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It was a little ironic the other day, I’ll admit, when I recommended the BAA trade for a “$5 Roll” (since successful) and was chided by commentator “Po Pimp” for a past recommendation that had also at one point promised a permanent place in “big boy stock” stock land north of $5.  That stock was AAU, if any attentive readers recall, and it only barely made it to $5.00 in late April of last year before stumbling and finally dropping to $2.00 by the doldrum period of last December.

I of course still owned AAU at the time of Po’s razzing, but hadn’t really studied the chart in a while.  That challenge, however, had me take another look, and what I saw last week was a stock also breaking out of a consolidation zone, just as BAA had done. Look at the weekly to see how we were breaking (even last week, if you look at the shorter candle before the present one forming this week) from a congestion zone and from an intermediate term down-channel.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last week’s promise confirmed today, when AAU surged over 15% on huge volume.  I don’t even know what the news was that drove this rocket today, and it could even just be a result of pent up demand.  One thing I do know is that this is happening more and more with the juniors, and I don’t expect it to stop very soon.   The dollar remains under pressure, as well.  I think we’ll get some continuation here, at least.

And maybe…. moooooore!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Go have a box wine tonight, on old Uncle Jake, it can’t hurt none.   I also like CDE , AG, MVG and EXK here.

My best to you all.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bc80tFJpTuo&feature=related 450 300]

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I’ve never been abashed by my love for the Trannies, nor my love for Charles Dow, who employed them to great effect in his famous theory.  Some of us were dismayed to the see the Trannies pulling back while the rest of the market soared.  My contention is the Trannies were just leading, and took their pause first.

Note this weekly Tranny chart which shows the sector sticking the landing on the 13-week EMA, and showing stochastic signs of a rebound:

 

Now check out the action on my favourite Tranny of them all… Ms. UPS!

 

 

And here’s the daily, which also says, “come to supper.”

 

 

I think we are about to take off again, overall market wise… but maybe not before our Transport lovelies have blazed the path.  My best to you all.

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Congrats to #6 and especially Mrs. #6, who did all the work on their first little bambino, let’s call her “One Sixth.”

Hopefully, this nice young couple will recognize soon that NYC is a great place for getting one’s windshield involuntarily  squeegeed for a dollar, or for getting your carbon credit fix on by taking the sweaty summer #4 train uptown instead of a cab.

For raising sweet young things, however?  Well…

Anyway, God bless and good luck, she’s beautiful.

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I’m a bit ambivalent about the precious this week.  I think we’ll continue to do well here, but I’ll probably start taking some profits this week as well.   No need to get too greedy.

As far as what I’m looking at, I’m surveying that nasty old sugar name, IPSU again.  Why?  For no other reason than that it’s taking the commodity train up again.   If it breaks through this resistance here, it might be well worth taking on a position once again:

 

My best to you all, and God bless the little children.

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Really, I’m spoiling you.  It’s not going to be like this all the time, so pay attention.  A lot of these little smoking grenades are launching right now, but not all of them (cf. the BRD is a word, a bad word, like PHUCK!).  Don’t be afraid to bring up suggestions in the forum, but right now, I’m only recommending what I’m recommending because I feel good about what the chart looks like in a rising miner environment.

Take PZG as an example.  I haven’t talked a whole lot about it in a while, but I like it right now.  Here’s the weekly, finally breaking out of a medium term downtrend:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Now check out the daily.  See how it’s right against the breakout, much like BAA the other day?  That means your decision will be relatively easy tomorrow, right?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Just wait for it to break that upper triangle line.  If it does not… well, you’ve got some more time to wait, that’s all.  You can turn your attention back to the psycho silver market which is blowing up as we speak.  AGQ, SLW, AG, EXK, MVG, heck even CDE and PAAS and SSRI are fair game at this point.   Of course, SIL will obviate any decision making, much like GDX on the gold side.

Enjoy this time, my friends.

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Yes Sir, Yes Sir, three bags full.

One for my Master,

One for the Maid,

And One for Le Docteur Who’s Sprawled on Butter Biers down le Lane.

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I’ve scanned the bulk of  the stocks that I follow, and save for the ones that have been ruthless stolen by my fellow bloggers, I do believe that BAA-BAA Black Sheep presents the best opportunity for profit going forward.

Note what I’d remarked earlier about this stock’s flirtation with $5.00, and how, like EXK finally did, it would one day break that barrier for once and all?

Well I believe that time has come.  Come, see the violence inherent in the system:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

And here’s the daily, which also seems to indicate we are on solid ground, and probably will not rest for another quarter or so…

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I also like AUY, XRA and EGO here as soon as tomorrow.  Lots of stuff will be popping, however, so keep your eyes open along with your coin purse.

Best to you.

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[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b8B3Vqupy0U 450 300]

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I’ve watched with some amusement recently as a few here have tried to use every gauge on the submarine dial in order to judge what direction the market is going.   Don’t get me wrong… there are people out there for whom I have enormous respect, and who have studied the markets to a fair-the-well for years, decades even.   Those same people are tying themselves in knots trying to read the latest tea leaf pattern on the bottom of their bone china cup.  They make it so hard, when it need not be, especially given their backgrounds, their educations… their knowledge of just what makes the market move.

Let’s face it folks, the market moves on liquidity.  That said, there are two things affecting liquidity in our U.S. and global markets.  The first is scarcity.  Yes, scarcity.  When I was a pup, in the 90’s, it was not uncommon to see 50 to 60 Initial public Offerings PER MONTH.  Now we are lucky if we get 60 IPO’s in an entire year.   Sarbanes Oxley and Dodd Frank are doing their work, and the private capital markets are filling in the gaping hole left by the public markets’ regulatory sclerosis.  Deals are getting financed and traded entirely on the private side.  Increasingly there are more and more great companies that you will never see as a Joe Six Pack investor, unless you get real wealthy and start investing in private equity limited partnerships.   That’s too bad, but I guess the “good news” is those slimmer pickings make for a more highly bid public market, just on supply and demand criteria alone.

The second and probably more comprehensive goad to liquidity is the loose monetary policy we’ve been “enjoying” since the dot-com crash and 911, and even more so since the Financial Crises (sic) of 2008.   I don’t need to tell you that the dollar has been used and abused for the last ten years, gaining only a brief respite as a “Safety Dance” during the 2008 Meltdown.   Recently, I’ve been calling the dollar’s dolorous decline with pinpoint accuracy (if I do say so m’self).  Look at this highlight reel:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eschewing cycles, I kept only Ben Bernanke and the political importance of 2012 in mind, and came up with this startling conclusion: this should not be a good year for the dollar.

So what should it be a good year for?  Funny you should ask, as I called for a buy on SLW last Friday at about ten cents below it’s actual low of the day.   I don’t plan to make that mistake again, at least not with MAG Silver (MVG).  A lot of my PM charts are showing nice signs here, and MVG’s budding return to society is shown best in this weekly:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Now check out the daily to see where the best place to buy in the next few days will likely be:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I’m going to throw the order in at the north end of the range described above and close to that 200-day EMA.  I don’t want to get burned again by a dime like I did last Friday on SLW.  It’s accumulate time again, kids.

Best to you all.

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