New features to the site…

Hi guys, I added a new features to the site to make it more interactive. I now have a link to a “Message Board”. Please use this for discussions. For example, I can ask a question on the blog, and you answer there. Or if you want to ask me a question, you can ask me there. The link to the message board is on the right side of this page.

I’m in the process of adding a chat-room so we can chat to each other real time while trading in the earlier morning hours. I think it will be very useful and exciting! For example, we can say “sell now!” Anyway, until I figure all that check out the message/comment box feature…

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Boooyah to you! I just finished watching Cramer’s Mad Money while eating my lunch. He’s one crazy guy- banging the phone on his head. Anyway, in the opening of his show he was once again bullish on ethanol. My my my, have you seen Anderson (ANDE) trade these past few days? It’s competing with Titanium for the number one pick in the Intuitive Traders portfolio! So far, ANDE is winning in the market; if only we caught it earlier. It’s just too bad I sold ANDE back at $78.00. I felt even more sick today when SanMina blew the market away! I sold my SanMina(SANM) leaps two weeks ago. Doh! Hey, if you got a stock that you think should make it to the Intuitive Traders portfolio, let me know. As a rule, I only put stocks on there that have been heavily researched.

MARKET WATCH/Articles I’m Reading

• Some of the most profitable companies are the most innovative. Apple, GE, etc. Hey, I got some “baby” innovative companies: flexible monitors (PANL), robotic surgeory (ISRG), robotic vacuum cleaners (IRBT), DNA tagging (AFFX), holographic imaging (STTK), lithium powered cars (HYBT), x-ray security (ASEI). These are some of the COOLEST companies! Email me your “innovative company”!
• The best traders of 2005. The #1 guy, T. Boone Pickens, makes huge bets on oil. He is 77 years old and made $1 billion, a new record (what’s an old guy going to do with a billion? That’s a whole lotta Ben Gay). #2 is Stevie Cohen, 49… remember his name.

• Another great site to know what’s trading every tomorrow. Here’s what you need to know for tomorrow.
  
• Gold hits $640. Shhhhhhhhhhh.
  
• U.S. uncharecteristically increases oil output, increase oil stockpiles, Bush tries to tell us “don’t worry”, all the while Iran threatens U.S. Looks like the U.S. is truly pessimistic about oil afterall.
  
• TravelZoo stock is searching for support. Timberrrrrrrrr!
  
• Timet has no support or no resistance.

Tonight I will post some charts on oil stocks, since I think we all agree that next week we will see some action in the oil stocks. Ciao!

Intuitive Traders ScoreCard- April 25, 2006
Link to today’s quotes.

• Titanium Metals (TIE)
  Call: 3/16/06
  Cost: 42.36
  Last: 72.01
  Change: 70.00%
  
• Andersons (ANDE)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 71.82
  Last: 115.03
  Change: 60.06 %
  
• Pacific Ethanol (PEIX)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 20.11
  Last: 33.00 (April 24)
  Change: 64.09%
  
• Fronteer Development Group (FRG)
  Call: 4/3/06
  Cost: 4.45
  Last: 6.33
  Change: 42.25%
  
• Biodisen (BBC)
  Call: 4/13/06
  Cost: 17.75
  Last: 15.11
  Change: -14.87%
  
• Eldorado Corp (EGO)
  Call: 4/25/06
  Cost: 5.16
  Last: 5.16
  Change: 0%

  TOTAL: 47.28% (w/o “sold items”, current holdings only)
  36.92% (ALL)
  
  

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My eyes are sore and baggy… one of the biggest disadvantages of trading stocks in Hawaii. I’ve been up ALL NIGHT!! I must have slept a total of 45 minutes. This is what I’ve been looking at for the past six hours…

Anyway, thanks to Roger for the tip on CHID, which is what I’m using as a swing trade. You going long? Other notable things I did today was listen in on TradeStation’s (TRAD) conference call, which was very well handled. I want to spend more time talking about this company because I’m fundamentally long on them. In fact, I added my first position on them today. Eventually I will switch over from Scottrade to Tradestation as my primary trading account. Tradestation is for programmers!

The Intuitive Traders Scorecard is updated. I will take yesterday’s price for Pacific Ethanol since I decided to “sell” it yesterday. I’m also considering closing ANDE, with the prospect to buy-back later. I also added Eldorado Corp (EGO) as a play on gold. Should I include my call on Nutri-System (NTRI)? Nah! I was just playing with the charts. Oh well.

