The market is meandering all day, so I’ve been out eating samitches (sic) and picking mushrooms.    Looks like our precious metal pullback is continuing as expected.    I hope you are taking your time, but picking up some of the Jacksons you have perhaps neglected in weeks passed. 

[[SLW]] in particular looks tasty here, having filled that gap and then some at $10.04.  It’s now proceeding to fill the gap it created this morning at $10.29.   Someday, you will revel in these prices.

From the picks I went over on the weekend, you’ve had opportunities to buy all of them cheaper than Friday’s close, but most have gained back a lot of what they lost this morning (recognizing that [[ARTC]] hadn’t lost anything).    [[TIE]] continues to look like it wants more here, as does Fly’s favorite [[TRID]].

I really hope you took care of the “Devil Dawg Special” in [[SPAR]] this morning, as that perfect contra-indicator gave it his very special “Great Short” blessing, ensuring that it will continue making your grandchildren millions even when you are moldering in your platinum encrusted marble and jade pineapple coffin.

Seriously, it’s not often one gets blessed with a “reverse Devil Dawg.”  Don’t let this opportunity pass you by unattended.

Disclosure:  I bot 1000 shs [[SPAR]] @ $10.07.   Don’t cry to me, you could have gotten it in the nines! 

Targets for some PM’s?  — I’d love to get more [[AGQ]] @ $47.70

More [[EXK]] @ $1.75

More [[NG]] @ 4.75m

More [[GG]] @ $34.35

More [[SSRI]] @ $20.50 (back up the freaking truck)

More [[RGLD]] @ $43.10 (see above)

More to come later, but CAVEAT:  if you join my purchases at the above prices, above shown Devil Dawg will come to your house and give you all of his kibbles and bits.   And you may lose money.

Best to you all.

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Update: I forgot to add that biotech jumping bean fizzing hand grenade [[HEB]] is looking like it might be on the comeback trail again, ovah heah.  Proceed with extreme caution.

Update: Bot 2,000 TIE @ $10.75.

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I interrupt this heavily precious metal-oriented blog in order to pay homage to The #1 Jacksonian Holding since inception (May 1st, our official/unofficial start date).   Mr. Anderson — [[ANDE]] broke the 70% mark today, in a little over a month’s trading.  

That’s kind a special, so I figure I’d give old “Keanu” a shout out.   Do you begrudge?  Better question — do you own it?

Mind you, I think the PM’s will eventually leave Mr. Anderson in the dust, counting spoons that aren’t really even there.   And believe me, the PM”s are not doing too shabbily as it is, with [[SLW]] up 41.84%,  [[TC]] up 41.49% and  [[PAAS]]  up 39.88%.   All of the golds are in the 30’s as well, with my three laggards being (in order) [[NRP]] +0.66%.,  [[TSO]] + 0.31% and negative nelly-monster  [[MON]] at (-2.76%).   The overall port, thanks to today’s recovery, is just under 26% for the entire period.  

What’s that you say?  Molybdenum’s not a precious metal?  Well it’s PRECIOUS TO ME!

For today I added a little [[EGO]] at $9.57 — my one holding that did not close in the black today (by two cents).   Ironic, no?   Still I wanted to fill that position and I think it’s coiling for a move here.   Everyone else recovered to some extent, but I would not bet my bottom dollar that we are out of the turbulence yet.   No, I shant sound the “all clear” until we’re  above the $400 mark on the $HUI, as mentioned in last night’s post.   We got halfway back, closing a bit above $387  this afternoon.  

As I said, use this time to accumulate positions in the Jacksonians, and in some [[GG]], [[AUY]], [[ANV]], and [[EXK]] — among the other PM’s of your choice.  Soon these prices will be but a dream to you, I fear. 

If you want some non-Jacksonians, I’ve been playing some biotech lotto with [[SVA]], [[HEB]], [[SFE]] and [[CTIC]].   I’m not even going to disclaim those, as if you dare playing with them you are too “certifiable” to hire a creditable lawyer in the first place.  Just. Don’t.

Two quick charts showing Mr. Anderson’s  progress.  The first shown when I laid out the first blog post on the idea, the second captured today:

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And today’s portfolio performance.  Be well all.

