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Monthly Archives: January 2012

The cost of enforcing the law

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) — Tougher sentencing laws and reduced prisoner programming budgets have Kansas officials discussing ways to balance the need to protect the public against efforts to reduce the state’s burgeoning prison population, Kansas Corrections Secretary Ray Roberts said.

A recent count found Kansas men’s prisons are housing 8,635 inmates, 266 over capacity. The state’s prisons are projected to be short about 2,000 beds in a decade, according to the Kansas Sentencing Commission. Prisons for women also will exceed capacity in about seven years, the commission said.

The solutions being considered would keep the public safe while releasing some prisoners sooner than planned or keeping them out of prison in the first place, Roberts told The Kansas City Star (http://bit.ly/tvMi9l ). So far, Kansas is not considering mass releases of prisoners.

Roberts has a mix of three broad options in mind: build more prisons, house prisoners in county jails or cut recidivism by helping paroled prisoners. Each idea would cost millions of dollars, he said.

Wyandotte County District Attorney Jerome Gorman said police and prosecutors won’t let up in efforts to bring prisoners to trial.

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German unemployment higher in December, lowest average in 2 decades

Read here:

MIXED EMPLOYMENT REPORT: Germany’s unemployment rate edged higher in December, but the average number of people unemployed last year in Europe’s biggest economy was the lowest for two decades.

THE MONTHLY DETAILS: The government said Tuesday that the unadjusted jobless rate rose to 6.6 percent last month from 6.4 percent in November. But the seasonally adjusted jobless rate dipped to 6.8 percent from 6.9 percent a month earlier.

THE ANNUAL RESULTS: The number of people out of work averaged 2.976 million for the full year, 263,000 fewer than in 2010 and the lowest overall figure since 1991. Last year’s average jobless rate was 7.1 percent, down from 7.7 percent in 2010. Andreas Rees, an economist at UniCredit in Munich, said the German labor market still has “substantial” momentum.

..

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Italian public “servants” make big bank

ROME (AP) — A government-mandated report has confirmed what many Italians long suspected: The euro11,000 ($14,300) that Italian lawmakers earn each month far outpaces what their peers in some of Europe’s largest economies get.

Italy’s bloated public sector and the privileges of its political elite have come under fire as the country battles its debt crisis with tax hikes, labor market and pension reforms that are hurting ordinary Italians.

Premier Mario Monti has vowed to trim the cost of governing as part of his austerity measures, and has renounced his own salary as premier and economy minister.

The report, published Tuesday, looked at comparisons between labor costs for lawmakers in Italy compared to France, Germany, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria. It also considered 34 public agencies in Italy to see if there were analogous ones in the other countries. The commission’s president hopes the findings will provide “food for thought.”

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Consumer spending facing slowdown, headwinds

This piece from the Times follows a report from Moody’s on the 22nd of December.

Read here:

American consumers are running out of tricks.

As the weak economy has trudged on, they have leaned on credit cards to pay for holiday gifts, many bought at discounts. They are dipping into savings to cover spikes in gas, food and rent. They are substituting domestic vacations for international trips, squeezing more life out of their washing machines and refrigerators and switching to alternatives as meat prices have risen.

That leaves little room for a big increase in spending in 2012, economists say, a shaky foundation for the most important pillar of the American economy.

“The consumer is far from healthy,” said Steve Blitz, senior economist for ITG Investment Research.

Even the seemingly robust holiday shopping season is raising concern. After a strong start on Thanksgiving weekend, a pronounced lull followed, causing retailers to mark down products heavily in the week before Christmas. While final numbers for the season are not in, analysts say they are worried that retailers had to eat into profits to generate high revenues.

Consumer spending makes up 70 percent of the economy, so until it ignites, general growth is likely to be sluggish.

Macroeconomic Advisers, a forecasting company, projects growth of around 2 percent for the first half of this year, down from an estimate of 3.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011 and just 1.8 percent in the third quarter.

For consumers, the reasons for the sluggishness are clear: incomes are essentially flat, job growth is modest, and more than 40 percent of the new jobs in the last two years have been in low-paying sectors like retail and hospitality.

While consumer spending is not “going to collapse,” said Joel Prakken, senior managing director at Macroeconomic Advisers, “there are some headwinds there.”

