Joined Jan 1, 1970
1,010 Blog Posts

Trading Nymph’s Trading Diary Oct 28, 2011

Its 2:13 pm est right now, I blog at my own site but had to play with Fly’s new Toy. At the moment the SPX on the minute chart is breaking under key MA’s on the one minute chart. 1280.85ish is turn the lights off with nothing but air under it if we can take out that support. The Volume has no room to go to the upside and has topped. Eur/USD has support at 1.4138. We hit our high for the day and us bears can finally have a day.

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So I’m sitting there yesterday, enjoying the well timed sales of 3/4 of my TZA & SKF, when I get the urge to hop back in. I purchased 66% of what I sold, effectively 50% of full position size. Fuck.

This morning at S&P 1274, I added the final quarter. Whether we sustain this bull response or not, I suspect we at least rest here. Either way, these positions are rather inconsequential thanks to a >60% cash position.

I gave warnings to bears similar to Le Fly’s, that the time bomb might have some time left on it. Or, the EFSF or ECB or Fed or whoever could het rewind the buzzer.

Nonetheless, the economy will not maintain >$97 eps into 2012. And I must ask why everyone is throwing a party because Greek debt problems are “solved” and the rescue fund will be LEVERAGED to a trilly. Do you understand the word leveraged?!?!?

And it’s just Greece! Do me a favor, take a look at Italian and Spanish yields.

And what of the moral hazard created by this deal?

As I answer these questions more conclusively, I will let you know. Until then, I remain disenfranchised, unable to consistently game these markets. I also remain dubious of this “solution.”

Trade em well.

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