Intuitive Traders ScoreCard- April 25, 2006
Link to today’s quotes. Thanks to all the oil junk, ethanol is hot!

• Titanium Metals (TIE)
  Call: 3/16/06
  Cost: 42.36
  Last: 69.58
  Change: 64.26%
  
• Andersons (ANDE)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 71.82
  Last: 107.70
  Change: 49.58 %
  
• Pacific Ethanol (PEIX)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 20.11
  Last: 33.00 (April 24)
  Change: 64.09%
  
• Fronteer Development Group (FRG)
  Call: 4/3/06
  Cost: 4.45
  Last: 6.55
  Change: 47.19%
  
• Biodisen (BBC)
  Call: 4/13/06
  Cost: 17.75
  Last: 14.80
  Change: -16.62%
  
• Eldorado Corp (EGO)
  Call: 4/25/06
  Cost: 5.16
  Last: —-

  TOTAL 41.70%

Hold up, I need to get something…

Can’t seem to find it. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.

Today I will analyze the swing trade and momentum picks I made yesterday. I think the best call I made was a pullback on Ballard Power Systems (BLPD), but I think a monkey could have figured that one out, well, not really, but I’ll show you guys the set up; a few buy triggers were set on the other calls so I’m anxious to see if the sell trigger will follow. Just as a disclaimer, I’m new to the real market and very new to the tech analysis methods, so this is all a learning experience. That’s my goal for now- develop a methodical approach to understanding and trading the market.

Market Summary/ Articles I’m Reading

• I’m trying to read Titanium’s day chart. One tough stock!
• If you trade Oil stocks, circle April 28 on your calendar. Iran is in the spot light. I saw a huge volume swing in the oil etf USO today, could be a sign of people hedging against an $80 oil.
• I’m in the middle of developing a “TradeCramer” program. I’ll let you know how it goes.
• Another bearish case for Real Estate.
• I look at Kitco.com once a day.
• If you thought my $1,000 estimate was crazy, this guy thinks gold can be $6,000 per ounce!
• Maybe we should be trading Copper? Read the title: “all time high”.

Predictions Table
I still can’t get the table to work on blogger, and now the fonts are acting up!! Anyway, here’s a link to the table:

Predictions- Swing/Momentum

I will be using this as a way to improve my trading. I’m hoping to produce realistic expectations on the stock’s buy and sell points, as well as to maximize profits and reduce losses.

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First and foremost, if you own shares of “Ti-met” please click here. That’s right… +10% in two days! Anyway, I’m “cashing out” Pacific Ethanol today, so I’ll keep the current return logged for performance purposes. Too many insiders are selling, maybe they think it’s overbought. Pacific Ethanol is one stock that made my Momentum Trading Screen, check them out below!

Market Summary
Well, it’s Monday and here’s a market summary and articles I’m reading. Very intriguing stuff:

• Signs that Real Estate is starting to, , slide.
• Want to buy gold? Wait for a correction in commodities.
• Rambus pulls a RIMM, in news and stock price.
• A very very very very very useful market snapshot site.
• People to watch this week, and of course, watch their stock price too.
• The dollar is a piece of junk. Thursday Bernanke speaks, and the market will respond.
• One of the best ways to screen for stocks is to let the pros do it for you. Check this screen by IBD, for highest rated stocks w/ low P/E ratios– “cheap companies”. Hey Gary, notice how Goldman Sachs and Valero are there, while for me, Chaparral Steel picked up #6.
• Why I am bullish on ethanol in the long term.
• Travel Zoo simply amazes me.
• “Guidance” could seriously hurt steel stocks, like TIE, CHAP, and most definitely ATI. ATI reports this Wednesday, 4/24.

Momentum Trades & Swing Trades

Here is a list of stocks with tech analysis & buy and sell points. These are short term trades (1 day – 2 months). You can ride the wave, or swing trade.

