Expectations of the Fed Keeping ZIRP in Place Till 2014 Have Emerged
JACK BOGLE: ‘Our Markets Have Gone Crazy’
“John C. Bogle counted himself among the 1 percent of wealthiest Americans a couple decades ago. You might not guess that today, when you hear the 82-year-old founder of mutual fund company Vanguard rail against economic inequality.
He can sound almost like an Occupy Wall Street protester: “Our markets have gone crazy, and there is 200 times as much speculation as there is investing,” he says.
It has been 15 years since the low-cost investing pioneer stepped down as CEO of Vanguard. It was Bogle who launched the first index mutual fund in 1976. Vanguard Group has since grown into the largest fund company, managing nearly $1.7 trillion in U.S. fund assets.
Bogle remains wealthy, but his income is a fraction of what he earned when he ran Vanguard. He’s paid a modest retainer to run Vanguard’s Bogle Financial Markets Research Center, a think tank in Valley Forge, Pa.
He resists a label that applies to most people his age: “I’m so far from retired, it’s almost an embarrassment. I’m here in the office every day.” He’s also writing his 10th book, “The Clash of Cultures: Investment vs. Speculation.” And he continues to deliver speeches.
Bogle says he’s paying close attention to tax policies he considers unfair, including one that’s favorable to the fund industry and investors with taxable accounts. The top rate for dividends and long-term capital gains is historically low at 15 percent, as a result of the extension of Bush era tax cuts that Congress and President Barack Obama agreed to a year ago. In contrast, top earners pay 35 percent on regular income. He doesn’t like that disparity.
Here are excerpts from a recent interview with Bogle: “
Comments »Should You Panic Over Credit Suisse’s Panic Index or Play a Contrarian View ?
How to Construct a Portfolio for Volatility
With all the turmoil in the markets many are asking why even have a portfolio; but you must make money with your money and the market is the biggest opportunity going.
Comments »Wilbur Ross: Obama ‘Seems to Hate’ Big Banks; EU Has ‘Dysfunctional’ Economies
“Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross Jr. tells Newsmax that the U.S. government “seems to hate” big banks and is imposing new regulations placing them at a competitive disadvantage.
And while Ross doesn’t see the European debt crisis leading to disaster, he says several EU nations have “dysfunctional” economies that must be reformed to deal with the crisis.
In a wide-ranging exclusive interview with Newsmax.TV, Ross, the chairman and CEO of WL Ross & Co., also said:
• Gridlock will keep its hold on Washington if the Obama administration remains determined to engage in “class warfare.”
• Inflation will pose a long-term problem if the federal government continues to debase the currency with deficit spending.
• A new recession is unlikely.
• S&P’s downgrading of the United States’ credit rating is “silly.”
Story continues below in video.
Comments »Comeback Brands of 2012
Gapping Up and Down This Morning
Gapping up
MU +1.6%, WCAA +29.7%, TIBX +4%, NG +2.0%, BCS +1.6%, MS +1.4%, TOT +1.8%,SAP +2.3%, BP +2%, INFY +1.8%,
RIO +1.3, BAC +1%, GOL +2.6% MT +2.1%, YHOO +1.1% , RIO +1.6%, AA +1%, CLWR +3.4%, JNPR +2.8%,
Gapping down
VVUS -9.6%, BBBY -3.0%, NOK -1.0%,
Comments »Upgrades and Downgrades This Morning
Company | Date | Analyst | Action | From | To |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ULTRA PETRO CP (UPL) |
12/21/2011 | Canaccord Genuity | Upgraded | Hold | Buy |
BODY CENTRAL CP (BODY) |
12/21/2011 | Avondale | Reiterated | Mkt Outperform | |
FIRST SOLAR INC (FSLR) |
12/21/2011 | Brigantine | Reiterated | Buy | |
COCA-COLA ENTRP (CCE) |
12/21/2011 | Argus | Upgraded | Hold | Buy |
AT&T INC (T) |
12/21/2011 | Argus | Downgraded | Buy | Hold |
LRR ENERGY LP (LRE) |
12/21/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Initiated | Buy | |
TANGER FACT OUT (SKT) |
12/21/2011 | Hilliard Lyons | Downgraded | Long-term Buy | Neutral |
CVS CAREMARK CP (CVS) |
12/21/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated | Buy | |
NEWLINK GENETIC (NLNK) |
12/21/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Initiated | Buy | |
ENDURO ROYLT TR (NDRO) |
12/21/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Initiated | Hold | |
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) |
