TUBE, DANG, BLOX, & YGE on the radar

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  4. mrboulders

    since we didn’t gap down today, I wasn’t a buyer, but would be tomorrow on that type of move.
    I would look at $GME again, $BYD, $FB, $JASO

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  5. pyromonoxide

    have several positions on the table so may hold here for a bit. like the P idea, but not sure about timing. still, right on there fence there, may take a shot at it with a small-mid sized call. kors calls are kicking me in the pants a bit but have time.

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  6. Matt

    FEYE AMZN P

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  7. autumnalcity

    top #kellersfellers pick today was SCTY yesterday

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  8. show me da money

    Goog on a pullback tomorrow oa?

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  9. jon v

    my guess is a continued ramp higher. i think a lot of people got short or went to cash.

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    • Option Addict

      Like they did back in 82?

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      • jon v

        ha wise ass. just because a chart similarity exists doesn’t mean it has to happen right? i’m up about 100 fold since the lows in 09 so i’m just playing it cautious and looking at all possible outcomes.

        keep in mind in 81 the market ramped one last time before going into a slow grind lower so lets give it more than a day ok?

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    • angrybear

      no fucking way this turd who cant even make a logical point is up 100 fold.

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  10. cat

    I’m sitting here patiently putting together my list – making my list, checking it twice. I’ll probably wait until Friday to actually put anything on though.

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  11. BoilMeImIrish

    Z, though it doesn’t have much more room to go down. Might take it today.

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  12. matt_bear

    what about a gap up that’s sold hard?

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  13. mateo

    BWEN

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  14. autumnalcity

    I think the move that hurts the most here is when whoever took the other side of that “Buy NUGT” imbecile’s trade and has been riding him for the last 3 months decides to pull out. Ouchie.

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  15. fasteddie

    brcd, mu

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  16. cheifton15

    Biotech is the place to be. Money moving into the whole space. I have CELG but want MORE. I like JAZZ but it’s gone to far to chase, hoping for a pullback tomorrow.

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  17. bear54

    OA
    Do you like NFLX here, or is this a fake bounce?

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  18. jon v

    That volume profile is pretty steller on ZU if it gets above $44ish

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    • jon v

      stellar

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    • Bobby Pancakes

      I was about to ask if the target is still $40 for this? It’s been grinding higher despite market weakness until rallying today on normal volume. Still lots of short interest makes me think it could keep moving…

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  19. pyromonoxide

    SLB? GOGO looks like a shot but it hasn’t moved much in 6 months. on the right kind of pullback I may buy GOGO.

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  20. jon v

    are you guys holding AKS anymore? been thinking about an entry point there.

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  21. G-Money

    What do you think about GOOG here OA?
    thx!

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  22. gudenaev

    If many are under positioned, and or short, wouldn’t a gap and go higher hurt the most participants?

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    • Option Addict

      You know, there is an argument for any scenario I post on the pain topic. To be honest, I had little to talk about today. I think the dip buyers getting involved here would be quick to stop out, shorts would be quick to engage.

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      • marketSNAFU

        I can confirm as a piker that I was stopped out of 3 dip buys I made today for fear of the market turning. Damn it all.

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  23. operator1

    I’m already balls deep in FEYE. I’m just waiting at this point.

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  24. Db6strings

    MHR forming a nice hammer today after being gutted since the first of the month.

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  25. Woj

    GWPH consolidating nicely on the 50 day…

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  26. dsfas

    NUGT boner

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  27. BlueStar

    China firing Central banker. People speculating that China will be opeing the QE gates. news came out around 11:00. Should be interesting to see if this sugar rush sticks.

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    • BoilMeImIrish

      Our markets crash on news like falling planes, not legitimate economic news.

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    • 2kto2m

      the only news is the free printing machines all over the world are still in orgasm.