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Construction spending rose in November

WASHINGTON (AP) — Construction spending in the U.S. jumped in November as builders spent more on single-family homes, apartments and remodeling projects.

The Commerce Department said Tuesday that spending on construction projects rose 1.2 percent in November, following a revised 0.2 percent drop in October. The increase was the third in four months and the largest since a 2.2 percent rise in August.

The November increase pushed spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $807.1 billion, still barely half the $1.5 trillion that economists consider healthy. Analysts say it could be four years before construction returns to health levels.

Home construction has begun a gradual rebound and likely added to the nation’s economic growth in 2011. The chief reason is apartments are being built almost twice as fast as two years ago. Renting is the only option for many people who have lost their jobs, their homes or both.

For November, private residential construction increased 2 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted $522.3 billion. It was the fifth consecutive gain.

Single-family construction rose 1.5 percent while multi-family construction including apartments rose 1.3 percent. The category that covers home remodeling rose 9.5 percent.

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Money Flows, Heat Map, and S&P A/D Line

Money flows

ISSUE GAINERS                 SYMBOL   EXCH   LAST PRICE   MONEY FLOW    RATIO 
                                                          (in millions) 
SPDR S&P 500                   SPY     ARCA      127.93       +43.0       1.19 
Sel Sec SPDR-Hlth Cr           XLV     ARCA       35.08       +25.0       3.45 
IBM                            IBM     NYSE      188.11       +23.1       1.58 
Select Sector SPDR-Energy      XLE     ARCA       70.76       +20.5       1.91 
JPMorgan Chase                 JPM     NYSE       34.48       +17.0       1.75 
PwrShrs QQQ Tr Series 1        QQQ     NASD       57.01       +15.3       1.68 
Pfizer                         PFE     NYSE       21.95       +13.5       2.01 
PepsiCo                        PEP     NYSE       67.09       +12.5       2.65 
Amazoncom                      AMZN    NASD      177.41       +12.1       1.33 
Ross Stores                    ROST    NASD       48.19       +11.3       5.50 
3M                             MMM     NYSE       83.91       +10.5       2.78 
United Technologies            UTX     NYSE       74.88       +10.2       2.47 
Abbott Labs                    ABT     NYSE       56.16        +9.6       2.05 
Oracle                         ORCL    NASD       26.46        +9.1       1.42 
VISA  (Cl A)                   V       NYSE      103.01        +8.6       1.65 
Alcoa                          AA      NYSE        8.94        +8.5       2.04 
Philip Morris Intl             PM      NYSE       79.13        +8.4       1.60 
Mkt Vctrs-Agribusiness         MOO     ARCA       48.46        +8.3       7.43 
Kraft Foods                    KFT     NYSE       37.66        +8.3       2.74 
Merck                          MRK     NYSE       37.94        +8.3       1.60 

ISSUE DECLINERS               SYMBOL   EXCH   LAST PRICE   MONEY FLOW    RATIO 
                                                          (in millions) 
Vanguard MSCI Emerg Mkts       VWO     ARCA       39.18       -76.9       0.12 
Johnson & Johnson              JNJ     NYSE       65.45       -46.7       0.27 
Apple                          AAPL    NASD      411.20       -45.5       0.85 
ExxonMobil                     XOM     NYSE       86.15       -38.4       0.52 
Procter & Gamble               PG      NYSE       66.85       -32.3       0.30 
Google                         GOOG    NASD      658.83       -28.8       0.81 
AT&T                           T       NYSE       30.39       -22.8       0.46 
McDonald's                     MCD     NYSE      100.84       -21.9       0.38 
Halliburton                    HAL     NYSE       34.21       -20.6       0.54 
General Electric               GE      NYSE       18.38       -20.0       0.43 
Coca-Cola                      KO      NYSE       70.49       -17.7       0.40 
Intel                          INTC    NASD       24.72       -16.4       0.51 
Baidu                          BIDU    NASD      122.70       -16.2       0.74 
Ford Motor                     F       NYSE       11.13       -14.5       0.44 
Microsoft                      MSFT    NASD       26.52       -13.8       0.62 
Cisco Systems                  CSCO    NASD       18.73       -13.2       0.43 
SuccessFactors                 SFSF    NYSE       39.85       -12.2       0.14 
ConocoPhillips                 COP     NYSE       74.18       -12.0       0.54 
Qualcomm                       QCOM    NASD       55.48       -10.8       0.55 
Freeport McMoran               FCX     NYSE       38.45       -10.5       0.60

Heat map

A/D Line 

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Winners and Losers by Sector

----- Percent Change ------ 
    Sector                   Index     Daily   1 Wk.    1 Mo.   3 Mo.    1 Yr.