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Name	4-Jun	% Change		Comments
ANDE	$ 28.22	6.45%		Up over 70% since 5/1
EGO	9.52	-0.21%		Got  more today @ $9.57 – can ya tell?
GDX	43.51	3.20%		$HUI back above $385 again ($387)
GLD	96.23	1.93%		POG up 2.2% today.  ($983.50)
IAG	10.55	1.54%		Gaps filled, but anemic.
MON	82.90	1.72%		Back to Tuesday’s close
NRP	24.24	3.86%		Healthy recovery for this sluggard
PAAS	23.29	4.30%		Up 5.6% since yesterday’s purchase ($22.05)
RGLD	46.19	1.34%		Low volume retrace
SLV	15.63	3.24%		POS back close to $16 again.
SLW	10.95	3.69%		Closed right on the 50% fib retrace
SSRI	23.97	4.04%		Over the cup again-exactly
TBT	56.00	3.72%		Back over 61.8% fib – $60 next target
TC	10.06	7.71%		Blew right back up again.
TSO	16.06	5.87%		Back in the long term green by 31 basis pts.
AVG		3.49%

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General Jackson Takes on Timmah Geithner and the Members of the First Federal Reserve Expeditionary Forces

I will be purchasing some Mongo’s (July 75 MON calls) after I finish this up, but first I wanted to trill the trumpet a bit on the key metals component of the Jacksonian Core.   That SSRI additional purchase two days back well below $21 is proving fortuitous as that Jacksonian worthy is pushing 11%  up today and over $23 per share upon most recent check.

In addition, the other JCHP silvers [[SLW]], [[PAAS]] are all above 5%, and tiny [[EXK]] has — as predicted — jumped back to it’s downtrend line again at $2.10 (to my chagrin, I wasn’t quick enough to get more this morning).   Again, I think it will be safer to purchase EXK when it’s well past the downtrend line, and perhaps after a retouch of that $2.10 barrier.   These minors can move quite quickly.  

Keep in mind also that [[AGQ]] is the double silver ETF that I recommended back at the $43 mark.   I continue to add to it on pullbacks.

On other fronts, it looks like our ever-so-brief retrace is about done, and we are ready to commence with this summer’s precious metal bull.    Enjoy the sun, friends.

Caveat:  If you purchase the JCHP holdings, it’s quite likely the Ghost Of General Jackson will visit the foot of your bed every fortnight, and lecture you windily about states rights and other such ephemera.    You may also lose risk capital in such an adventure.

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Update:  I bot 20 MONGO’s at $7.60.   Will likely add to this position.

Update:  I bot another 20 MONGO’s at $7.80.   Mongo LIKE Sherriff!

CDE breaking out @ $14.45 (I already have a small position).

Update:  I bot another 5,000 EXK at $2.11.   (See Caveat above)  

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Update:  Jacksonian Spokesman LL Cool J with a special message from SSRI:

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7l250E5uM4 450 300]

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Forgive the silly allusion, but I needed a snappy entry to counter a depressing day for one of our Jacksonian Stalwarts: [[MON]].  I figured Mr. Smiling Rastaman can offer some surcease to our collective agita.    MON got some bad news today, courtesy of it’s own management.  I’ll boil it down to this piece from the release:

For the quarter ending May 31, the St. Louis-based agricultural products provider (MON 79.88, -5.37, -6.30%) said it now expects to earn $1.15 a share, down sharply from its prior target range of $1.60 to $1.62 a share.   The reduction caught investors off guard.  Analysts polled by FactSet Research were looking for earnings of $1.61 a share, on average.

Yeah, that’s a pretty big reduction in earnings, but it turns out it’s all about some extra competition in it’s herbacide business, which is frankly, the ass-end of it’s value proposition, providing less than a third of overall gross margin.  

Seeds and traits are where it’s at, ladies and germs — that’s what garners the high end of MON’s 60+% gross margins and almost 30% net margins.   You think you can make that kinda coin selling weedkiller?

No sir, it’s the intellectual property that make this market leader a Jacksonian Core Holding, and why I will continue to trade around my position rather than part with it.   Here’s the IP driver update from that same press release:

The company’s seed and traits business, however, continues to show strength. The company now forecasts the segment to deliver gross profit toward the upper end of it’s the range of $4.4 billion to $4.5 billion it forecast for the year.

“The projected increase of more than 15% year over year reflects the combination of greater value, growth in the company’s branded seed businesses and expanded use of Monsanto’s trait technologies,” the company said in a release.

So granted, I was a little late in not selling some calls when MON banged against it’s 61.8% fib line (daily) last week (although I did mention it to you, readers).   Thanks goodness, I did part with the “booster” calls I had bot in the high seventies around their second quarter earnings announcement.   Here’s the good news, I will be buying “booster calls” again here, soon, and most likely tomorrow.  I will alert you, but here’s what I’m seeing:

You can see where my target is on the daily, which is showing pretty seriously oversold conditions (thought i can always get more oversold, can’t it?) — right at the retest of that old downtrend line.    Now, the weekly is relatively coincidental, with the long term 61.8% fibonacci line looking like nice resistance at a little over $78.35 or so.  

I will be watching these levels tomorrow, and likely buying July $75 calls to take advantage of a bounce to at least $84-$85.

