iBankCoin
Joined Apr 19, 2009
721 Blog Posts

There’s No Stopping Turkeyus Lurkeyus

silver turkeys

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Move to Romania if you must, but you’ll only miss all the fun we’re about to have.    As Fire Marshall Bill would say— “Let me show ya somethin’!”

Check this silver seasonality chart out…. Do you really want to struggle with the turkey gods?  And keep in mind that’s over 37 years of seasonality baked in that pie.

Last please revisit one more timemy AGQ chart:

 

Yes, that’s one more tap on the trend line and this time a hammer to boot.  I think that gives us the oversold mojo we’ve been looking for, and tomorrow, I think we make that assault on $60 one more time.

 

Best to you all.

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35 comments

  1. Apocalypse Now

    Sprott issuing a new $1.5 Billion dollar follow on offering for PSLV. Last time it took silver to $50.

    We have options expiration tomorrow so with that out of the way I am more bullish.

    The only thing that makes me scratch my head is the impact of MF Global as physical is the only thing that has kept TPTB in check setting price (too low and it flows East). Many investors in physical were in MF Global and would stand for delivery but that significant capital in futures is now frozen. The liquidity freeze world wide in banks impact all asset classes and I am not sure how much lack of futures / MF Global will impact price.

    Two listed positives when added to seasonality makes three positives versus the MF Global/liquidity question (short term concern only).

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    • Jakegint

      I can’t help but think that MF Global’s impact has already been written into the market.

      Besides, Corzine only stole about a billion and a half. That’s not a huge amount across the entire commodity spectrum. If anything, I think it will give the CFTC pause in constraining margin at this juncture.

      Looking forward to see if the Obama SEC or Justice Dept has even a shred of integrity left. If they do, Corzine will be perp walking soon.

      I’m not holding my breath. In fact, I would bet that even with an arrest, 0Bama pardons his ass like Clinton did that Marc Rich crook.

      ________

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      • Yogi & Boo Boo

        It will never happen until the Big O fires AG Holder. The worst AG since A. Mitchell Palmer.

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    • Tomo

      I am sorry but basic question. When is the option expiration day for silver, the forth Tue. every month? Thank you very much

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  2. Superpositron

    “We make that assault on $60 one more time. ” You feel we go south afterwards for more consolidation fun? I’m quite partial to a bit of whipping but its getting rather tender now.

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    • Jakegint

      No, I think that if we break $60, we’ll continue north from there… perhaps a pullback of course, but no more wangling about.

      __________

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  3. THEosu

    I just don’t know at this stage . The movement in silver looked to strengthen then
    the buyer left the building .

    On another subject ; god forbid another rogue
    trader……just saying .

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  4. hitter

    Jake,own a slug of exk 1.5 points up. Time to violate rule on not averaging down or sit some more?

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  5. Yogi & Boo Boo

    Jake, from your mouth to the turkey gods ears. I held on to my late adds by my fingernails yesterday.

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  6. drummerboy

    thanks senator, i’m up to my nuts in agq,and it’s driving me crazy.

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  7. xochi

    I’m not getting a good feeling about this, just sayin’.

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    • Jakegint

      If you had a good feeling, the Turkey gods would not be appeased.

      You must be humbled first… sackcloth and ashes.

      They are magnanimous that way. It’s sort of paternalistic.

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  8. muktukchuck

    This should alarm you, US becoming Canuckistan:
    http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/11/22/alberta-scores-top-spot-in-economic-freedom-report/

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    • Jakegint

      This is not surprising in the least, given the Chavista tilt of the Obama Administration adding to the 2006-2010 Madame “DeFarge” Pelosi era.

      “error?”

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  9. Yoda

    Great call! Just got in on this earlier today at 58.38 and it’s off to the races!

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  10. Jakegint

    Loaded up on a cornucopia of Turkey Day treats today, as announced in the PPT.

    Game is on, ladies and gents.

    _______

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  11. Alex Jones

    The CFR are conspiring to make us eat turkey. They made up pilgrems!!!They are trying to “poison us by making us eat triptophan so we are tired and thus more susceptible to black Friday advertisement and subliminal messages!!!
    Turkeys are antiamerican!!! ARGHHHH (random fear induced heart attack #32)

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  12. Jmames

    Your vaunted 37 years of seasonality also shows September to be one of the best months for Ag; nice how that turned out this time.

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  13. duck

    Happy Turkey Day to you and your family JG.

    thanks for all the time and effort you put into helping educate us on IBC.

    #6, congrats again.

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  14. EvanBFI

    JG,

    Where would your stop be on this position?

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  15. wot wot

    Jake, Do you still follow Gary’s thoughts? I just checked out his blog for the first time in a year, he has varied quite far from the COT reports he used to dissect has he not? Seems all elliot and such going on now. Have his new found ways been in the money? Heck, He even had a reference to warning good ole’Beannie in his latest comments section this week!

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  16. Mad_scientist

    Looks like the turkey got basted.

    What do you plan to do now, Jake?

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  17. flyaway18

    I still think there’s a decent play evolving with the miners, especially if $HUI can retake and hold the 545 range this week. JMHO. A big break below 511 and I’d have to rethink my position. I still like AG for silver too and would add on any further dip.

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  18. Blind Read Ant

    Once again, Buffalo takes it on the chin.

    Solid play tho by the Jets.

    My favorite moment was when one Bills player attempted an aerial high ten, then fell to the ground.

    Gosh.

    But I remain a life long, loyal Buffalo Bills fan.

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