 

Nonferrous Metals            6107.20  236.19    4.77   -1.80   26.34  -35.44 
Consumer Electronics         7560.68  195.11    2.75   -5.52   24.84  -23.55 
Software                     7277.27  169.74    1.99   -2.72    7.15   -7.34 
Coal                         3311.77  155.85    7.03   -8.05   17.92  -44.95 
Gambling                     6278.80  143.97    2.55   -0.86   20.80   -6.11 
Computer Serv                7003.56  141.01    1.06   -1.19    8.86   17.49 
Commercial Vehicl & Trucks  10479.39  137.76    1.18   -3.56   27.19  -13.04 
Farming & Fishing            5409.78  137.10    2.03    2.17   20.02    4.23 
Telecom Equip                5639.63  128.65    1.75    0.67   18.81   -8.25 
Computer Hardware            8617.90  125.41    1.45    2.16   11.24    5.57 
Integrated Oil & Gas         5739.45  101.55    1.20    6.58   21.75   13.92 
Exploration & Production     7082.76  100.86    1.34   -3.93   28.10   -4.41 
Specialty Chemicals          5693.10   97.63    1.68    1.98   21.03   -3.50 
Home Improv Retailers        7177.24   96.97    1.03    6.41   35.27   13.76 
Oil Equip & Serv             5767.66   91.41    2.34   -4.84   26.03   -9.83 
Asset Managers               5323.03   90.89    1.11    2.69   21.99  -20.03 
Consumer Finance             5638.43   89.11    0.48    1.41   16.64   24.72 
Medical Equip                5532.46   88.59    1.50    4.66   10.91   -1.03 
Medical Supplies             6706.68   84.73    0.73    1.85    5.69   -3.18 
Reinsurance                  6116.33   81.12    0.59    0.47   11.77   -3.96 
Broadcasting & Entertainment 3936.54   80.04    1.72    3.52   21.61    8.02 
Footwear                     7256.91   76.87   -0.11   -1.90   11.48   10.59 
Restaurants & Bars           9725.90   76.24    0.14    4.82   20.32   27.71 
Life Insurance               3066.37   74.28    2.10    2.52   24.64  -21.20 
Electronic Equip             3342.52   71.00    1.70   -1.71   21.30   -7.81 
Invest Serv                  2989.23   69.24    1.71   -0.69   11.38  -34.00 
Delivery Serv                7821.27   68.23    0.27    2.69   19.96   -6.70 
Trucking                     3508.43   66.57    1.29    4.17   19.43   -7.46 
Toys                         3471.04   66.19    1.37   -4.16    7.76    0.87 
Hotels                       2737.23   66.10    1.78    1.82   30.07  -15.56 
Specialized Consumer Serv    3641.18   65.96    1.50    4.18   16.07    3.46 
Pipelines                    7168.90   64.02    1.76    4.92   43.20   49.73 
Drug Retailers               6305.08   63.98    0.24    3.11   13.82    6.07 
Health Care Providers        4874.34   59.56    0.89    1.75   20.80    9.68 
Biotechnology                3833.08   58.23    1.53    6.16   13.60    5.82 
Industrial Suppliers         4210.91   56.21   -0.03    4.48   33.89   25.84 
Financial Admin              4363.13   55.37    0.91    4.31   19.31    7.23 
Furnishings                  2699.81   54.20    0.32    3.84   30.33    3.18 
Banks -SS                    2072.92   53.02    1.92    5.03   20.33  -25.48 
Commodity Chemicals          2420.43   52.37    2.04    3.71   26.71   -3.37 
Media Agencies               3859.54   52.07    1.63    2.28   26.04  -11.65 
Water                        5045.21   50.80    0.07    1.94    9.33    9.56 
Travel & Tourism             2366.11   48.96    0.93   -1.58   11.67    7.68 
Heavy Construction           4192.28   48.61    1.17    0.02   22.67  -17.55 
Defense                      4605.10   48.28    0.13    3.76   17.07    0.86 
Apparel Retailers            3829.77   46.44    0.16    2.97   15.88   11.00 
Automobiles                  1776.10   43.50    3.09    0.73   15.37  -32.81 
Diversified Industrials      2736.24   42.00    0.78    8.19   23.52   -1.15 