One last update… the precious metals continue to consolidate here, and I think I shall be taking a strong look at adding some junior silver [[EXK]] tomorrow, and perhaps adding [[EGO]] to the Jacksonian Core, as well.    Best to everyone.

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	27-May	% Change
ANDE	$   24.59	-1.44%
GDX	41.22	-1.48%
GLD	93.45	-0.33%
IAG	10.45	-1.04%
MON	79.88	-6.30%
NRP	22.93	0.79%
PAAS	21.89	1.16%
RGLD	44.04	-2.95%
SLV	14.58	1.11%
SLW	9.40	-0.95%
SSRI	20.77	-0.24%
TBT	57.14	3.76%
TC	8.71	-0.23%
TSO	16.91	1.08%
Avg %		-0.51%

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‘Twas a rough day in the trenches for most of the Jacksonian Core,  but then we turned lemons into lemonade by using the retrenchment here to pick up some final positions in the silver miners, including AGQ (Double Silver ETF), PAAS,  and SSRI.   Those buys were featured in my previous post,  if you want entry points.

   I did not add to my “favourite” (sic) silver miner – SLW, but only because I already have what I consider to be a “full position” in SLW, at least for now.    I may augment that position from time to time with options purchases (or sales in hedging situations), but I will likely not add any more equity in that name.

I also eschewed adding more EXK  (-5.89%) today, due mostly to it’s volatility and low float (less than 150 k shares traded a day).  This is a stock you want to accumulate when it’s asleep — its just too damn hard to pick up when it’s moving hard one way or another.    I reserve the right to add to EXK in more calm seas.

I also added some non-Jacksonian Core gold positions, some old, and some new, whose entries are also found in the previous post.    You’ll recall I purchased a beginning position in NGD just before yesterday’s close.    That stock actually held up well, so I decided to also add its “brothers” NG and NXG.  All of these have been showing favourable (sic) patterns in the last few weeks, and their purchase is part of a diversification strategy in the smaller miners.   It’s best to take this shotgun approach with these smaller guys, as you usually cannot pick up their exposure via the GDX ETF, which only purchases the larger cap issues  but you want to have a position in these flyers for when they start to run.   Some of them will double and triple, but in these cycle peaks, you never know which.     

In that regard, I also added to my position in ANV at the end of the day.    Like with SLW and EGO, I now have a full position in this name, and expect to see it run to at least the 61.8% fib retrace at $6.72 before breaking out to new 52-week highs. 

I also took this opportunity to hedge out my largest (and non-Jacksonian) position in UPS, and to begin a “foot in” purchase in SRS  as well. 

Non-PM Jacksonians did well and not so well today, MON was up a little less than 1% while its sister Ag play ANDE was off  4.67%.    If ANDE cannot hold above the $19.40 uptrend line here, it’s likely to fill that gap over a dollar below it.   As well, Jacksonian Core Coal play NRP (-4.89%) has been performing miserably here, even as coal operators have been consolidating.    This could be due to a (temporary) interest rate response, but I won’t recommend adding to this one until it’s back over the 38.6% retrace at $22.70.     Last, refiner TSO was largely flat–  off less than half a percent.

Without further ado, here’s the 14-Member Jacksonian Core’s performance (arranged alphabetically for your reading pleasure) for today:

ANDE — $19.79  (-4.67%)

GDX — $37.94 (-2.61%)

GLD — $91.09 (+0.42)

IAG — $9.87 (-2.66%) 

PAAS — $19.26 (-3.02%)

RGLD — $40.60 (-2.98%)

SLV — $13.81 (-1.49%)

SLW — $8.85 (-5.04%)

SSRI — $19.93 (-5.18%)

TBT — $49.29 (-2.08%)

TC — $7.68 (-4.00%)

TSO — $16.09 (-0.43%)

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A bloody good evening to you all!

(Warning! Extremely stupid video to follow, usher the children from the room)

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teM_imSYGVs 450 300] 

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AGQ (+3.75%)

EGO (+2.28)

EXK (+8.24)

GDX (+4.42)

IAG (+4.11)

PAAS (+1.28)

RGLD (+6.98)

SLV (+2.04)

SLW (+5.78)

SSRI (+7.41)

And newcomer (bot 10k @ $2.19 late day) — NGD  (+13.54) 

Non precious Jacksonians MON (+4.82) and TC (+3.36) did well today too.   

Ever onward — this PM revolution is not done by a long shot.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gz3Cc7wlfkI 450 300] 

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UPDATE:  Looks like we will have a chance, however brief, to get into some of these silver (and gold) plays this morning if we have been remiss.  With my usual caution, I will wait until 10:00 am or so to see what the market looks like.   I will be looking specifically at the smaller caps, like EXK, ANV, EGO, NG, NXG, and even CDE and HL.

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