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  28. Geno

    I’m knee deep up shit creek, I see peeps who piss fees till this shit bleeds. I get fees six-ty times the average pip-squeak, ya get me?
    This creep named Dick B, used his big D to dig a hole six feet and bury me wherever he could stick me. I died, was revived and now I can fly like Pixy dust and combust spontaneously.
    Cause fusses and cuss then shush em, tell em where to shove it for ever trying to nix me… A dozen haters tryin to bust in, I love em, inspiring my endeavors to eject he… Who must interfere here I rustle with muscle and clever enough to give them hexis or hexes, I vex sleazes in Texas, reject thesis, reckless.

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  29. J Livermore

    How about these two charts. $CERS and $ZNGA. Like on both daily and 5 year weekly.

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  30. Tito Jackson

    Of course ZU goes to $39 3 days after my $37 calls expire – held them for a month and 3 days later ZU blows da fuk up.

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  31. byhiselo

    FWIW, ISE index reading over last few days has been very low (bullish). We may have a bit more downside but should be limited imo

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  32. byhiselo

    ISE index link:

    http://www.ise.com/market-data/isee-index/

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  33. charlie

    BABA, to 100

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  34. gudenaev

    OA, thoughts on a FEYE YOLO?

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  35. operator1

    I just added LOCO to my list.

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  36. 2kto2m

    so strong, gap up??

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  37. Geno

    Reckless…Inebriate myself with exes, relieviate myself on precious… metals… I dug shit from seas and dumped it on a nugget so you can fuggit… About it, fuck it… I’m fit without spouting my mouth no doubting my whereabouts when I’m out, roundhouse’d a kangaroo in his pouch,till the bout with Dan Fouts gets him knocked out, K.o’d… Uhh, right in his couch and told him to pick up his blouse…
    Bitches, my time is now and the place is at your mommas, your girlfriends boyfriend is here… I bring the drama. I pack more punch than when Obama took Osama, bark of a pitbull terrier and the bite of pirranas. Spit metaphors scarier than the fight with sadaam was to his momma when we found him in a cave clusterfucked more than 62car pile up to a Honda.
    I’m feisty.. I bring crisis/ quicker than Katrina and Isis/ combined with Pearl Harbor, 9/11&serial killers with a liscense/ to kill. I’m like a thousand cats to mices, for real.

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  38. cheifton15

    Bought Oct calls in WYNN and DE . Looking for a pullback tomorrow in JAZZ to buy.

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  39. boyaj

    I’ve been long common shares of OAS, and will be for a while. However, I think it’s ready to make a big move to the upside.

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  40. chub

    OA, Thoughts on NMBL? Where’s your exit price?

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  41. Thomas Jefferson

    OA,
    Can you take a look at NMBL and CRTO in the after hours? I can’t attend, but I’m looking to move on from one to make room for another position. My gut says to stick with CRTO but I trust your gut a hell of a lot more!

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  42. bensteinsmoney

    Unusual volume in MDR … Shorts covering? Why?

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  43. k_melancon

    So the move in AMZN hurt me the most today – I was shook out at the lows (literally sold my Sep 330 calls at .50) and got to watch it rocket back up 10 points. A least my other positions got to take advantage of the melt up.

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  44. DaJuice

    I’m not sure what to make of the comments in this thread, getting weird up in here.

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  45. brian

    FB if it holds $78
    YHOO

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  46. exbankergirl

    Comments/riff raff getting weird up in here

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  47. cheifton15

    this pre market selling is the most important move of the week. what happens here will dictate a lot for the next few days. I’m betting it gets bought but if not this could get nasty.

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  48. chub

    wow. Wretched open. Almost lost all of yesterdays gains. MOMOs getting hit hardest

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  49. ..

    Z looks good.

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  50. chub

    worst type of open. Not a gap down but a quick grind

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  51. heisenberg

    In NFLX $460 weeklies Oct1

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  52. cheifton15

    taking a shot buy NQ_F 4045.25

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  53. cheifton15

    out -5. worth a try.

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    • chub

      not worth it today. Bears in control. Yesterday was obviously just a dead cat bounce

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