12/21/2011 | Ticonderoga | Reiterated | Buy | |
BG MEDICINE INC (BGMD) |
12/21/2011 | Ladenburg Thalmann | Initiated | Buy | |
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) |
12/21/2011 | Collins Stewart | Reiterated | Neutral | |
REALPAGE INC (RP) |
12/21/2011 | Barrington Research | Initiated | Outperform | |
ATRICURE INC (ATRC) |
12/21/2011 | Kaufman Bros | Reiterated | Buy | |
ALLOT COMM LTD (ALLT) |
12/21/2011 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated | Outperform | |
TERADATA CORP (TDC) |
12/21/2011 | Oppenheimer | Downgraded | Outperform | Perform |
LRR ENERGY LP (LRE) |
12/21/2011 | Oppenheimer | Initiated | Outperform | |
PEP BOYS M M &J (PBY) |
12/21/2011 | The Benchmark Company | Initiated | Buy | |
AUGME TECH INC (AUGT) |
12/21/2011 | Brean Murray | Initiated | Buy | |
VANGUARD NATURL (VNR) |
12/21/2011 | Wunderlich | Initiated | Buy | |
VEECO INSTRS-DE (VECO) |
12/21/2011 | Needham | Initiated | Hold | |
CREE INC (CREE) |
12/21/2011 | Needham | Initiated | Buy | |
AIXTRON AG-ADR (AIXG) |
12/21/2011 | Needham | Initiated | Hold | |
FNB CORP (FNB) |
12/21/2011 | FBR Capital | Downgraded | Outperform | Mkt Perform |
NEWLINK GENETIC (NLNK) |
12/21/2011 | Robert W. Baird | Initiated | Outperform | |
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) |
12/21/2011 | BMO Capital Markets | Reiterated | Outperform | |
BARD C R INC (BCR) |
12/21/2011 | Mizuho | Reiterated | Neutral | |
MEDIDATA SOLUTN (MDSO) |
12/21/2011 | Morgan Keegan | Initiated | Outperform |
Company | Date | Analyst | Action | From | To |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZIPCAR INC (ZIP) |
12/21/2011 | MKM Partners | Initiated | Sell | |
PACIFIC DRILLNG (PACD) |
12/21/2011 | Deutsche Bank | Initiated | Buy | |
G-III APPAREL (GIII) |
12/21/2011 | Standpoint Research | Initiated | Buy | |
CVS CAREMARK CP (CVS) |
12/21/2011 | Barclays Capital | Reiterated | Overweight | |
CARNIVAL CORP (CCL) |
12/21/2011 | Barclays Capital | Reiterated | Overweight | |
BROADCOM CORP-A (BRCM) |
12/21/2011 | MKM Partners | Initiated | Buy | |
XILINX INC (XLNX) |
12/21/2011 | MKM Partners | Initiated | Neutral | |
ALTERA CORP (ALTR) |
12/21/2011 | MKM Partners | Initiated | Neutral | |
REGAL BELOIT (RBC) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
ROGERS CORP (ROG) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
ORION ENERGY SY (OESX) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
JOHNSON CONTROL (JCI) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
CAPSTONE TURBIN (CPST) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
HUBBELL INC -B (HUB.B) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Perform | |
COOPER INDS PLC (CBE) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
ACUITY BRANDS (AYI) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
SMITH (AO) CORP (AOS) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Perform | |
CLEAN EGY FUELS (CLNE) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Perform | |
FUEL SYSTEM SOL (FSYS) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Perform | |
WESTPORT INNOV (WPRT) |
12/21/2011 | JMP Securities | Initiated | Mkt Outperform | |
DATALINK CORP (DTLK) |
12/21/2011 | Dougherty & Company | Initiated | Buy | |
ZALICUS INC (ZLCS) |
12/21/2011 | MLV & Co | Initiated | Buy | |
VIRTUSA CORP (VRTU) |
12/21/2011 | BB&T Capital Mkts | Initiated | Hold | |
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) |
12/21/2011 | Canaccord Genuity | Downgraded | Buy | Hold |
SXC HEALTH SOL (SXCI) |
12/21/2011 | Maxim Group | Reiterated | Buy | |
APOLLO GLOBAL-A (APO) |
12/21/2011 | Compass Point | Initiated | Buy | |
LINCOLN ELECTRC (LECO) |
12/21/2011 | Longbow | Reiterated | Buy | |
ORACLE CORP (ORCL) |
12/21/2011 | Macquarie | Reiterated | Outperform | |
NEWLINK GENETIC (NLNK) |
12/21/2011 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiated | Buy | |
XYLEM INC (XYL) |
12/21/2011 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiated | Buy |
In Play and On the Wires
Does Oracle Spell the Future for Technology Spending ?
Oracle missed earnings Tuesday night. First time in 9 years. some are asking if this spells further downside for tech cap ex.
Comments »Facebook’s Zuckerberg Want His Company to be a Blue Chip
Forecasters Still Gloomy Despite Better Than Expected Economic Data
Garmin Hitting 52 Week Highs; Buy, Sell, or Hold ?