Iron & Steel                 2427.69   40.62    1.86   -2.21   35.96  -21.96 
Broadline Retailers          3898.33   39.70    0.37   -2.14    3.83    3.66 
Business Training & Employ   3909.20   39.38    0.80    2.22   25.18  -28.38 
Aluminum                     1179.82   38.93    3.69   -8.65    2.42  -41.83 
General Mining               2247.02   38.07    2.54  -14.21   -0.99  -36.31 
Marine Transportation        1383.16   36.51    2.62    1.52   20.17  -15.52 
Prop & Casualty Insurance    3780.59   36.29    0.37    4.85   19.72    2.66 
Food Prod                    2971.50   36.26    0.58    1.36    8.66   12.55 
Recreational Serv            2321.37   35.38    0.65   -0.73   18.53  -21.82 
Specialty Retailers          2943.94   33.81    0.59   -0.91   13.16   -0.39 
Soft Drinks                  4010.10   33.44    0.49    5.13    9.19    6.36 
Auto Parts                   2321.77   31.81    1.44   -0.67   20.86  -15.68 
Electr Components & Equip    2255.49   27.59    0.43    0.30   21.31  -14.17 
Home Construction            2462.53   27.25    0.49    4.00   44.80   -9.08 
Internet                     2246.62   26.52    1.59    4.95   30.72    4.47 
Durable Household Prod       1647.54   25.56    0.50    2.44   27.60  -10.53 
Industrial Machinery         4653.73   25.32    0.00   -1.08   27.03   -8.35 
Food Retailers & Wholesalers 1899.46   25.04    0.79    4.25   17.16    8.58 
Containers & Packaging       2572.62   22.53    0.95    1.66   18.31   -1.88 
Publishing                   2337.78   22.45    0.48    3.72   19.11   -1.60 
Waste & Disposal Serv        1301.66   21.12    1.30    3.97    8.38   -0.90 
Insurance Brokers            2858.24   19.92    0.00    3.70   20.03    9.45 
Real Estate Invest Trusts    2058.07   18.66    0.39    5.44   19.20    0.76 
Transportation Serv          2462.77   18.01    0.39    1.19   30.71   -4.87 
Build Materials & Fixtures   2582.21   17.76    0.31    5.75   34.16   -0.51 
Electronic Office Equip       888.78   17.44    1.89   -0.46   16.19  -27.97 
Clothing & Accessories       2782.23   17.15   -0.17   -3.91   14.94   13.91 
Pharmaceuticals              2472.03   15.69    0.40    6.28   15.51   14.56 
Business Support Serv         974.76   15.53    1.11   -1.47   13.60    2.69 
Specialty Finance            3747.12   14.60   -0.03    0.09   20.38   -6.77 
Mobile Telecom               1286.74   12.33    2.03    2.54   11.02  -11.83 
Gold Mining                  2104.13   11.05    0.15  -10.73   -3.17   -0.58 
Tires                         432.45   10.60    3.28    1.58   50.85   -0.30 
Real Estate Invest & Serv    2040.56    8.43    0.54   -1.59   17.47  -21.98 
Distillers & Vintners        5034.96    7.87   -0.09    1.96   19.38    0.43 
Gas Distribution             2099.89    7.60   -0.29    3.73   20.95   17.75 
Electricity                  1900.96    7.13   -0.32    4.53    9.61   12.55 
Multiutilities               1477.33    6.22   -0.19    5.45   11.89   18.18 
Airlines                      575.52    5.72    0.58    1.94   18.32  -32.15 
Fixed Line Telecom           1143.97    5.44    0.69    4.57    8.57    0.27 
Full Line Insurance           318.72    4.70    0.94   -1.28   13.91  -34.30 
Mortgage Finance              177.29    2.85    1.57    5.53   19.90  -21.85 
Paper                        1258.77    2.79   -0.26    3.03   27.63    0.66 
Forestry & Paper             1596.48    1.46   -0.48    2.72   26.57    0.57 
Brewers                      4723.25    0.17   -0.53    7.17   17.19  -10.44 
Personal Prod                4641.04   -5.55   -0.85    2.18    7.29   11.03 
Nondurable Household Prod    5746.50  -29.31   -0.93    2.59    5.78    3.12 
Tobacco                      4811.30  -38.84   -1.50    2.93   18.44   28.52

