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chessNwine

Full-time stock trader. Follow me here and on 12631

Higher Healthcare Costs if Commuting Grandma Gets Run Over By a Reindeer

In between leaving shiny apples on Ben Bernanke’s desk, Steve Liesman, resident annoying dork at CNBC, is out with a piece about older women increasingly rejoining the workforce. While this may help out employers in terms of  higher levels of productivity from experienced workers, it is sure to raise healthcare costs.

(Source: CNBC)

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DANGER: China’s Stock Market Bears Up Against It

Despite copper at 11-week lows amid China demand concerns, the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite is pretty clearly breaking out above multi-month resistance. Although the copper theme may indeed be valid, the amount of liquidity sloshing around throughout the capital markets could easily cause the well-to-do China bears (James Chanos, Hugh Hendry, etc.) to be squeezed into oblivion, as money rotates out of commodities and into the Chinese mainland markets.

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Copper ETN Selling Volume Supports Fresh 11-Week Lows

Not only did copper close at 11-week lows amid rising inventories and China demand concerns, but JJC (iPath Dow Jones-UBS Copper Subindex Total Return ETN) saw its heaviest single-day volume IN OVER TWO YEARS, supporting the downside move. Indeed, this copper move was clearly not some random drip lower on a quiet market day.

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Is Carl Icahn Playing Liar’s Poker with the Stock Market?

Recently, there has been quite a stir about whether Carl Icahn is actually as bearish on the stock market as he seems to be, in light of a recent letter he wrote to his investors announcing he would return all outside capital. In essence, it appears that he is playing it safe, and does not want to bear the responsibility to limited partners in the event we see another market swoon.

Insider Monkey, however, believes that Icahn is actually quite bullish on the stock market. The excess cash could easily be used by Icahn to lever up his long exposure. He has also not really hinted at selling core holdings. Food for thought, indeed.

At any rate, courtesy of The PPT, here are Icahn Capital LP’s top holdings.

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CRUDE OIL’S BIG DAY OF RAGE AGAINST THE MACHINE IN SAUDI ARABIA

With crude futures off their recent highs early Wednesday morning, there appears to be a bit of calm in the air before the proverbial storm or, in this case, spring. With the “Arab Spring” continuing to take hold in the Middle East, protests and Shi’ite marches are expected in Saudi Arabia during the now ubiquitous “Day of Rage” on March 11 and 20. Indeed, oil traders will be watching this situation very closely, as heightened political, social, and economic unrest is likely to cause similar types of spikes that we saw with Egypt and Libya headlines.

Of course, legendary commodities investor Jim Rogers is not convinced crude is rising due to tensions in the Middle East, so much as because “…the world is running out of known reserves of oil.” Either way, you can be sure that “black gold” will continue to be all the rage in the coming days.

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