Chinese Medical Technologies (CMED)
On its way back to thirties. Reaffirmed impressive guidance. Volume will pick up.
Buy Target: < $26.39
Sell Target: $29.29

O2Diesal Corporation (OTD)
Ever since their huge contract with the Department of Defense, this stock has been a swing trading favorite! Should be a good week for this stock.
Buy: < $2.00
Sell: $2.47

Ballard Power Systems (BLDP)
Another alternative energy stock. Very abnormal trading volume. Other pullback candidates include Hawaii based Hoku Scientific (HOKU), day trading victim Fuel Cell Technology (FCEL), and fuel cell stocks Plug Power (PLUG) and Hydrogenics Corp (HYGS). All have risen because of “Earth Day” this past Saturday. How in earth did we miss that day?!!
Short: > $12.50
Cover: $10.85

BE Aerospace (BEAV)
First quarter profit triples?!! Wait for the market to catch on. Wait for a Cramer Pump.
Buy: $29.00 – $30.00
Sell: $33.35

Sun Microsystems (SUNW)
CEO steps down, stock steps up. Investors thinking “fresh start”, perhaps a “fresh breakout”?

Buy: $5.00 – 5.20
Sell: > $6.00

… that’s all for now. Wow that took a while to do. Other stocks that have momentum power are Pacific Ethanol (major correction coming!), Alleghany Technolgies (looks like a sell off before earnings is brewing), Ameritrade (beats expectations, but stock gets beat down). If you spot some swing trades, please email them to me. For momentum trades, in addition to having abnormal volume, I like stocks that have:

1) huge news in the sector
2) huge news for the stock (good or bad)
3) heavy insider buying

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Hey guys, I’m at Star Bucks in Borders Pearl Ridge working on a few tax stuff. I think I’ll be here every Monday, so feel free to join me to talk about stocks to trade for the week. Anyway, I’m re-posting what I wrote up last night which failed to upload…grrrr! Tonight I will post a few monster momentum stocks that I will be trading this week.

Thanks to a renewed interest in ethanol today, and of course Timet’s raging bull status, the Intuitive Traders portfolio is smashing the S&P 500. Good job team! I got two new candidates for the portfolio: CHID and EGO.

Intuitive Traders ScoreCard- April 24, 2006

• Titanium Metals (TIE)
  Call: 3/16/06
  Cost: 42.36
  Last: 68.60
  Change: 61.95%
  
• Andersons (ANDE)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 71.82
  Last: 103.10
  Change: 43.55 %
• Pacific Ethanol (PEIX)
  Call: 3/28/06
  Cost: 20.11
  Last: 33.00
  Change: 64.09%
  
• Fronteer Development Group (FRG)
  Call: 4/3/06
  Cost: 4.45
  Last: 6.64
  Change: 49.21%
  
• Biodisen (BBC)
  Call: 4/13/06
  Cost: 17.75
  Last: 14.78
  Change: -16.73%

  TOTAL 40.41%

  Week Outlook…
  IN: Alternative Energy Stocks, China
  Out: Oil, South America

  Repost:
  I have about 100 charts I’m looking at right now, so I’ve been spending a lot of time categorizing these stocks, and also picking target buy and sell points. I have to narrow the list to about 25. As you will see, many of these stocks are red hot, some have increasing buying interest, other’s are sleepers- stocks that are rising buy the rest of the market has not caught on… shhhhh! Anyway, check some of these charts out below; I’ll put in my target buy and sell points when I figure out how to present them with visual appeal.
  
  Tomorrow I will be paying a lot of attention to the two stocks I’ve done a lot of research on: Hexcel (HXL) and Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO). Hexcel reports tomorrow morning, and Eldorado announced mining updates over the weekend. Hexcel has been under the radar, but still continues to rise. They are in a strong materials and construction industry, specializing in special materials and carbon fiber. I like carbon fiber right now! Prices going up from a global shortage.
  
  
  STOCK WATCH w/ TECH ANALYSIS
  
  Almost Family Inc. (AFAM)
  Home health care services

  

  Homex Development Corp. (HXM)
  Develops homes in Mexico

  

  Intervest Bancshares Corp. (IBCA)
  Banking

  

  
  

  Optelecom-NKF Inc. (OPTC)
  Communications, cool communications

  
  Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU)
  Coal. A leading candidate for my energy pick

  

  
  

  PetroChina Co. Ltd. (PTR)
  Another leading oil pick. A monster from China!

  

  
  

  Titanium Metals Corp. (TIE)
  You all know this company.

  

  
  

  Tenaris SA (TS)
  Steel. This may be the future chart of Titanium.

  

  
  

  TradeStation Group Inc. (TRAD)
  Online direct access broker. I like them better than Etrade and Ameritrade. A sleeper, relatively.