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Most Active Options Trades

-CALLS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
PFE        1/19/13          22.5000        3559            1.5100      up 0.0700 
F          1/21/12          12.5000        3042            0.0400      up 0.0200 
BAC        1/21/12           6.0000        2696            0.1700      up 0.0600 
MSFT       4/21/12          27.0000        2559            0.9900      up 0.1600 
MSFT       4/21/12          25.0000        2500            2.1800      up 0.3400 
STD        1/21/12           8.0000        2045            0.1000      up 0.0400 
DIS        4/21/12          41.0000        2013            1.0200      up 0.1000 
CSCO       1/21/12          19.0000        1486            0.3200      up 0.1600 
BAC        1/21/12           5.0000        1450            0.8500      up 0.2000 
AAPL       1/6/12          415.0000        1167            2.2000      up 1.3300 

 -PUTS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
FSLR       1/21/12          30.0000       14311            0.5600      dn 0.5400 
KOG        1/21/12          10.0000        2213            0.6500      dn 0.1000 
C1         1/21/12           2.5000        1664            0.0600      dn 0.0100 
GLD        1/21/12         146.0000        1217            0.4000      dn 0.5800 
AAPL       1/6/12          405.0000         933            1.4800      dn 2.4700 
C          1/21/12          25.0000         882            0.4100      dn 0.3300 
STD        1/21/12           8.0000         720            0.6000      dn 0.1500 
EXC        1/21/12          40.0000         710            0.3000      up 0.2500 
MMR        2/18/12          12.0000         698            0.9600      up 0.0100 
DRYS       1/19/13           4.0000         642            2.1000      dn 0.0300 

 -VOLUME- 
    CALLS      PUTS           TOTAL 
   303954     237434         541388
-CALLS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
AKS        3/17/12           9.0000         987            0.8100      up 0.1800 
AKS        3/17/12           8.0000         658            1.2900      up 0.2400 
BTU        1/21/12          35.0000         252            1.5600      up 0.9000 
AAPL        1/6/12         415.0000         230            2.2200      up 1.3400 
DIS        1/21/12          38.0000         200            0.9600      up 0.2300 
TZA        4/21/12          80.0000         134            0.6300      dn 0.2200 
LVS        1/21/12          47.0000         126            0.4100      up 0.1400 
AMR        5/19/12           1.5000         120            0.0100      up 0.0000 
NVDA        1/6/12          14.0000         104            0.4200      up 0.1300 
C          1/21/12          29.0000          99            0.6700      up 0.3100 

 -PUTS- 
OPTION    EXP.DATE       STRIKE PRC.     VOLUME        LAST S/PRC.    NET CHANGE 
GLD        1/21/12         146.0000         504            0.4000      dn 1.1600 
C1         1/21/12           2.5000         428            0.0600      dn 0.0200 
AAPL        1/6/12         405.0000         164            1.5000      dn 2.5300 
GRMN       1/21/12          40.0000         150            0.8800      dn 0.2200 
GLD        1/21/12         145.0000         132            0.3300      dn 0.7900 
FSLR       1/21/12          30.0000         128            0.5700      dn 0.5300 
AAPL       1/21/12         330.0000         119            0.3200      dn 0.1900 
AUY        1/21/12          15.0000         100            0.4400      dn 0.2800 
MCP         1/6/12          24.0000         100            0.5500      dn 0.4500 
AMZN        1/6/12         180.0000         100            4.4000      dn 3.2500 

 -VOLUME- 
    CALLS      PUTS           TOTAL 
    15377     11175           26552

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