Finally… Some common sense.
No, The United States Will Not Go Into A Debt Crisis, Not Now, Not Ever
7 Responses to No, The United States Will Not Go Into A Debt Crisis, Not Now, Not Ever
just debasement right?
Just continue to print money to pay off the ever increasing National Debt? Not a workable solution for very long. Interest rates would have to increase dramatically to cover the loss of value in the money. The Weimar republic tried that solution. After a while it took a wheelbarrow full of cash to buy a loaf of bread.
How about just eliminate all taxation and print money for government services? And give everyone a Million Dollars along with it? Ever increasing prosperity.
Turns out it was those pesky war reparations that caused government deficit spending to soar to something like 50% of GDP annually, with most of that whopping deficit spending used to sell the German currency and buy foreign currency to pay their war reparations. As expected, that drove their currency down the rat hole in short order, and kept driving it down, causing that famous bout of hyper inflation that didn’t end until that policy ended. And when all that ended and policy changed, the inflation stopped dead in its tracks. In one day. So how about Zimbabwe? Turns out they had a tad of civil unrest that dropped their productive capacity by about 80%, but government spending stayed high and too much spending power with too few goods and services for sale drove prices through the roof. Not to mention rumors of insiders using the local currency to buy foreign currencies for personal gain (sound familiar).
Applying this to the US to replicate the Wiemar inflation Congress would have to increase the deficit to about $8 trillion a year and then sell those dollars continuously in the market place, using them to buy the likes of yen, euro, and pounds. And replicating Zimbabwe would mean some kind of disaster that wiped out 80% of our real productive capacity and then continuing to spend federal dollars as if that never happened.
Lol more because the defacto currency of Germany switched when Hjalmar Schacht ran a coup on the central bank to stabilize the currency. And Germany refused it’s debt, which is a form of default.
it wont go wiemer,but it could see anywhere from 3%-8.5% increases in prices for all goods and services and specific things.it wont be across the board type.
This article is just a game of semantics. If private/non-central bank buyers ever step out of the bond market, you won’t care what the hell the resulting calamity is called.
Primary dealers are “required” to participate.