Upgrades and Downgrades This Morning
Company | Date | Analyst | Action | From | To |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
COACH INC (COH) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
TIFFANY & CO (TIF) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
LOWES COS (LOW) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
LIMITED BRANDS (LTD) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral |
Company | Date | Analyst | Action | From | To |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
MANPOWER INC WI (MAN) |
12/20/2011 | Barclays Capital | Reiterated | Overweight | |
HOMEAWAY INC (AWAY) |
12/20/2011 | William Blair | Initiated | Mkt Perform | |
TARGACEPT INC (TRGT) |
12/20/2011 | Global Hunter Securities | Downgraded | Accumulate | Neutral |
FIFTH STREET FI (FSC) |
12/20/2011 | Deutsche Bank | Initiated | Buy | |
PERRY ELLIS INT (PERY) |
12/20/2011 | Standpoint Research | Upgraded | Hold | Buy |
LILLY ELI & CO (LLY) |
12/20/2011 | MKM Partners | Initiated | Sell | |
ZELTIQ AESTHETC (ZLTQ) |
12/20/2011 | William Blair | Initiated | Outperform | |
TRUSTMARK CP (TRMK) |
12/20/2011 | BB&T Capital Mkts | Initiated | Buy | |
RESMED INC (RMD) |
12/20/2011 | Feltl & Co. | Upgraded | Buy | Strong Buy |
STONE ENERGY CP (SGY) |
12/20/2011 | Rodman & Renshaw | Reiterated | Mkt Outperform | |
DEXCOM INC (DXCM) |
12/20/2011 | MLV & Co | Initiated | Buy | |
SOUTHWESTRN ENE (SWN) |
12/20/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Reiterated | Buy | |
SBA COMM CORP (SBAC) |
12/20/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Initiated | Hold | |
AMER TOWER CORP (AMT) |
12/20/2011 | Stifel Nicolaus | Initiated | Buy | |
NETSCOUT SYSTMS (NTCT) |
12/20/2011 | Wunderlich | Reiterated | Hold | |
PHOENIX CMPNIES (PNX) |
12/20/2011 | FBR Capital | Initiated | Outperform | |
F5 NETWORKS INC (FFIV) |
12/20/2011 | Oppenheimer | Upgraded | Perform | Outperform |
KILROY REALTY (KRC) |
12/20/2011 | KeyBanc Capital Mkts | Initiated | Hold | |
DOUGLAS EMMETT (DEI) |
12/20/2011 | KeyBanc Capital Mkts | Initiated | Buy | |
HOME DEPOT (HD) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
GAP INC (GPS) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Sell | |
URBAN OUTFITTER (URBN) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
BED BATH&BEYOND (BBBY) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy | |
LUMBER LIQUIDAT (LL) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy | |
RENT-A-CENTER (RCII) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy | |
TJX COS INC NEW (TJX) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy | |
BIG LOTS INC (BIG) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy | |
FAMILY DOLLAR (FDO) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Neutral | |
WILLIAMS-SONOMA (WSM) |
12/20/2011 | Collins Stewart | Initiated | Buy |
Gapping Up and Down This Morning
Gapping up
DFG +61.2%, RIMM +11.8%, FSII +10%, LYG +6.9%, PNSN +6.7%, ING +3.2%, NOK +2.5%, VMI +2.5%, FIO +0.6%,
HBC +2.3%, BCS +2.2%, GEDU +1.9%, FSII +10%, SUBK +9.2%, CTAS +6.1%, KBH +5.7%, NKE +3.1%, VMI +2.5%,
IRE +2.8%, RBS +2%, GNW +2%, BCS +0.6%,
Gapping down
SAP -6.3%, TIBX -4.5%, CRM -3.4%, IBM -1.9%, EMC -1.2%, MSFT -0.6%, PVH -1.6%, TDC -2.9%,
BP -1.8%, E -1.8%, CPTS -6.4%, SEE -2.9%, OPEN -2.9%, WAG -6.8%, JBL -4.7%, KMX -1.8%, PAYX -1.6%,
LNN -1.5%,
Comments »In Play and On the Wires
Van Hoisington Says Get Your Type 5 Tickets Out
Mark Mobius Out With a Surprising Call; Euro Debt Crisis to End by June of 2012
He did not give an exact time of day, but said he expected the crisis to end mid year sparking a major bull run.
Comments »El-Erian Drops the Bomb: 1 in 3 Chance of a ’08-’09 Meltdown
“The head of the world’s biggest bond fund said he sees a more than 1-in-3 chance that the eurozone will break apart and trigger a financial crisis akin to the one that devastated the global economy in 2008.
“It would be the equivalent of a sudden stop” in which financial markets seized up, Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, said. “It would be really, really messy.”
The global economy suffered its worst recession since World War II after the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008 triggered steep falls in global stock markets. Gross domestic product in the U.S., the world’s largest economy, shrank by 5.1 percent.
El-Erian said in a Bloomberg interview that the crisis in Europe is no longer just about what will happen to periphery nations like Greece. “It is now a crisis for the eurozone as a whole,” he said.
He said the most likely outcome — with a 1 in 2 chance — is that European policy makers “get their act together” and manage the transition to a smaller currency union. The least likely is that the 17-nation euro zone stays intact: the possibility of that occurring is just 15 percent, he said……..”
Comments »