Sunday, March 14th, 2010

New longs:  AFAM 36.12
Last time this stock traded above 36 was on 2/22.  Looking for some volume to accumulate.  I still believe the demand for home healthcare is very high.  Industry is strong, hope I’m not wrong.
K, going surfing or fishing, or whatever.  I just need to get out of the office!

Wow what a stock.  I can’t help but noticed how overbought this company is, but then again, it’s been ripping apart the shorts for over a year now.  This stock is a good example of how overbought indicators do not always work.  Would I buy here?  H-no.  This one is easy to play:
 
 
1)  long now
2) OTM-PUTS [...]

New shorts:  ACH 26.37 
Strategy is simple here, 1/4 now, 3/4 <26.  This is more of like getting your feet wet kind of shorts.  Haven’t done it in a while in this sector.  Other signs to short stocks is that the Lakers lost 3 games in a row.  That seems to put me in the mood [...]

Just watching to see which sectors are not moving during today’s end of the week rally.  I’ve been carefully watching the coffee stocks, and I believe they are showing lack of buyer interest.   That means money should be moving somewhere else.  I expect a gentle pullback in the industry, but one worth a conservative short [...]

Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK: 25.64 -0.58%)   - flagging.  More bullish though, but paying attention to bottom of flag.
Petrohawk Energy Corporation (HK: 22.19 +2.21%)   -  monster short candidate if oil < 74.xx    … very bearish overall chart.   Strong short candidate under 21.  Volume thinning on weak triple bottom.
Hercules Offshore, Inc. (HERO: 4.70 0.00%)   [...]

This unique medical stock has strong fundamentals, and a very nice jump in QOQ earnings.  That’s usually something quite rare in this industry.   The PPT puts (HITK: 25.75 -3.38%) at an appealing hybrid score of 4.18 as of Tuesday’s close.  Meanwhile I think it’s 3-month chart is interesting.

  After a pullback from year [...]