  
  

  Jones Lang Lasalle Inc. (JLL)
  Real estate service, under the radar.

  

  W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI)
  Oil. Not even hurricane Katrina could hurt this company. Watch this company grow.

  

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A Golden Opportunity?

Unless you were under some kind of rock for the past year, you well know that gold has been rising to new highs. Many so called gold experts are shaking their heads wondering why gold hasn’t stop rising when they said it would $100 ago! So instead of trying to call the top, why not ride gold all the way to $1000? I have to admit, I do think all the metal stocks are destined for some major correction, but everytime that correction doesn’t happen more and more people jump in sending stocks higher. With that in mind, I’m looking for a buy on the dips scenario- we just missed one this past Thursday.

There are a few ways to play Gold. There’s the dependable gold ETF streetTracks Gold (GLD):

There’s “the world’s lowest cost gold producer and one of my favorites, Gold Corp (GG), which is reaching new highs while paying some dividends. Look at that volume!…

For those of you who don’t care about risks, there’s the highly speculative stock that trades over the counter, like Western Goldfield (WDGF) where all their eggs are in one gold mine named Mesquite located in California…

But for now, I’m going for a company that has a lot of upside but not as much risk as WDGF. The company I’m talking about is Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO). Don’t you just love that ticker? So why go for EGO? Because they are well positioned to grow and they are well diversified in different parts of the world. A brief look at their website will show you that EGO has mines in Brazil, China, and Turkey. How much are these mines worth? Here’s a breakdown of their reserves:

Brazil (Sao Bento) 95,000 oz

Turkey (Kisladag) 5,846,100

China (Tanjinshan) 1,115,000

At a gold price of $633 per ounce, that makes EGO’s reserves worth $4,466,448,000. Wow! These guys are well well well positioned for growth! In fact, of all the gold companies out there, EGO has the highest rate of growth for a 5-year period. I ran a screen through Yahoo Finance which can be found here. But that’s the gold in the ground. We next must ask how much gold is EGO mining? The company forecasted for 2006 is 231,500 oz, which equates to revenue of $146,539,500. What?!! Last year’s EGO’s revenue was only $35 million. That’s an incredible jump! It’s so huge, I probably will have to dig deeper to find out why. But there is one huge catalyst that could explain all this. EGO, today announced operations underway in their mines in Turkey and China. How else can I put this? Well, for those of you who have experience with investing in pharmaceuitcal companies, you know that all it takes is a few blockbuster drugs to put them on the map. I think the mine in China, Tanjinshan and in Turkey, Kisladag, are “blockbuster mines.” It’s been a while now for EGO to produce positive income (they have a horrible net profit margin), but I think we can forgive them for finally nailing huge mines such as Kisladag- remember, we only like to see companies sacrifice current income for future growth. Hey! EGO has got major growth! I also forgot to mention, EGO has zero debt. Here’s a quick technical analysis on EGO, which has had a nice run so far:

Right now the stock is testing resistance at $5.69. It’s nice to see that the old resistance at $3.73 has now become the new support- a key bullish indicator. Currently the stock has been consolidating within this range, but what I’m looking for this coming week is how the market will react to the latest updates on their mines… this could be good enough news for a breakout to $6 zone.

BottomLines:

I like EGO for their growth potential, and their global presence in red hot countries like Brazil and China. If everything goes well as the company so optimitically plans, then the company should turn a profit for 2006. As long as gold continues its run to $1000, we can expect EGO to be positioned for a whole lotta profits.

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Has Anyone Noticed the Rise In Copper?

Earlier I wrote about Gold, which is no doubt stealing the show. But what about base metals? If you visit the authority on metals- precious, or base, at www.kitco.com you will see that almost all metals are rising. Some metals, like copper and zinc have already rose more than 30% in price in the past two months! Why isn’t anyone talking about it? Well, I think everyone has been fixed on the glimmer of gold. Go to this site and see for yourself the crazy crazy CRAZY rise of copper. What is going on here? Remember, copper is used in all kinds of applications- from construction (ie, China is the biggest consumer), to technology.

Hey, What About Uranium?

If you are investing in companies like Fronteer Development Group, be sure to keep a close eye on the spot prices of uranium. Again, you can find it at http://www.kitcom.com . But for now, feast your eyes on this remarkable chart which tells us uranium = demand. Truly, you don’t see this everyday…

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